A Weighted Three-Point-Based Strategy for Variance Estimation

Author(s):  
Thaweepat Buranathiti ◽  
Jian Cao ◽  
Wei Chen

In manufacturing processes, it is widely accepted that uncertainty plays an important role and should be taken into account during analysis and design processes. However, uncertainty quantification of its effects on an end-product is a very challenging task, especially when an expensive computational effort is already needed in deterministic models such as sheet metal forming simulations. In this paper, we focus our work on the variance estimation of the system response. A weighted three-point-based strategy is proposed to efficiently and effectively estimate the variance of the system response. Three first-order derivatives for each variable are used to estimate the nonlinear behavior and variance of the system. The details of the derivation of the approach are presented in the paper. The optimal locations of the three points along each axis in the standard normal space and weights for input variables following normal distributions are proposed as (−1.8257,0.0,+1.8257) and (0.075,0.850,0.075), respectively. For input variables following uniform distributions U(−1,1), the optimal locations and weights are proposed as (−0.84517,0.0,+0.84517) and (0.04667,0.90666,0.04667), respectively. The proposed approach is applicable to nonlinear and multivariable systems as well as problems having no explicit function such as those design simulations based on finite element methods. The significant accuracy improvement over the traditional first-order approximation is demonstrated with a number of test problems. The proposed method requires significantly less computational effort compared with the Monte Carlo simulations. Discussions and conclusions of this work are given at the end of the paper.

1988 ◽  
Vol 1 (21) ◽  
pp. 101 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rafael Blazquez ◽  
Felipe M. Martinez

To investigate the reliability of a sandy soil layer in an ocean wave environment a liquefaction model is used in conjunction with a first order reliability method. Thus, sensitivity indices of the soil-water system with respect to the uncertain strength and input variables are computed, and the relative importance of the various factors defining the problem can be determined. The relationship of this approach with more conventional design methods (deterministic models, risk models) is discussed along with the range of applicability of the different safety measurements.


2012 ◽  
Vol 60 (2) ◽  
pp. 205-213
Author(s):  
K. Dems ◽  
Z. Mróz

Abstract. An elastic structure subjected to thermal and mechanical loading with prescribed external boundary and varying internal interface is considered. The different thermal and mechanical nature of this interface is discussed, since the interface form and its properties affect strongly the structural response. The first-order sensitivities of an arbitrary thermal and mechanical behavioral functional with respect to shape and material properties of the interface are derived using the direct or adjoint approaches. Next the relevant optimality conditions are formulated. Some examples illustrate the applicability of proposed approach to control the structural response due to applied thermal and mechanical loads.


AIAA Journal ◽  
1998 ◽  
Vol 36 ◽  
pp. 1721-1727
Author(s):  
Prasanth B. Nair ◽  
Andrew J. Keane ◽  
Robin S. Langley

2021 ◽  
Vol 76 (3) ◽  
pp. 265-283
Author(s):  
G. Nath

Abstract The approximate analytical solution for the propagation of gas ionizing cylindrical blast (shock) wave in a rotational axisymmetric non-ideal gas with azimuthal or axial magnetic field is investigated. The axial and azimuthal components of fluid velocity are taken into consideration and these flow variables, magnetic field in the ambient medium are assumed to be varying according to the power laws with distance from the axis of symmetry. The shock is supposed to be strong one for the ratio C 0 V s 2 ${\left(\frac{{C}_{0}}{{V}_{s}}\right)}^{2}$ to be a negligible small quantity, where C 0 is the sound velocity in undisturbed fluid and V S is the shock velocity. In the undisturbed medium the density is assumed to be constant to obtain the similarity solution. The flow variables in power series of C 0 V s 2 ${\left(\frac{{C}_{0}}{{V}_{s}}\right)}^{2}$ are expanded to obtain the approximate analytical solutions. The first order and second order approximations to the solutions are discussed with the help of power series expansion. For the first order approximation the analytical solutions are derived. In the flow-field region behind the blast wave the distribution of the flow variables in the case of first order approximation is shown in graphs. It is observed that in the flow field region the quantity J 0 increases with an increase in the value of gas non-idealness parameter or Alfven-Mach number or rotational parameter. Hence, the non-idealness of the gas and the presence of rotation or magnetic field have decaying effect on shock wave.


1999 ◽  
Vol 08 (05) ◽  
pp. 461-483
Author(s):  
SEIYA NISHIYAMA

First-order approximation of the number-projected (NP) SO(2N) Tamm-Dancoff (TD) equation is developed to describe ground and excited states of superconducting fermion systems. We start from an NP Hartree-Bogoliubov (HB) wave function. The NP SO(2N) TD expansion is generated by quasi-particle pair excitations from the degenerate geminals in the number-projected HB wave function. The Schrödinger equation is cast into the NP SO(2N) TD equation by the variation principle. We approximate it up to first order. This approximate equation is reduced to a simpler form by the Schur function of group characters which has a close connection with the soliton theory on the group manifold.


1995 ◽  
Vol 62 (3) ◽  
pp. 685-691 ◽  
Author(s):  
F. Ma ◽  
T. K. Caughey

The coefficients of a linear nonconservative system are arbitrary matrices lacking the usual properties of symmetry and definiteness. Classical modal analysis is extended in this paper so as to apply to systems with nonsymmetric coefficients. The extension utilizes equivalence transformations and does not require conversion of the equations of motion to first-order forms. Compared with the state-space approach, the generalized modal analysis can offer substantial reduction in computational effort and ample physical insight.


Author(s):  
Bappaditya Banerjee ◽  
Anil K. Bajaj ◽  
Patricia Davies

Abstract The autoparametric vibratory system consisting of a primary spring-mass-dashpot system coupled with a damped simple pendulum serves as an useful example of two degree-of-freedom nonlinear systems that exhibit complex dynamic behavior. It exhibits 1:2 internal resonance and amplitude modulated chaos under harmonic forcing conditions. First-order averaging studies of this system using AUTO and KAOS have yielded useful information about the amplitude dynamics of this system. Response curves of the system indicate saturation and the pitchfork bifurcation sets are found to be symmetric. The period-doubling route to chaotic solutions is observed. However questions about the range of the small parameter ε (a function of the forcing amplitude) for which the solutions are valid cannot be answered by a first-order study. Some observed dynamical behavior, like saturation, may not persist when higher-order nonlinear effects are taken into account. Second-order averaging of the system, using Mathematica (Maeder, 1991; Wolfram, 1991) is undertaken to address these questions. Loss of saturation is observed in the steady-state amplitude responses. The breaking of symmetry in the various bifurcation sets becomes apparent as a consequence of ε appearing in the averaged equations. The dynamics of the system is found to be very sensitive to damping, with extremely complicated behavior arising for low values of damping. For large ε second-order averaging predicts additional Pitchfork and Hopf bifurcation points in the single-mode response.


2001 ◽  
Author(s):  
B. M. Fichera ◽  
R. L. Mahajan ◽  
T. W. Horst

Abstract Accurate air temperature measurements made by surface meteorological stations are demanded by climate research programs for various uses. Heating of the temperature sensor due to inadequate coupling with the environment can lead to significant errors. Therefore, accurate in-situ temperature measurements require shielding the sensor from exposure to direct and reflected solar radiation, while also allowing the sensor to be brought into contact with atmospheric air at the ambient temperature. The difficulty in designing a radiation shield for such a temperature sensor lies in satisfying these two conditions simultaneously. In this paper, we perform a computational fluid dynamics analysis of mechanically aspirated radiation shields (MARS) to study the effect of geometry, wind speed, and interplay of multiple heat transfer processes. Finally, an artificial neural network model is developed to learn the relationship between the temperature error and specified input variables. The model is then used to perform a sensitivity analysis and design optimization.


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