scholarly journals A Noninvasive Prediction Nomogram for Lymph Node Metastasis of Hepatocellular Carcinoma Based on Serum Long Noncoding RNAs

2019 ◽  
Vol 2019 ◽  
pp. 1-14
Author(s):  
Jie Ma ◽  
Li Zhang ◽  
Hai-Rong Bian ◽  
Zheng-Guo Lu ◽  
Lian Zhu ◽  
...  

Background and Objectives. Lymph node metastasis (LNM) is common in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). In order to intervene HCC LNM in advance, we developed a prediction nomogram based on serum long noncoding RNA (lncRNA). Methods. Serum samples from 242 HCC patients were gathered and randomly enrolled into the training and validation cohorts. LncRNAs screened out from microarray were quantified with qRT-PCR. Univariate and multivariate analyses were applied for screening independent risk factors. A prediction nomogram was ultimately developed for HCC LNM. The nomogram was estimated by discrimination and calibration tests in the validation cohort. The effects of the candidate lncRNA on the malignant phenotypes of HCC cells were further explored by wound healing assay and colony formation assay. Results. ENST00000418803, lnc-ZNF35-4:1, lnc-EPS15L1-2:1, BCLC stage, and vascular invasion were selected as components of the nomogram according to the adjusted multivariate analysis. The nomogram effectively predicted the HCC LNM risk among the cohorts with suitable calibration fittings and displayed high discrimination with C-index of 0.89 and 0.85. Moreover, the abnormally high expression of lnc-EPS15L1-2:1 in HCC cell lines showed significant carcinogenic effects. Conclusions. The noninvasive nomogram may provide more diagnostic basis for treatments of HCC. The biomarkers identified can bring new clues to basic researches.

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kai Zhang ◽  
Changcheng Tao ◽  
Jianxiong Wu ◽  
Weiqi Rong

Abstract Background: Lymph node (LN) metastasis is associated with poor survival outcomes in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients and because of the reported low probability of lymph node metastasis, research into the Anchorprognoses of such patients is difficult to conduct. In this study, we aimed to develop a nomogram model to predict the prognosis of HCC patients with lymph node metastasis. Methods: HCC patients diagnosed with LN metastasis from 2010 to 2015 were enrolled from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database. Univariate Cox regression and lasso regression were used to screen prognostic factors. Cox multiple-factor analysis was used to investigate the independent risk factors for survival. We developed a prognostic nomograms using these independent risk factors. The predictive performance of our nomogram model was evaluated according to the concordance index (C-index) and calibration curve. The net clinical benefit was assessed via decision curve analysis (DCA). Patients were divided into different risk groups according to the model. A survival curve was drawn using the Kaplan-Meier method and the difference was compared by the log-rank test. Results: There were 944 patients in the training cohort and 402 patients in the validation cohort. Grade, T stage, surgery to the liver, chemotherapy, radiation recode, AFP, fibrosis score, tumor size group, M stage were selected as independent prognostic factors, and we developed nomograms using these variables. The calibration curves for probability of survival showed good agreement between the prediction by our model and actual observation in both the training and validation groups. DCA indicated that the nomogram had positive net benefits. Conclusions: The nomogram can accurately predict the prognosis of HCC patients with lymph nodes metastasis and provide a reasonable basis for treatment. Keywords: Hepatocellular carcinoma, prognosis, lymph nodes metastasis, prediction model, nomogram


2004 ◽  
Vol 36 (1) ◽  
pp. 79 ◽  
Author(s):  
Sang Min Yoon ◽  
Jong Hoon Kim ◽  
Eun Kyung Choi ◽  
Seung Do Ahn ◽  
Sang-wook Lee ◽  
...  

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiaoxiao Wang ◽  
Cong Li ◽  
Mengjie Fang ◽  
Liwen Zhang ◽  
Lianzhen Zhong ◽  
...  

Abstract Background:This study aimed to evaluate the value of radiomic nomogram in predicting lymph node metastasis in T1-2 gastric cancer according to the No. 3 station lymph nodes.Methods:A total of 159 T1-2 gastric cancer (GC) patients who had undergone surgery with lymphadenectomy between March 2012 and November 2017 were retrospectively collected and divided into a primary cohort (n = 80) and a validation cohort (n = 79). Radiomic features were extracted from both tumor region and No. 3 station lymph nodes (LN) based on computed tomography (CT) images per patient. Then, key features were selected using minimum redundancy maximum relevance algorithm and fed into two radiomic signatures, respectively. Meanwhile, the predictive performance of clinical risk factors was studied. Finally, a nomogram was built by merging radiomic signatures and clinical risk factors and evaluated by the area under the receiver operator characteristic curve (AUC) as well as decision curve.Results: Two radiomic signatures, reflecting phenotypes of the tumor and LN respectively, were significantly associated with LN metastasis. A nomogram incorporating two radiomic signatures and CT-reported LN metastasis status showed good discrimination of LN metastasis in both the primary cohort (AUC: 0.915; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.832-0.998) and validation cohort (AUC: 0.908; 95%CI: 0.814-1.000). The decision curve also indicated its potential clinical usefulness.Conclusions:The nomogram received favorable predictive accuracy in predicting No.3 station LN metastasis in T1-2 GC, and could assist the choice of therapy.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiangjian Zheng ◽  
Xiaodong Chen ◽  
Min Li ◽  
Chunmeng Li ◽  
Xian Shen

Abstract Background: Surgery combined with chemo-radiotherapy is a recognized model for the treatment of gastric and colon cancers. Lymph node metastasis determines the patient's surgical or comprehensive treatment plan. This analytical study aims to compare preoperative prediction scores to better predict lymph node metastasis in gastric and colon cancer patients.Methods: This study comprised 768 patients, which included 312 patients with gastric cancer and 462 with colon cancer. Preoperative clinical tumor characteristics, serum markers, and immune indices were evaluated using single-factor analysis. Logistic analysis was designed to recognize independent predictors of lymph node metastasis in these patients. The independent risk factors were integrated into preoperative prediction scores, which were accurately assessed using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves.Results: Results showed that serum markers (CA125, hemoglobin, albumin), immune indices (S100, CD31, d2–40), and tumor characteristics (pathological type, size) were independent risk factors for lymph node metastasis in patients with gastric and colon cancer. The preoperative prediction scores reliably predicted lymph node metastasis in gastric and colon cancer patients with a higher area under the ROC curve (0.901). The area was 0.923 and 0.870 in gastric cancer and colon cancer, respectively. Based on the ROC curve, the ideal cutoff value of preoperative prediction scores to predict lymph node metastasis was established to be 287. Conclusion: The preoperative prediction scores is a useful indicator that can be applied to predict lymph node metastasis in gastric and colon cancer patients.


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