Probabilistic Leak Before Break

Author(s):  
L. Stefanini ◽  
F. J. Blom

In this study a probabilistic Leak-Before-Break (LBB) analysis was carried out based on the R6 FAD Option 1 assessment method. The method uses the material fracture toughness and yield stress in order to determine, deterministically, a Critical Crack Length (CCL) and a Leakage Rate (LR) through a crack. In order to define the fracture toughness of the material, the Master Curve approach was used accordingly to BS7910:2013 Annex J. Initially, deterministic analyses were carried out and the fracture toughness and yield stress were set to 190 MPa√m and 158 MPa, respectively. In order to implement a probabilistic approach, the yield stress and fracture toughness were introduced as stochastic parameter. The Fracture toughness was generated using a Weibull distribution to match the Master Curve. The distribution was built such that 190 MPa√m represents the 5% probability fracture toughness. The Yield stress (0.2% proof strength) was generated using a normal distribution with standard deviation 10.35 MPa such that the average value was 175 MPa and the lower bound (5% of probability of occurrence) was 158 MPa. The choice of building the distribution as above mentioned was justified by the fact that in structural integrity assessment the lower 5% is generally used for material parameters. Thus, once a Detectable Leakage Rate (DLR) was determined, it was possible to assign an implicit probability of failure to the deterministic case. The calculations were then extended by using several LR formulas. The calculations were carried out making use of the probabilistic software RAP++ coupled to MATLAB. The probabilities of failure were calculated with regard to a postulated DLR and a DLRSF corrected with a safety factor of 10. The probabilities of failure for the DLRSF were proved to be 9 to 15 times higher than for the postulated DLR case, which leads to the opportunity of conservatism reduction.

Author(s):  
Kazuya Osakabe ◽  
Koichi Masaki ◽  
Jinya Katsuyama ◽  
Genshichiro Katsumata ◽  
Kunio Onizawa

To assess the structural integrity of reactor pressure vessels (RPVs) during pressurized thermal shock (PTS) events, the deterministic fracture mechanics approach prescribed in Japanese code JEAC 4206-2007 [1] has been used in Japan. The structural integrity is judged to be maintained if the stress intensity factor (SIF) at the crack tip during PTS events is smaller than fracture toughness KIc. On the other hand, the application of a probabilistic fracture mechanics (PFM) analysis method for the structural reliability assessment of pressure components has become attractive recently because uncertainties related to influence parameters can be incorporated rationally. A probabilistic approach has already been adopted as the regulation on fracture toughness requirements against PTS events in the U.S. According to the PFM analysis method in the U.S., through-wall cracking frequencies (TWCFs) are estimated taking frequencies of event occurrence and crack arrest after crack initiation into consideration. In this study, in order to identify the conservatism in the current RPV integrity assessment procedure in the code, probabilistic analyses on TWCF have been performed for certain model of RPVs. The result shows that the current assumption in JEAC 4206-2007, that a semi-elliptic axial crack is postulated on the inside surface of RPV wall, is conservative as compared with realistic conditions. Effects of variation of PTS transients on crack initiation frequency and TWCF have been also discussed.


Author(s):  
Masato Yamamoto ◽  
Tomohiro Kobayashi

The load and temperature history during pressurized thermal shock (PTS) event is highly depending on the crack edge location in wall thickness direction of a reactor pressure vessel (RPV) beltline region. Therefore, the consideration of plant specific through-wall fracture toughness distribution, which is not considered in the current codes and regulations [1,2], may improve the structural integrity assessment for PTS event. The Master Curve (MC) method [3,4] is one of the methods, which can directory evaluate the fracture toughness of ferritic materials with relatively low number of any size of specimens. CRIEPI has proposed the use of very small C(T) (Mini-C(T)) specimens for the MC method. The appropriateness of Mini-C(T) technology has been demonstrated through a series of researches and round robin activities [5, 6, 7, 8, 9]. The present study evaluated the through-wall fracture toughness distribution of irradiated IAEA reference material (JRQ) by means of combination of MC method and Mini-C(T) specimens. Four thickness locations between inner surface to 1/4-T was selected. Those four layers were separately subjected to the Mini-C(T) MC evaluation in two different laboratories. Both laboratories could separately obtain valid and consistent reference temperature, To, from all the tested layers. Inner most layer exhibits 80 °C lower To compared to the 1/4-T location even though the layer has the highest fluence of 5.38 × 1019 n/cm2, while that in 1/4-T location is 2.54 × 1019 n/cm2. The results demonstrate that initial toughness distribution is dominant in the general trend of fracture toughness distribution even after the material was highly irradiated.


Author(s):  
Kazuya Osakabe ◽  
Koichi Masaki ◽  
Jinya Katsuyama ◽  
Genshichiro Katsumata ◽  
Kunio Onizawa ◽  
...  

A probabilistic fracture mechanics (PFM) analysis method for pressure boundary components is useful to evaluate the structural integrity in a quantitative way. This is because the uncertainties related to influence parameters can be rationally incorporated in PFM analysis. From this viewpoint, the probabilistic approach evaluating through-wall cracking frequencies (TWCFs) of reactor pressure vessels (RPVs) has already been adopted as the regulation on fracture toughness requirements against PTS events in the U.S. As a study of applying PFM analysis to the integrity assessment of domestic RPVs, JAEA has been preparing input data and analysis models to calculate TWCFs using PFM analysis code PASCAL3. In this paper, activities have been introduced such as preparing input data and models for domestic RPVs, verification of PASCAL3, and formulating guideline on general procedures of PFM analysis for the purpose of utilizing PASCAL3. In addition, TWCFs for a model RPV evaluated by PASCAL3 are presented.


2017 ◽  
Vol 741 ◽  
pp. 57-62
Author(s):  
Fumito Kawamura ◽  
Masazumi Miura ◽  
Ryuichiro Ebara ◽  
Keiji Yanase

Many studies have been conducted to characterize the fracture toughness of structural steels and their welded joints. However, most studies focus on newly developed steels, and the number of studies on the fracture toughness of long-term used steels in structural components is rather limited. Furthermore, a lack of data on the fracture toughness causes difficulties in evaluating the structural integrity of existing steel structures. In this study, CTOD tests were performed to characterize the fracture toughness of penstock that has been in service for 50 years. By measuring the critical crack tip opening displacement in conjunction with analysis for chemical compositions, the characteristics of fracture toughness were investigated.


Author(s):  
Boris Margolin ◽  
Victoria Shvetsova ◽  
Alexander Gulenko ◽  
Valentin Fomenko

For construction of the fracture toughness temperature curve that may be used for WWER RPV integrity assessment on the basis of tests of cracked surveillance specimens, the issues have to be solved as follows. First of all, it is important to determine how fracture toughness varies as a function of temperature, and how the fracture toughness vs. temperature dependence, KJC(T), changes with in-service material degradation due to neutron irradiation. These variations of KJC(T) curve are known to be the shift of KJC(T) curve to higher temperature range and change in the KJC(T) curve shape. At present, two advanced engineering methods are known that allow the prediction of KJC(T) curve on the basis of small-size fracture toughness specimens (for example, pre-cracked Charpy specimens), namely, the Master Curve and the Unified Curve methods. Procedures of test result treatment for the Master Curve and the Unified Curve are very similar. The Master Curve method uses the lateral temperature shift condition and, therefore, does not describe possible change in the KJC(T) curve shape. The Unified Curve method has an advantage as compared with the Master Curve as the Unified Curve describes a variation of the KJC(T) curve shape when degree of embrittlement increases. This advantage becomes important for RPV integrity assessment when the reference KJC(T) curve is recalculated to the crack front length of the postulated flaw that is considerable larger than thickness of surveillance specimens. Application of the KJC(T) curve determined from test results of cracked surveillance specimens to RPV integrity assessment requires also to introduce some margins. These margins have to take into account the type and number of tested specimens and the uncertainty connected with spatial non-homogeneity of RPV materials. Indeed, there is sufficient number of experimental data showing variability in fracture toughness for various parts of RPV. Therefore, situation is possible when the material properties near the postulated flaw will be worse than the properties of surveillance specimens. In the present report, advanced approaches are considered for prediction of fracture toughness for WWER RPV integrity assessment that allow one: • to construct the KJC(T) curve for irradiated RPV steels with any degree of embrittlement; • to provide transferability of fracture toughness data from cracked surveillance specimens to calculation of resistance to brittle fracture of RPV with a postulated flaw.


Author(s):  
Ki-Sig Kang

The IAEA has sponsored a series of Coordinated Research Projects (CRPs) that have led to a focus on reactor pressure vessel (RPV) structural integrity. In the previous CRP on the application of the Master Curve (MC), three key areas were identified to need further works. These three tasks are: (1) test specimen bias, constraint, and geometry effects on the measurement and application of To values; (2) effects of loading rate up to impact loading conditions on To; and (3) potential changes in the shape of the MC for highly embrittled RPV materials. These three areas are focused on the new CRP (here below CRP-8). A new CRP is follow-on to previous successful CRPs on resolving technical issues associated with application of the MC approach. Overall objectives of CRP-8 include: 1) Better quantification of fracture toughness issues related to testing surveillance specimens for application to RPV integrity assessment, and 2) Development of approaches for addressing MC technical issues in integrity evaluation of operating RPVs. 15 organizations from 11 countries participate in the CRP and the final report will be issued in the end of 2008.


Author(s):  
Marjorie Erickson ◽  
Mark Kirk

Abstract To ensure an appropriate and/or conservative assessment of structural integrity it is essential to account for the uncertainties inherent to the various inputs and models that, collectively, contribute to a structural integrity assessment. While the methods used to account for uncertainties will differ, this applies equally to assessments performed using either deterministic or probabilistic approaches. Oftentimes the overall model used for a structural integrity assessment is itself comprised of multiple inputs and models, which themselves may be inter-related and/or correlated. In these circumstances the quest to ensure that all uncertainties are addressed can result in the same uncertainty — or uncertainty source — being accounted for multiple times. Such “double-counting” of uncertainties introduces un-needed conservatism to the assessment and should be avoided. In this paper we use the linked fracture toughness models contained in the recently proposed Revision 1 to ASME Section XI Code Case N-830 to provide examples of uncertainty treatment in analyses using multiple models. Identification of sources of uncertainty in each model used in a multi-model analysis can help to ensure that each source is accounted for appropriately and not multiple times. The CC N-830-1 models are used to demonstrate the effects of various uncertainty treatment strategies and the pitfalls that arise from treating sources of uncertainty twice.


Author(s):  
H. Churier-Bossennec ◽  
D. Moinereau ◽  
P. Todeschini ◽  
C. Faidy ◽  
G. Bezdikian

Until now French approach for RPV PTS assessment is based on at least 40 years lifetime. This lifetime has been taken into account at each step of the the RPV life: first early in the design, then at each periodic safety demonstration by including the surveillance program, the national and international feedback and R&D results. All of them confirm that all the 3-loop French RPV fulfill the existing criteria for at least 40 years of operation. In order to evaluate their capability to operate for 60 years, an Engineering and Research and Development program has been recently established and engaged by EDF. This large program of activities between all of divisions of EDF is focused on the different fields involved in the risk of fast rupture of the irradiated core vessel. The main purposes of this programme are: • the research of specific data corresponding to a long lifetime of about 60 years; • the studies of new methods to improve the demonstration including several themes such as fluence evaluation, determination of fracture toughness, structural integrity assessment including probabilistic approach, definition of transients; • the evaluation of mitigation methods. This paper contains first a description of what was done at each RPV PTS assessment and an overview of the present program.


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