Abstract
Background
Plasma volume status (PVS) has been shown to be a well-validated prognostic indicator which relate to morbidity and mortality in heart failure. However, it remains unclear whether PVS would have the prognostic significance in patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI). Global Registry of Acute Coronary Events (GRACE) risk score is a powerful predictor of prognosis after acute coronary event, but there is no information available on the additional prognostic value of PVS to GRACE in AMI patients.
Methods
We retrospectively studied 3930 AMI patients. GRACE score and PVS was obtained on the admission. PVS was calculated as follows: actual PV = (1 - hematocrit) × [a + (b × body weight)] (a=1530 in males and a=864 in females, b=41.0 in males and b=47.9 in females); ideal PV = c × body weight (c=39 in males and c=40 in females); and PVS = [(actual PV - ideal PV)/ideal PV] × 100 (%). The endpoint was All cause of death (ACD) within 5 years.
Results
During a mean follow-up period of 2.4±1.9 years, 406 patients had ACD. PVS was significantly greater in patients with ACD than without ACD (8.1±14.9% vs −1.7±13.3%, p<0.001). Each 5% increase in PVS was linked to a 27% estimated risk of 5-year mortality (p<0.001, HR: 1.05 [1.03–1.08]). PVS was still independently associated with ACD, after adjustment with GRACE score as a potential confounding factor. Kaplan-Meier analysis revealed that patients with PV expansion (PVS>0%) were significantly higher risk of ACD than those without PV expansion in patients both with high risk in GRACE score (>140) (28% (225/803) vs 19% (78/412), p=0.01, HR: 7.5) and with low risk in GRACE score (≤140) (6% (52/894) vs 3% (51/1821), p=0.009, HR: 6.2).
Survival rate curves
Conclusion
PVS, which represents intravascular compartment and congestion, could identify poor prognosis in patients with AMI. In addition, PVS would provide additional prognostic information to GRACE score.