The Validity of Multinomial Logistic Regression and Artificial Neural Network in Predicting Sukuk Rating: Evidence from Indonesian Stock Exchange

2020 ◽  
Vol 23 (04) ◽  
pp. 2050032
Author(s):  
Muhammad Luqman Nurhakim ◽  
Zainul Kisman ◽  
Faizah Syihab

The Sukuk (shariah bond) market is developing in Indonesia and potentially will capture the global market in the future. It is an attractive investment product and a hot current issue in the capital market. Especially, the problem of predicting an accurate and trustworthy rating. As the Sukuk market developed, the issue of Sukuk rating emerged. As ordinary investors will have difficulty predicting their ratings going forward, this research will provide solutions to the problems above. The objective of this study is to determine the Indonesian Sukuk rating determinants and comparing the Sukuk rating predictive model. This research uses Artificial Neural Network (ANN) and Multinomial Logistic Regression (MLR) as the predictive analysis model. Data in this study are collected by purposive sampling and employing Sukuk rated by PEFINDO, an Indonesian rating agency. Findings in this study are debt, profitability and firm size significantly affecting Sukuk rating category and the ANN performs better predictive accuracy than MLR. The implications of the results of the research for the issuer and bondholder are a higher level of credit enhancement, a higher level of profitability, and the bigger size of firm rewarding higher Sukuk rating.

Author(s):  
W. Abdul Hameed ◽  
Anuradha D. ◽  
Kaspar S.

Breast tumor is a common problem in gynecology. A reliable test for preoperative discrimination between benign and malignant breast tumor is highly helpful for clinicians in culling the malignant cells through felicitous treatment for patients. This paper is carried out to generate and estimate both logistic regression technique and Artificial Neural Network (ANN) technique to predict the malignancy of breast tumor, utilizing Wisconsin Diagnosis Breast Cancer Database (WDBC). Our aim in this Paper is: (i) to compare the diagnostic performance of both methods in distinguishing between malignant and benign patterns, (ii) to truncate the number of benign cases sent for biopsy utilizing the best model as an auxiliary implement, and (iii) to authenticate the capability of each model to recognize incipient cases as an expert system.


Energies ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 12 (12) ◽  
pp. 2390 ◽  
Author(s):  
Olalekan Alade ◽  
Dhafer Al Shehri ◽  
Mohamed Mahmoud ◽  
Kyuro Sasaki

The viscosity data of two heavy oil samples X and Y, with asphaltene contents 24.8% w/w and 18.5% w/w, respectively, were correlated with temperature and pressure using empirical models and the artificial neural network (ANN) approach. The viscosities of the samples were measured over a range of temperatures between 70 °C and 150 °C; and from atmospheric pressure to 7 MPa. It was found that the viscosity of sample X, at 85 °C and atmospheric pressure (0.1 MPa), was 1894 cP and that it increased to 2787 cP at 7 MPa. At 150 °C, the viscosity increased from 28 cP (at 0.1 MPa) to 33 cP at 7 MPa. For sample Y, the viscosity at 70 °C and 0.1 MPa increased from 2260 cP to 3022 cP at 7 MPa. At 120 °C, the viscosity increased from 65 cP (0.1 MPa) to 71 cP at 7 MPa. Notably, using the three-parameter empirical models (Mehrotra and Svrcek, 1986 and 1987), the correlation constants obtained in this study are very close to those that were previously obtained for the Canadian heavy oil samples. Moreover, compared to other empirical models, statistical analysis shows that the ANN model has a better predictive accuracy (R2 ≈ 1) for the viscosity data of the heavy oil samples used in this study.


2014 ◽  
Vol 595 ◽  
pp. 263-268
Author(s):  
Chen Chiang Lin ◽  
Hsin Hui Chan ◽  
Chen Yuan Huang ◽  
Nang Shu Yang

Rotator cuff tears are the most common disorder of the shoulders.agnetic resonance Image (MRI) is the diagnostic gold standard of rotator cuff tears. However, there are some dilemmas in the rotator cuff tears treatment. Clinically, surgical results of rotator cuff tears are sometimes different from MRI results of rotator cuff tears. The main purpose of this study is to build up predicative models for pre-operative diagnosis of rotator cuff tears There are two models of this study are proposed: logistic regression model and artificial neural network model. Patients are divided into two sets: Set1 is patients with full thickness rotators cuff tears. Set 2 is patients with partial thickness rotators cuff tears. The charts of 158 patients are completely reviewed and the collected data were analyzed. The results showed that the predictive accuracy of artificial neural networks model is higher than the predictive accuracy of logistic model. The application of this study can assist doctors to increase the accuracy rate of pre-operative diagnosis and to decrease the legal problems.


2007 ◽  
Vol 35 (12) ◽  
pp. e8-e15
Author(s):  
Poursheikhali Asgary Mehdi ◽  
Abdolmaleki Parviz ◽  
Kazemnejad Anoshirvan ◽  
Jahandidehs Samad

2007 ◽  
Vol 23 (23) ◽  
pp. 3125-3130 ◽  
Author(s):  
M. Poursheikhali Asgary ◽  
S. Jahandideh ◽  
P. Abdolmaleki ◽  
A. Kazemnejad

2016 ◽  
pp. 476-499
Author(s):  
Can Elmar Balas

The new feasibility analysis model proposed in this study for coastal projects consists of three interrelated decision support models: 1) Artificial Neural Network (ANN) to determine the rates and capacity of cargo by considering the economical development of hinterland 2) Queuing model to determine the waiting to service time and the berth occupancy ratios by waiting time modeling of ships using discrete queuing simulation 3) Importance Sampling Monte Carlo (ISMC) to simulate ship arrivals/departures from the quays and to estimate income/expenditure parameters of the coastal project. As a case study, the proposed model was applied to the Iskenderun Pier in Turkey and the future loading/unloading cargo rates of pier were predicted by ANN's. The superiorities of this proposed simulation-ANN model to other classical investment planning methods were the inclusion of uncertainties in the investment parameters like the change of cargo and costs variables in time, and the determination of project benefit/cost with an improved accuracy when compared to classical decision support models.


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