scholarly journals Analysis of Severe Injury Accident Rates on Interstate Highways Using a Random Parameter Tobit Model

2017 ◽  
Vol 2017 ◽  
pp. 1-6 ◽  
Author(s):  
Minho Park ◽  
Dongmin Lee

In this study, a random parameter Tobit regression model approach was used to account for the distinct censoring problem and unobserved heterogeneity in accident data. We used accident rate data (continuous data) instead of accident frequency data (discrete count data) to address the zero cell problems from data where roadway segments do not have any recorded accidents over the observed time period. The unobserved heterogeneity problem is also considered by using random parameters, which are parameter estimates that vary across observations instead of fixed parameters, which are parameter estimates that are fixed/constant over observations. Nine years (1999–2007) of panel data related to severe injury accidents in Washington State, USA, were used to develop the random parameter Tobit model. The results showed that the Tobit regression model with random parameters is a better approach to explore factors influencing severe injury accident rates on roadway segments under consideration of unobserved heterogeneity problems.

2010 ◽  
Vol 16 (59) ◽  
pp. 179
Author(s):  
فاضل حميد هادي ◽  
طاهر ريسان دخيل

إن تحديد وكشف الأسباب التي تؤدي إلى مشكلة عدم الإنجاب تعد من الأولويات التي يهتم بها الأطباء والباحثون إذ إن تحديدها وكذلك تحديد أولوية الأسباب المؤدية لها يمكن أن تساعدهم في الكشف المبكر عنها ومحاولة معالجتها، ومن هنا تأتي أهمية هذا البحث الذي يحاول تحديد بعض المتغيرات وبيان مدى قوة تأثيرها في مشكلة عدم الإنجاب وذلك من خلال تأثيرها في زيادة أو نقصان أعداد الحيوانات المنوية النشطة عند الرجل كونها المسئولة عن حدوث عملية التلقيح وبالتالي حصول الحمل عند المرأة وقد تم الاستعانة بآراء الأطباء والمختصين في تحديد هذه المتغيرات وقد تم استخدام نموذج انحدار توبت (Tobit Regression model)  لتحديد هذه المتغيرات وبالاعتماد على عينة عشوائية قوامها 150 مشاهدة.  


Author(s):  
Jason Anderson ◽  
Salvador Hernandez

Studies investigating crash rates by roadway classification are few and far between and even more rare if extended to focus on heavy vehicles. This study explored and compared two advanced econometric methods—random-parameter Tobit regression and latent class Tobit regression—to determine contributing factors for heavy-vehicle crashes per million vehicle miles traveled while accounting for the unobserved heterogeneity present in crash data. The increasing crash rates in Idaho, crash proportion by roadway classification, and available data made an ideal case study. Empirical results show that although the random-parameter Tobit regression model provides better insight into heavy-vehicle crash rates than the fixed-parameter approach, the latent class Tobit regression model is the preferred methodology for the given data set. Traffic volumes, roadway characteristics, and traffic control devices were among the variables found to be statistically significant. Results from this study provide an alternate framework to account for heterogeneity while identifying key factors by roadway classification that influence heavy-vehicle crash rates. The illustrated framework and analysis by roadway classification can provide guidance to transportation agencies and policy makers and prompt future studies to include a latent class analysis, analysis by road classification, or both.


Author(s):  
Chunfu Xin ◽  
Zhenyu Wang ◽  
Chanyoung Lee ◽  
Pei-Sung Lin

Horizontal curves have been of great interest to transportation researchers because of expected safety hazards for motorcyclists. The impacts of horizontal curve design on motorcycle crash injuries are not well documented in previous studies. The current study aimed to investigate and to quantify the effects of horizontal curve design and associated factors on the injury severity of single-motorcycle crashes with consideration of the issue of unobserved heterogeneity. A mixed-effects logistic model was developed on the basis of 2,168 single-motorcycle crashes, which were collected on 8,597 horizontal curves in Florida for a period of 11 years (2005 to 2015). Four normally distributed random parameters (moderate curves, reverse curves, older riders, and male riders) were identified. The modeling results showed that sharp curves (radius <1,500 ft) compared with flat curves (radius ≥4,000 ft) tended to increase significantly the probability of severe injury (fatal or incapacitating injury) by 7.7%. In total, 63.8% of single-motorcycle crashes occurring on reverse curves are more likely to result in severe injury, and the remaining 26.2% are less likely to result in severe injury. Motorcyclist safety compensation behaviors (psychologically feeling safe, and then riding aggressively, or vice versa) may result in counterintuitive effects (e.g., vegetation and paved medians, full-access-controlled roads, and pavement conditions) or random parameters (e.g., moderate curve and reverse curve). Other significant factors include lighting conditions (darkness and darkness with lights), weekends, speed or speeding, collision type, alcohol or drug impairment, rider age, and helmet use.


Author(s):  
Hong Ji ◽  
Xun He ◽  
Li Ding ◽  
Zhe Qu ◽  
Wenkang Huang ◽  
...  

Based on the investigation data of wheat mechanized harvest in eight major wheat producing areas from the south to the north of Henan Province, the main factors affecting wheat mechanized harvest loss were identified and the influence of each factor was decomposed. In this article, the loss rate of wheat mechanical harvest was calculated by using the method of artificial measurement of wheat yield in the field, and the influencing factors of wheat mechanical harvest operation in 8 regions of Henan province were treated and analyzed by using Tobit regression model. In this paper, the loss rate of wheat mechanical harvest was calculated by using the method of wheat field artificial yield measurement and the influencing factors of wheat mechanical harvest operation in eight regions of Henan province were treated and analyzed by using Tobit regression model. The results show that the average harvest loss rate in the field amounts to 2.96%, the average harvest loss rate at the edge of field amounts to 3.06%, whereas the loss rate in the normal operation area amounts 2.86%. The main factors that caused the harvest loss of wheat field machinery were the maturity of wheat, the area of operation field, the diseases and pests, weather conditions and the accumulated working hours of harvester drivers in a single day. Therefore, the main technical measures to reduce the operation loss of wheat combine harvester were put forward to provide a theoretical basis for promoting the deep integration of agricultural machinery and agronomy.


2017 ◽  
Vol 2017 ◽  
pp. 1-8
Author(s):  
Minho Park ◽  
Dongmin Lee

This study explored factors affecting traffic accidents in roadway segments with and without lighting systems using a random parameter negative binomial model. This study sought to make up for a shortcoming of the fixed parameter model that constrained the estimated parameters to be fixed across observations, by applying random parameters that can take into account unobserved heterogeneity. Three variables had a random parameter among nine significant variables in segments with lighting systems, while seven of the eleven significant variables in a segment without a lighting system had random parameters. The different influence of interstate highway geometrics on vehicle crashes with and without lighting systems found through this study considering unobserved heterogeneity may hopefully help reduce accident frequencies and consider installation of lighting systems on interstate highways in the future.


2013 ◽  
Vol 869-870 ◽  
pp. 612-620 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nattanin Ueasin ◽  
Anupong Wongchai

The energy business has played an important role in an economic growth of Taiwan because the market share is in the high value that can make a significant contribution towards regional and local employment. However, Taiwan is lack of energy resources, making the country highly relies on an import for more than 98 percent of its all energy. At present, a top priority of the countrys policy is to develop clean, sustainable, independent, and efficient energy in order to eliminate the vulnerability from external disruption. Therefore, this research aims to assess the operating efficiency and to analyze factors affecting the efficiency scores of the registered energy companies in the Taiwan Stock Exchange (TWSE) recorded during 2003-2012. The super-efficiency data envelopment analysis (SE-DEA) was initially applied to reveal the additional efficiency scores, followed by the Tobit regression model used to analyze what factors determine the efficiency scores. The empirical results showed that seven DMUs performed efficiently, ranking from 7.29 to 1.02. The company with the best operating performance was Taiwan Cogeneration Corporation (TCC), while the Great Taipei Gas Corporation (GTG) revealed the worst efficiency score. Furthermore, the Tobit regression model explained that the higher number of the local employees, the greater the efficiency scores were. Besides, the lower number of the shareholders, the greater the efficiency scores were. As a result, the Taiwans government is supposed to encourage all energy companies to have a higher number of local employees and shareholders to increase their efficiency scores.


2006 ◽  
Vol 35 (2) ◽  
pp. 374-385 ◽  
Author(s):  
John C. Bernard ◽  
Chao Zhang ◽  
Katie Gifford

This research compared bids that consumers placed on non genetically modified (GM), organic, and conventional versions of food products in order to determine if the organic market well serves those seeking to avoid GM foods. Auction experiments using potato chips, tortilla chips, and milk chocolate were conducted with 79 subjects. Bids were modeled as a function of consumer demographics using a heteroskedastic tobit regression model. Results with the non-GM attribute nested into the organic characteristic showed that the latter's marginal effects were insignificant. This suggested the potential to further develop non-GM products for consumers not willing to pay extra for the remaining organic attributes.


2014 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 75 ◽  
Author(s):  
I PUTU JERYANA ◽  
I PUTU EKA NILA KENCANA ◽  
G. K. GANDHIADI

Regression analysis is used to study the relationship between dependent (response) variable with one or more independent (causal) variables. While response data were censored, then Tobit regression model could be applied.  According to Greene (2003), censored data were data with incomplete observation or the dependent variable has a value of zero, while for the other observations have particular value.  This research aimed to model dairy milk’s consumption from households at Bali Province.  By using data from Survey SosialEkonomiNasional (SUSENAS) or Social Economy’s National Survey (SENS) for year 2012, 615 households were selected as sampling unit using simple random sampling technique, and found 123 households who consumed dairy milk.  The independent variables in our model were last education level completed by head of household’s (X1), head of household’s work (X2), age of head of household’s (X3),  amount of expenditure for food consumption’s (X4), number of household members (X5), and household income (X6), the response variable was budget for buying dairy milk (Y).  From six independent variables, is found only last education level by head household and amount of expenditure for food consumption had siginficant effect on Y’s.  The final Tobit regression model were obtained using AIC (Akaike Information Criterion) method is Y = -3314724 + 565429,7 X1 + 0,014278 X4 with pseudo R2 as much as 16.79 per cent.


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