Unsuccessful judicial review: London Metal Exchange disciplinary action R v The London Metal Exchange Limited ex parte Albatros Warehousing BV

2001 ◽  
Vol 9 (2) ◽  
pp. 171-180
Author(s):  
Joanna Gray
Risks ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (5) ◽  
pp. 93
Author(s):  
Byungkwon Lim ◽  
Hyeon Sook Kim ◽  
Jaehwan Park

Forecasting of LME (London Metal Exchange) nickel prices remains an interesting topic but lacks consensus. This study aims to fill knowledge gaps by demonstrating the announcement effect of export bans by the Indonesian government. This article focuses on Indonesia because Indonesia produces more than 60% of global nickel ore. We identified the sequence of two episodes in which Indonesian export bans of nickel ore appeared to increase LME nickel prices through the Romer and Romer (1989) approach. The impact of the Indonesian export ban in 2014 is somewhat larger than that of 2019. The shock on the LME nickel market in 2014 was sustained for a while after the ban was implemented. We believe that this is the first export ban that has had unexpected effects within the market.


1988 ◽  
Vol 14 (3) ◽  
pp. 180-182 ◽  
Author(s):  
C. Paul Hallwood

Subject Zinc market Significance The zinc price rose by more than 50% last year -- the best performance of all base metals traded on the London Metal Exchange (LME). After approaching a ten-year high of 2,900 dollars per tonne in November, the price remains sharply higher than its low of 1,500 a year ago. Mine closures in Australia and Ireland removed 1.1 million tonnes of zinc from the market, limiting the increase in output last year to an estimated 0.5%. In contrast, demand rose strongly, led by Chinese infrastructure spending, which accounts for around one-quarter of zinc demand. The 2016 deficit was estimated at 400,000-600,000 tonnes, the fifth year of shortfalls. Impacts Northern Chinese smelters are increasingly turning to North Korea for zinc concentrate, making the country China's third-largest supplier. Namibia's Skorpion mine may close two years earlier than forecast, removing an estimated 140,000 tonnes of refined metal from the market. South Africa's Gamsberg mine, one of the world's largest undeveloped zinc deposits, is due to begin production in 2018. Rising prices are attracting more buyers for the mines that Belgium-based producer Nyrstar has for sale under its restructuring programme.


Subject Nickel market tests unprecedented lows. Significance The price of nickel, viewed initially as a favourite metal for 2015, has fallen 40.5% overall last year, making it the worst-performing of the London Metal Exchange (LME)'s six base metals. At current levels, as much as 60% of the global production base is unprofitable and, if commercial rationale were to prevail, a significant part of this overcapacity should be closed. Instead, the supply response has been slow, boosting inventories. Impacts Low nickel prices will bolster the market share of austenitic stainless steel to the detriment of low-nickel alternatives. Lianyungang, China's leading port for nickel ore, will not be able to replace Indonesian volumes with imports from the Philippines. The uptick in merchant premia charged above the LME price in the European and US markets points to near-term stabilisation.


Subject The copper market. Significance The copper price has picked up by nearly 9% this year after weakening unexpectedly through 2018, losing 17.5%. Unusually, the slide was accompanied by metal inventories dropping steadily on the London Metal Exchange, Comex and Shanghai Metals Exchange. Stocks peaked at 900 kilotonnes (kt) in March 2018 before plummeting by 65% to start the year at the lowest since 2014. This rare combination of falling inventories and weakening prices has yet to find a viable explanation. Impacts Zambian import duties on concentrate has prompted 366 kt of capacity to be shutdown, reducing supply on the market. Boosting the outlook for US output, the US Environmental Protection Agency has approved Hudbay’s 112-kt-per-year Rosemont mine in Arizona. Chilean miner Codelco is spending 4.9 billion dollars to mine underground at Chuquicamata, aiming to extend operations by 40 years. Indonesia, the ninth largest copper producer, is to redirect output towards local smelters; it has cut annual export quotas by 25-75%.


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