A Dynamic Model of Insurgency: The Case of the War in Iraq
2008 ◽
Vol 14
(2)
◽
Keyword(s):
This paper uses a system of differential equations to describe the insurgency in Iraq. The system has four possible outcomes or cases: (1) The U.S.-led coalition increases in size and the number of attacks by the insurgents increases. (2) The size of the U.S.-led coalition decreases and the number of attacks by insurgents decreases. (3) The size of the U.S.-led coalition increases and the number of insurgent attacks decreases. (4) The size of the U.S.-led coalition decreases and the number of insurgent attacks increases. Which case is relevant depends on the recruitment rates of the U.S.-led coalition and insurgents as well as the combat effectiveness of both sides. Policy implications are provided.
2019 ◽
Vol 26
(3)
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pp. 351-359
2011 ◽
Vol 5
(10)
◽
Keyword(s):
2003 ◽
Vol 35
(7)
◽
pp. 15-21
2018 ◽
Vol 6
(7)
◽
pp. 916-919