Weak US jobs do not alter long-term trend

Headline UNITED STATES: Weak jobs do not alter long-term trend

PEDIATRICS ◽  
1962 ◽  
Vol 30 (2) ◽  
pp. 194-205
Author(s):  
Theodore C. Doege ◽  
Clark W. Heath ◽  
Ida L. Sherman

Diphtheria attack rates and cases, and to a much lesser extent case-fatality rates, have fallen steadily within the United States during the past 25 years. However, during 1959 and 1960 there was a halt in this long-term trend. Epidemiologic data on 868 clinical cases of diphtheria occurring in 1959 and 873 cases in 1960 were submitted to the Communicable Disease Center by 45 states. The cases and several major outbreaks tended to concentrate in the southern and southwestern states. Attack rates and deaths were highest for children under 10 years, and attack rates were more than five times greater for nonwhite children. Analysis of 1960 immunization data shows that 72% of the patients had received no immunizations. Fifty-five per cent of carriers, but only 18% of persons with bacteriologically confirmed cases, had received a primary series. Only 1 person of 58 fatal cases occurring in 1960 had received a primary series. Certain problems for future investigation, disclosed by the surveillance data, are discussed.


Climate ◽  
2016 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
pp. 10 ◽  
Author(s):  
Somsubhra Chattopadhyay ◽  
Dwayne Edwards

2021 ◽  
Vol 9 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
David Kaplan ◽  
Mingya Huang

AbstractOf critical importance to education policy is monitoring trends in education outcomes over time. In the United States, the National Assessment of Educational Progress (NAEP) has provided long-term trend data since 1970; at the state/jurisdiction level, NAEP has provided long-term trend data since 1996. In addition to the national NAEP, all 50 states and United States jurisdictions participate in the state NAEP assessment. Thus, NAEP provides important monitoring and forecasting information regarding population-level academic performance of relevance to national and international goals. However, an inspection of NAEP trend reports shows that relatively simple trend plots are provided; and although these plots are important for communicating general trend information, we argue that much more useful information can be obtained by adopting a Bayesian probabilistic forecasting point of view. The purpose of this paper is to provide a Bayesian probabilistic forecasting workflow that can be used with large-scale assessment trend data generally, and to demonstrate that workflow with an application to the state NAEP assessments.


Subject South Korea's economy and economic policy in early 2016. Significance South Korea's economy grew more slowly in 2015 than in the previous five years. With legislative elections due in April, President Park Geun-hye's government faces judgment on its failure to return the economy to its long-term trend rate. Impacts Divisions in the opposition camp will prevent economic problems doing serious damage to the governing party in coming legislative elections. Any electoral impact is likelier to be seen further ahead, in 2017's presidential election. Geopolitical tension on the Korean peninsula is unlikely to damage South Korea's economy in the medium term.


Author(s):  
Albert E. Beaton ◽  
James R. Chromy
Keyword(s):  

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