Monetary Expansion, Balance of Trade and Economic Growth*

1975 ◽  
Vol 51 (1) ◽  
pp. 31-39 ◽  
Author(s):  
R. Ramanathan
Author(s):  
Comfort Akinwolere Bukola ◽  

This study examined the impact of exchange rate volatility on economic growth in Nigeria. The study covers the period of 1986 to 2019. Using time series data, the methodology adopted is the Vector Error Correction Mechanism to explore the impact of exchange rate volatility on the selected macroeconomic variables. The result indicated that exchange rate volatility has a significant impact on economic growth, specifically it has a positive impact on inflation, unemployment and balance of trade. On the other hand it has a negative impact on economic growth and investment. The recommendations made include; that relevant authorities should try to avoid systematic currency devaluations in order to maintain exchange rate volatility at a rate that allows adjustment of the balance of payments.


2018 ◽  
Vol 16 (1) ◽  
pp. 45
Author(s):  
Happy Febrina Hariyani

Tourism is believed to be a booster for economic growth in developing countries. The tourism sector in Indonesia is one of the sectors that has the highest contribution in foreign exchange to the economy. Tourism activity in the form of export trade in services is the only sector that constantly make a positive contribution in the balance of trade in services in Indonesia. This study aims to analyze the influence of tourism consumption, tourism investment and government spending to economic growth. The results of this study indicate that, in the long run, those variables affect economic growth. While in the short run, they do not influence economic growth.


2010 ◽  
Vol 13 (2) ◽  
pp. 165-186 ◽  
Author(s):  
Iskandar Simorangkir ◽  
Justina Adamanti

Global financial crisis started in mid 2008 has reduced global economic growth, and many countries even experienced economic contraction. To deal with economic contraction, various economic policies have been undertaken. Governments have increased fiscal stimulus through increasing expenditure and lowering tax while central banks have cut policy rates substantially. In some countries interest rates even reach zero or close to zero. Similar to many other countries, Indonesia has also undertaken expansionary policies, namely increasing fiscal stimulus and lowering interest rates.This paper examines the impacts of fiscal stimulus and interest rate cut on Indonesian economy using financial computable general equilibrium (FCGE) approach. The estimation results show a number of findings. First, the combination of fiscal expansion and monetary expansion boosts economic growth of Indonesia effectively. Relative to the effectiveness of fiscal expansion without monetary policy expansion or monetary expansion without fiscal expansion, the combination of those two policies is more effective.Second, looking into the components of GDP, the combination of fiscal and monetary expansion has a large multiplier effect, boosting aggregate demand through increasing consumption, investment, government expenditure, exports and imports. Meanwhile, from production side, the combination of fiscal and monetary expansion has positive effects on increasing production of all economic sectors. This effect comes from fiscal incentive (lower tax, lower import duties, etc) in increasing investment. Moreover, the increase in aggregate demand also encourages enterprises to increase their production.Third, institutionally fiscal stimulus and monetary easing has increased income and purchasing power of the poor and rich households in rural and urban area. This increase in turn results in higher all household consumption.JEL Classification: D58, E12, E13, E52, E58, H25, H31, H53, H54Keywords: Fiscal stimulus, monetary easing, financial computable general equilibrium, global financial crisis.


1997 ◽  
Vol 28 (1) ◽  
pp. 103-119
Author(s):  
Ken-ichi SEMBA ◽  
Masayuki MIYASAKA

1968 ◽  
Vol 76 (6) ◽  
pp. 1209-1223 ◽  
Author(s):  
John E. Floyd ◽  
Allan Hynes

Author(s):  
Dat Tho Tran ◽  
Van Thi Cam Nguyen

This study aims at investigating the impact of globalization on economic growth in the case of Vietnam. Empirical analysis is done by using time series data for the period from 1995 to 2014. The paper tested the stationary cointegration of time series data and utilized the error correction modeling technique to determine the short run relationships among economic growth, globalization, foreign direct investment, balance of trade and exchange rate variables. Then, the long run relationship between economic growth and the variables representing economic integration were estimated by ordinary least square. The results show that globalization, measured by the KOF index, promotes economic growth and Vietnam has gained from integrating into the global economy. The overall index of globalization had positively and significantly impacted the economic growth in Vietnam. The results also indicated that economic globalization had a significantly positive effect on economic growth in the period examined. The study further revealed that foreign direct investment and the exchange rate affect economic growth positively whereas balance of trade affects economic growth negatively.


2021 ◽  
Vol 19 (2) ◽  
pp. 115-123
Author(s):  
Maria Pia Paganelli

How do we measure economic growth? In the eighteenth century, well before the birth of Gross Domestic Product commonly used today, looking at the sign of the balance of trade was a way to take the pulse of a nation's economy. Adam Smith rejects this measure and instead suggests that we should look at population growth. Nations that are able to produce enough to support the life of a growing population have growing economies, nations with constant population have stagnant economies, and nations that face a declining population have contracting economies. Thus, population for Adam Smith is a proxy for our Gross Domestic Product, indicating the changes in production in a country over time.


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