Predicting the end-stage of the COVID-19 epidemic in Brazil
Keyword(s):
AbstractWe develop a dynamic model of a COVID-19 epidemic as a system of differential equations. The model incorporates an asymptomatic infectious stage and a symptomatic infectious stage. We apply the model to the current COVID-19 epidemic in Brazil. We compare the model output to current epidemic data, and project forward in time possible end-stages of the epidemic in Brazil. The model emphasizes the importance of reducing asymptomatic infections in controlling the epidemic.
2019 ◽
Vol 26
(3)
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pp. 351-359
2008 ◽
Vol 14
(2)
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2003 ◽
Vol 35
(7)
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pp. 15-21
2018 ◽
Vol 6
(7)
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pp. 916-919