scholarly journals A multi-scale electricity consumption prediction algorithm based on Time-Frequency Variational Autoencoder

IEEE Access ◽  
2021 ◽  
pp. 1-1
Author(s):  
Kaihong Zheng ◽  
Peng Li ◽  
Shangli Zhou ◽  
Wenhan Zhang ◽  
Sheng Li ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Electricity Consumption ◽  
Prediction Algorithm ◽  
Time Frequency ◽  
Multi Scale ◽  
Variational Autoencoder ◽  
Consumption Prediction

scholarly journals Precipitation Modeling for Extreme Weather Based on Sparse Hybrid Machine Learning and Markov Chain Random Field in a Multi-Scale Subspace

Water ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (9) ◽  
pp. 1241
Author(s):  
Ming-Hsi Lee ◽  
Yenming J. Chen
Keyword(s):  
Machine Learning ◽  
Markov Chain ◽  
Random Field ◽  
Long Range ◽  
Weather Conditions ◽  
Extreme Weather ◽  
Prediction Algorithm ◽  
Learning Method ◽  
Multi Scale ◽  
Hybrid Machine

This paper proposes to apply a Markov chain random field conditioning method with a hybrid machine learning method to provide long-range precipitation predictions under increasingly extreme weather conditions. Existing precipitation models are limited in time-span, and long-range simulations cannot predict rainfall distribution for a specific year. This paper proposes a hybrid (ensemble) learning method to perform forecasting on a multi-scaled, conditioned functional time series over a sparse l1 space. Therefore, on the basis of this method, a long-range prediction algorithm is developed for applications, such as agriculture or construction works. Our findings show that the conditioning method and multi-scale decomposition in the parse space l1 are proved useful in resisting statistical variation due to increasingly extreme weather conditions. Because the predictions are year-specific, we verify our prediction accuracy for the year we are interested in, but not for other years.

A novel fractional discrete grey model with an adaptive structure and its application in electricity consumption prediction

Kybernetes ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Yitong Liu ◽  
Yang Yang ◽  
Dingyu Xue ◽  
Feng Pan
Keyword(s):  
Fractional Order ◽  
Electricity Consumption ◽  
Grey Model ◽  
The Novel ◽  
Raw Data ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Power Load ◽  
Grey Models ◽  
Novel Model ◽  
Consumption Prediction

PurposeElectricity consumption prediction has been an important topic for its significant impact on electric policies. Due to various uncertain factors, the growth trends of electricity consumption in different cases are variable. However, the traditional grey model is based on a fixed structure which sometimes cannot match the trend of raw data. Consequently, the predictive accuracy is variable as cases change. To improve the model's adaptability and forecasting ability, a novel fractional discrete grey model with variable structure is proposed in this paper.Design/methodology/approachThe novel model can be regarded as a homogenous or non-homogenous exponent predicting model by changing the structure. And it selects the appropriate structure depending on the characteristics of raw data. The introduction of fractional accumulation enhances the predicting ability of the novel model. And the relative fractional order r is calculated by the numerical iterative algorithm which is simple but effective.FindingsTwo cases of power load and electricity consumption in Jiangsu and Fujian are applied to assess the predicting accuracy of the novel grey model. Four widely-used grey models, three classical statistical models and the multi-layer artificial neural network model are taken into comparison. The results demonstrate that the novel grey model performs well in all cases, and is superior to the comparative eight models.Originality/valueA fractional-order discrete grey model with an adaptable structure is proposed to solve the conflict between traditional grey models' fixed structures and variable development trends of raw data. In applications, the novel model has satisfied adaptability and predicting accuracy.

scholarly journals Multi-scale proper orthogonal decomposition of complex fluid flows

2019 ◽  
Vol 870 ◽  
pp. 988-1036 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. A. Mendez ◽  
M. Balabane ◽  
J.-M. Buchlin
Keyword(s):  
Proper Orthogonal Decomposition ◽  
Correlation Matrix ◽  
Feature Detection ◽  
Orthogonal Decomposition ◽  
Data Driven ◽  
Dynamic Mode ◽  
Time Frequency ◽  
Multi Scale ◽  
Detection Capabilities ◽  
Proper Orthogonal

Data-driven decompositions are becoming essential tools in fluid dynamics, allowing for tracking the evolution of coherent patterns in large datasets, and for constructing low-order models of complex phenomena. In this work, we analyse the main limits of two popular decompositions, namely the proper orthogonal decomposition (POD) and the dynamic mode decomposition (DMD), and we propose a novel decomposition which allows for enhanced feature detection capabilities. This novel decomposition is referred to as multi-scale proper orthogonal decomposition (mPOD) and combines multi-resolution analysis (MRA) with a standard POD. Using MRA, the mPOD splits the correlation matrix into the contribution of different scales, retaining non-overlapping portions of the correlation spectra; using the standard POD, the mPOD extracts the optimal basis from each scale. After introducing a matrix factorization framework for data-driven decompositions, the MRA is formulated via one- and two-dimensional filter banks for the dataset and the correlation matrix respectively. The validation of the mPOD, and a comparison with the discrete Fourier transform (DFT), DMD and POD are provided in three test cases. These include a synthetic test case, a numerical simulation of a nonlinear advection–diffusion problem and an experimental dataset obtained by the time-resolved particle image velocimetry (TR-PIV) of an impinging gas jet. For each of these examples, the decompositions are compared in terms of convergence, feature detection capabilities and time–frequency localization.

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