Is the Economic Growth of a Country Explained by the Banking System or the Capital Market? The ARDL Model Applied in the Analysis for Ecuador

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Cinthya Alexandra Vélez Salas ◽  
Silvia Mariela Méndez Prado ◽  
Vicente Omar Aguirre Quiñonez
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Capital Market ◽  
Banking System ◽  
Ardl Model ◽  
The Capital Market

scholarly journals Capital Market Performance as a Panacea for Economic Growth in Nigeria

2019 ◽  
Vol 13 (2) ◽  
pp. 1
Author(s):  
Akpokerere Othuke Emmanuel ◽  
Okoroyibo Eloho Elizabeth
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Capital Market ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Market Performance ◽  
Secondary Data ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Ex Post ◽  
Ordinary Least Square Regression ◽  
Market Variables ◽  
The Capital Market

The paper examined capital market performance as a panacea for economic growth in Nigeria from 1986-2016. A number of related literatures have shown that the Nigerian capital market variables studied has satisfactory market performance and has contributed to economic growth. Yet some researchers observed that the capital market has not significantly mobilized and effectively channeled substantial capital to the real sector of the economy. What could have been the reason for the divergences? The study was anchored on the demand following hypothesis. Secondary data were sourced from Central Bank of Nigeria Statistical Bulletin and Nigeria Stock Exchange fact-book of various editions. The paper adopted the ex-post facto research design while ordinary least square regression techniques was used to process the data gathered using E-views 9.0 software. The null hypotheses (Ho) were tested at 5% level of significance. The findings of the paper revealed that there is negative and insignificant relationship between capital market and the variables studied. The paper conclude that liquidity of the capital market is pivotal for economic growth in Nigeria while the study recommended that all tiers of government should be encouraged to fund their realistic long term developmental program through the Nigeria capital market.

scholarly journals Capital Market and Economic Growth in Nigeria: An Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) Bounds Testing Approach

2021 ◽  
Vol 1 (2) ◽  
Author(s):  
Panan Danladi Gwaison ◽  
Livinus Nkuri Maimako ◽  
Pokyes Shekara Mwolchet
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Capital Market ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Series Data ◽  
Fair Trading ◽  
Market Capitalization ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Autoregressive Distributed Lag ◽  
Long Run ◽  
The Capital Market

The role of the capital market in the growth and development of any economy need not be over-emphasized. The capital market is a complex institution and mechanisms through which economic units desirous to invest their surplus fund, interact directly or through financial intermediaries with those who wish to procure funds for their businesses. The Nigerian capital market started operations in mid-1961 with eight stocks and equities; with about seven United Kingdom (UK) firms quoted on the Nigerian Stock Exchange (NSE) which had, at the same time, dual quotations on the London Stock Exchange. This study examined the impact of the capital market on economic growth in Nigeria from 1981 to 2018. The expo facto research design was adopted for this study. The time-series data for the study were sourced from CBN statistical bulletin. Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) was used with the aid of e-view 10 software. The ARDL Bounds test revealed the existence of a long-run relationship among the variables. The result revealed that market capitalization has positive and insignificant effects on economic growth both in the short and long run. There is unidirectional causality among the variables.  The study recommended that regulatory authorities should restore confidence in the market by ensuring transparency and fair trading dealings and transactions in the market to enhance economic growth. There should be an improvement in the moribund market capitalization, by encouraging more foreign investors to participate in the market, maintain a state of the art technology like automated trading and settlement practices, electronic fund clearance, and eliminate physical transfer of shares.

scholarly journals Does the Capital Market Spur Economic Growth? Evidence from Nigeria

2017 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 90-99
Author(s):  
Taiwo Adewale Taiwo Adewale Muritala
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Capital Market ◽  
Negative Impact ◽  
Unit Root Test ◽  
Development Program ◽  
Least Square ◽  
Secondary Sources ◽  
Augmented Dickey Fuller ◽  
The Government ◽  
The Capital Market

This study critically examines the relationship between the capital market and economic growth of Nigeria. Data are mainly obtained from secondary sources, the CBN statistical bulletin over the period of 1980–2015. The results from the augmented Dickey Fuller unit root test show that all the variables were stationary at the level except RGDP, MCAP and TNI, which were stationary at the first difference. The results from Ordinary Least Square (OLS) reveal that total new issue, market capitalization, and total listing positively impact  the economy while the value of the transaction has a negative impact on real gross domestic product. The study recommends, among others, that the government implement measures to build up investors’ confidence in the capital market by fair transactions, by increasing investment instruments on the market; all the tiers of government should encourage funding their realistic development program through the capital market.

scholarly journals Model Pengaruh Kinerja Ekonomi Dan Kinerja Pasar Uang Terhadap Kinerja Bursa Efek Indonesia

2008 ◽  
Vol 1 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Efraim Ferdinan Giri
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Linear Function ◽  
Capital Market ◽  
Market Performance ◽  
Function Model ◽  
Long Run ◽  
Short Run ◽  
Log Linear ◽  
The Impact ◽  
The Capital Market

Based on rule of thumb, economic growth will influence the capital market performance and financial market performance will affect the capital market performance. We use the Error correction model approach to analysis between variable. TARCH approach is employed, based on the ‘identification through heteroscedasticity’ technique, to estimate the impact of a change in the growth and kurs variable to IHSG. This study indicates that economic growth is not affect IHSG statistically significant in the short run, but positive statistically significant in the long run. This study show that increasing in $US exchange rate will lessening capital market performance. Additional analysis in this research shows the linear function model more proper than log-linear function model to predict this relationship.

scholarly journals THE ALBANIAN ECONOMY IN THE STOCK MARKET PERSPECTIVE

2019 ◽  
Vol 31 (1) ◽  
pp. 149-155
Author(s):  
Bajram Lamaj ◽  
Stefan Simeonov
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rates ◽  
Capital Market ◽  
Banking Sector ◽  
Stock Exchange ◽  
Banking System ◽  
Financial System ◽  
Economic Benefits ◽  
Stock Index ◽  
Individual Investors ◽  
The Capital Market

Since the origin of the capitalist economic system, Albania suffers from a shrinking financial system. The financial system lacks what is perhaps the most important and dynamic part in developed economies: a capital market. It is an important element for the country's economic and financial development, as it is a very competitive alternative to the banking sector, reducing intermediation costs for businesses and all economic operators by enabling cheaper alternatives to fund the activity. Today, the banking system has almost exhausted opportunities to be a business financing promoter. And this is the stage where the Albanian economy has come to. Businesses cannot meet all the financing needs of the banking system, while on the other hand, there are individuals who, at the moment, have little choice of investment of their savings. Interest rates, both for bank deposits and government securities, have already reached an extremely low level and are not at all attractive for individual investors, which makes them look for far more attractive investment alternatives. In this way the scholarship will bring an alternative that individuals can invest savings in shares or other securities of companies that will be interested in trading in Albania thus developing the capital market and taking advantage of all the economic benefits that it brings. In this paper, we will firstly address the concept of the capital market and the elements that shape it as well as its development in Albania. The main purpose of this paper is to identify the problems faced by Tirana's former scholarship, to study the situation and the current opportunities of the Albanian economy to develop this structure of the capital market, namely the stock exchange, and to create a stock index model with which Albania can develop this structure and why not be represented in the regional and international markets.

Capital Market Resources as the Financial Source of Real Sector

2007 ◽  
pp. 92-103
Author(s):  
A. Dvoretskaya
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Capital Markets ◽  
Capital Market ◽  
National Economy ◽  
Banking System ◽  
Real Sector ◽  
Financial Instruments ◽  
Corporate Sector ◽  
Global Capital

The article considers capital market as a uniform institutional segment of national economy which provides funds for real sector. Special attention is paid to resources of stock market - shared and debt financial instruments. The analysis of national and global capital markets contribution to financing the corporate sector is presented. The paper outlines real competition between banking system and stock market according to capital recipients’ standpoint. The interaction mechanisms between banking and stock market sectors for effective economic growth are described.

Capital market development and bank efficiency: a cross-country analysis

2019 ◽  
Vol 15 (4) ◽  
pp. 478-491 ◽  
Author(s):  
Thanh Ngo ◽  
Tu Le
Keyword(s):  
Causal Relationship ◽  
Capital Market ◽  
Banking System ◽  
Market Development ◽  
Banking Efficiency ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Banking Systems ◽  
Global Banking ◽  
The World ◽  
The Capital Market

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to empirically investigate the causal relationship between banking efficiency and capital market development in 86 countries between 2006 and 2011. Design/methodology/approach The authors follow the two-stage framework: data envelopment analysis (DEA) with the use of financial ratios is used to arrive at efficiency scores of the banks in the first stage. Thereafter, those efficiency scores will be linked with the development level of the capital markets of the corresponding country in the second stage using the generalised method of moments in a simultaneous equations model. Findings The authors found that banking systems around the world were still inefficient, suggesting that it would take time for the global banking system to recover after the global financial crisis 2007/2008. More importantly, the findings demonstrated that the larger the capital market is, the less efficient its banking system would be. In contrast, banking efficiency can positively influence the development of the capital market. Research limitations/implications The data are unbalanced and limited to 86 countries; the study did not analyse the productivity change over time of those banking systems; and it would be useful to test the first-stage DEA with different sets of variables as well as different assumptions. Practical implications The paper suggests that for any economy around the world, an improvement in banking performance and efficiency rather than capital market development should be a priority, alongside with monitoring inflation. Originality/value The paper provides an unbiased analysis of the causal relationship between the banking sector and the capital market.

scholarly journals Capital market and economic growth in Malaysia: the role of ṣukūk and other sub-components

2021 ◽  
Vol ahead-of-print (ahead-of-print) ◽  
Author(s):  
Yan-Ling Tan ◽  
Roslina Mohamad Shafi
Keyword(s):  
Economic Growth ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Capital Market ◽  
Market Liquidity ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Stock Market Development ◽  
Distributed Lag ◽  
Long Run ◽  
The Capital Market

Purpose The purpose of this paper is to explore the effects of the capital market on economic growth by considering the role of ṣukūk (Islamic investment certificates) and other capital market sub-components in Malaysia between 1998 and 2018. Design/methodology/approach The empirical investigation is based on the autoregressive distributed lag (ARDL) cointegration bounds test. Findings The results reveal the prevalence of a long-run equilibrium relationship between capital market variables and economic growth. As expected, bond market components (ṣukūk and conventional bonds) have a positive, albeit insignificant influence on economic growth. In contrast, in the long-term, stock market development – regardless of the indicator used on economic growth – is shown to have a significant and positive effect. The study suggests that stock market sub-components affect Malaysia’s economic growth the most. Research limitations/implications The primary limitation of this study is that only corporate ṣukūk were considered, while government ṣukūk were excluded from the estimation due to a lack of requisite information, resources and data. Practical implications A strategic framework should be established, especially in pricing efficiencies. Furthermore, there is a need to create more awareness on the benefits of ṣukūk investment among conventional bond investors, including retail investors. Thus, there will be more players in the ṣukūk market, and this will help to improve market liquidity. Originality/value Apart from conventional capital market sub-components, this study takes into account ṣukūk as a sub-component in the capital market on economic growth using the ARDL framework. Also, this study particularly concentrates on the world’s largest ṣukūk issuer, Malaysia, rather than focusing on other ṣukūk-issuing countries.

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