Morocco looks set to get closer to Gulf states

Significance The kingdom was previously seen as withdrawn from and largely peripheral to the wider Middle East. However, two issues -- the Israel-Morocco normalisation agreement in late 2020 and the consequent revival of the Western Sahara issue, with US recognition of Morocco’s claims over the territory -- have brought Rabat further into the spotlight. Impacts Morocco will expand its diplomatic and economic partnerships to East Africa. Rabat may try again to position itself as a constructive international actor through offering mediation services. EU states will need to balance their commitment to the UN process in Western Sahara with maintaining strong tries to Rabat.

Significance Morocco has been seeking re-admittance to the AU and has spent the past two years courting its African neighbours. King Mohammed VI toured West Africa in 2014 and concluded 2016 with a tour of East Africa and a crucial visit to one of the continent's powerhouses -- Nigeria. Impacts Morocco will aim for more economic cooperation with Nigeria regardless of the AU summit outcome. Tension with Algeria, the SADR's main backer, will intensify. If Morocco wins re-entry into the AU, this will help ensure greater diplomatic coverage with other international bodies such as the UN.


Significance In October, Netanyahu travelled to Oman -- the first visit there by an Israeli premier in decades. In the past few years, relations between Israel and most of the six Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) member states have warmed, but this has not been publicised. More recently, GCC states have become less concerned whether their relations with Israel become public knowledge. Meanwhile, the United States is encouraging rapprochement as one of the anchors of its Middle East policy. Impacts Netanyahu may soon visit Bahrain, the first public visit by an Israeli leader to the country. Relations with Qatar will follow a separate track to other Gulf states. A political opening would create economic opportunities.


Significance The self-declared Sahrawi Arab Democratic Republic (SADR) withdrew from the 1991 ceasefire after Morocco carried out military operations in the buffer zone in Western Sahara. Moroccan authorities said they launched the operations following “provocations” and “banditry” by the Polisario Front, which blocked a border crossing. Impacts There is further potential for escalation; protests in Laayoune in 2019 elicited a harsh Moroccan crackdown. The current round of conflict is moving Morocco even closer to the Gulf states, particularly the United Arab Emirates, and to Jordan. Morocco may ultimately seek to obtain international acceptance of its claim to the Western Sahara as the price of its recognition of Israel.


Headline MIDDLE EAST: Gulf states will drive regional policy


Keyword(s):  
Red Sea ◽  

Headline EAST AFRICA/GULF STATES: Riyadh will own Red Sea forum


Keyword(s):  

Headline MIDDLE EAST: Gulf states fear unrest in Arab kingdoms


2015 ◽  
Vol 54 (1) ◽  
pp. 168-171 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nathan P. Wiederhold ◽  
Veronica Garcia Gil ◽  
Felipe Gutierrez ◽  
Jonathan R. Lindner ◽  
Mohammad T. Albataineh ◽  
...  

Azole resistance inAspergillus fumigatusis an increasing problem. The TR34 L98H and TR46 Y121F T289A mutations that can occur in patients without previous azole exposure have been reported in Europe, Asia, the Middle East, Africa, and Australia. Here, we report the detection of both the TR34 L98H and TR46 Y121F T289A mutations in confirmedA. fumigatusisolates collected in institutions in the United States. These mutations, other mutations known to cause azole resistance, and azole MICs are reported here.


Significance US officials estimate that Russia has dispatched tanks and artillery to Syria in recent weeks in a reported military build-up, raising concerns that Moscow is embarking upon an extensive mission to bolster President Bashar al-Assad's embattled regime and establish a substantial Russian military presence in the Middle East. The build-up comes amid an intensive Russian diplomatic drive in Syria. Impacts Recent attempts to revive the UN-backed Geneva peace process will stumble due to the lack of US-Russian and Saudi-Iranian unanimity. Russia will use its influence over Assad as a bargaining chip in its stand-off with the United States and Europe. Hezbollah and Tehran will be emboldened by Moscow's solid backing of the Assad regime. However, this may also complicate Russia's ties with the Gulf states, Turkey and Israel.


Subject Future EU relations with Iran. Significance Iranian President Hassan Rouhani will make his first state visits to Europe during the autumn, to France and Italy. The EU and its member states see July's nuclear deal as opening a new chapter in relations. The EU3 -- France, Germany and the United Kingdom -- are using the subsequent political momentum to expand bilateral relations and explore new openings for engagement on Middle East security. Impacts Deeper political engagement with the EU widens Iran's partnership options beyond Russia and China. It would also allow Tehran to compete more effectively with the Gulf states for EU attention and resources. If the US Congress rejected the deal, EU sympathies would be with Iran; EU-Iran rapprochement would be hard to reverse. The success of the sanctions-plus-negotiations strategy with Iran could affect other EU sanctions policy discussions, notably on Russia.


Significance Several of Africa’s largest alcohol markets are in East Africa. Changing consumer tastes, economic growth and government policies are shaping the landscape of the sector. Many of the world’s largest players in the industry are active in the region. Africa and the Middle East could lead growth in the global beer market in the coming years. Impacts Urbanisation and population growth will offer attractive markets for investment. However, reversals in economic growth among East African states would halt expansion in the sector. South Africa’s growing craft beer market could find other markets in the region. While Kenya’s beer market is attractive, the government’s tax policy will give investors pause.


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