Trudeau begins his third term with continuity

Significance The Liberal government of Prime Minister Justin Trudeau is beginning its third term with an emphasis on post-pandemic issues. While there was little new in the speech, which mostly signalled a continuation of existing policies, more action is likely on environmental and Indigenous reconciliation issues. Impacts New legislation will underpin the equality of the French language with English in federally regulated workplaces. Reform of the Broadcasting Act to cover online streaming services will require them to generate more Canadian content. Substantial increases in the foreign aid budget are likely, as are new diplomatic efforts in the Indo-Pacific region. Promises of renewed investment in defence are likely to be downgraded given the emphasis on social spending.

Subject 'Competitive federalism'. Significance Since Prime Minister Narendra Modi took office in May 2014, India's drive for economic development has placed renewed emphasis on 'competitive federalism' in which the states, rather than the federal centre, play the leading roles. Yet not all states have an equal capacity for self-development. There are risks that growth will become more skewed and social inequalities deepen. Impacts Growth driven by non-industrial sectors is essential for some states, but out of favour with the centre. Institutional protections on social spending are being eroded, despite vast demographic needs -- and risks. Regional growth -- and deprivation -- may come to hinge increasingly on state-level political leadership with declining central mediation.


Subject Online streaming. Significance US media firms CBS and Viacom announced their merger yesterday, having split in 2006; this will create a 30-billion-dollar entity and economies of scale that will help the firm compete in online streaming. The UK telecoms regulator Ofcom’s annual media review on August 7 shows that 40% of viewers now watch TV and film largely through online video. Indeed, streaming on online platforms such as Twitch is becoming more popular than conventional media forms, and UK subscriptions to streaming services overtook subscriptions to traditional TV services for the first time last year. Impacts Competition will intensify -- AT&T, Comcast, Disney and Apple are starting streaming services to compete with Amazon, CBS, Hulu and Netflix. Online streaming has vast potential beyond the media, for example in training in sectors such as medicine, and in workplaces more broadly. Insufficient regulation of appropriate online content and advertising risks creating obstacles that may curb the rise of streaming. Methods will improve to monitor and punish illegal streaming, but cybersecurity will still struggle to keep pace. The EU General Data Protection Regulation is causing reports of data breaches to rise, risking reduced user faith in online platforms.


Significance Prime Minister Stephen Harper has resigned as leader of the Conservatives after his party took second place with 99 seats. The election results restore a degree of political stability by producing the second successive majority government in Canada, following the shaky minority Harper governments between 2004 and 2011. Impacts A Liberal government will likely boost infrastructure spending and tax high-wage earners. Trudeau may bring a more activist approach to the Paris climate talks, improving the chances of an international agreement. Harper's departure will likely see a moderation of Canada's support for Israel and a greater focus on multilateralism abroad.


Significance Meanwhile, China continues to pressure Canada to release detained Huawei executive Meng Wangzhou. Prime Minister Justin Trudeau’s Liberal government has yet to decide whether to allow Huawei to build Canada’s 5G network. Impacts Canadian exports to China will suffer further as Beijing takes additional retaliatory measures. Trade overtures to China are dead for now; the economy will remain oriented towards US, European and Trans-Pacific Partnership countries. Ericsson and Nokia are well-placed to solidify their position in the Canadian as well as other Western markets.


Significance The timing of the release just days after an inconclusive election in Canada appears coincidental but, with campaigning now over, the newly returned Liberal government under Prime Minister Justin Trudeau is preparing to re-evaluate its relationship with China. Impacts China will draw the conclusion that strongarm tactics, including arbitrary detention of Canadian citizens, will work against Ottawa. There is a risk that distrust of the Beijing government may spill over into abuse of Canada’s Chinese diaspora. The Biden administration will remind Trudeau of the favour done by not requiring Canada to hand Meng over to US authorities.


Significance Spending on the Canadian Armed Forces (CAF) rose in the 2021 budget despite fears that Prime Minister Justin Trudeau's government would scale back military expenditure to fund pandemic-related social spending. Neither recent scandals nor the forthcoming general election are likely to imperil the CAF’s positive budgetary outlook. Impacts Canada is spending CAD163mn on a five-year project that will modernise the NORAD air defence system. The Arctic continues to be a central defence concern and Ottawa is upgrading facilities there. Confidence in a sustained level of military spending should benefit Canadian defence companies as they seek foreign contracts.


Subject Russia's rescue plan for the economy. Significance Russian Prime Minister Dmitry Medvedev announced on March 1 that his government had approved a Plan of Action for the Economy for 2016. The document, more generally known as the 'anti-crisis plan', is modest in ambition and officials say spending will be carefully itemised. Even so, funding for nearly a quarter of the expected costs has not been secured. The 2016 plan follows an equivalent document last year, although such emergency actions are not meant to be regular. Impacts Social spending will be protected at least until the September parliamentary elections are over. Even if partial privatisations take place, these revenues alone will not hold the budget deficit to 3%. Think-tanks and lobbyists will articulate policy differences that ministers express only in private.


Subject Outlook for the Dutch government. Significance The popularity of Prime Minister Mark Rutte’s four-party government has decreased in recent months amid workers’ protests and controversy over parts of its new climate deal. Having lost its majority in both houses, the government will struggle to pass legislation in order to strengthen its track record ahead of the 2021 election unless it compromises with the opposition, which will likely alienate core supporters. Impacts The priority given to social spending will likely mean the Netherlands will not reach the NATO goal of 2% of GDP defence spending by 2025. Climate legislation is now far more likely to be contested and amended in parliament, as it cannot be passed without opposition parties. Rutte’s departure would be an important loss for the EU, given his strong support for EU cooperation and negotiating skills.


2020 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Mark Anthony Camilleri ◽  
Loredana Falzon

Purpose The outbreak of the Coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic and its preventative social distancing measures have led to a dramatic increase in subscriptions to paid streaming services. Online users are increasingly accessing live broadcasts, as well as recorded video content and digital music services through internet and mobile devices. In this context, this study aims to explore the individuals’ uses and gratifications from online streaming technologies during COVID-19. Design/methodology/approach This research has adapted key measures from the “technology acceptance model” (TAM) and from the “uses and gratifications theory” (UGT) to better understand the individuals’ intentions to use online streaming technologies. A structural equations partial least squares’ confirmatory composite approach was used to analyze the gathered data. Findings The individuals’ perceived usefulness and ease of use of online streaming services were significant antecedents of their intentions to use the mentioned technologies. Moreover, this study suggests that the research participants sought emotional gratifications from online streaming technologies, as they allowed them to distract themselves into a better mood and to relax in their leisure time. Evidently, they were using them to satisfy their needs for information and entertainment. Research limitations/implications This study contributes to the academic literature by generating new knowledge about the individuals’ perceptions, motivations and intentions to use online streaming technologies to watch recorded movies, series and live broadcasts. Practical implications The findings imply that there is scope for the providers of online streaming services to improve their customer-centric marketing by refining the quality and content of their recorded programs and through regular interactions with subscribers and personalized recommender systems. Originality/value This study integrates the TAM and UGT frameworks to better understand the effects of the users’ perceptions, ritualized and instrumental motivations on their intentions to continue watching movies, series and broadcasts through online streaming technologies, during COVID-19.


Subject Social spending. Significance Since assuming power in May 2014, Prime Minister Narendra Modi's government has promised high and inclusive economic growth. Its first full budget -- for the April 2015 to March 2016 fiscal year -- attempts to balance these priorities by slowing the government's austerity programme and maintaining subsidy spending. However, spending in key areas such as health and education is set to decline in real terms. The latter is a long-term trend that the incumbent administration is unlikely to reverse. Impacts Lack of a large, healthy and skilled workforce undercuts Modi's vision for the manufacturing sector, but a policy reversal is unlikely. One casualty of low social spending will be efforts to increase women's participation in the paid workforce. On key development indices, India will rank poorly compared with other BRICS, damaging its international image.


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