Exact cash-account deflator for the G2++ model

2020 ◽  
Vol 07 (01) ◽  
pp. 2050009
Author(s):  
Francesco Strati ◽  
Luca G. Trussoni
Keyword(s):  
Monte Carlo Simulation ◽  
Monte Carlo ◽  
Insurance Industry ◽  
Random Variable ◽  
Time Span ◽  
Discrete Random Variable ◽  
Variable Formula ◽  
Monte Carlo Simulation Technique ◽  
Insurance Contracts ◽  
Embedded Options

In this paper, we shall propose a Monte Carlo simulation technique applied to a G2++ model: even when the number of simulated paths is small, our technique allows to find a precise simulated deflator. In particular, we shall study the transition law of the discrete random variable :[Formula: see text] in the time span [Formula: see text] conditional on the observation at time [Formula: see text], and we apply it in a recursive way to build the different paths of the simulation. We shall apply the proposed technique to the insurance industry, and in particular to the issue of pricing insurance contracts with embedded options and guarantees.

On Using Monte Carlo Simulations for Project Risk Management

2016 ◽  
pp. 150-173
Author(s):  
Cristiana Tudor ◽  
Maria Tudor
Keyword(s):  
Monte Carlo Simulation ◽  
Risk Management ◽  
Monte Carlo ◽  
Decision Makers ◽  
Project Schedule ◽  
Project Risk ◽  
Monte Carlo Simulation Technique ◽  
Basic Probability ◽  
The Cost

This chapter covers the essentials of using the Monte Carlo Simulation technique (MSC) for project schedule and cost risk analysis. It offers a description of the steps involved in performing a Monte Carlo simulation and provides the basic probability and statistical concepts that MSC is based on. Further, a simple practical spreadsheet example goes through the steps presented before to show how MCS can be used in practice to assess the cost and duration risk of a project and ultimately to enable decision makers to improve the quality of their judgments.

Influence of the Back-Jump Correlations on the Fermi-Dirac Statistics

1991 ◽  
Vol 02 (01) ◽  
pp. 227-231
Author(s):  
T. BARSZCZAK ◽  
R. KUTNER
Keyword(s):  
Monte Carlo Simulation ◽  
Monte Carlo ◽  
Simulation Technique ◽  
Monte Carlo Simulation Technique

The influence of the essential Bardeen-Herring back-jump correlations on the Fermi-Dirac statistics is studied by the Monte Carlo simulation technique and semi-analytically.

On certain coloring parameters of Mycielski graphs of some graphs

2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (03) ◽  
pp. 1850030
Author(s):  
N. K. Sudev ◽  
K. P. Chithra ◽  
K. A. Germina ◽  
S. Satheesh ◽  
Johan Kok
Keyword(s):  
Graph Coloring ◽  
Random Variable ◽  
Proper Coloring ◽  
Discrete Random Variable ◽  
Variable Formula ◽  
Statistical Measures ◽  
Random Experiment ◽  
Mean And Variance

Coloring the vertices of a graph [Formula: see text] according to certain conditions can be considered as a random experiment and a discrete random variable [Formula: see text] can be defined as the number of vertices having a particular color in the proper coloring of [Formula: see text]. The concepts of mean and variance, two important statistical measures, have also been introduced to the theory of graph coloring and determined the values of these parameters for a number of standard graphs. In this paper, we discuss the coloring parameters of the Mycielskian of certain standard graphs.

scholarly journals Uncertainty Analysis of Greenhouse Gas (GHG) Emissions Simulated by the Parametric Monte Carlo Simulation and Nonparametric Bootstrap Method

Energies ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 13 (18) ◽  
pp. 4965
Author(s):  
Kun Mo Lee ◽  
Min Hyeok Lee ◽  
Jong Seok Lee ◽  
Joo Young Lee
Keyword(s):  
Monte Carlo Simulation ◽  
Monte Carlo ◽  
Emission Factor ◽  
Bootstrap Method ◽  
Ghg Emissions ◽  
Parametric Bootstrap ◽  
Random Variable ◽  
Ghg Emission ◽  
Nonparametric Bootstrap ◽  
Mcs Method

Uncertainty of greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions was analyzed using the parametric Monte Carlo simulation (MCS) method and the non-parametric bootstrap method. There was a certain number of observations required of a dataset before GHG emissions reached an asymptotic value. Treating a coefficient (i.e., GHG emission factor) as a random variable did not alter the mean; however, it yielded higher uncertainty of GHG emissions compared to the case when treating a coefficient constant. The non-parametric bootstrap method reduces the variance of GHG. A mathematical model for estimating GHG emissions should treat the GHG emission factor as a random variable. When the estimated probability density function (PDF) of the original dataset is incorrect, the nonparametric bootstrap method, not the parametric MCS method, should be the method of choice for the uncertainty analysis of GHG emissions.

EFFECTS OF SURFACE LOSS IN REELS SPECTRA OF SILVER

1997 ◽  
Vol 04 (05) ◽  
pp. 955-958 ◽  
Author(s):  
K. TÖKÉSI ◽  
L. KÖVÉR ◽  
D. VARGA ◽  
J. TÓTH ◽  
T. MUKOYAMA
Keyword(s):  
Monte Carlo Simulation ◽  
Monte Carlo ◽  
Energy Loss ◽  
Electron Scattering ◽  
Primary Beam ◽  
Monte Carlo Simulation Technique ◽  
Surface Normal ◽  
Beam Incidence ◽  
Polycrystalline Silver ◽  
Electron Energy Loss

The energy distribution of the electrons backscattered in the direction of the surface normal of polycrystalline silver samples was studied using reflected electron energy loss spectroscopy (REELS) at 200 eV and 2 keV primary beam energies. For modeling the electron scattering processes, the Monte Carlo simulation technique was used and the REELS spectra were calculated at various (25°, 50° and 75°, with respect to the surface normal) angles of primary beam incidence. The effects of the surface energy loss process in REELS are evaluated from the comparison of the experimental and simulated spectra.

Markov Chain Monte Carlo simulation of the distribution of some perpetuities

1999 ◽  
Vol 31 (01) ◽  
pp. 112-134 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jostein Paulsen ◽  
Arne Hove
Keyword(s):  
Monte Carlo Simulation ◽  
Monte Carlo ◽  
Markov Chain ◽  
Markov Chain Monte Carlo ◽  
Lévy Process ◽  
Sufficient Conditions ◽  
Random Variable ◽  
Levy Process ◽  
Present Value ◽  
Strong Markov

We study the present value Z ∞ = ∫0 ∞ e-X t- dY t where (X,Y) is an integrable Lévy process. This random variable appears in various applications, and several examples are known where the distribution of Z ∞ is calculated explicitly. Here sufficient conditions for Z ∞ to exist are given, and the possibility of finding the distribution of Z ∞ by Markov chain Monte Carlo simulation is investigated in detail. Then the same ideas are applied to the present value Z - ∞ = ∫0 ∞ exp{-∫0 t R s ds}dY t where Y is an integrable Lévy process and R is an ergodic strong Markov process. Numerical examples are given in both cases to show the efficiency of the Monte Carlo methods.

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