scholarly journals A New Method for Evaporation Modeling: Dynamic Evolving Neural-Fuzzy Inference System

2017 ◽  
Vol 2017 ◽  
pp. 1-9 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ozgur Kisi ◽  
Iman Mansouri ◽  
Jong Wan Hu

Evaporation estimation is very essential for planning and development of water resources. The study investigates the ability of new method, dynamic evolving neural-fuzzy inference system (DENFIS), in modeling monthly pan evaporation. Monthly maximum and minimum temperatures, solar radiation, wind speed, and relative humidity data obtained from two stations located in Turkey are used as inputs to the models. The results of DENFIS method were compared with the classical adaptive neural-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) by using root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute relative error (MARE), and Nash-Sutcliffe Coefficient (NS) statistics. Cross validation was applied for better comparison of the models. The results indicated that DENFIS models increased the accuracy of ANFIS models to some extent. RMSE, MARE, and NS of the ANFIS model were increased by 11.13, 11.45, and 6.83% for the Antalya station and 20.11, 12.94%, and 8.29% for the Antakya station using DENFIS.

2020 ◽  
Vol 49 (4) ◽  
pp. 354-373
Author(s):  
Semih Kale

Abstract An accurate estimation of the sea surface temperature (SST) is of great importance. Therefore, the objective of this work was to develop an adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) model to predict SST in the Çanakkale Strait. The observed monthly air temperature, evaporation and precipitation data from the Çanakkale meteorological observation station were used as input data. The Takagi–Sugeno fuzzy inference system was applied. The grid partition method (ANFIS-GP) and the subtractive clustering partitioning method (ANFIS-SC) were used with Gaussian membership functions to generate the fuzzy inference system. Six performance evaluation criteria were used to evaluate the developed SST prediction models, including mean square error (MSE), root mean square error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE), mean absolute percentage error (MAPE), Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency (NSE) and correlation of determination (R2). The dataset was randomly divided into training and testing datasets for the machine learning process. Training data accounted for 75% of the dataset, while 25% of the dataset was allocated for testing in ANFIS. The hybrid algorithm was selected as a training algorithm for the ANFIS. Simulation results revealed that the ANFIS-SC4 model provided a higher correlation coefficient of 0.96 between the observed and predicted SST values. The results of this study suggest that the developed ANFIS model can be applied for predicting sea surface temperature around the world.


2013 ◽  
Vol 8 (4) ◽  
pp. 155892501300800 ◽  
Author(s):  
A.R. Fallahpour ◽  
A.R. Moghassem

This study compares capabilities of two different modelling methodologies for predicting breaking strength of rotor spun yarns. Forty eight yarn samples were produced considering variations in three drawing frame parameters namely break draft, delivery speed, and distance between back and middle rolls. Several topologies with different architectures were trained to get the best adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) and gene expression programming (GEP) models. Prediction performance of the GEP model was compared with that of ANFIS using root mean square error (RMSE) and correlation coefficient (R2-Value) parameters on the test data. Results show that, the GEP model has a significant priority over the ANFIS model in term of prediction accuracy. The correlation coefficient (R2-value) and root mean square error for the GEP model were 0.87 and 0.35 respectively, while these parameters were 0.48 and 0.53 for the ANFIS model. Also, a mathematical formula was developed with high degree of accuracy using GEP algorithm to predict the breaking strength of the yarns. This advantage is not accessible in the ANFIS model.


Author(s):  
YUANYUAN CHAI ◽  
LIMIN JIA

In order to solve the defects of consequent part expression in ANFIS model and several shortcomings in FIS, this paper presents a Choquet Integral–OWA based Fuzzy Inference System, known as AggFIS. This model has advantages in consequent part of fuzzy rule, universal expression of fuzzy inference operator and importance factor of each criteria and each rule, which is trying to establish fuzzy inference system that can fully reflect the essence of fuzzy logic and human thinking pattern. If we combine AggFIS with a feed forward-type neural network according to the basic principles of fuzzy neural network, we can obtain Choquet Integral–OWA based Adaptive Neural Fuzzy Inference System, which is named Agg-ANFIS. We apply this Agg-ANFIS model into the evaluation of traffic level of service. The experimental results show that Choquet Integral–OWA based Adaptive Neural Fuzzy Inference System (Agg-ANFIS) is a universal approximator because of its infinite approximating capability by training and can be used in complex systems modeling, analysis and prediction.


2017 ◽  
Vol 49 (4) ◽  
pp. 1221-1233 ◽  
Author(s):  
Okan Eray ◽  
Cihan Mert ◽  
Ozgur Kisi

AbstractAccurately modeling pan evaporation is important in water resources planning and management and also in environmental engineering. This study compares the accuracy of two new data-driven methods, multi-gene genetic programming (MGGP) approach and dynamic evolving neural-fuzzy inference system (DENFIS), in modeling monthly pan evaporation. The climatic data, namely, minimum temperature, maximum temperature, solar radiation, relative humidity, wind speed, and pan evaporation, obtained from Antakya and Antalya stations, Mediterranean Region of Turkey were utilized in the study. The MGGP and DENFIS methods were also compared with genetic programming (GP) and calibrated version of Hargreaves Samani (CHS) empirical method. For Antakya station, GP had slightly better accuracy than the MGGP and DENFIS models and all the data-driven models performed were superior to the CHS while the DENFIS provided better performance than the other models in modeling pan evaporation at Antalya station. The effect of periodicity input to the models' accuracy was also investigated and it was found that adding periodicity significantly increased the accuracy of MGGP and DENFIS models.


2012 ◽  
Vol 482-484 ◽  
pp. 2192-2196
Author(s):  
Yuan Tian ◽  
Zi Ma ◽  
Peng Li

For improving precision of 3D surface measurement equipments, which are playing important role in reverse engineering, the Adaptive Network based Fuzzy Inference System (ANFIS) is developed to reconstruct 3D surface error, and the measurement error of point cloud is compensated by the presented 3D error ANFIS model. The precision of 3D surface measurement equipments has been improved noticeably


2018 ◽  
Vol 2018 ◽  
pp. 1-8 ◽  
Author(s):  
Qiang Ye ◽  
Yi Xia ◽  
Zhiming Yao

A common feature that is typical of the patients with neurodegenerative (ND) disease is the impairment of motor function, which can interrupt the pathway from cerebrum to the muscle and thus cause movement disorders. For patients with amyotrophic lateral sclerosis disease (ALS), the impairment is caused by the loss of motor neurons. While for patients with Parkinson’s disease (PD) and Huntington’s disease (HD), it is related to the basal ganglia dysfunction. Previously studies have demonstrated the usage of gait analysis in characterizing the ND patients for the purpose of disease management. However, most studies focus on extracting characteristic features that can differentiate ND gait from normal gait. Few studies have demonstrated the feasibility of modelling the nonlinear gait dynamics in characterizing the ND gait. Therefore, in this study, a novel approach based on an adaptive neuro-fuzzy inference system (ANFIS) is presented for identification of the gait of patients with ND disease. The proposed ANFIS model combines neural network adaptive capabilities and the fuzzy logic qualitative approach. Gait dynamics such as stride intervals, stance intervals, and double support intervals were used as the input variables to the model. The particle swarm optimization (PSO) algorithm was utilized to learn the parameters of the ANFIS model. The performance of the system was evaluated in terms of sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy using the leave-one-out cross-validation method. The competitive classification results on a dataset of 13 ALS patients, 15 PD patients, 20 HD patients, and 16 healthy control subjects indicated the effectiveness of our approach in representing the gait characteristics of ND patients.


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