scholarly journals Passive Microwave Brightness Temperature Assimilation to Improve Snow Mass Estimation across Complex Terrain in Pakistan, Afghanistan, and Tajikistan

Author(s):  
Jawairia Ahmad ◽  
Barton Forman ◽  
Ned Bair ◽  
Sujay V Kumar
2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiongxin Xiao ◽  
Shunlin Liang ◽  
Tao He ◽  
Daiqiang Wu ◽  
Congyuan Pei ◽  
...  

Abstract. The dynamic characteristics of seasonal snow cover are critical for hydrology management, climate system, and ecosystem function. Although optical satellite remote sensing has proved to be an effective tool for monitoring global and regional variations of snow cover, it is still problematic to accurately capture the snow dynamics characteristics at a finer spatiotemporal resolution, because the observations from optical satellite sensors are seriously affected by clouds and solar illumination. Besides, traditional methods of mapping snow cover from passive microwave data only provide binary information with a 25-km spatial resolution. In this study, we first present an approach to predict fractional snow cover over North America under all-weather conditions, derived from the enhanced resolution passive microwave brightness temperature data (6.25 km). This estimation algorithm used Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectroradiometer (MODIS) snow cover products between 2010 and 2017 to create the reference fractional snow cover data as the "true" observations. Further, the influence of many factors, including land cover, topography, and location, were incorporated into the retrieval models. The results show that the proposed retrieval models based on random forest regression technique perform much better using independent test data for all land cover classes, with higher accuracy and no out-of-range estimated values, when compared to the other three approaches (linear regression, artificial neural networks (ANN), and multivariate adaptive regression splines (MARS)). The results of the output evaluated by using independent data indicate that the root-mean-square error (RMSE) of the estimated fractional snow cover ranges from 16.7 % to 19.8 %. In addition, the estimated fractional snow cover is verified in the snow mapping aspect by using snow cover observation data from meteorological stations (more than 0.31 million records). The result shows that the binary snow cover obtained by the proposed retrieval algorithm is in a good agreement with the ground measurements (kappa: 0.67). The accuracy of our algorithm estimation in the snow cover identification shows significant improvement when benchmarked against the Grody’s snow cover mapping algorithm: overall accuracy is increased by 18 % (from 0.71 to 0.84), and omission error is reduced by 71 % (from 0.48 to 0.14). Daily time-series and full space-covered sub-pixel snow cover area data are urgently needed for climate and reanalysis studies. According to our experiment results, we can conclude that it is feasible for estimating fractional snow cover from passive microwave brightness temperature data, and this strategy also has a great advantage in detecting snow cover area.


2019 ◽  
Vol 11 (19) ◽  
pp. 2265 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yonghwan Kwon ◽  
Barton A. Forman ◽  
Jawairia A. Ahmad ◽  
Sujay V. Kumar ◽  
Yeosang Yoon

This study explores the use of a support vector machine (SVM) as the observation operator within a passive microwave brightness temperature data assimilation framework (herein SVM-DA) to enhance the characterization of snow water equivalent (SWE) over High Mountain Asia (HMA). A series of synthetic twin experiments were conducted with the NASA Land Information System (LIS) at a number of locations across HMA. Overall, the SVM-DA framework is effective at improving SWE estimates (~70% reduction in RMSE relative to the Open Loop) for SWE depths less than 200 mm during dry snowpack conditions. The SVM-DA framework also improves SWE estimates in deep, wet snow (~45% reduction in RMSE) when snow liquid water is well estimated by the land surface model, but can lead to model degradation when snow liquid water estimates diverge from values used during SVM training. In particular, two key challenges of using the SVM-DA framework were observed over deep, wet snowpacks. First, variations in snow liquid water content dominate the brightness temperature spectral difference (ΔTB) signal associated with emission from a wet snowpack, which can lead to abrupt changes in SWE during the analysis update. Second, the ensemble of SVM-based predictions can collapse (i.e., yield a near-zero standard deviation across the ensemble) when prior estimates of snow are outside the range of snow inputs used during the SVM training procedure. Such a scenario can lead to the presence of spurious error correlations between SWE and ΔTB, and as a consequence, can result in degraded SWE estimates from the analysis update. These degraded analysis updates can be largely mitigated by applying rule-based approaches. For example, restricting the SWE update when the standard deviation of the predicted ΔTB is greater than 0.05 K helps prevent the occurrence of filter divergence. Similarly, adding a thin layer (i.e., 5 mm) of SWE when the synthetic ΔTB is larger than 5 K can improve SVM-DA performance in the presence of a precipitation dry bias. The study demonstrates that a carefully constructed SVM-DA framework cognizant of the inherent limitations of passive microwave-based SWE estimation holds promise for snow mass data assimilation.


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