scholarly journals 962Adolescent Alcohol Use Trajectories: A Prospective Study of Risk Factors and Adulthood AUD Outcomes

2021 ◽  
Vol 50 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Wing See Yuen ◽  
Gary Chan ◽  
Philip Clare ◽  
Raimondo Bruno ◽  
Veronica Boland ◽  
...  

Abstract Background Adolescents often display heterogenous trajectories of alcohol use. Initiation and escalation of drinking may be an important predictor of later harms. Previous attempts to conceptualise these trajectories lacked adjustment for known confounders of adolescent drinking, which our study has aimed to address by modelling dynamic changes in drinking whilst adjusting for parent, child, and peer factors. Methods Survey data from a longitudinal cohort of Australian adolescents (n = 1813) were used to model latent class alcohol use trajectories over five annual follow-ups (Mage=13.9 and 17.8 years). Regression models determined whether child, parent, and peer factors at baseline (Mage =12.9 years) predicted trajectory membership and whether trajectories predicted self-reported symptoms of AUD in early adulthood (Mage =18.8 years). Results We identified a four-class solution: abstaining (n = 352); late-onset moderate drinking (n = 503); early-onset moderate drinking (n = 663); and early-onset heavy drinking (n = 295). Alcohol-specific household rules reduced risk of early-onset heavy drinking compared to late-onset moderate drinking (RRR: 0.31; 99.5% CI: 0.11, 0.83), whereas substance-using peers increased this risk (RRR: 3.43; 99.5% CI: 2.10, 5.62). Early-onset heavy drinking increased odds of meeting criteria for AUD in early adulthood (OR: 7.68; 99.5% CI: 2.41, 24.47). Conclusions Our study provides evidence that early initiation and heavy alcohol use throughout adolescence is associated with increased risk of alcohol-related harm compared to recommended maximum levels of consumption (late-onset, moderate drinking). Key messages Parenting factors and peer influences in early adolescence should be considered to reduce risk of early initiation and heavy drinking, which in turn reduces risk of later harm.

2018 ◽  
Vol 31 (02) ◽  
pp. 457-469 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jinni Su ◽  
Andrew J. Supple ◽  
Esther M. Leerkes ◽  
Sally I-Chun Kuo

AbstractUsing a large and nationally representative sample, we examined how adolescents’ 5-HTTLPR genotype and perceived parenting quality independently and interactively associated with trajectories of alcohol use from early adolescence to young adulthood and whether/how gender may moderate these associations. The sample for this study included 13,749 adolescents (53.3% female; 56.3% non-Hispanic White, 21.5% Black, 16.0% Hispanic, and 6.1% Asian) followed prospectively from adolescence to young adulthood. Using growth mixture modeling, we identified four distinct trajectories of alcohol use (i.e., persistent heavy alcohol use, developmentally limited alcohol use, late-onset heavy alcohol use, and non/light alcohol use). Results indicated that the short allele of 5-HTTLPR was associated with higher risk of membership in the persistent and the late-onset heavy alcohol use trajectories. Parenting quality was associated with lower likelihoods of following the persistent heavy and the developmentally limited alcohol use trajectories but was not associated with risk of membership for the late-onset heavy drinking trajectory. 5-HTTLPR interacted with parenting quality to predict membership in the persistent heavy alcohol use trajectory for males but not for females. Findings highlighted the importance of considering the heterogeneity in trajectories of alcohol use across development and gender in the study of Gene Environment interactions in alcohol use.


2020 ◽  
Vol 9 (11) ◽  
pp. 3665
Author(s):  
Dongmin Kim ◽  
Pil-Sung Yang ◽  
Gregory Y.H. Lip ◽  
Boyoung Joung

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is considered a risk factor for dementia, especially in the elderly. However, the association between the two diseases is not well identified in different age subgroups. The association of incident AF with the development of dementia was assessed from 1 January 2005, to 31 December 2013, in 428,262 participants from a longitudinal cohort (the Korea National Health Insurance Service-Health Screening cohort). In total, 10,983 participants were diagnosed with incident AF during the follow-up period. The incidence of dementia was 11.3 and 3.0 per 1000 person-years in the incident-AF and without-AF groups, respectively. After adjustment for clinical variables, the risk of dementia was significantly elevated by incident AF, with a hazard ratio (HR) of 1.98 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.80–2.17, p < 0.001), even after censoring for stroke (HR: 1.74, 95% CI: 1.55–1.94, p < 0.001). The HRs of incident AF for dementia onset before the age of 65 (early-onset dementia) and for onset after the age of 65 (late-onset dementia) were 2.91 (95% CI: 1.93–4.41) and 1.67 (95% CI: 1.49–1.87), respectively. Younger participants with AF were more prone to dementia development than older participants with AF (p for trend < 0.001). AF was associated with an increased risk of both early- and late-onset dementia, independent of clinical stroke.


2017 ◽  
Vol 72 (1) ◽  
pp. 61-67 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jenni Ervasti ◽  
Mika Kivimäki ◽  
Jaana Pentti ◽  
Jaana I Halonen ◽  
Jussi Vahtera ◽  
...  

BackgroundWe investigated whether changes in alcohol use predict changes in the risk of sickness absence in a case-crossover design.MethodsFinnish public sector employees were surveyed in 2000, 2004 and 2008 on alcohol use and covariates. Heavy drinking was defined as either a weekly intake that exceeded recommendations (12 units for women; 23 for men) or having an extreme drinking session. The responses were linked to national sickness absence registers. We analysed the within-person relative risk of change in the risk of sickness absence in relation to change in drinking. Case period refers to being sickness absent within 1 year of the survey and control period refers to not being sickness absent within 1 year of the survey.ResultsPeriods of heavy drinking were associated with increased odds of self-certified short-term (1–3 days) sickness absence (multivariable-adjusted OR 1.21, 95% CI 1.07 to 1.38 for all participants; 1.62, 95% CI 1.19 to 2.21 for men and 1.15, 95% CI 1.00 to 1.33 for women). A higher risk of short-term sickness absence was also observed after increase in drinking (OR=1.27, 95% CI 1.07 to 1.52) and a lower risk was observed after decrease in drinking (OR=0.83, 95% CI 0.69 to 1.00). Both increase (OR=1.38, 95% CI 1.21 to 1.57) and decrease (OR=1.27, 95% CI 1.19 to 1.43) in drinking were associated with increased risk of long-term (>9 days) medically certified all-cause sickness absence.ConclusionIncrease in drinking was related to increases in short-term and long-term sickness absences. Men and employees with a low socioeconomic position in particular seemed to be at risk.


2014 ◽  
Vol 45 (3) ◽  
pp. 635-643 ◽  
Author(s):  
Marianne Aanerud ◽  
Anne-Elie Carsin ◽  
Jordi Sunyer ◽  
Julia Dratva ◽  
Thorarinn Gislason ◽  
...  

The aim of the present study was to analyse the interaction between asthma and smoking in the risk of adult airway obstruction, accounting for atopy.In the European Community Respiratory Health Survey, 15 668 persons aged 20–56 years underwent spirometry in 1991–1993 and 9 years later (n=8916). Risk of airway obstruction and lung function decline associated with smoking and early-onset (<10 years of age) and late-onset (>10 years of age) asthma were analysed with generalised estimating equation models and random-effect linear models, adjusting for covariates. Interaction of asthma with smoking was expressed as relative excess risk due to interaction (RERI).A 20-fold increase in adult airway obstruction was found among those with early-onset asthma independently of smoking status (never-smokers: OR 21.0, 95% CI 12.7–35; current smokers: OR 23.7, 95% CI 13.9–40.6). Late-onset asthma was associated with airway obstruction, with a stronger association among current smokers (OR 25.6, 95% CI 15.6–41.9) than among never-smokers (OR 11.2, 95% CI 6.8–18.6) (RERI 12.02, 95% CI 1.96–22.07). Stratifying by atopy, the association between smoking and asthma was most pronounced among nonatopics.Early- and late-onset asthma were associated with 10–20-fold increased risk of adult airway obstruction. Smoking increased the risk of adult airway obstruction in subjects with asthma onset after age 10 years. Investigation of measures potentially preventive of chronic obstructive pulmonary disease development following asthma is urgently needed.


2021 ◽  
Vol 50 (Supplement_1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ali Ziyab ◽  
Nandini Mukherjee ◽  
Hasan Arshad ◽  
Wilfried Karmaus

Abstract Background Eczema is a common inflammatory skin disease with varying developmental trajectories/patterns. This study sought to investigate eczema development from infancy to early adulthood by identifying distinct developmental trajectories that describe disease patterns over time and evaluate the role of early life risk factors. Methods The Isle of Wight Birth Cohort (n = 1456) was prospectively assessed at birth, 1, 2, 4, 10, 18, and 26 years. At each assessment, eczema was ascertained based on established clinical criteria. Developmental trajectories of eczema between 1-or-2 and 26 years were identified separately for males and females by applying semiparametric mixture models. Associations were assessed by applying a modified Poisson regression to estimate adjusted risk ratios (aRR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI). Results In both males and females, the following eczema trajectories were identified: unaffected/transient (77.7% vs. 73.0%), mid-onset late-resolving (7.8% vs. 4.4%), late-onset (5.2% vs. 9.5%), and early-onset persistent (9.3% vs. 5.4%). In females, an additional trajectory was identified: early-onset early-resolving (7.7%). Among males, filaggrin gene (FLG) variants (aRR = 2.45, 95% CI: 1.34-4.46) and paternal eczema (2.66, 1.39-5.08) were associated with the early-onset persistent trajectory. Among females, maternal eczema (2.84, 1.42-5.70) and high birthweight (2.25, 1.08-4.69) were associated with the early-onset persistent trajectory. Conclusions Four and five trajectories represented eczema development among males and females, respectively, with different predisposing risk factors. Key messages Males and females may experience a different course of eczema and also sex-specific risk factors.


2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (20) ◽  
pp. 4663
Author(s):  
Hyunil Kim ◽  
Ji Hoon Kim ◽  
Jung Kuk Lee ◽  
Dae Ryong Kang ◽  
Su Young Kim ◽  
...  

We investigated the risk of colorectal cancer (CRC) in patients with Crohn’s disease (CD) using the claims data of the Korean National Health Insurance during 2006–2015. The data of 13,739 and 40,495 individuals with and without CD, respectively, were analyzed. Hazard ratios (HRs) were calculated using multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression tests. CRC developed in 25 patients (0.18%) and 42 patients (0.1%) of the CD and non-CD groups, respectively. The HR of CRC in the CD group was 2.07 (95% confidence interval (CI), 1.25–3.41). The HRs of CRC among men and women were 2.02 (95% CI 1.06–3.87) and 2.10 (95% CI, 0.96–4.62), respectively. The HRs of CRC in the age groups 0–19, 20–39, 40–59, and ≥60 years were 0.07, 4.86, 2.32, and 0.66, respectively. The HR of patients with late-onset CD (≥40 years) was significantly higher than that of those with early-onset CD (<40 years). CD patients were highly likely to develop CRC. Early-onset CD patients were significantly associated with an increased risk of CRC than matched individuals without CD. However, among CD patients, late-onset CD was significantly associated with an increased risk of CRC.


Addiction ◽  
2008 ◽  
Vol 103 (s1) ◽  
pp. 23-35 ◽  
Author(s):  
Michelle M. Englund ◽  
Byron Egeland ◽  
Elizabeth M. Oliva ◽  
W. Andrew Collins

Author(s):  
Francisco Caamano-Isorna ◽  
Amy Adkins ◽  
Fazil Aliev ◽  
Lucía Moure-Rodríguez ◽  
Danielle M. Dick

Background: we aimed to determine the risk factors and associated population attributable fractions (PAFs) for the age of onset of alcohol use and also to identify protective factors. Methods: we analyzed follow-up data collected between autumn 2011 and spring 2016 (n = 5170) from the first two cohorts (2011, 2012) of the Spit for ScienceTM project. The dependent variables were alcohol abuse and dependence, and the independent variables were age of drinking onset, residence, ethnicity, religiosity, sexual orientation and work status. We determined the odds ratios (OR) using multilevel logistic regression for repeated measures in SPSSv.20. Results: the early onset of alcohol use was associated with an increased risk of alcohol abuse and dependence among females (OR = 14.98; OR = 11.83) and males (OR = 7.41; OR = 6.24). The PAFs for the early onset of alcohol use in alcohol abuse and dependence were respectively 80.9% and 71.7% in females and 71.0% and 63.5% in males. Among females, being white (OR = 1.58; OR = 1.51), living off-campus (OR = 1.73; OR = 2.76) and working full-time (OR = 1.69; OR = 1.78) were also risk factors. Strong religious beliefs were found to protect males from alcohol abuse (OR = 0.58), while same-gender sexual orientation increased the risk among females (OR = 2.09). Conclusion: delaying the age of onset by one year would reduce alcohol abuse among young adults.


2021 ◽  
pp. 1-10
Author(s):  
Anita Korpioja ◽  
Johanna Krüger ◽  
Susanna Koivuluoma ◽  
Katri Pylkäs ◽  
Virpi Moilanen ◽  
...  

Background: Rare variants of SORL1 have been associated with an increased risk of early-onset or late-onset Alzheimer’s disease (AD). However, a lot remains to be clarified about their significance in the pathogenesis of the disease. Objective: To evaluate the role of SORL1 variants among Finnish patients with early-onset AD (EOAD). Methods: The rare SORL1variants were screened in a cohort of 115 Finnish EOAD patients (mean age at onset 58.3 years, range 46–65 years) by using the whole-exome sequencing. Results: We found one novel nonsense variant (p.Gln290 *) and eight missense variants in SORL1. This is the first study reporting the SORL1 variants p.Lys80Arg, p.Ala789Val and p.Arg866Gln in EOAD patients. Furthermore, two of these three missense variants were overrepresented in EOAD patients compared to gnomAD non-neuro Finnish samples. Conclusion: This study strengthens the earlier findings, that the rare variants in SORL1 are associated with EOAD.


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