scholarly journals Generalized dynamic principal component for monthly nonstationary stock market price in technology sector

2018 ◽  
Vol 1132 ◽  
pp. 012076
Author(s):  
Yusrina Andu ◽  
Muhammad Hisyam Lee ◽  
Zakariya Yahya Algamal
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Market Price ◽  
Principal Component ◽  
Technology Sector

scholarly journals Non-transformed Principal Component Technique on Weekly Construction Stock Market Price

MATEMATIKA ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 35 (2) ◽  
pp. 139-147
Author(s):  
Yusrina Andu ◽  
Muhammad Hisyam Lee ◽  
Zakariya Yahya Algamal
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Mean Squared Error ◽  
Market Price ◽  
Principal Component ◽  
Construction Sector ◽  
Market Prices ◽  
Component Technique ◽  
Squared Error ◽  
The Mean ◽  
Explained Variance

The fast-growing urbanization has contributed to the construction sector becoming one of the major sectors traded in the world stock market. In general, non-stationarity is highly related to most of the stock market price pattern. Even though stationarity transformation is a common approach, yet this may prompt to originality loss of the data. Hence, the non-transformation technique using a generalized dynamic principal component (GDPC) were considered for this study. Comparison of GDPC was performed with two transformed principal component techniques. This is pertinent as to observe a larger perspective of both techniques. Thus, the latest weekly two-years observations of nine constructions stock market price from seven different countries were applied. The data was tested for stationarity before performing the analysis. As a result, the mean squared error in the non-transformed technique shows eight lowest values. Similarly, eight construction stock market prices had the highest percentage of explained variance. In conclusion, a non-transformed technique can also present a better resultoutcome without the stationarity transformation.

Share Market Data Prediction Strategies using Deep Learning Algorithm

2019 ◽  
Vol 13 ◽  
Author(s):  
A John. ◽  
D. Praveen Dominic ◽  
M. Adimoolam ◽  
N. M. Balamurugan
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Deep Learning ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Predictive Analytics ◽  
Learning Algorithm ◽  
Market Price ◽  
Stochastic Gradient ◽  
Stochastic Gradient Descent ◽  
Mining Machine ◽  
Gradient Descent Algorithm

Background:: Predictive analytics has a multiplicity of statistical schemes from predictive modelling, data mining, machine learning. It scrutinizes present and chronological data to make predictions about expectations or if not unexplained measures. Most predictive models are used for business analytics to overcome loses and profit gaining. Predictive analytics is used to exploit the pattern in old and historical data. Objective: People used to follow some strategies for predicting stock value to invest in the more profit-gaining stocks and those strategies to search the stock market prices which are incorporated in some intelligent methods and tools. Such strategies will increase the investor’s profits and also minimize their risks. So prediction plays a vital role in stock market gaining and is also a very intricate and challenging process. Method: The proposed optimized strategies are the Deep Neural Network with Stochastic Gradient for stock prediction. The Neural Network is trained using Back-propagation neural networks algorithm and stochastic gradient descent algorithm as optimal strategies. Results: The experiment is conducted for stock market price prediction using python language with the visual package. In this experiment RELIANCE.NS, TATAMOTORS.NS, and TATAGLOBAL.NS dataset are taken as input dataset and it is downloaded from National Stock Exchange site. The artificial neural network component including Deep Learning model is most effective for more than 100,000 data points to train this model. This proposed model is developed on daily prices of stock market price to understand how to build model with better performance than existing national exchange method.

scholarly journals Fractional differencing in stock market price and online presence of global tourist corporations

2019 ◽  
Vol 24 (48) ◽  
pp. 194-204 ◽  
Author(s):  
Francisco Flores-Muñoz ◽  
Alberto Javier Báez-García ◽  
Josué Gutiérrez-Barroso
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Market Price ◽  
Google Trends ◽  
Data Sets ◽  
Market Prices ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Search Results ◽  
Online Presence ◽  
Fractional Differencing

Purpose This work aims to explore the behavior of stock market prices according to the autoregressive fractional differencing integrated moving average model. This behavior will be compared with a measure of online presence, search engine results as measured by Google Trends. Design/methodology/approach The study sample is comprised by the companies listed at the STOXX® Global 3000 Travel and Leisure. Google Finance and Yahoo Finance, along with Google Trends, were used, respectively, to obtain the data of stock prices and search results, for a period of five years (October 2012 to October 2017). To guarantee certain comparability between the two data sets, weekly observations were collected, with a total figure of 118 firms, two time series each (price and search results), around 61,000 observations. Findings Relationships between the two data sets are explored, with theoretical implications for the fields of economics, finance and management. Tourist corporations were analyzed owing to their growing economic impact. The estimations are initially consistent with long memory; so, they suggest that both stock market prices and online search trends deserve further exploration for modeling and forecasting. Significant differences owing to country and sector effects are also shown. Originality/value This research contributes in two different ways: it demonstrate the potential of a new tool for the analysis of relevant time series to monitor the behavior of firms and markets, and it suggests several theoretical pathways for further research in the specific topics of asymmetry of information and corporate transparency, proposing pertinent bridges between the two fields.

Do Indian stock market sentiments impact contemporaneous returns?

2018 ◽  
Vol 7 (3) ◽  
pp. 332-346
Author(s):  
Divya Aggarwal ◽  
Pitabas Mohanty
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Returns ◽  
Temporal Dynamics ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Principal Component ◽  
Stock Index ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Investor Sentiments ◽  
Indian Stock Market ◽  
The Impact

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to analyse the impact of Indian investor sentiments on contemporaneous stock returns of Bombay Stock Exchange, National Stock Exchange and various sectoral indices in India by developing a sentiment index. Design/methodology/approach The study uses principal component analysis to develop a sentiment index as a proxy for Indian stock market sentiments over a time frame from April 1996 to January 2017. It uses an exploratory approach to identify relevant proxies in building a sentiment index using indirect market measures and macro variables of Indian and US markets. Findings The study finds that there is a significant positive correlation between the sentiment index and stock index returns. Sectors which are more dependent on institutional fund flows show a significant impact of the change in sentiments on their respective sectoral indices. Research limitations/implications The study has used data at a monthly frequency. Analysing higher frequency data can explain short-term temporal dynamics between sentiments and returns better. Further studies can be done to explore whether sentiments can be used to predict stock returns. Practical implications The results imply that one can develop profitable trading strategies by investing in sectors like metals and capital goods, which are more susceptible to generate positive returns when the sentiment index is high. Originality/value The study supplements the existing literature on the impact of investor sentiments on contemporaneous stock returns in the context of a developing market. It identifies relevant proxies of investor sentiments for the Indian stock market.

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