scholarly journals Predicting Particulate Matter (PM2.5) in Malaysia using Multiple Linear Regression and Artificial Neural Network

2021 ◽  
Vol 2084 (1) ◽  
pp. 012010
Author(s):  
Norafefah Mohamad Sobri ◽  
Wan Fairos Wan Yaacob ◽  
Nor Azima Ismail ◽  
Mohd Azry Abdul Malik ◽  
Raudhah Ab. Rahman ◽  
...  

Abstract Air pollution is a well-known issue for all countries, including Malaysia. It has been stated that particulate matter that less than 2.5mm known as PM2.5 has a greater effect on health as the smaller particulate size can penetrate deep into the respiratory system and affect the cardiovascular system significantly. Therefore, it is necessary to estimate the concentration of PM2.5 for haze precautions. This study characterizes the pattern of PM2.5 concentrations involving seven stations including Alor Setar, Shah Alam, Pasir Gudang, Ipoh, Kuantan, Kuala Terengganu and Miri with seven indicator parameters (Carbon Monoxide, Ozone, Sulphur Dioxide, Nitrogen Dioxide, Humidity, Temperature and Wind Speed). PM2.5 concentrations were predicted for each station using Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) and Artificial Neural Networks (ANN). Descriptive and trend analysis using Mann-Kandell Trend analysis was used to describe the haze characteristics and identify significant trends in the haze selected locations in Malaysia. MLR and ANN were fitted for the data. The performance of both prediction models was compared based on R2 and Mean Square Error (MSE). The results show ANN performed better than MLR with a high value of coefficient determination (R2) and low error measure. The ANN model was used to predict the occurrence of haze for the next day in the Air Quality Index (API).

2016 ◽  
Vol 16 (2) ◽  
pp. 43-50 ◽  
Author(s):  
Samander Ali Malik ◽  
Assad Farooq ◽  
Thomas Gereke ◽  
Chokri Cherif

Abstract The present research work was carried out to develop the prediction models for blended ring spun yarn evenness and tensile parameters using artificial neural networks (ANNs) and multiple linear regression (MLR). Polyester/cotton blend ratio, twist multiplier, back roller hardness and break draft ratio were used as input parameters to predict yarn evenness in terms of CVm% and yarn tensile properties in terms of tenacity and elongation. Feed forward neural networks with Bayesian regularisation support were successfully trained and tested using the available experimental data. The coefficients of determination of ANN and regression models indicate that there is a strong correlation between the measured and predicted yarn characteristics with an acceptable mean absolute error values. The comparative analysis of two modelling techniques shows that the ANNs perform better than the MLR models. The relative importance of input variables was determined using rank analysis through input saliency test on optimised ANN models and standardised coefficients of regression models. These models are suitable for yarn manufacturers and can be used within the investigated knowledge domain.


2014 ◽  
Vol 597 ◽  
pp. 349-352 ◽  
Author(s):  
Li Jeng Huang ◽  
Yeong Nain Sheen ◽  
Duc Hien Le

This paper presents two approaches, multiple linear regression (MLR) and artificial neural network (ANN), to develop predictive models for unconfined compressive strength of soil-based controlled low-strength material (CLSM). Our obtained laboratory data conducting on the soil-based CLSM were employed for analysis. Two strength prediction models were proposed: (1) strength is assumed to be a function of mix proportion and curing period; and (2) it is estimated from measured ultrasonic pulse velocity combined with effect of mixture parameters and curing ages. In each model, three predicted formulas were developed; one from MLR and two from ANN. It was showed that all the proposed equations have a well-predicted capacity.


2017 ◽  
Vol 44 (12) ◽  
pp. 994-1004 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ivica Androjić ◽  
Ivan Marović

The oscillation of asphalt mix composition on a daily basis significantly affects the achieved properties of the asphalt during production, thus resulting in conducting expensive laboratory tests to determine existing properties and predicting the future results. To decrease the amount of such tests, a development of artificial neural network and multiple linear regression models in the prediction process of predetermined dependent variables air void and soluble binder content is presented. The input data were obtained from a single laboratory and consists of testing 386 mixes of hot mix asphalt (HMA). It was found that it is possible and desirable to apply such models in the prediction process of the HMA properties. The final aim of the research was to compare results of the prediction models on an independent dataset and analyze them through the boundary conditions of technical regulations and the standard EN 13108-21.


2012 ◽  
Vol 2012 ◽  
pp. 1-8 ◽  
Author(s):  
K. P. Moustris ◽  
P. T. Nastos ◽  
I. K. Larissi ◽  
A. G. Paliatsos

An attempt is made to forecast the daily maximum surface ozone concentration for the next 24 hours, within the greater Athens area (GAA). For this purpose, we applied Multiple Linear Regression (MLR) models against a forecasting model based on Artificial Neural Network (ANN) approach. The availability of basic meteorological parameters is of great importance in order to forecast the ozone’s concentration levels. Modelling was based on recorded meteorological and air pollution data from thirteen monitoring sites within the GAA (network of the Hellenic Ministry of the Environment, Energy and Climate Change) over five years from 2001 to 2005. The evaluation of the performance of the constructed models, using appropriate statistical indices, shows clearly that in every aspect, the prognostic model by far is the ANN model. This suggests that the ANN model can be used to issue warnings for the general population and mainly sensitive groups.


2017 ◽  
Vol 7 ◽  
Author(s):  
Maryam Marashi ◽  
Ali Mohammadi Torkashvand ◽  
Abbas Ahmadi ◽  
Mehrdad Esfandyari

During recent decades, an artificial intelligence system has been used for developing the pedotransfer functions (PTFs) for estimation of soil properties. In the present study, the capabilities of multiple linear regression (MLR) and artificial neural networks (ANNs) in developing PTFs for estimating mean weight diameter (MWD) from routine soil properties (P<sub>1</sub>) and combination of routine soil properties and fractal dimension of aggregates (P<sub>2</sub>) were evaluated. The results showed that the ANN model for estimating MWD is more accurate than the MLR model. Application of fractal dimension of aggregates as a predictor in both methods improved the accuracy of PTFs.


2019 ◽  
Vol 2019 ◽  
pp. 1-13 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mingjun Li ◽  
Junxing Wang

Deformation predicting models are essential for evaluating the health status of concrete dams. Nevertheless, the application of the conventional multiple linear regression model has been limited due to the particular structure, random loading, and strong nonlinear deformation of concrete dams. Conversely, the artificial neural network (ANN) model shows good adaptability to complex and highly nonlinear behaviors. This paper aims to evaluate the specific performance of the multiple linear regression (MLR) and artificial neural network (ANN) model in characterizing concrete dam deformation under environmental loads. In this study, four models, namely, the multiple linear regression (MLR), stepwise regression (SR), backpropagation (BP) neural network, and extreme learning machine (ELM) model, are employed to simulate dam deformation from two aspects: single measurement point and multiple measurement points, approximately 11 years of historical dam operation records. Results showed that the prediction accuracy of the multipoint model was higher than that of the single point model except the MLR model. Moreover, the prediction accuracy of the ELM model was always higher than the other three models. All discussions would be conducted in conjunction with a gravity dam study.


Pharmaceutics ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (3) ◽  
pp. 244 ◽  
Author(s):  
Panagiotis Barmpalexis ◽  
Ioannis Partheniadis ◽  
Konstantina-Sepfora Mitra ◽  
Miltiadis Toskas ◽  
Labrini Papadopoulou ◽  
...  

Plain or coated pellets of different densities 1.45, 2.53, and 3.61 g/cc in two size ranges, small (380–550 μm) and large (700–1200 μm) (stereoscope/image analysis), were prepared according to experimental design using extrusion/spheronization. Multiple linear regression (MLR) and artificial neural networks (ANNs) were used to predict packing indices and capsule filling performance from the “apparent” pellet density (helium pycnometry). The dynamic packing of the pellets in tapped volumetric glass cylinders was evaluated using Kawakita’s parameter a and the angle of internal flow θ. The capsule filling was evaluated as maximum fill weight (CFW) and fill weight variation (FWV) using a semi-automatic machine that simulated filling with vibrating plate systems. The pellet density influenced the packing parameters a and θ as the main effect and the CFW and FWV as statistical interactions with the coating. The pellet size and coating also displayed interacting effects on CFW, FWV, and θ. After coating, both small and large pellets behaved the same, demonstrating smooth filling and a low fill weight variation. Furthermore, none of the packing indices could predict the fill weight variation for the studied pellets, suggesting that the filling and packing of capsules with free-flowing pellets is influenced by details that were not accounted for in the tapping experiments. A prediction could be made by the application of MLR and ANNs. The former gave good predictions for the bulk/tap densities, θ, CFW, and FWV (R-squared of experimental vs. theoretical data >0.951). A comparison of the fitting models showed that a feed-forward backpropagation ANN model with six hidden units was superior to MLR in generalizing ability and prediction accuracy. The simplification of the ANN via magnitude-based pruning (MBP) and optimal brain damage (OBD), showed good data fitting, and therefore the derived ANN model can be simplified while maintaining predictability. These findings emphasize the importance of pellet density in the overall capsule filling process and the necessity to implement MLR/ANN into the development of pellet capsule filling operations.


Author(s):  
Paul J. Roebber

AbstractWe introduce an adaptive form of postprocessor where algorithm structures are neural networks where the number of hidden nodes and the network training features evolve. Key potential advantages of this system are the flexible, nonlinear mapping capabilities of neural networks and, through backpropagation, the ability to rapidly establish capable predictors in an algorithm population. The system can be implemented after one initial training process and future changes to postprocessor inputs (new observations, new inputs or model upgrades) are incorporated as they become available. As in prior work, the implementation in the form of a predator-prey ecosystem allows for the ready construction of ensembles. Computational requirements are minimal, and the use of a moving data window means that data storage requirements are constrained.The system adds predictive skill to a demonstration dynamical model representing the hemispheric circulation, with skill competitive with or exceeding that obtainable from multiple linear regression and standard artificial neural networks constructed under typical operational limitations. The system incorporates new information rapidly and the dependence of the approach on the training data size is similar to multiple linear regression. A loss of performance occurs relative to a fixed neural network architecture in which only the weights are adjusted after training, but this loss is compensated for by gains from the ensemble predictions. While the demonstration dynamical model is complex, current numerical weather prediction models are considerably more so, and thus a future step will be to apply this technique to operational weather forecast data.


Sign in / Sign up

Export Citation Format

Share Document