Aid for trade and inflation: Exploring the trade openness, export product diversification and foreign direct investment channels

Author(s):  
Sèna Kimm Gnangnon
2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sèna Kimm GNANGNON

Abstract The few existing studies on the relationship between Aid for Trade (AfT) flows and Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) inflows tend to report a positive effect of total AfT flows, in particular of Aid flows for building economic infrastructure, on FDI inflows. The present article aims to complement these works by investigating whether the effect of AfT flows on inward FDI stock depends on recipient-countries' level of export product concentration. The empirical analysis has shown that AfT flows exert a strong positive effect on inward FDI stock in countries that experience a high level of export product concentration. These findings are relevant for developing countries in light of the concentration of their export products on primary commodities, and given the strong role of FDI flows for employment generation, economic growth and development in these countries.


2016 ◽  
Vol 07 (03) ◽  
pp. 1650013 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sèna Kimm Gnangnon ◽  
Shishir Priyadarshi

This paper investigates the relationship between the diversification of export products in least developed countries (LDCs) and their services production and exports. It uses a dataset comprising 30 LDCs over the period 1995–2010. The empirical results suggest strong evidence that export product diversification in LDCs is a catalyzer for their commercial services exports, alongside factors such as per capita income, foreign direct investment (FDI), and regulatory quality policies. However, export products diversification does not appear to exert a significant effect on LDC services production. These findings have important implications for both the international trade community and LDC governments.


2020 ◽  
Vol 65 (06) ◽  
pp. 1727-1752
Author(s):  
SÈNA KIMM GNANGNON

This paper provides a quantitative measure of the concept of trade policy space, at the macroeconomic level, and examines its impact on export product diversification. Trade policy space has been defined as the room of manoeuvre available to a government once its current trade policy is depurated from the impact of structural domestic and international factors. The analysis has been carried out using an unbalanced panel dataset comprising 165 countries (both developed and developing countries) over the period 2002–2015. Results suggest that trade policy space is positively associated with export product diversification, and the higher countries’ development level, the greater is the magnitude of the positive effect of trade policy space on export product diversification. The analysis further shows for recipient-countries of Aid for Trade (AfT) flows that trade policy space is complementary with AfT inflows in inducing export product diversification. In particular, the higher the amounts of AfT inflows that accrue to these countries, the greater is the positive impact of trade policy space on export product diversification in AfT recipient-countries.


Author(s):  
Sèna Kimm Gnangnon

Abstract This article considers the effect of tax reform on export product diversification in developing countries, including through the trade openness channel. Tax reform involves the convergence of a developing country's tax structure towards the tax structure of developed countries. The analysis uses a sample of 112 developing countries over the period 1980–2014 and shows that tax reform exerts a positive effect on export product diversification, with least developed countries enjoying a higher positive effect than other countries in the full sample. Furthermore, the higher the degree of trade openness, the greater is the magnitude of the positive effect of tax reform on export product diversification. These outcomes have important policy implications.


2021 ◽  
Vol 14 (3) ◽  
pp. 90
Author(s):  
Malsha Mayoshi Rathnayaka Mudiyanselage ◽  
Gheorghe Epuran ◽  
Bianca Tescașiu

In this increasingly globalized era, foreign direct investments are considered to be one of the most important sources of external financing for all countries. This paper investigates the causal relationship between trade openness and foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows in Romania during the period 1997–2019. Throughout this study, Trade Openness is the main independent variable, and Gross Domestic Product (GDP), Real Effective Exchange Rate (EXR), Inflation (INF), and Education (EDU) act as control variables for investigating the relationships between trade openness (TOP) and FDI inflow in Romania. The Auto Regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) Bounds test procedure was adopted to achieve the above-mentioned objective. Trade openness has negative and statistically significant long-run and short-run relationships with FDI inflows in Romania throughout the period. Trade openness negatively affects the FDI inflow, which suggest that the higher the level of openness is, the less likely it is that FDI will be attracted in the long run. The result of the Granger causality test indicated that Romania has a unidirectional relationship between trade openness and FDI. It also showed that the direction of causality ran from FDI to trade openness.


2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (10) ◽  
pp. 3657 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hongbo Liu ◽  
Hanho Kim ◽  
Shuanglu Liang ◽  
Oh-Sang Kwon

This study examines the Environmental Kuznets Curve (EKC) hypothesis by adopting a country’s ecological footprint as an indicator of environmental degradation in three East Asian countries: Japan, Korea, and China. During the development process, countries intend to balance between stabilizing export demand and maintaining sustainable economic improvement in the context of deteriorating global warming and climate change. The Environmental Kuznets Curve (henceforth, EKC) was originally developed to estimate the correlation between environment condition and economic development. In this paper, we started from the EKC model and adopted an Error Correction Methodology (henceforth, ECM) to estimate the EKC relationships in Japan, Korea (two developed countries), and China (a developing country) over the period of 1990 to 2013. Besides this, instead of only using Gross Domestic Product (henceforth, GDP), two subdivisions of trade diversification—export product diversification and export market diversification—are introduced as proxy variables for economic development in rectification of the EKC. The results demonstrate that both Korea and Japan satisfy the EKC theory by demonstrating an inverted U-shaped relationship between economic development and ecological footprint, while analysis based on data from China does not display the same tendency. For both export product diversification and market diversification, the more diversified the country’s export is, the bigger its ecological footprint. The policy implications of this econometric outcome are also discussed.


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