Credibility Evaluation Method of Simulation System Based on Improved Evidence Theory

Author(s):  
Fankang Bu ◽  
Jun He ◽  
Haorun Li ◽  
Qiang Fu
Complexity ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 2020 ◽  
pp. 1-12
Author(s):  
Hui Zhao ◽  
Zehui Bu ◽  
Shengbin Ma

In order to make up for the shortage of public-private partnership (PPP) model, more and more sewage treatment PPP projects have adopted the asset-backed securitization (ABS) model. To ensure success of sewage treatment PPPABS projects, risk evaluation, which has remained scarcity and unscientific, is becoming an urgent problem to be solved. Firstly, this paper identifies critical risk factors by literature analysis and expert interview. The final risk system is established from the perspectives of macrorisks, basic asset risks, transaction structure risks, operational risks, and other risks, which include 17 second risk factors. Then, the overall risk evaluation method is proposed based on combination weight method and Dempster–Shafer (D-S) evidence theory. Next, Beijing capital Co. Ltd. sewage treatment PPPABS project as a case is employed to verify the feasibility and effectiveness of the proposed method. Finally, awareness of existing risks, suggestions from law risk, quality risk, underwriting and issue risk, and credit enhancement are provided for sewage treatment PPPABS projects. All above studies are expected to provide helpful references for evaluating overall risk of sewage treatment PPPABS projects.


2011 ◽  
Vol 460-461 ◽  
pp. 311-316
Author(s):  
Zhi Yong Qu ◽  
Jun Wei Han

Many errors including radial error influence the accuracy of simulation turntable, which is a crucial equipment in hardware-in-the-loop simulation system. The aim of this paper is to propose a new method of radial error motion separation of rotating spindle on a simulation turntable. Based on transformation matrix and small angle approximation, gesture transformation matrix with various error items is achieved. As a result of this analysis, form errors of master ball are corrected and the eccentricity from the rotation error of a spindle is separated. This radial error analysis is carried out when this measurement result is applied to a simulation turntable. Furthermore, this study also permits the user to know how to minimize some error sources of the spindle system.


2012 ◽  
Vol 524-527 ◽  
pp. 426-430
Author(s):  
Gang Xu ◽  
Yang Ding ◽  
Tian Jun Zhang

Coal mine safety assessment is an important ways for identification and elimination of danger in coal mine production systems. This paper introduce D-S evidence theory in evaluation of coal mine safety to solve the uncertainty problem of randomicity and faintness in evaluation of coal mine safety. The evaluation model of coal mine safety is set up based on evidence theory and the detailed arithmetic of evidence theory is brought forward, and according to some decision making rule the Chaohua Coal Mine has been evaluated. The results show that the model can solve the problem of uncertainty preferable and evaluation results with more accuracy and reliability.


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