Population decline of the Japanese sardine, Sardinops melanostictus, in relation to sea surface temperature in the Kuroshio Extension
The relationship between the population size of the Japanese sardine, Sardinops melanostictus, and sea surface temperature (SST) from 1979 to 1994 was studied. Significant positive correlations were found between the natural mortality coefficient during the period from the postlarval stage to age 1 and winter-spring SST in the Kuroshio Extension and its southern recirculation area (30-35°N, 145-180°E). That is, higher (lower) SST over the possible migration route corresponded to higher (lower) mortality rate. This result is consistent with the high mortality and low population size for the high-SST period of the 1950's and 1960's and the population increase during the low-SST period of the 1970's and 1980's due to a decrease in mortality. The population decline after 1988 possibly occurred as a result of the abrupt increase in SST since 1988 in the Kuroshio Extension region and suggests a close relationship between interdecadal climate-ocean variability and sardine population size. This may also explain the relationship between biomass size and distribution area.