scholarly journals Use of E-values for addressing confounding in observational studies—an empirical assessment of the literature

2020 ◽  
Vol 49 (5) ◽  
pp. 1482-1494 ◽  
Author(s):  
Manuel R Blum ◽  
Yuan Jin Tan ◽  
John P A Ioannidis

Abstract Background E-values are a recently introduced approach to evaluate confounding in observational studies. We aimed to empirically assess the current use of E-values in published literature. Methods We conducted a systematic literature search for all publications, published up till the end of 2018, which cited at least one of two inceptive E-value papers and presented E-values for original data. For these case publications we identified control publications, matched by journal and issue, where the authors had not calculated E-values. Results In total, 87 papers presented 516 E-values. Of the 87 papers, 14 concluded that residual confounding likely threatens at least some of the main conclusions. Seven of these 14 named potential uncontrolled confounders. 19 of 87 papers related E-value magnitudes to expected strengths of field-specific confounders. The median E-value was 1.88, 1.82, and 2.02 for the 43, 348, and 125 E-values where confounding was felt likely to affect the results, unlikely to affect the results, or not commented upon, respectively. The 69 case-control publication pairs dealt with effect sizes of similar magnitude. Of 69 control publications, 52 did not comment on unmeasured confounding and 44/69 case publications concluded that confounding was unlikely to affect study conclusions. Conclusions Few papers using E-values conclude that confounding threatens their results, and their E-values overlap in magnitude with those of papers acknowledging susceptibility to confounding. Facile automation in calculating E-values may compound the already poor handling of confounding. E-values should not be a substitute for careful consideration of potential sources of unmeasured confounding. If used, they should be interpreted in the context of expected confounding in specific fields.

2021 ◽  
pp. 027112142110327
Author(s):  
Esther R. Lindström ◽  
Jason C. Chow ◽  
Kathleen N. Zimmerman ◽  
Hongyang Zhao ◽  
Elise Settanni ◽  
...  

Engagement in early childhood has been linked with later achievement, but the relation between these variables and how they are measured in early childhood requires examination. We estimated the overall association between academic engagement and achievement in children prior to kindergarten entry. Our systematic literature search yielded 13,521 reports for structured eligibility screening; from this pool of studies, we identified 21 unique data sets, with 199 effect sizes for analysis. We coded eligible studies, extracted effect sizes, accounted for effect size dependency, and used random-effects models to synthesize findings. The overall correlation between academic engagement and achievement was r = .24 (range: −.08 to −.71), and moderator analyses did not significantly predict the relation between the two constructs. This study aligns with previous research on this topic and examines issues related to these measures, their constraints, and applications as they pertain to early childhood research.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tina B Lonsdorf ◽  
Manuel Kuhn ◽  
Anna Gerlicher

Scientific work rests fundamentally upon data, their measurement, processing, analysis, illustration and interpretation. Raw data have to be processed to be ready for statistical analyses and interpretation. While these processing pipelines can be well defined and standardized, they are often characterized by substantial heterogeneity. Here, we present results from a systematic literature search on the different SCR response quantification approaches used in the literature by using fear conditioning research as a case example. Next, we applied seven of the identified approaches (trough-to-peak scoring, script-based baseline-correction, Ledalab as well as four different models implemented in the software PsPM) to two fear conditioning datasets differing in key procedural specifications (i.e., CS duration, reinforcement rate, number of trials). This can be viewed as a set of robustness analyses (i.e., same data subjected to different methods) aiming to investigate if and to what extent these methods yield comparable results. To our knowledge, no formal framework for the evaluation of robustness analyses exists to date, but we may borrow some criteria from a framework suggested for the evaluation of ‘replicability’ in general. Our results from seven different SCR response quantification approaches applied to two datasets suggest that there may be no single approach that consistently yields larger effect sizes across both datasets. Yet, at least some of the approaches employed show consistent effect sizes within each dataset indicating comparability. Finally, we highlight substantial heterogeneity also within most quantification approaches and discuss implications and potential remedies.


Author(s):  
Mario Gaudino ◽  
Irbaz Hameed ◽  
N. Bryce Robinson ◽  
Ajita Naik ◽  
Viola Weidenmann ◽  
...  

Background Current cardiac surgery guidelines give Class I and II recommendations to valve‐sparing root replacement over the Bentall procedure, mitral valve (MV) repair over replacement, and multiple arterial grafting with bilateral internal thoracic artery based on observational evidence. We evaluated the robustness of the observational studies supporting these recommendations using the E value, an index of unmeasured confounding. Methods and Results Observational studies cited in the guidelines and in the 3 largest meta‐analyses comparing the procedures were evaluated for statistically significant effect measures. Two E values were calculated: 1 for the effect‐size estimate and 1 for the lower limit of the 95% CI. Thirty‐one observational studies were identified, and E values were computed for 75 effect estimates. The observed effect estimates for improved clinical outcomes with valve‐sparing root replacement versus the Bentall procedure, MV repair versus replacement, and grafting with bilateral internal thoracic artery versus single internal thoracic artery could be explained by an unmeasured confounder that was associated with both the treatment and outcome by a risk ratio of more than 16.77, 4.32, and 3.14, respectively. For MV repair versus replacement and grafting with bilateral internal thoracic artery versus single internal thoracic artery, the average E values were lower than the effect sizes of the other measured confounders in 33.3% and 60.9% of the studies, respectively. For valve‐sparing root replacement versus the Bentall procedure, no study reported effect sizes for associations of other covariates with outcomes. Conclusions The E values for observational evidence supporting the use of valve‐sparing root replacement, MV repair, and grafting with bilateral internal thoracic artery over the Bentall procedure, MV replacement, and grafting with single internal thoracic artery are relatively low. This suggests that small‐to‐moderate unmeasured confounding could explain most of the observed associations for these procedures.


2014 ◽  
Vol 2014 ◽  
pp. 1-6 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wenbin Liang ◽  
Yuejen Zhao ◽  
Andy H. Lee

Background. Observational studies are commonly conducted in health research. However, due to their lack of randomization, the estimated associations between the outcome and the exposure can be affected by unmeasured confounding factors. It is important to determine how likely a significant association observed between an outcome variable and a noncausally related exposure may be introduced by residual confounding factors.Methods. A simulation approach is developed based on the sufficient cause model to test the likelihood of significant associations observed between a noncausally related exposure and the outcome.Results. Based on the estimates from all 500 replicates, the association between the exposure and the outcome is found to be significant in 386 (77%) replicates when all confounders (component causes) are controlled for in the model. However, when a subset of real component causes and some noncausal factors are controlled for in the model, the association between exposure and the outcome becomes significant in 487 (97%) replicates.Conclusion. Even when all confounding factors are known and controlled for using conventional multivariate analysis, the observed association between exposure and outcome can still be dominated by residual confounding effects. Therefore, an observed significant association apparently provides limited evidence for a causal relationship.


VASA ◽  
2017 ◽  
Vol 46 (3) ◽  
pp. 151-158 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hisato Takagi ◽  
Takuya Umemoto

Abstract. Both coronary and peripheral artery disease are representative atherosclerotic diseases, which are also known to be positively associated with presence of abdominal aortic aneurysm. It is still controversial, however, whether coronary and peripheral artery disease are positively associated with expansion and rupture as well as presence of abdominal aortic aneurysm. In the present article, we overviewed epidemiological evidence, i. e. meta-analyses, regarding the associations of coronary and peripheral artery disease with presence, expansion, and rupture of abdominal aortic aneurysm through a systematic literature search. Our exhaustive search identified seven meta-analyses, which suggest that both coronary and peripheral artery disease are positively associated with presence of abdominal aortic aneurysm, may be negatively associated with expansion of abdominal aortic aneurysm, and might be unassociated with rupture of abdominal aortic aneurysm.


Author(s):  
Marco Guidi ◽  
Riccardo Luchetti ◽  
Inga Besmens ◽  
Esin Rothenfluh ◽  
Maurizio Calcagni

Abstract Background Wrist arthrolysis is a viable option in wrist stiffness and can be performed via open or arthroscopic techniques. Purpose The aim of the study is to describe and evaluate the available techniques of open and arthroscopic arthrolysis of the radiocarpal joint and the distal radio ulnar joint (DRUJ) in posttraumatic wrist stiffness. Methods A systematic literature search was performed in PubMed to identify studies reporting on open and arthroscopic wrist arthrolysis. Key words included “open wrist arthrolysis,” “arthroscopic wrist arthrolysis,” “post-traumatic wrist stiffness,” and “DRUJ arthrolysis.” Data were extracted independently by a pair of reviewers. Results Overall, 637 studies were identified; 13 additional articles were found through previous publications (total 650 articles). A total of 612 records resulted after duplicates was removed. Fourteen studies were selected and only eight respected the inclusions criteria. One study focused on volar open arthrolysis and four studies on arthroscopic arthrolysis of the radiocarpal joint; two studies reported on open arthrolysis and two studies on arthroscopic DRUJ arthrolysis. Range of motion following open and arthroscopic wrist arthrolysis improved in all studies. Conclusion Both arthroscopic and open arthrolysis can lead to similar and satisfactory results in radiocarpal joint and DRUJ stiffness.. Level of Evidence This is a level 3a study.


Cancers ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (15) ◽  
pp. 3872
Author(s):  
Małgorzata Styczewska ◽  
Małgorzata A. Krawczyk ◽  
Ines B. Brecht ◽  
Konrad Haug ◽  
Ewa Iżycka-Świeszewska ◽  
...  

Melanotic Neuroectodermal Tumor of Infancy (MNTI) is a very rare pediatric neoplasm of neural crest origin. In most cases, it develops in infants as a localized tumor of the maxilla, and surgery is usually curative. In less than 10% of patients with inoperable, metastatic or persistently recurring MNTI, chemotherapy (CHT) may be considered; however, its role is still unclear. The aim of our study was to assess the efficacy of CHT in children with large, inoperable, metastatic and/or recurrent MNTI. Four such infants, treated with CHT in Polish and German centers of pediatric oncology, were presented. Additionally, a systematic literature search of the PubMed/MEDLINE, Scopus and Web of Science databases was performed, yielding 38 similar cases within the last 42 years. Neoadjuvant CHT, based mainly on the protocols for neuroblastoma, was often effective, allowing for complete delayed surgery in most cases. However, the role of adjuvant CHT in preventing recurrences after incomplete resection of MNTI remains unclear. Disseminated inoperable MNTI was almost universally associated with poor response to CHT and unfavorable outcome. Further investigations to elaborate standards of management in patients with inoperable, metastatic or persistently recurring MNTIs are necessary to improve outcomes.


2020 ◽  
Vol 79 (Suppl 1) ◽  
pp. 1659.3-1659
Author(s):  
N. Ziade ◽  
A. Nassar

Background:Spondyloarthritis (SpA) and Familial Meditaerranean fever (FMF) may co-exist in certain populations, and have some overlapping manifestations (oligo-arthritis, hip involvement). Their association may impact disease phenotype and may affect disease management.Objectives:To evaluate the association of SpA and FMF and its impact on disease phenotype and management.Methods:A systematic literature search was conducted with the keywords spondyloarthritis and familial mediterranean fever from Janurary 1990 to January 2020 in PubMed and using manual cross-reference methods.Results:The search retrieved 74 articles, out of which 37 articles were relevant to the study question; most of the articles were case reports, with some large cohort studies of FMF and SpA (Flowchart in Figure 1).In large FMF cohorts, the prevalence of SpA was higher compared to the general population (7.5-13%, OR around 10). M694V was a risk factor for SpA. These FMF-SpA patients were older at diagnosis, had lower fever attacks, and higher disease duration, inflammatory back pain, chronic arthritis, enthesopathy, persistent inflammation and higher resistance to Colchicine. In case series, they were responsive to anti-TNF therapy.In large SpA cohorts, MEFV mutation, particularly M694V, was found in 15-35% (even without associated FMF). In most cohorts, MEFV mutation carriers didn’t have any distinct disease phenotype, except for some reports of higher ESR, more hip involvement, higher BASFI and higher BASDAI. Genome-wide association studies and case reports suggest an implication for IL-1 and thus a role for Anakinra therapy in these patients.Conclusion:In FMF or SpA patients with resistance to conventional therapy, the evaluation of disease association should be performed as it may have significant impact on disease management.References:[1]Li et al, Plos Genetics 2019. Watad et al, Frontiers Immunol 2019. Atas et al, Rheumatol Int 2019. Cherqaoui et al, JBS 2017. Zhong et al. Plos One 2017. Ornek et al, Arch Rheumatol 2016. Cinar et al, Rheumatol Int 2008. Durmur et al, JBS 2007.Figure 1.Flowchart of the systematic literature search (Spondyloarthritis, Familial Mediterranean Fever; January 1990-2020).Disclosure of Interests:Nelly Ziade Speakers bureau: Abbvie, Janssen, Lilly, Novartis, Pfizer, Roche, Sanofi, Aref Nassar: None declared


Neurosurgery ◽  
2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kenny Yat Hong Kwan ◽  
J Naresh-Babu ◽  
Wilco Jacobs ◽  
Marinus de Kleuver ◽  
David W Polly ◽  
...  

Abstract BACKGROUND Existing adult spinal deformity (ASD) classification systems are based on radiological parameters but management of ASD patients requires a holistic approach. A comprehensive clinically oriented patient profile and classification of ASD that can guide decision-making and correlate with patient outcomes is lacking. OBJECTIVE To perform a systematic review to determine the purpose, characteristic, and methodological quality of classification systems currently used in ASD. METHODS A systematic literature search was conducted in MEDLINE, EMBASE, CINAHL, and Web of Science for literature published between January 2000 and October 2018. From the included studies, list of classification systems, their methodological measurement properties, and correlation with treatment outcomes were analyzed. RESULTS Out of 4470 screened references, 163 were included, and 54 different classification systems for ASD were identified. The most commonly used was the Scoliosis Research Society-Schwab classification system. A total of 35 classifications were based on radiological parameters, and no correlation was found between any classification system levels with patient-related outcomes. Limited evidence of limited quality was available on methodological quality of the classification systems. For studies that reported the data, intraobserver and interobserver reliability were good (kappa = 0.8). CONCLUSION This systematic literature search revealed that current classification systems in clinical use neither include a comprehensive set of dimensions relevant to decision-making nor did they correlate with outcomes. A classification system comprising a core set of patient-related, radiological, and etiological characteristics relevant to the management of ASD is needed.


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