France’s regional results intensify presidential race

2021 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Presidential Election ◽  
Republican Party ◽  
Social Unrest ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Pension Reforms

Significance Neither Macron’s La Republique en Marche (LREM) nor Le Pen’s National Rally (RN) managed to win any of the country’s 13 regions. The main winner was the centre-right Republican Party (LR), to the extent that it hopes to overhaul Macron in the first round of next year’s presidential election. Impacts If internal party pressure forces Le Pen to adopt a more hard-line stance, she risks alienating centre-right voters. Electoral considerations will make Macron wary of imposing future COVID-19-related restrictions. While pursuing pension reforms prior to 2022 could improve Macron’s reformist credentials, it risks provoking more social unrest.

Prospects for US politics in 2016

2015 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Presidential Election ◽  
Republican Party ◽  
Tea Party ◽  
Content Type

Subject Prospects for US politics in 2016 Significance Washington will be fixated on the presidential election in 2016, but the final year of President Barack Obama's term will see a flurry of activity, as the outgoing president seeks to bolster his legacy with policy achievements. While little legislation will pass Congress, there could be significant developments on climate change, infrastructure and the power of the 'Tea Party' wing of the Republican Party.

France’s Macron faces tough choices on pension reform

2020 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Pension Reform ◽  
Economic Recovery ◽  
Left Wing ◽  
Social Unrest ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Pension Reforms ◽  
Key Factor

Subject French pension reforms. Significance President Emmanuel Macron’s controversial pension reform plans came to a halt in March. In the midst of the COVID-19 pandemic, Macron now has a crucial decision to make: to deliver on a key 2017 election pledge and prove that he is a reforming president, or focus everything on tackling the pandemic and rebuilding France’s society and economy ahead of the 2022 elections. Impacts Failure to recover quickly from the pandemic could well trigger anti-government protests and social unrest. A strong economic recovery is now the key factor determining Macron’s re-election chances. The defection of seven En Marche deputies weakens Macron in the legislature and creates pressure to adopt more left-wing policies.

Second COVID wave could stall Macron’s relaunch

2020 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Presidential Election ◽  
Economic Downturn ◽  
Social Unrest ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Government Communication ◽  
Deficit Reduction

Significance However, the second lockdown in October and November, coupled with persistent uncertainty about the pandemic’s trajectory, threatens to undermine the effectiveness of Relaunching France ahead of the 2022 presidential election. Impacts A bleak employment picture would seriously affect Macron’s re-election prospects. Debt and deficit reduction will likely not be reprioritised this side of the 2022 presidential election. Effective and consistent government communication over the COVID-19 vaccine is essential in order to encourage sufficient uptake. A prolonged economic downturn could reignite the Yellow Vest movement and trigger social unrest.

META-ANALYSIS ON AMERICAN PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION - 2016 AND AMERICAN STOCK MARKET

2020 ◽  
Vol 38 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Farhan Ahmed ◽  
Salman Bahoo ◽  
Sohail Aslam ◽  
Muhammad Asif Qureshi
Keyword(s):  
Content Analysis ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Event Study ◽  
Presidential Election ◽  
Republican Party ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Meta Analysis ◽  
Composite Index ◽  
Stock Index ◽  
Political Event

This paper aims to analyze the efficient stock market hypothesis as responsive to American Presidential Election, 2016. The meta-analysis has been done combining content analysis and event study methodology. The all major newspapers, news channels, public polls, literature and five important indices as Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA), NASDAQ Stock Market Composit Indexe (NASDAQ-COMP), Standard & Poor's 500 Index (SPX-500), New York Stock Exchange Composite Index (NYSE-COMP) and Other U.S Indexes-Russell 2000 (RUT-2000) are critically examined and empirically analyzed. The findings from content analysis reflect that stunned winning of Mr Trump from Republican Party worked as shock for American stock market. From event study, findings confirmed that all the major indices reflected a decline on winning of Trump and losing of Ms. Clinton from Democratic. The results are supported empirically and practically through the political event like BREXIT that resulted in shock to Global stock index and loss of $2 Trillion.

Tunisia's risk of default will rise

2021 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Informal Economy ◽  
Health Crisis ◽  
Social Unrest ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The Social

Significance The social unrest is partly the result of rising unemployment and poverty, worsened by the COVID-19 crisis. Political gridlock has also prevented the country from undertaking difficult reforms. Impacts Unemployment is likely to stay high, and until the informal economy can resume it will remain a cause of unrest. The release of multiple vaccines should lift some pressure from the health crisis before the end of 2021. The presidency and parliament need to solve the current gridlock in order to implement reforms in due course.

scholarly journals A turbulent time: government sources post-2016 presidential election

2019 ◽  
Vol 48 (1) ◽  
pp. 129-142
Author(s):  
Alicia Kubas
Keyword(s):  
Presidential Election ◽  
Point Of View ◽  
Academic Librarians ◽  
The Political ◽  
Government Information ◽  
Political Climate ◽  
Content Type ◽  
2016 Election ◽  
Democrats And Republicans ◽  
Depth Interviews

Purpose Since the 2016 presidential election, hyper-partisanship has become a regular facet of the political landscape with Democrats and Republicans in increasing conflict. The purpose of this paper is to determine if perception of government sources related to trust and credibility has changed since the 2016 election and if the experiences and strategies of librarians who teach or consult about government information has changed in response to this environment. Design/methodology/approach A 24-question survey was distributed to garner qualitative and quantitative responses from librarians who teach or consult about government information in an academic environment. A total of 122 responses were used for analysis. Findings Academic librarians are seeing more concern from patrons about disappearing online government information and wider distrust of government information. Librarians also noticed that the political leanings of students color their perspective around government sources and that librarians also need to keep their political beliefs in check. Respondents emphasized a need for more government literacy and information literacy topics when discussing evaluation of government sources. Research limitations/implications The data collection only included responses from academic librarians. Further research could include in-depth interviews and look at experiences in various library types. Originality/value With the timeliness of this topic, there has not been an in-depth investigation into how the Trump administration has changed user trust and perception of government sources from the librarian’s point of view. This paper continues the conversation about how librarians can address the growing distrust of government information and give us insight into the effects of a turbulent political climate on government sources.

France’s Macron seeks to relaunch economic reforms

2021 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Government Spending ◽  
Social Care ◽  
Youth Unemployment ◽  
Economic Reforms ◽  
Fiscal Rules ◽  
Left Wing ◽  
Social Unrest ◽  
Content Type ◽  
The Government ◽  
Mandatory Vaccination

Significance Among those policies are measures targeted at youth unemployment and social care for older people, aimed at attracting left-wing support. Most importantly, Macron has committed to relaunching his controversial pension reforms, which triggered widespread social unrest in late 2019 and early 2020. Impacts Mandatory vaccination could trigger protests and legal action against the government. The centre-right Republicans could take support from Macron if they unite around a strong presidential candidate over the coming months. Macron will likely push for looser EU fiscal rules to facilitate more government spending beyond 2022.

Ohio primary results will help shape party agendas

2021 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
Presidential Election ◽  
Electoral College ◽  
Political Environment ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Rightward Shift

Significance Both elections reflected deepening splits within the two parties. The Democratic primary pitched the party’s establishment against its progressive wing, while the Republican race was a test of the weight carried by former President Donald Trump’s endorsement. Ohio’s political environment also makes the two results significant. Impacts Failure to win Trump’s endorsement will not stop other Republicans from running on local issues in upcoming primaries. Ohio’s 18 votes in the Electoral College will make it an important battleground again in the 2024 presidential election. Despite the state’s rightward shift in 2016 and 2020, Democrats are likely to contest it fiercely in both 2022 and 2024.

Dutch violence is a warning to other EU countries

2021 ◽  
Keyword(s):  
The Netherlands ◽  
Social Unrest ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Eu Countries

Headline THE NETHERLANDS: Social unrest is warning for others

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