scholarly journals Effective strategies for preventing reestablishment of malaria in areas with recent elimination and high transmission potential

2019 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jaline Gerardin ◽  
Caitlin A. Bever ◽  
Daniel Bridenbecker ◽  
Thomas P. Eisele ◽  
Busiku Hamainza ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Case Management ◽  
Vector Control ◽  
Malaria Elimination ◽  
Antimalarial Drugs ◽  
Intervention Programs ◽  
Insecticide Treated Nets ◽  
Outbreak Response ◽  
Transmission Potential ◽  
High Transmission ◽  
Use Of Resources

AbstractMaintaining zero transmission after malaria elimination will be a challenging task for many countries where malaria is still endemic. When local transmission potential is high, and importation of malaria infections continues from neighboring areas with ongoing transmission, malaria programs must develop robust surveillance and outbreak response systems. However, the requirements for such systems remain unclear. Using an agent-based, spatial microsimulation model of two areas in southern Zambia, where elimination efforts are currently underway, we compare the ability of various routine and reactive intervention packages to maintain near-zero prevalence in the face of continued importation. We find that in formerly moderate-transmission areas, high treatment rate of symptomatic malaria is sufficient to prevent reestablishment of malaria. Routine redistributions of insecticide-treated nets and reactive case detection with antimalarial drugs cannot completely compensate for inadequate case management. In formerly high-transmission areas, excellent case management and maintenance of good bednet coverage are both required to prevent resurgence, and outbreak response with antimalarial drugs or additional vector control is also necessary. These results begin to describe the essential criteria for operations that successfully prevent reestablishment of malaria post-elimination and highlight the need for both long-term, sustainable excellence in primary care and comprehensive surveillance that feeds into rapid and flexible outbreak response.Author SummaryThe global community is working toward malaria elimination, but some areas will eliminate before others. Eliminated areas will need to develop intervention programs capable of preventing imported infections from leading to reestablishment, a particular challenge when transmission was previously very high. Past experience has shown that stopping elimination interventions leads to massive resurgence, but it is unclear which interventions must be continued, which can be stopped to conserve resources, and what new interventions should be deployed. Using a simulation model built to capture malaria transmission and intervention history of two areas that recently made enormous progress toward elimination, we tested how well different intervention programs were able to prevent reestablishment of malaria. We found that treating as many symptomatic cases as possible was the single most important intervention to implement. In some contexts, this intervention alone was sufficient to prevent reestablishment. Other areas with historically higher transmission required maintaining vector control to contain mosquito populations. Localized outbreak response with antimalarial drugs or additional vector control was also necessary and predicted to be a highly efficient use of resources. These findings provide quantitative guidance for policy-makers considering how to stratify eliminated areas and plan new operational modes for the post-elimination era.

scholarly journals A model for malaria elimination based on learnings from the Malaria Elimination Demonstration Project, Mandla district, Madhya Pradesh

2021 ◽  
Vol 20 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Harsh Rajvanshi ◽  
Praveen K. Bharti ◽  
Sekh Nisar ◽  
Himanshu Jayswar ◽  
Ashok K. Mishra ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Case Management ◽  
Vector Control ◽  
Capacity Building ◽  
Malaria Elimination ◽  
Lessons Learned ◽  
Madhya Pradesh ◽  
Demonstration Project ◽  
Bed Nets ◽  
Field Staff ◽  
Pharmaceutical Industries

Abstract Background Malaria Elimination Demonstration Project (MEDP) was started as a Public-Private-Partnership between the Indian Council of Medical Research through National Institute of Research in Tribal Health, Govt. of Madhya Pradesh and Foundation of Disease Elimination and Control of India, which is a Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR) initiative of the Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Limited. The project’s goal was to demonstrate that malaria can be eliminated from a high malaria endemic district along with prevention of re-establishment of malaria and to develop a model for malaria elimination using the lessons learned and knowledge acquired from the demonstration project. Methods The project employed tested protocols of robust surveillance, case management, vector control, and capacity building through continuous evaluation and training.  The model was developed using the learnings from the operational plan, surveillance and case management, monitoring and feedback, entomological investigations and vector control, IEC and capacity building, supply chain management, mobile application (SOCH), and independent reviews of MEDP. Results The MEDP has been operational since April 2017 with field operations from August 2017, and has observed: (1) reduction in indigenous cases of malaria by about 91 %; (2) need for training and capacity building of field staff for diagnosis and treatment of malaria; (3) need for improvement insecticide spraying and for distribution and usage of bed-nets; (4) need for robust surveillance system that captures and documents information on febrile cases, RDT positive individuals, and treatments provided; (5) need for effective supervision of field staff based on advance tour plan; (6) accountability and controls from the highest level to field workers; and (7) need for context-specific IEC. Conclusions Malaria elimination is a high-priority public health goal of the Indian Government with a committed deadline of 2030. In order to achieve this goal, built-in systems of accountability, ownership, effective management, operational, technical, and financial controls will be crucial components for malaria elimination in India. This manuscript presents a model for malaria elimination with district as an operational unit, which may be considered for malaria elimination in India and other countries with similar geography, topography, climate, endemicity, health infrastructure, and socio-economic characteristics.

scholarly journals Significance of training, monitoring and assessment of malaria workers in achieving malaria elimination goal of Malaria Elimination Demonstration Project

2021 ◽  
Vol 20 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Harsh Rajvanshi ◽  
Sekh Nisar ◽  
Praveen K. Bharti ◽  
Himanshu Jayswar ◽  
Ashok K. Mishra ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Case Management ◽  
Vector Control ◽  
Malaria Elimination ◽  
Disease Surveillance ◽  
Training Session ◽  
Central India ◽  
Malaria Diagnosis ◽  
Demonstration Project ◽  
National Goal ◽  
Health Delivery

Abstract Background The Malaria Elimination Demonstration Project (MEDP) maintained a workforce of 235 Village Malaria Workers (VMWs) and 25 Malaria Field Coordinators (MFCs) to conduct disease surveillance, case management, IEC/BCC activities, capacity building, and monitoring of vector control activities in 1233 villages of Mandla, a high malaria endemic district of Madhya Pradesh in central India. Methods The induction training was conducted for 3 days on malaria diagnosis, treatment, prevention, and ethics. All trainings were assessed using a pre and post-training assessment questionnaire, with 70% marks as qualifying threshold. The questionnaire was divided into three thematic areas viz. general knowledge related to malaria (KAP), diagnosis and treatment (DXRX), and vector control (PVC). Results In 2017, the project trained 330 candidates, followed by 243 and 247 candidates in 2018 and 2019, respectively. 94.3% candidates passed after a single training session. Almost all (95%) candidates showed improvement in knowledge after the training with 4% showing no effect and 1% showing deterioration. Progressive improvement in scores of 2017 cohort was seen along with significant improvement in performance of candidates in 2019 after the introduction of systematic monitoring and ‘shadowing’ training exercises. Conclusion The project has successfully demonstrated the value of recruitment of workers from the study area, outcome of training, and performance evaluation of field staff in malaria elimination programme. This careful strategy of recruitment and training resulted in a work-force that was capable of independently conducting surveillance, case management, vector control, and Information Education Communication/Behaviour Change Communication (IEC/BCC). The learnings of this study, including the training modules and monitoring processes, can be used to train the health delivery staff for achieving national goal for malaria elimination by 2030. Similar training and monitoring programmes could also be used for other public health delivery programmes.

scholarly journals Study design and operational framework for a community-based Malaria Elimination Demonstration Project (MEDP) in 1233 villages of district Mandla, Madhya Pradesh

2020 ◽  
Vol 19 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Harsh Rajvanshi ◽  
Praveen K. Bharti ◽  
Sekh Nisar ◽  
Yashpal Jain ◽  
Himanshu Jayswar ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Case Management ◽  
Vector Control ◽  
Study Design ◽  
Malaria Elimination ◽  
Substantial Reduction ◽  
Management Control ◽  
Lessons Learned ◽  
Demonstration Project ◽  
The Past ◽  
Operational Plan

Abstract Background In the past decade substantial reduction in malaria morbidity and mortality has been observed through well-implemented case management and vector control strategies. India has also achieved a significant reduction in malaria burden in 2018 and has committed to eliminate malaria by 2030. The Mandla Malaria Elimination Demonstration Project (MEDP) was started in 2017 in 1233 villages of District Mandla to demonstrate malaria elimination in a tribal district with hard-to-reach areas was possible using active and passive surveillance, case management, vector control, and targeted information, education and communication campaigns. An operational plan was developed to strengthen the existing surveillance and malaria elimination systems, through fortnightly active case detection to ensure that all cases including those that are introduced into the communities are rapidly identified and treated promptly. The plan also focused on the reduction of human-mosquito contact through the use of Long-Lasting Insecticial Nets (LLINs) and Indoor Residual Spray (IRS). The operational plan was modified in view of the present COVID-19 pandemic by creating systems of assistance for the local administration for COVID-related work while ensuring the operational integrity of malaria elimination efforts. Results The use of MEDP study design and operational plan, with its built-in management control systems, has yielded significant (91%) reduction of indigenous cases of malaria during the period from June 2017 to May 2020. The malaria positivity rate was 0.33% in 2017–18, 0.13% in 2018–19, and 0.06% in 2019–20. Mass screening revealed 0.18% malaria positivity in September–October 2018, followed by 0.06% in June 2019, and 0.03% in December 2019, and these were mostly asymptomatic cases in the community. The project has been able to sustain the gains of the past three years during the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic. Conclusion This paper provides the study design and the operational plan for malaria elimination in a high-burden district of Central India, which presented difficulties of hard to reach areas, forest malaria, and complex epidemiology of urban and rural malaria. The lessons learned could be used for malaria elimination efforts in rest of the country and other parts of South Asia with comparable demography and epidemiology.

scholarly journals Resurgence of malaria infection after mass treatment: a simulation study

2019 ◽  
Vol 18 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Thomas A. Smith ◽  
Peter Pemberton-Ross ◽  
Melissa A. Penny ◽  
Nakul Chitnis
Keyword(s):  
Case Management ◽  
Vector Control ◽  
Initial Period ◽  
Treatment Strategies ◽  
Stable State ◽  
Control Measures ◽  
High Coverage ◽  
Effective Coverage ◽  
Transmission Potential ◽  
Test And Treat

Abstract Background Field studies are evaluating if mass drug administration (MDA) might shorten the time to elimination of Plasmodium falciparum malaria, when vector control measures and reactive surveillance strategies are scaled-up. A concern with this strategy is that there may be resurgence of transmission following MDA. Methods A conceptual model was developed to classify possible outcomes of an initial period of MDA, followed by continuously implementing other interventions. The classification considered whether elimination or a new endemic stable state is achieved, and whether changes are rapid, transient, or gradual. These categories were informed by stability analyses of simple models of vector control, case management, and test-and-treat interventions. Individual-based stochastic models of malaria transmission (OpenMalaria) were then used to estimate the probability and likely rates of resurgence in realistic settings. Effects of concurrent interventions, including routine case management and test-and-treat strategies were investigated. Results Analysis of the conceptual models suggest resurgence will occur after MDA unless transmission potential is very low, or the post-MDA prevalence falls below a threshold, which depends on both transmission potential and on the induction of bistability. Importation rates are important only when this threshold is very low. In most OpenMalaria simulations the approximately stable state achieved at the end of the simulations was independent of inclusion of MDA and the final state was unaffected by importation of infections at plausible rates. Elimination occurred only with high effective coverage of case management, low initial prevalence, and high intensity test-and-treat. High coverage of case management but not by test-and-treat induced bistability. Where resurgence occurred, its rate depended mainly on transmission potential (not treatment rates). Conclusions A short burst of high impact MDA is likely to be followed by resurgence. To avert resurgence, concomitant interventions need either to substantially reduce average transmission potential or to be differentially effective in averting or clearing infections at low prevalence. Case management at high effective coverage has this differential effect, and should suffice to avert resurgence caused by imported cases at plausible rates of importation. Once resurgence occurs, its rate depends mainly on transmission potential, not on treatment strategies.

scholarly journals Monitoring of the Village Malaria Workers to conduct activities of Malaria Elimination Demonstration Project in Mandla, Madhya Pradesh

2022 ◽  
Vol 21 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Harsh Rajvanshi ◽  
Praveen K. Bharti ◽  
Ravendra K. Sharma ◽  
Sekh Nisar ◽  
Kalyan B. Saha ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Case Management ◽  
Vector Control ◽  
Malaria Elimination ◽  
Urban Areas ◽  
Monitoring And Evaluation ◽  
Educational Status ◽  
Madhya Pradesh ◽  
Demonstration Project ◽  
Monitoring Tool ◽  
Field Workers

Abstract Background The capacity of the field staff to conduct activities related to disease surveillance, case management, and vector control has been one of the key components for successfully achieving malaria elimination. India has committed to eliminate malaria by 2030, and it has placed significance on monitoring and evaluation at the district level as one of the key strategies in its national framework. To support and guide the country’s malaria elimination objectives, the Malaria Elimination Demonstration Project was conducted in the tribal district of Mandla, Madhya Pradesh. Robust monitoring of human resources received special attention to help the national programme formulate a strategy to plug the gaps in its supply chain and monitoring and evaluation systems. Methods A monitoring tool was developed to test the capabilities of field workers to conduct activities related to malaria elimination work. Between November 2018 to February 2021, twenty-five Malaria Field Coordinators (MFCs) of the project utilized this tool everyday during the supervisory visits for their respective Village Malaria Workers (VMWs). The data was analysed and the scores were tested for variations against different blocks, educational status, duration of monitoring, and post-training scores. Results During the study period, the VMWs were monitored a total of 8974 times using the monitoring tool. Each VMW was supervised an average of 1.8 times each month. The critical monitoring indicators scored well in all seven quarters of the study as monitored by the MFCs. Monitoring by MFCs remained stable at 97.3% in all quarters. Contrary to expectations, the study observed longer diagnosis to treatment initiation time in urban areas of the district. Conclusion This study demonstrated the significance of a robust monitoring tool as an instrument to determine the capacity of the field workers in conducting surveillance, case management, and vector control related work for the malaria elimination programme. Similar tools can be replicated not only for malaria elimination, but other public health interventions as well.

scholarly journals Demonstration of indigenous malaria elimination through Track-Test-Treat-Track (T4) strategy in a Malaria Elimination Demonstration Project in Mandla, Madhya Pradesh

2020 ◽  
Vol 19 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Praveen K. Bharti ◽  
Harsh Rajvanshi ◽  
Sekh Nisar ◽  
Himanshu Jayswar ◽  
Kalyan B. Saha ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Case Management ◽  
Vector Control ◽  
Mass Screening ◽  
Malaria Elimination ◽  
District Hospital ◽  
Control Strategies ◽  
Control Measures ◽  
Community Based ◽  
Malaria Parasites ◽  
Prompt Treatment

Abstract Background Many malaria endemic countries are heading towards malaria elimination through the use of case management and vector control strategies, which employ surveillance, improving access to early diagnosis, prompt treatment., and integrated vector control measures. There is a consensus that elimination of malaria is feasible when rapid detection and prompt treatment is combined with mosquito-human contact interruption in an efficient and sustainable manner at community levels. This paper describes results of an integrated case management and vector control strategy for reducing malaria cases in 1233 villages over 3 years in district Mandla, Madhya Pradesh, India. Methods The project enrolled the entire population (1,143,126) of Mandla district for fever surveillance followed by testing of febrile cases and treatment of positive subjects using T4 strategy, which is Track (by fever), Test (by RDTs), Treat (by ACT) and Track (for completion of treatment). In addition to the active and passive surveillance for detection and treatment of febrile cases, the project conducted mass screening and treatment to clear the asymptomatic reservoirs of infection. Febrile cases were also tested in the out-patient department of the District Hospital from June 2018 to September, 2018 and in a community-based medical camp from November 7 to 14, 2019. The project also used vector control measures for interrupting human-mosquito contact, and information, education and communication (IEC) campaigns to increase demand for malaria services at community level. Results This project has revealed about 91% reduction of indigenous cases of malaria during the period from June 2017 to May 2020, through case management and vector control strategies. A total 357,143 febrile cases were screened, out of which 0.19% were found positive for the presence of malaria parasites, with Plasmodium falciparum and Plasmodium vivax ratio of 62:38. The prevalence of malaria was higher in individuals > 15 years of age (69% cases). The positivity rate was 0.33% in 2017–18, 0.13% in 2018–19, and 0.06% in 2019–20. In all of the 3 years of the project, the peak transmission correlated with rains. Mass screening revealed 0.18% positivity in Sep-Oct 2018, followed by 0.06% in June 2019, and 0.03% in December 2019, and these were mostly asymptomatic cases in the community. Imported cases into the district were mostly contributed by the distant state of Telangana (51.13%). Fever patients tested for malaria parasites in the District Hospital and medical camp revealed zero cases. Conclusion Using the current intervention and prevention tools along with optimum utilization of human resources, a 91% reduction in indigenous cases of malaria was seen in the district in 3 years. The reduction was similar in the three high prevalence blocks of the district. These results reveal that malaria elimination is achievable in India within a stipulated time frame. The reduction of malaria at the community level was further validated when zero malaria cases were diagnosed during hospital and community-based studies in Mandla. Prompt detection and treatment of imported/migratory cases may have prevented outbreaks in the district. This project has demonstrated that field programmes backed by adequate technical, management, operational, and financial controls with robust monitoring are needed for achieving malaria elimination.

scholarly journals The decline of malaria in Vietnam, 1991-2014

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sandra M Goldlust ◽  
Phung Duc Thuan ◽  
Dang Duy Hoang Giang ◽  
Ngo Duc Thang ◽  
Guy E Thwaites ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Case Management ◽  
Vector Control ◽  
Malaria Control ◽  
Malaria Incidence ◽  
Population Level ◽  
Control Measures ◽  
Central Component ◽  
Annual Data ◽  
Combination Therapies ◽  
Insecticide Treated Nets

AbstractA central component of malaria control initiatives throughout the world is the use of artemisinin-based combination therapies (ACTs) for treatment of uncomplicated P. falciparium malaria. Despite the well-documented clinical efficacy of ACTs, the population-level effects of ACT case management on malaria transmission have not been studied thoroughly until recently. An ideal case study for the population-level effects of artemisinin use can be found in Vietnam, where a major increase of malaria cases in the 1980s was followed by the gradual adoption of artemisinin-based clinical case management. We assembled annual data from Vietnam’s National Institutes for Malariology, Parasitology, and Entomology showing the degree to which artemisinin therapies were adopted in different provinces, the effort placed on vector control, and the funding available to provincial malaria control programs, from 1991 to 2014. Data on urbanization were also collected for this period. We found that a 10% increase in the artemisinin proportion of treatments procured by a provincial control program corresponded to a 32.8% (95% CI: 27.7 – 37.5%) decline in estimated malaria cases; the association persisted and the effect size was nearly unchanged if confirmed cases or suspected cases were used. There was no consistent effect of vector control on malaria cases in Vietnam as a whole, nor was any effect found when the data were broken up regionally. The association between urbanization and malaria was generally negative and sometimes statistically significant. This was most pronounced in the central region of Vietnam, where a 10% increase in urbanization corresponded to a 43.3% (95% CI: 21.6 – 58.9%) decrease in suspected malaria incidence; this association was not statistically significant if confirmed cases or estimated cases were used. The decline of malaria in Vietnam from 1991 to 2014 can largely be attributed to the rapid adoption of artemisinin-based drugs. Recent analyses of aggregated data from Africa have shown that insecticide-treated nets have had the greatest effect on lowering malaria prevalence over the past fifteen years, suggesting that the success of different types of malaria interventions is region specific. Continuing global efforts on malaria elimination should focus on both vector control measures and increased access to artemisinin-combination therapies.

scholarly journals Civilian-military malaria outbreak response in Thailand: an example of multi-stakeholder engagement for malaria elimination

2021 ◽  
Vol 20 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Michelle E. Roh ◽  
Kanyarat Lausatianragit ◽  
Nithinart Chaitaveep ◽  
Krisada Jongsakul ◽  
Prayuth Sudathip ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Public Health ◽  
Vector Control ◽  
Malaria Elimination ◽  
Scale Up ◽  
Surveillance Data ◽  
Epidemic Threshold ◽  
Outbreak Response ◽  
Malaria Surveillance ◽  
Rubber Tappers ◽  
Malaria Outbreak

Abstract Background In April 2017, the Thai Ministry of Public Health (MoPH) was alerted to a potential malaria outbreak among civilians and military personnel in Sisaket Province, a highly forested area bordering Cambodia. The objective of this study was to present findings from the joint civilian-military outbreak response. Methods A mixed-methods approach was used to assess risk factors among cases reported during the 2017 Sisaket malaria outbreak. Routine malaria surveillance data from January 2013 to March 2018 obtained from public and military medical reporting systems and key informant interviews (KIIs) (n = 72) were used to develop hypotheses about potential factors contributing to the outbreak. Joint civilian-military response activities included entomological surveys, mass screen and treat (MSAT) and vector control campaigns, and scale-up of the “1–3–7” reactive case detection approach among civilians alongside a pilot “1–3–7” study conducted by the Royal Thai Army (RTA). Results Between May–July 2017, the monthly number of MoPH-reported cases surpassed the epidemic threshold. Outbreak cases detected through the MoPH mainly consisted of Thai males (87%), working as rubber tappers (62%) or military/border police (15%), and Plasmodium vivax infections (73%). Compared to cases from the previous year (May–July 2016), outbreak cases were more likely to be rubber tappers (OR = 14.89 [95% CI: 5.79–38.29]; p < 0.001) and infected with P. vivax (OR=2.32 [1.27–4.22]; p = 0.006). Themes from KIIs were congruent with findings from routine surveillance data. Though limited risk factor information was available from military cases, findings from RTA’s “1–3–7” study indicated transmission was likely occurring outside military bases. Data from entomological surveys and MSAT campaigns support this hypothesis, as vectors were mostly exophagic and parasite prevalence from MSAT campaigns was very low (range: 0-0.7% by PCR/microscopy). Conclusions In 2017, an outbreak of mainly P. vivax occurred in Sisaket Province, affecting mainly military and rubber tappers. Vector control use was limited to the home/military barracks, indicating that additional interventions were needed during high-risk forest travel periods. Importantly, this outbreak catalyzed joint civilian-military collaborations and integration of the RTA into the national malaria elimination strategy (NMES). The Sisaket outbreak response serves as an example of how civilian and military public health systems can collaborate to advance national malaria elimination goals in Southeast Asia and beyond.

scholarly journals Population replacement gene drive characteristics for malaria elimination in a range of seasonal transmission settings: a modeling study

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shirley Leung ◽  
Nikolai Windbichler ◽  
Edward Wenger ◽  
Caitlin Bever ◽  
Prashanth Selvaraj
Keyword(s):  
Vector Control ◽  
Malaria Transmission ◽  
Sub Saharan Africa ◽  
Gene Drive ◽  
Insecticide Treated Nets ◽  
Population Replacement ◽  
Transmission Blocking ◽  
High Transmission ◽  
Spatially Resolved ◽  
Sub Saharan

Genetically engineering mosquitoes is a promising new vector control strategy to reinvigorate the fight against malaria in Sub-Saharan Africa. Using an agent-based model of malaria transmission with vector genetics, we examine the impacts of releasing population-replacement gene drive mosquitoes on malaria transmission and quantify the gene drive system parameters required to achieve local elimination within a spatially-resolved, seasonal Sahelian setting. We evaluate the performance of two different gene drive systems: "classic" and "integral". Various transmission regimes (low, moderate, and high - corresponding to annual entomological inoculation rates of 10, 30, and 80 infectious bites per person) and other simultaneous interventions, including deployment of insecticide-treated nets (ITNs) and passive healthcare seeking, are also simulated. Local elimination probabilities decreased with pre-existing population target site resistance frequency, increased with transmission-blocking effectiveness of the introduced antiparasitic gene and drive efficiency, and were context dependent with respect to fitness costs associated with the introduced gene. Of the four parameters, transmission-blocking effectiveness may be the most important to focus on for improvements to future gene drive strains because a single release of classic gene drive mosquitoes is likely to locally eliminate malaria in low to moderate transmission settings only when transmission-blocking effectiveness is very high (above approximately 80-90‰). However, simultaneously deploying ITNs and releasing integral rather than classic gene drive mosquitoes significantly boosts elimination probabilities, such that elimination remains highly likely in low to moderate transmission regimes down to transmission-blocking effectiveness values as low as approximately 50‰ and in high transmission regimes with transmission-blocking effectiveness values above approximately 80-90‰. Thus, a single release of currently achievable population replacement gene drive mosquitoes, in combination with traditional forms of vector control, can likely locally eliminate malaria in low to moderate transmission regimes within the Sahel. In a high transmission regime, higher levels of transmission-blocking effectiveness than are currently available may be required.

scholarly journals Effectiveness of a national mass distribution campaign of long-lasting insecticide-treated nets and indoor residual spraying on clinical malaria in Malawi, 2018–2020

2021 ◽  
Vol 6 (5) ◽  
pp. e005447
Author(s):  
Hillary M Topazian ◽  
Austin Gumbo ◽  
Katerina Brandt ◽  
Michael Kayange ◽  
Jennifer S Smith ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Mass Distribution ◽  
Indoor Residual Spraying ◽  
Malaria Risk ◽  
Bed Nets ◽  
Insecticide Treated Nets ◽  
District Health ◽  
High Transmission ◽  
Limited Effectiveness ◽  
Mass Distribution Campaign ◽  
Distribution Campaign

IntroductionMalawi’s malaria burden is primarily assessed via cross-sectional national household surveys. However, malaria is spatially and temporally heterogenous and no analyses have been performed at a subdistrict level throughout the course of a year. The WHO recommends mass distribution of long-lasting insecticide-treated bed nets (LLINs) every 3 years, but a national longitudinal evaluation has never been conducted in Malawi to determine LLIN effectiveness lifespans.MethodsUsing District Health Information Software 2 (DHIS2) health facility data, available from January 2018 to June 2020, we assessed malaria risk before and after a mass distribution campaign, stratifying by age group and comparing risk differences (RDs) by LLIN type or annual application of indoor residual spraying (IRS).Results711 health facilities contributed 20 962 facility reports over 30 months. After national distribution of 10.7 million LLINs and IRS in limited settings, malaria risk decreased from 25.6 to 16.7 cases per 100 people from 2018 to 2019 high transmission seasons, and rebounded to 23.2 in 2020, resulting in significant RDs of −8.9 in 2019 and −2.4 in 2020 as compared with 2018. Piperonyl butoxide (PBO)-treated LLINs were more effective than pyrethroid-treated LLINs, with adjusted RDs of −2.3 (95% CI −2.7 to −1.9) and −1.5 (95% CI −2.0 to −1.0) comparing 2019 and 2020 high transmission seasons to 2018. Use of IRS sustained protection with adjusted RDs of −1.4 (95% CI −2.0 to −0.9) and −2.8% (95% CI −3.5 to −2.2) relative to pyrethroid-treated LLINs. Overall, 12 of 28 districts (42.9%) experienced increases in malaria risk in from 2018 to 2020.ConclusionLLINs in Malawi have a limited effectiveness lifespan and IRS and PBO-treated LLINs perform better than pyrethroid-treated LLINs, perhaps due to net repurposing and insecticide-resistance. DHIS2 provides a compelling framework in which to examine localised malaria trends and evaluate ongoing interventions.

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