Comparing the Effectiveness of Traditional and Time Varying Hedge Ratios Using New Zealand and Australian Debt Futures Contracts

1999 ◽  
Vol 34 (3) ◽  
pp. 79-94 ◽  
Author(s):  
Katherine J. Wilkinson ◽  
Lawrence C. Rose ◽  
Martin R. Young
2013 ◽  
Vol 380-384 ◽  
pp. 4529-4536
Author(s):  
Chang Kai ◽  
Zhen Yu

Unexpected market information have a different speed change to market price of futures contracts with different maturities, and the paper estimates one-factor and two-factor dynamics hedge ratios and hedging effectiveness evaluation. One-factor and two-factor hedge ratios of futures contracts with different maturities for emissions allowances have time-varying trends. Compared with one-factor hedging, with an increase of span period, market participations can achieve a slight effect on risk reduction of portfolio revenues of futures contracts with different maturities by using two-factor hedge ratios, and especially two-factor hedging policy exhibits better hedging effectiveness for longer-term span period of futures contracts with different maturities for emissions allowances.


Author(s):  
Kapil Gupta ◽  
Mandeep Kaur

Present study examines the efficiency of futures contracts in hedging unwanted price risk over highly volatile period i.e. June 2000 - December 2007 and January 2008 – June 2014, pre and post-financial crisis period, by using S&PC NXNIFTY, CNXIT and BANKNIFTY for near month futures contracts. The hedge ratios have been estimated by using five methods namely Ederingtons Model, ARMA-OLS, GARCH (p,q), EGARCH (p,q) and TGARCH (p,q). The study finds that hedging effectiveness increased during post crisis period for S&PC NXNIFTY and BANKNIFTY. However, for CNXIT hedging effectiveness was better during pre-crisis period than post crisis. The study also finds that time-invariant hedge ratio is more efficient than time-variant hedge ratio.


2013 ◽  
Vol 2013 ◽  
pp. 1-8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kai Chang

Under departures from the cost-of-carry theory, traded spot prices and conditional volatility disturbed from futures market have significant impacts on futures price of emissions allowances, and then we propose time-varying hedge ratios and hedging effectiveness estimation using ECM-GARCH model. Our empirical results show that conditional variance, conditional covariance, and their correlation between between spot and futures prices exhibit time-varying trends. Conditional volatility of spot prices, conditional volatility disturbed from futures market, and conditional correlation of market noises implied from spot and futures markets have significant effects on time-varying hedge ratios and hedging effectiveness. In the immature emissions allowances market, market participants optimize portfolio sizes between spot and futures assets using historical market information and then achieve higher risk reduction of assets portfolio revenues; accordingly, we can obtain better hedging effectiveness through time-varying hedge ratios with departures from the cost-of-carry theory.


2016 ◽  
Vol 4 (9) ◽  
pp. 143-150
Author(s):  
Shafeeque Muhammad ◽  
Thomachan

This paper examines the role of commodity futures market as an instrument of hedging against price risk. Hedging is the practice of offsetting the price risk in a cash market by taking an opposite position in the futures market. By taking a position in the futures market, which is opposite to the position held in the spot market, the producer can offset the losses in the latter with the gains in the former. Both static and time varying hedge ratios have been calculated using VECM-MGARCH model. Variance of return from hedge portfolio has been found to be low. Further hedging effectiveness has been observed to be around 12%.


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