scholarly journals Reconstructing the stock-recruit relationship for Northeast Arctic cod using a bioenergetic index of reproductive potential

2000 ◽  
Vol 57 (12) ◽  
pp. 2433-2442 ◽  
Author(s):  
C Tara Marshall ◽  
Nathalia A Yaragina ◽  
Bjørn Ådlandsvik ◽  
Andrey V Dolgov
Keyword(s):  
Egg Production ◽  
Population Analysis ◽  
Reproductive Potential ◽  
Condition Index ◽  
Multiple Regression Model ◽  
Reference Points ◽  
Time Period ◽  
Virtual Population ◽  
Alongshore Wind Stress ◽  
Alongshore Wind

Correlation and simulation analyses suggest that, for the Northeast Arctic (NA) cod stock, the total lipid energy (TLE (kJ)) contained in the livers of mature females is proportional to total egg production, making TLE a potential predictor of recruitment. Accordingly, the TLE of NA cod was estimated for a 51-year time period (1946-1996), using estimates of numbers at length derived from virtual population analysis, modelled values of proportion mature and weight at length, and observed values of the liver-condition index. A significant linear relationship between TLE and recruitment to age 3 was observed. The temporal trend in TLE suggests that the reproductive potential of the NA cod stock has been in decline since the mid-1970s. A multiple-regression model that included TLE, mean temperature, and mean alongshore wind stress as independent variables explained approximately 43% of the variation in recruitment. Reconstructing stock-recruit relationships using more sensitive measures of reproductive potential is the first step in resolving environmental effects on recruitment and in developing biological reference points that are more effective in stock conservation.

scholarly journals The effect of interannual variation in growth and condition on haddock recruitment

1999 ◽  
Vol 56 (3) ◽  
pp. 347-355 ◽  
Author(s):  
C Tara Marshall ◽  
Kenneth T Frank
Keyword(s):  
Egg Production ◽  
Interannual Variation ◽  
Population Analysis ◽  
Reproductive Potential ◽  
Indirect Approach ◽  
Virtual Population Analysis ◽  
Time Period ◽  
Virtual Population ◽  
Alternative Approach ◽  
The Relationship

The relationship between recruitment and spawner biomass assumes that estimates of spawner biomass are proportional to total egg production by the stock. The validity of this assumption is in question for long-lived gadoid stocks; however, estimating total egg production independently of spawner biomass is seldom feasible. An alternative approach is to examine correlations between recruitment and variables likely to be proxies for total egg production by the stock. This indirect approach was used for haddock on the Scotian Shelf. Indices of growth (mean length at age-4) and condition (weight at 50 cm) were used as proxies for the reproductive potential of individual spawners. Both variables were positively correlated with recruitment over a 3-decade period (1964-1995). During the same time period, there was no relationship between recruitment and spawner biomass estimated by Virtual Population Analysis (VPA). This is further evidence that VPA-based spawner biomass is a poor index of the true reproductive potential of the stock. The results highlight the need to develop more accurate/precise measures of total egg production for use in recruitment research.

Is spawner biomass a sensitive measure of the reproductive and recruitment potential of Northeast Arctic cod?

1998 ◽  
Vol 55 (7) ◽  
pp. 1766-1783 ◽  
Author(s):  
C Tara Marshall ◽  
Olav Sigurd Kjesbu ◽  
Nathalia A Yaragina ◽  
Per Solemdal ◽  
Øyvind Ulltang
Keyword(s):  
Egg Production ◽  
Gadus Morhua ◽  
Atlantic Cod ◽  
Population Analysis ◽  
Reproductive Potential ◽  
Fish Stocks ◽  
Virtual Population ◽  
Individual Scale ◽  
The Individual ◽  
The Relationship

The assumption that spawner biomass is directly proportional to total egg production by fish stocks underlies most spawner-recruit relationships. Despite its importance, this assumption is largely untested. Data describing the reproductive potential of Northeast Arctic (NEA) Atlantic cod (Gadus morhua) were used to test the proportionality assumption for a period showing strong variation in condition and abundance of spawners. At the individual scale, relative fecundity varied with length and condition. This decreases the likelihood that the proportionality assumption is valid. At the stock level, total egg production was estimated (1985-1996) using acoustic estimates of total abundance and demographic information from trawl sampling in combination with year-specific fecundity-length relationships. For NEA cod, spawner biomass estimated by virtual population analysis (VPA) was not proportional to total egg production. Compared with VPA-based estimates of spawner biomass, total egg production is an improved index of recruitment potential because (i) the magnitude of variation observed in total egg production was closer to that observed in recruitment and (ii) the relationship between recruitment at age 1 and total egg production approaches the origin. The results suggest that further progress in explaining recruitment variation will be achieved using more sensitive measures of the true reproductive potential of the stock.

scholarly journals Systematic bias in estimates of reproductive potential of an Atlantic cod (Gadus morhua) stock: implications for stock–recruit theory and management

2006 ◽  
Vol 63 (5) ◽  
pp. 980-994 ◽  
Author(s):  
C Tara Marshall ◽  
Coby L Needle ◽  
Anders Thorsen ◽  
Olav Sigurd Kjesbu ◽  
Nathalia A Yaragina
Keyword(s):  
Egg Production ◽  
Gadus Morhua ◽  
Atlantic Cod ◽  
Reproductive Potential ◽  
Threshold Level ◽  
Systematic Bias ◽  
Stock Status ◽  
Relative Fecundity ◽  
Time Period ◽  
Spawning Stock

Stock–recruit relationships that use spawning stock biomass (SSB) to represent reproductive potential assume that the proportion of SSB composed of females and the relative fecundity (number of eggs produced per unit mass) are both constant over time. To test these two assumptions, female-only spawner biomass (FSB) and total egg production (TEP) were estimated for the Northeast Arctic stock of Atlantic cod (Gadus morhua) over a 56-year time period. The proportion of females (FSB/SSB) varied between 24% and 68%, and the variation was systematic with length such that SSB became more female-biased as the mean length of spawners increased. Relative fecundity of the stock (TEP/SSB) varied between 115 and 355 eggs·g–1 and was significantly, positively correlated with mean length of spawners. Both FSB and TEP gave a different interpretation of the recruitment response to reductions in stock size (overcompensatory) compared with that obtained using SSB (either compensatory or depensatory). There was no difference between SSB and FSB in the assessment of stock status; however, in recent years (1980–2001) TEP fell below the threshold level at which recruitment becomes impaired more frequently than did SSB. This suggests that using SSB as a measure of stock reproductive potential could lead to overly optimistic assessments of stock status.

scholarly journals Accounting for uncertainty due to data processing in virtual population analysis using Bayesian multiple imputation

2018 ◽  
Vol 75 (6) ◽  
pp. 883-896 ◽  
Author(s):  
Thomas Carruthers ◽  
Laurence Kell ◽  
Carlos Palma
Keyword(s):  
Data Processing ◽  
Multiple Imputation ◽  
Stock Assessment ◽  
Population Analysis ◽  
Reference Points ◽  
Observation Error ◽  
Predictive Capacity ◽  
Data Set ◽  
Virtual Population Analysis ◽  
Virtual Population

Virtual population analysis (VPA) is used in many stock assessment settings and requires a total catch-at-age data set where an age is assigned to each fish that has been caught. These data sets are typically constructed using ad hoc methods that rely on numerous assumptions. Although approaches are available to account for observation error in these data, no statistically rigorous methods have been developed to account for uncertainty from data processing. To address this, we investigated a Bayesian multiple imputation approach to filling missing size data. Using Atlantic yellowfin tuna (Thunnus albacares) and bigeye tuna (Thunnus obesus) as case studies, we evaluated the hypothesis that data processing is as important in determining management reference points in stock assessments as conventional sources of uncertainty. Size imputation models accounting for location, season, and year provided good predictive capacity. Uncertainty from data processing could be large; however, the circumstances for this were unpredictable and varied depending on the stock. These results indicate that VPA assessments should attempt to account for uncertainty in data processing to avoid potentially large compression of uncertainty in assessment results.

scholarly journals Aspects of Population Dynamics of Tiger Tooth Croaker, Otolithes ruber (Bloch and Schneider, 1801) from Northwest Arabian Gulf, Iraq

2021 ◽  
pp. 9-21
Author(s):  
Abdul-Razak M. Mohamed ◽  
Ali H. Al-Hassani
Keyword(s):  
Population Dynamics ◽  
Population Analysis ◽  
Arabian Gulf ◽  
Relative Yield ◽  
Total Mortality ◽  
Reference Points ◽  
Virtual Population Analysis ◽  
Virtual Population ◽  
Exploitation Rate ◽  
Otolithes Ruber

The present study consists of the growth, mortality, relative yield recruit and virtual population analysis of tigertooth croaker, Otolithes ruber from Iraqi marine waters, northwest Arabian Gulf between February 2020 and January 2021. Analysis of population dynamics employed methods fitted in FiSAT II software using pooled length-frequencies. A total of 3835 individuals of O. ruber ranged from 17.0 to 60.0 cm have been collected. The exponent (b) of the length-weight relationship was found to be 2.755. The von Bertalanffy growth parameters (L∞ and K) were estimated as 68.5 cm and 0.36, respectively, while the growth performance index (Ø') was 3.228.  The total mortality (Z) was calculated as 1.10, while the natural and fishing mortality rates were 0.69 and 0.41, respectively, and the current exploitation rate (Ecurrent) was 0.38. Fish were recruited to the fishery at a mean size of L50= 20.55 cm. The recruitment pattern of O. ruber was continuous throughout the year with two major peaks. The analysis of yield-per-recruit (Y/R’) indicates that the current exploitation rate was below the biological target reference points (E0.1 = 0.40 and Emax= 0.53), refer to the stock of O. ruber is underexploited. The 27 cm length group was more vulnerable to fishing and more harvested according to virtual population analysis. sLength at first capture was higher than the length at first maturity of the species in the region. For management purposes, more yields could be obtained by increasing the mesh sizes of the nets employed in the fishing of the species. 

scholarly journals Aspects of Stock Assessment of Klunzinger's Mullet, Planiliza klunzengeri (Day, 1888) from Northwest Arabian Gulf, Iraq

2021 ◽  
pp. 25-36
Author(s):  
Ali H. Al-Hassani ◽  
Abdul-Razak M. Mohamed
Keyword(s):  
Stock Assessment ◽  
Population Analysis ◽  
Arabian Gulf ◽  
Total Mortality ◽  
Landing Site ◽  
Fishing Effort ◽  
Reference Points ◽  
Recruitment Pattern ◽  
Virtual Population Analysis ◽  
Virtual Population

The stock assessment of Klunzinger's mullet, Planiliza klunzengeri was conducted, to estimate its some aspects viz. growth, mortality, recruitment, yield-per-recruit and virtual population analysis in Iraqi marine waters, northwest Arabian Gulf, Iraq, from February 2020 and January 2021. The population parameters were analyzed by the FiSAT software using monthly length-frequency data collected by the Shaheen dhow and from the artisanal fishermen at the fish landing site in Al-Fao city to derive information required for their management. A total of 3319 individuals of P. klunzingeri ranged from 11.0 to 27.0 cm have been collected. Length-weight relationship was calculated as W= 0.026L2.716. The asymptotic length (L∞), growth rate (K) and the growth performance index (Ø') were 29.8 cm, 0.34 and 2.48, respectively. The rates of annual instantaneous of total mortality (Z), fishing mortality (F), natural mortality (M) and present exploitation (Epresent) were 1.19, 0.84, 0.36 and 0.30, respectively. The recruitment pattern of P. klunzingeri was continuous throughout the year, with one peak during May. The results of virtual population analysis revealed that the majority of P. klunzingeri were harvested between 14 cm and 19 cm. The length at first capture (L50) in the current study was higher than the length at first maturity (Lm) of the species in the region. The Epresent was below the biological target reference points (E0.1= 0.770 and Emax= 0.903), referred to the stock of P. klunzingeri is underexploited. Therefore, the harvest level should increase to its maximum sustainable yield level by increasing fishing effort level with monitoring surveys and evaluate the risk associated with fishing effort increases as fishing precautionary approaches.

Virtual Population Analysis (VPA) Equations for Nonhomogeneous Populations, and a Family of Approximations Including Improvements on Pope's Cohort Analysis

1986 ◽  
Vol 43 (12) ◽  
pp. 2406-2409 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alec D. MacCall
Keyword(s):  
Mortality Rate ◽  
Population Analysis ◽  
Seasonal Pattern ◽  
Cohort Analysis ◽  
Natural Mortality ◽  
Close Approximation ◽  
Virtual Population Analysis ◽  
Virtual Population ◽  
Special Case

A set of "backward" virtual population analysis (VPA) equations relates catch (Ct) from continuous fishing between times t and t + 1 to population n size (Nt, Nt+1) when a portion of the stock is unavailable to fishing. The usual VPA equations become a special case where the entire stock is available (i.e. the stock is homogeneous). A close approximation to the VPA equations is Nt = Nt+1 exp(M) + CtM/(1 − exp(−M)), which has properties similar to Pope's "cohort analysis" and is somewhat more accurate in the case of a continuous fishery, especially if the natural mortality rate (M) is large. Much closer simple approximations are possible if the seasonal pattern of catches is known.

Virtual population analysis of the big eye Priacanthus macracanthus in the waters off northeastern Taiwan

1999 ◽  
Vol 41 (3) ◽  
pp. 243-254 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kwang-Ming Liu ◽  
Yeu-Long Cheng
Keyword(s):  
Population Analysis ◽  
Virtual Population Analysis ◽  
Virtual Population

scholarly journals Fishery-induced changes in Norwegian red king crab (Paralithodes camtschaticus) reproductive potential

2013 ◽  
Vol 71 (2) ◽  
pp. 365-373 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ann Merete Hjelset
Keyword(s):  
Egg Production ◽  
Barents Sea ◽  
Reproductive Potential ◽  
Size Composition ◽  
Red King Crab ◽  
Paralithodes Camtschaticus ◽  
King Crab ◽  
Males And Females ◽  
Induced Changes ◽  
Individual Fecundity

Abstract Hjelset, A. M. 2014. Fishery-induced changes in Norwegian red king crab (Paralithodes camtschaticus) reproductive potential. – ICES Journal of Marine Science, 71: 365–373. The introduced red king crab (Paralithodes camtschaticus) in the Barents Sea supports a valuable fishery in northern Norway. In this paper, I examine the effect of the increased harvest rate and the recently added female quota on the potential egg production of the stock. The size ranges of males and females in the period 1995–2011 were recorded, and estimated stock abundance of ovigerous females and established individual fecundity parameters from 2000–2007 were used to assess the reproductive potential of the stock from 1995–2011. The upper size ranges of males and females decreased throughout the period studied, presumably mainly due to fishing. The change in size composition among ovigerous females and functional mature males, and the reduced mean individual fecundity in the stock seem to have had a negative effect on the potential egg production of the stock.

scholarly journals Does increased information about reproductive potential result in better prediction of recruitment?

2011 ◽  
Vol 68 (8) ◽  
pp. 1361-1368 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Joanne Morgan ◽  
Alfonso Perez-Rodriguez ◽  
Fran Saborido-Rey
Keyword(s):  
Reproductive Biology ◽  
Egg Production ◽  
Gadus Morhua ◽  
Reproductive Potential ◽  
Essential Element ◽  
Greenland Halibut ◽  
Greenland Halibut Reinhardtius Hippoglossoides ◽  
Difficult Challenge ◽  
The Relationship ◽  
Hippoglossoides Platessoides

The relationship between stock size and recruitment is an essential element in the understanding of the productivity of a population. However, predicting the number of recruits produced by a population has proven to be a difficult challenge. This may in part be a result of poor estimation of reproductive potential (RP). We determined if including increased information on reproductive biology in indices of RP results in better predictions of recruitment. We investigated some of the conditions that lead to better (or worse) recruitment prediction when more biologically complex indices of RP are used. Data from four populations in the Northwest Atlantic were examined: southern Grand Bank (NAFO Division 3NO) cod ( Gadus morhua ), Flemish Cap (NAFO Division 3M) cod, Newfoundland (NAFO Division 3LNO) American plaice ( Hippoglossoides platessoides ), and Greenland halibut ( Reinhardtius hippoglossoides ) (NAFO Subarea 2 + Division 3KLMNO). Stock–recruit models paired with complex indices of RP gave a better estimate of recruitment in slightly more than half of the tests conducted. When there were larger trends in the reproductive biology (maturity at age, sex ratio and egg production), more complex indices of RP were more likely to provide a better estimate of recruitment.

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