Exchange rate, foreign direct investment, inflation and export performance in Malaysia

Author(s):  
H. N. Au Yong ◽  
Bryan Yeoh
2012 ◽  
Vol 2012 ◽  
pp. 1-10 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bishnu Kumar Adhikary

This paper investigates the impact of foreign direct investment (FDI), trade openness, domestic demand, and exchange rate on the export performance of Bangladesh over the period of 1980–2009 using the vector error correction (VEC) model under the time series framework. The stationarity of the variables is checked both at the intercept and intercept plus trend regression forms under the ADF and PP stationarity tests. The Johansen-Juselius procedure is applied to test the cointegration relationship between variables followed by the VEC regression model. The empirical results trace a long-run equilibrium relationship in the variables. FDI is found to be an important factor in explaining the changes in exports both in the short run and long-run. However, the study does not trace any significant causal relationship for the cases of trade openness, domestic demand, and exchange rate. The study concludes that Bangladesh should formulate FDI-led polices to enhance its exports.


2020 ◽  
Vol 12 (3) ◽  
pp. 38
Author(s):  
Samuel Erasmus Alnaa ◽  
Ferdinand Ahiakpor

The paper seeks to determine the effect of exchange rate volatility on foreign direct investment in Ghana from 1986 to 2017. The study adopted the Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity model to fit the data set from 1986-2017. The results indicate that, previous quarter information can influence current quarter volatility in Foreign Direct Investment. Real exchange rate, gross domestic product and treasure bill rate considered as external factors, are all found to be significant. This shows that, volatility from these factors can spillover to volatility in foreign direct investment.  To ensure stable inflow of foreign direct investment, we recommend that policies should gear towards stability in the forex market and interest rate among others.


2018 ◽  
Vol 20 (1) ◽  
pp. 1-12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Perekunah B. Eregha

Exchange-rate movements are mostly unpredictable, and this tends to affect both trade and foreign investment flows. This is because foreign investors are unclear on the returns to investment decisions in such cases. Hence, this study examines the effect of exchange rate, its volatility and uncertainty on foreign direct investment (FDI) inflow in West African monetary zone (WAMZ). The study covers the period1980–2014, and the within estimator for the fixed effect model is employed. The study accounts for both exchange rate volatility and uncertainty measures which are anticipated and unanticipated exchange rate innovations measures, respectively. The results show that exchange-rate movements in WAMZ countries are more of unanticipated than anticipated innovations in affecting FDI inflow. Therefore, policies aimed at targeting exchange-rate stability are essential in the WAMZ countries since investors are profit maximizers; hence, investment uncertainties must be kept as low as possible. Also since WAMZ export sectors are primary products based, policies should be geared towards the diversification of the export sectors to combat unanticipated global shocks from commodity prices movement in having an effect on the exchange rate through the foreign exchange reserve channel.


2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (9) ◽  
pp. 43
Author(s):  
Thomas Mosbei ◽  
Silas Kiprono Samoei ◽  
Clement Cheruiyot Tison ◽  
Edwin Kipyego Kipchoge

East Africa Community exchange rate volatility spiraled up when the countries adopted the Structural Adjustment Policies in early 1980s. The question that remains unanswered is whether exchange rate volatility hinders or promotes trade. The objective of this study was to determine the effect of exchange rate volatility and its effect on Intra-East Africa community regional trade. Unit root tests results indicated that some of the variables were stationary at levels and on first difference, all variables were I(1). Differenced panel data was fitted into the General Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity model to measure volatility. Hausman test showed that the fixed effect model was appropriate exchange rate, money supply, population and foreign direct investment significantly determines intra-East Africa Community regional trade. It was concluded that exchange rate volatility is observable in the Intra-East Africa region and further, exchange rate, money supply, population, and foreign direct investment significantly influenced intra-EAC regional trade. It is recommended that EAC member states should formulate policies that ensures exchange rate stability in the region to reduce unpredictability of exchange rate. Policies should be enacted to guarantee adequate money supply and encourage foreign direct investments.


Author(s):  
Sena Kimm Gnangnon ◽  
Susana Del Mar Ramirez Ramirez

An important literature on the recipient-countries’ export performance effect of Aid for Trade (AfT) flows has focused on the goods side. The few existing studies on the services exports effects of AfT interventions have reached mixed results, reflecting a positive or weak effect. This study aims to complement these few studies by examining the effect of AfT flows on recipient-countries’ share of services exports in the world services exports (‘services export integration’), including through two main channels: their share of merchandises exports in the world merchandises exports (‘merchandises export integration’) and the size of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) inflows. The empirical analysis, based on a sample of 105 countries over the period 2002–2016, has shown that these two channels definitely matter for the effect of AfT flows on countries’ services export integration. Specifically, by fostering countries’ merchandises export integration, AfT flows can promote their services export integration. Furthermore, promoting FDI inflows enhances the positive effect of AfT flows on countries’ services export integration.


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