An update on the impact of HIV/AIDS on life expectancy in the United States

Abstract Background: A central goal of treatment for high-risk AML is enabling patients to receive HCT. CPX-351 is a dual-drug liposomal encapsulation of cytarabine and daunorubicin at a synergistic ratio. A large randomized, open-label, multicenter, phase 3 trial demonstrated superior outcomes, including significantly longer overall survival and a larger fraction of patients reaching HCT, for CPX-351 versus conventional cytarabine/daunorubicin (7+3 regimen) in patients aged 60 to 75 years with newly diagnosed therapy-related AML (tAML) or AML with myelodysplasia-related changes (AML-MRC; Lancet JE, et al. J Clin Oncol. 2018). In order to estimate the cost-effectiveness of treatments for AML, and for CPX-351 in particular, it is necessary to extrapolate survival of patients undergoing HCT to the long-term. The objective of this analysis was to assess the impact of different estimates of post-HCT mortality on cost-effectiveness of CPX-351. Methods: An existing economic model of CPX-351 versus 7+3 for the treatment of tAML or AML-MRC was used to project lifetime health and cost outcomes. The modeled population included 30% patients <60 years of age and 70% between 60 and 75 years of age. The model uses a survival-partition approach, with distinct survival curves for cohorts defined by treatment pathways (response and transplantation). Projected life expectancy for each cohort was estimated based on trial data (for those 60-75 years of age), US population life-tables, and published data. For patients younger than age 60, response rates were adjusted based on published literature. Standardized mortality ratio (SMR) values following HCT were selected individually for the younger and older cohorts. SMR values were calibrated in the model to match the literature finding that post-HCT mortality results in a loss of approximately 30% of life expectancy. This yielded an SMR of 2.25 for older patients and 4.0 for younger patients. Values ranged from 1.0 to 4.0 in sensitivity analyses based on recent appraisals by the United Kingdom's National Institute for Health and Care Excellence (NICE). Model outputs included survival, quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), costs, and incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER). Results: In the base case with different SMR values by age, the model yielded a predicted ICER value of $111,841/QALY in the overall cohort, which compares favorably to the typical $150,000/QALY threshold (Bae 2014) for good value care in the United States. Using the same estimates of SMR in all patients yielded ICER values of $125,280/QALY and $151,793/QALY for SMR values of 2.25 and 4.0, respectively. Assuming no excess mortality post-HCT relative to the general population, using an SMR of 1.0, resulted in modest improvements in cost-effectiveness (ICER = $102,298/QALY). Conclusions: CPX-351 is a cost-effective option for the treatment of patients with tAML or AML-MRC when accounting for potentially increased mortality following HCT. Disclosures Kansal: Jazz Pharmaceuticals: Consultancy. Reifsnider:Jazz Pharmaceuticals: Consultancy. Todorova:Jazz Pharmaceuticals: Employment, Equity Ownership. Coughlan:Jazz Pharmaceuticals: Consultancy. Villa:Jazz Pharmaceuticals: Employment, Equity Ownership, Other: Stock and stock options.

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Inequality in Life Lost to Violence in the United States

10.31235/osf.io/29n67 ◽

2021 ◽

Author(s):

Alexander F. Roehrkasse

Keyword(s):

United States ◽

High School ◽

Life Expectancy ◽

Black Males ◽

Educational Inequality ◽

Cumulative Risk ◽

The United States ◽

High School Diploma ◽

White Males ◽

The Impact

This study uses demographic methods to describe ethnoracial and educational inequality in the cumulative risk of homicide death and life lost to violence in the United States. If age-specific homicides rates were to continue at 2018–2019 levels, more than 1 in 19 Black males without a high school diploma would die by homicide. In contrast, 1 in 152 White males without a high school diploma and 1 in 233 Black males with a bachelor's degree would be violently killed. Among Black males without a high school diploma, homicide led to a decrease in life expectancy at ages 15–19 of more than two years. The impact of U.S. violence on the life expectancy of socially marginalized people exceeds the population impact of all causes of death except heart disease and cancer.

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Inequalities in Life Expectancy and All-Cause Mortality in the United States by Levels of Happiness and Life Satisfaction: A Longitudinal Study

International Journal of MCH and AIDS (IJMA) ◽

10.21106/ijma.392 ◽

2020 ◽

Vol 9 (3) ◽

pp. 305-315

Author(s):

Hyunjung Lee ◽

Gopal K. Singh

Keyword(s):

United States ◽

Life Satisfaction ◽

Life Expectancy ◽

Global Health ◽

Mortality Risk ◽

Well Being ◽

The United States ◽

Subjective Well Being ◽

All Cause Mortality ◽

The Impact

Background: Despite having one of the highest Gross Domestic Product (GDP) per capita levels, United States (US) ranks lower in subjective well-being, including happiness and life satisfaction, compared with European countries. Studies of the impact of happiness and life satisfaction on life expectancy and mortality in the US are limited or non-existent. Using a national longitudinal dataset, we examined the association between levels of happiness/life satisfaction and US life expectancy and all-cause mortality. Methods: We analyzed the 2001 National Health Interview Survey (NHIS) prospectively linked to 2001-2014 mortality records in the National Death Index (NDI) (N=30,377). Cox proportional hazards regression was used to model survival time as a function of happiness, life satisfaction, and sociodemographic and behavioral covariates. Results: Life expectancies at age 18 among adults with high levels of happiness and life satisfaction were, respectively, 7.5 and 8.9 years higher compared to those with low levels of happiness and life satisfaction. In Cox models with 14 years of mortality follow-up, all-cause mortality risk was 82% higher (hazard ratio [HR]=1.82; 95% CI=1.59,2.08) in adults with little or no happiness, controlling for age, and 36% higher (HR=1.36; 95% CI=1.17,1.57) in adults with little/no happiness, controlling for sociodemographic, behavioral and health characteristics, when compared with adults reporting happiness all of the time. Mortality risk was 107% higher (HR=2.07; 95% CI=1.80,2.38) in adults who were very dissatisfied with their life, controlling for age, and 39% higher (HR=1.39; 95% CI=1.20,1.60) in adults who were very dissatisfied, controlling for all covariates, when compared with adults who were very satisfied. Conclusions and Global Health Implications: Adults with higher happiness and life satisfaction levels had significantly higher life expectancy and lower all-cause mortality risks than those with lower happiness and satisfaction levels. These findings underscore the significance of addressing subjective well-being in the population as a strategy for reducing all-cause mortality. Key words: • Inequalities • Disparities • Happiness • Life satisfaction • Life expectancy • Mortality • Longitudinal • Social determinants Copyright © 2020 Lee and Singh. Published by Global Health and Education Projects, Inc. This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY 4.0) which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work, first published in this journal, is properly cited.

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