US vice-presidential picks illustrate party tensions

Subject US presidential candidates' vice-presidential picks. Significance Although the political power of the vice-president (VP) has varied significantly in each administration, presidential candidates select running mates whom they believe will enhance the appeal of their tickets to undecided voters in the electorate or to shore up support from party constituencies after the primaries. To this end, Republican candidate Donald Trump chose Indiana Governor Mike Pence as a running mate and Democrat Hillary Clinton chose Virginia Senator Tim Kaine. Impacts Republicans' postures towards Trump's 2016 presidential campaign are likely to form a divisive party fault line in future election cycles. Clinton and Kaine's pro-trade tendencies will face significant public and congressional restrictions on advancing new agreements. Progressive Democrats are likely to have greater political clout as part of a Senate majority than in the Clinton White House.

Significance The APPA would place scrutiny mechanisms around the president’s pardon power. The bills have been introduced because their sponsors fear President Donald Trump and his White House -- which directly or indirectly face investigations relating to whether his presidential campaign colluded with Russia -- have something to ‘cover up’ and are readying to use the pardon powers to ‘silence’ witnesses and ‘protect’ people. Yet the president and White House deny any wrongdoing -- and thus any need or any plans to wield the pardon power in this way. Impacts States may amend their laws to give their judiciaries more prosecutorial powers over federal pardon recipients. Congress might lack the votes to overturn a presidential veto of any pardon-related law. Trump will likely use his clemency powers to support his policy goals, such as immigration control. Greater sensitivity over clemency could hinder the president from legitimately exercising his clemency powers.


Significance President Donald Trump nominated Gorsuch to fill the Supreme Court seat left vacant by Justice Antonin Scalia’s death last year. Congressional Republicans blocked former President Barack Obama’s nominee to fill the vacancy, Judge Merrick Garland, enabling Trump to name a conservative justice to set the balance of the Court after winning the presidential election. At least one Democratic senator has threatened to block Gorsuch’s appointment via upper house procedure. Impacts Future Democratic presidential candidates from the current Senate may suffer in primaries if they allow Gorsuch’s appointment. Gorsuch will help the White House and Congress severely cut back federal regulatory powers. Congressional Republicans are more likely to defy Trump on personnel and policy as his personal influence wanes ahead of the 2020 elections.


Subject Mounting questions over Fed independence. Significance President Donald Trump has again publicly criticised the Federal Reserve (Fed) for raising its benchmark interest rate. In July, he first violated White House protocol, of refraining from commenting on monetary policy. Although the White House press secretary immediately assured the public that the president respected and recognised Fed independence, Trump's criticism escalated in September, after the Fed raised the benchmark rate for a third time this year to 2.0-2.25% and signalled plans for a fourth increase in December. Trump described the Fed as "crazy", "wild" and "ridiculous", and making "a big mistake". Impacts Almost half of Republicans view the FBI poorly after Trump's criticism; confidence in the Fed may also suffer. Trump's attacks on Fed policy are likely to grow as the presidential election draws nearer, particularly if economic growth slows. More than 50% of Hillary Clinton voters but fewer than 33% of Trump voters believe the Fed aids economic stability; the gap may widen.


Subject The Bahrain conference on Palestinian economic development. Significance On June 25-26, the United States sponsored a workshop in Bahrain to present a vision of economic development for the Palestinians in the event of a peace deal with Israel. The stated aim was to garner interest from regional states and international investors and financial institutions, which the White House hopes will bankroll a prospective development programme. The workshop comes within the broader context of US moves -- led by Jared Kushner, senior adviser to President Donald Trump -- to resolve the Israeli-Palestinian conflict, the political dimension of which has yet to be revealed. The Bahrain gathering ended with no concrete outcomes or policy announcements. Impacts The rollout of the political agenda may be delayed until the end of the year. The international community will not support any deal that does not adhere to the two-state solution framework. The workshop's being held in Bahrain could facilitate engagement between Israel and the Gulf states.


Significance However, the House recessed in March before voting on the Senate stopgap, thus allowing the provisions to lapse. Limits on intelligence-gathering were relaxed after September 2001 and President Donald Trump claims he was a victim of the system during the 2016 presidential campaign. Amid partisan dispute, Congress has been unable to overhaul the FISA framework in a way acceptable to the White House. Impacts Under FISA, the lapsed provisions remain in effect for intelligence probes active on or before March 15. New investigations into events that occurred before March 15 are also possible under FISA. A House bill that includes some limited civil liberties protections for FISA cases is in limbo.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Joanna Grzymala-Moszczynska ◽  
Katarzyna Jasko ◽  
Marta Maj ◽  
Marta Szastok ◽  
Arie W. Kruglanski

In three studies conducted over the course of 2016 US presidential campaign we examined the relationship between radicalism of a political candidate and willingness to engage in actions for that candidate. Drawing on significance quest theory (Kruglanski et al., 2018), we predicted that people would be more willing to make large sacrifices for radical (vs. moderate) candidates because the cause of radical candidates would be more personally important and engagement on behalf it would be more psychologically rewarding. We tested these predictions among supporters of Hillary Clinton, Donald Trump, and Bernie Sanders. Our findings were in line with these predictions, as the more followers perceived their candidates as radical, the more they viewed leaders’ ideas as personally important, gained more personal significance from those ideas, and intended to sacrifice more for the leader.


2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Katarzyna Jasko ◽  
Joanna Grzymala-Moszczynska ◽  
Marta Maj ◽  
Marta Szastok ◽  
Arie W. Kruglanski

Reactions of losers and winners of political elections have important consequences for the political system during the times of power transition. In four studies conducted immediately before and after the 2016 US presidential elections we investigated how personal significance induced by success or failure of one’s candidate is related to hostile vs. benevolent intentions toward political adversaries. We found that the less significant supporters of Hillary Clinton and supporters of Donald Trump felt after an imagined (Study 1A) or actual (Study 2) electoral failure the more they were willing to engage in peaceful actions against the elected president and the less they were willing to accept the results of the elections. However, while significance gain due to an imagined or actual electoral success was related to more benevolent intentions among Clinton supporters (Study 1B), it was related to more hostile intentions among Trump supporters (Studies 1B, 2, and 3).


2018 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 97-113
Author(s):  
Misyi Gusthini ◽  
Cece Sobarna ◽  
Rosaria Mita Amalia

This research was aimed at analyzing the speeches of Donald Trump and of Hillary Clinton in the USA Presidential candidates’ debates as instruments of power. The data is a presidential final debate video of Trump and Clinton made in September 2016 which has been converted into a transcript. The data analyzing technique is divided into three steps: 1) describing the context, 2) analyzing the illocutionary acts, and 3) analyzing the power dimensions. The results of this research show that the speakers use the speech act as an instrument of power with classifications of representative, commissive and expressive. In this regard, the researchers found that the speakers demonstrated their power to try to convince the voters in their society to trust them to be the president. The research results also showed that the usage of speech in debate as an instrument of power can influence the voters especially on Election Day.


2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Caroline Lego Munoz ◽  
Terri Towner

PurposeThis paper aims to examine how exposure to a presidential candidate's high engagement Instagram images influences a citizen's candidate evaluations.Design/methodology/approachData were collected via Amazon MTurk. A 3 × 2 experimental design was employed to test the persuasive effect of exposure of the “most liked” and “most commented on” images of the top four 2016 US presidential primary candidates on a US citizen's candidate evaluation.FindingsResults reveal that highly engaging Instagram images of unfamiliar presidential candidates positively influenced candidate evaluations. However, the same was not true for more well-known presidential candidates.Research limitations/implicationsThis study was not conducted during a live campaign and only examined four of the top 2016 presidential primary candidates.Practical implicationsThe research includes implications for marketers seeking to increase engagement and reach in Instagram marketing campaigns. This study shows that even brief exposure to a highly engaged post involving an unfamiliar person/product on social media can significantly alter evaluations of that person or product.Originality/valueTo the authors' knowledge, no experimental designs have addressed how Instagram posts influence users' political attitudes and behaviors within the political marketing and communications literature.


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