scholarly journals Price Linkage Rumors in the Stock Market and Investor Risk Contagion on Bilayer-Coupled Networks

Complexity ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 2019 ◽  
pp. 1-21 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yue Dong ◽  
Jiepeng Wang ◽  
Tingqiang Chen
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Single Layer ◽  
Local Effect ◽  
Information Value ◽  
Enhancement Effect ◽  
Global Effect ◽  
Coupled Networks ◽  
Contagion Model ◽  
Single Layer Network

Investor heterogeneities include investor risk preference, investor risk cognitive level, information value, and investor influence. From the perspective of the stock price linkage, this article constructs an SCIR contagion model of investor risk on a single-layer network. It digs out the investor risk caused by rumors in the stock market under the stock price linkage and its contagion mechanism. The function and influence of different mechanism probabilities and investor heterogeneities on the effects of risk contagion in the stock market are explored through computer simulation. Based on the SCIR contagion model of investor risk on single-layer network, we construct an SCI1I2R contagion model of investor risk on bilayer-coupled networks. Initially, the evolution mechanisms of investor risk contagion in the stock market are compared in single-layer and bilayer-coupled networks. Thereafter, the evolution characteristics and rules of investor risk contagion under different connection modes and heterogeneous mechanism probabilities are compared on bilayer-coupled networks. The results corroborate the following. (1) In the SCIR contagion model of investor risk on a single-layer network, immune failure probability and immune probability have the “global effect”. (2) Investor heterogeneities both have “global effect” and “local effect” on investor risk contagion. (3) Compared with the investor risk contagion on a single-layer network, bilayer-coupled networks can expand the investor risk contagion and have a “global enhancement” effect. (4) Among the three interlayer connection modes of the SCI1I2R model of investor risk contagion on bilayer-coupled networks, the assortative link has the effect of “local enhancement”, while the disassortative link has the effect of “local inhibition”. (5) In the SCI1I2R model of investor risk contagion on bilayer-coupled networks, heterogeneous mechanism probabilities have “global effect” and “local effect”. The research conclusion provides a theoretical basis for regulators to prevent financial risks from spreading among different investors, which is of high theoretical value and practical significance.

Macroeconomic Factors and Pakistani Equity Market”

2004 ◽  
Vol 43 (4II) ◽  
pp. 619-637 ◽  
Author(s):  
Muhammad Nishat ◽  
Rozina Shaheen
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Industrial Production ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Consumer Price Index ◽  
Reverse Causality ◽  
Macroeconomic Factors ◽  
Macroeconomic Variables ◽  
Equilibrium Relationships

This paper analyzes long-term equilibrium relationships between a group of macroeconomic variables and the Karachi Stock Exchange Index. The macroeconomic variables are represented by the industrial production index, the consumer price index, M1, and the value of an investment earning the money market rate. We employ a vector error correction model to explore such relationships during 1973:1 to 2004:4. We found that these five variables are cointegrated and two long-term equilibrium relationships exist among these variables. Our results indicated a "causal" relationship between the stock market and the economy. Analysis of our results indicates that industrial production is the largest positive determinant of Pakistani stock prices, while inflation is the largest negative determinant of stock prices in Pakistan. We found that while macroeconomic variables Granger-caused stock price movements, the reverse causality was observed in case of industrial production and stock prices. Furthermore, we found that statistically significant lag lengths between fluctuations in the stock market and changes in the real economy are relatively short.

Maximal Overlap Discrete Wavelet Transform, Graph Theory And Backpropagation Neural Network In Stock Market Forecasting

2018 ◽  
Vol 5 (1) ◽  
pp. 41-46
Author(s):  
Rosalina Rosalina ◽  
Hendra Jayanto
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Graph Theory ◽  
Wavelet Transform ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Discrete Wavelet Transform ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Moving Average ◽  
Discrete Wavelet ◽  
Stock Market Forecasting ◽  
Artificial Neural

The aim of this paper is to get high accuracy of stock market forecasting in order to produce signals that will affect the decision making in the trading itself. Several experiments by using different methodologies have been performed to answer the stock market forecasting issues. A traditional linear model, like autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) has been used, but the result is not satisfactory because it is not suitable for model financial series. Yet experts are likely observed another approach by using artificial neural networks. Artificial neural network (ANN) are found to be more effective in realizing the input-output mapping and could estimate any continuous function which given an arbitrarily desired accuracy. In details, in this paper will use maximal overlap discrete wavelet transform (MODWT) and graph theory to distinguish and determine between low and high frequencies, which in this case acted as fundamental and technical prediction of stock market trading. After processed dataset is formed, then we will advance to the next level of the training process to generate the final result that is the buy or sell signals given from information whether the stock price will go up or down.

Big data investments in knowledge and non-knowledge intensive firms: what the market tells us

2017 ◽  
Vol 21 (3) ◽  
pp. 623-639 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tingting Zhang ◽  
William Yu Chung Wang ◽  
David J. Pauleen
Keyword(s):  
Big Data ◽  
Knowledge Management ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Value Chain ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Economic Value ◽  
Information Value ◽  
Publicly Traded ◽  
Content Type ◽  
Knowledge Intensive

Purpose This paper aims to investigate the value of big data investments by examining the market reaction to company announcements of big data investments and tests the effect for firms that are either knowledge intensive or not. Design/methodology/approach This study is based on an event study using data from two stock markets in China. Findings The stock market sees an overall index increase in stock prices when announcements of big data investments are revealed by grouping all the listed firms included in the sample. Increased stock prices are also the case for non-knowledge intensive firms. However, the stock market does not seem to react to big data investment announcements by testing the knowledge intensive firms along. Research limitations/implications This study contributes to the literature on assessing the economic value of big data investments from the perspective of big data information value chain by taking an unexpected change in stock price as the measure of the financial performance of the investment and by comparing market reactions between knowledge intensive firms and non-knowledge intensive firms. Findings of this study can be used to refine practitioners’ understanding of the economic value of big data investments to different firms and provide guidance to their future investments in knowledge management to maximize the benefits along the big data information value chain. However, findings of study should be interpreted carefully when applying them to companies that are not publicly traded on the stock market or listed on other financial markets. Originality/value Based on the concept of big data information value chain, this study advances research on the economic value of big data investments. Taking the perspective of stock market investors, this study investigates how the stock market reacts to big data investments by comparing the reactions to knowledge-intensive firms and non-knowledge-intensive firms. The results may be particularly interesting to those publicly traded companies that have not previously invested in knowledge management systems. The findings imply that stock investors tend to believe that big data investment could possibly increase the future returns for non-knowledge-intensive firms.

scholarly journals Building stock market resilience through digital transformation: using Google trends to analyze the impact of COVID-19 pandemic

2020 ◽  
Vol 14 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Ding Ding ◽  
Chong Guan ◽  
Calvin M. L. Chan ◽  
Wenting Liu
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Digital Transformation ◽  
Google Trends ◽  
Building Stock ◽  
Market Sentiment ◽  
Price Performance ◽  
Novel Coronavirus ◽  
The Impact

Abstract As the 2019 novel coronavirus disease (COVID-19) pandemic rages globally, its impact has been felt in the stock markets around the world. Amidst the gloomy economic outlook, certain sectors seem to have survived better than others. This paper aims to investigate the sectors that have performed better even as market sentiment is affected by the pandemic. The daily closing stock prices of a total usable sample of 1,567 firms from 37 sectors are first analyzed using a combination of hierarchical clustering and shape-based distance (SBD) measures. Market sentiment is modeled from Google Trends on the COVID-19 pandemic. This is then analyzed against the time series of daily closing stock prices using augmented vector autoregression (VAR). The empirical results indicate that market sentiment towards the pandemic has significant effects on the stock prices of the sectors. Particularly, the stock price performance across sectors is differentiated by the level of the digital transformation of sectors, with those that are most digitally transformed, showing resilience towards negative market sentiment on the pandemic. This study contributes to the existing literature by incorporating search trends to analyze market sentiment, and by showing that digital transformation moderated the stock market resilience of firms against concern over the COVID-19 outbreak.

scholarly journals The Impact of COVID-19 on the Stock Price of Socially Responsible Enterprises: An Empirical Study in Taiwan Stock Market

2021 ◽  
Vol 18 (4) ◽  
pp. 1398
Author(s):  
Kuo-Jung Lee ◽  
Su-Lien Lu
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Abnormal Returns ◽  
Recovery Phase ◽  
Socially Responsible ◽  
Cumulative Impact ◽  
Study Approach ◽  
Price Performance ◽  
The Impact

This study examines the impact of the COVID-19 outbreak on the Taiwan stock market and investigates whether companies with a commitment to corporate social responsibility (CSR) were less affected. This study uses a selection of companies provided by CommonWealth magazine to classify the listed companies in Taiwan as CSR and non-CSR companies. The event study approach is applied to examine the change in the stock prices of CSR companies after the first COVID-19 outbreak in Taiwan. The empirical results indicate that the stock prices of all companies generated significantly negative abnormal returns and negative cumulative abnormal returns after the outbreak. Compared with all companies and with non-CSR companies, CSR companies were less affected by the outbreak; their stock prices were relatively resistant to the fall and they recovered faster. In addition, the cumulative impact of the COVID-19 on the stock prices of CSR companies is smaller than that of non-CSR companies on both short- and long-term bases. However, the stock price performance of non-CSR companies was not weaker than that of CSR companies during times when the impact of the pandemic was lower or during the price recovery phase.

EVOLUTION OF SHANGHAI STOCK MARKET BASED ON MAXIMAL SPANNING TREES

2012 ◽  
Vol 27 (03) ◽  
pp. 1350022 ◽  
Author(s):  
CHUNXIA YANG ◽  
YING SHEN ◽  
BINGYING XIA
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Prices ◽  
Spanning Tree ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Spanning Trees ◽  
Turning Points ◽  
Single Step ◽  
P Value ◽  
Power Law Distribution ◽  
Structure Variation

In this paper, using a moving window to scan through every stock price time series over a period from 2 January 2001 to 11 March 2011 and mutual information to measure the statistical interdependence between stock prices, we construct a corresponding weighted network for 501 Shanghai stocks in every given window. Next, we extract its maximal spanning tree and understand the structure variation of Shanghai stock market by analyzing the average path length, the influence of the center node and the p-value for every maximal spanning tree. A further analysis of the structure properties of maximal spanning trees over different periods of Shanghai stock market is carried out. All the obtained results indicate that the periods around 8 August 2005, 17 October 2007 and 25 December 2008 are turning points of Shanghai stock market, at turning points, the topology structure of the maximal spanning tree changes obviously: the degree of separation between nodes increases; the structure becomes looser; the influence of the center node gets smaller, and the degree distribution of the maximal spanning tree is no longer a power-law distribution. Lastly, we give an analysis of the variations of the single-step and multi-step survival ratios for all maximal spanning trees and find that two stocks are closely bonded and hard to be broken in a short term, on the contrary, no pair of stocks remains closely bonded for a long time.

Value and Growth Stock Price Behavior during Stock Market Declines

2017 ◽  
Vol 26 (4) ◽  
pp. 41-52 ◽  
Author(s):  
Daniel Folkinshteyn ◽  
Gulser Meric ◽  
Ilhan Meric
Keyword(s):  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Price Behavior

Reliability Models of GSM-R Redundant Network on High-Speed Railway

2012 ◽  
Vol 198-199 ◽  
pp. 1783-1788
Author(s):  
Jun Ting Lin ◽  
Jian Wu Dang
Keyword(s):  
Network Architecture ◽  
High Speed ◽  
Failure Time ◽  
Network Reliability ◽  
Single Layer ◽  
Double Layers ◽  
High Speed Railway ◽  
Reliability Models ◽  
Single Layer Network ◽  
Wireless Architectures

As a dedicated digital mobile communication system designed for railway application, GSM-R must provide reliable bidirectional channel for transmitting security data between trackside equipments and on-train computer on high-speed railways. To ensure the safety of running trains, redundant network architecture is commonly used to guarantee the reliability of GSM-R. Because of the rigid demands of railway security, it is important to build reliability mathematical models, predict the network reliability and select a suitable one. Two common GSM-R wireless architectures, co-sited double layers network and intercross single layer network, are modeled and contrasted in this paper. By calculating the reliabilities of each reliable model, it is clear that more redundant the architecture is, more reliable the system will be, the whole system will bear a less failure time per year as the benefit. Meanwhile, as the redundancy of GSM-R system raises, its equipment and maintenance will cost much, but the reliability raise gently. From the standpoint of transmission system interruption and network equipment failure, the reliability of co-sited double layer network architecture is higher than the intercross single layer one, while the viability and cost of the intercross redundant network is better than co-sited one in natural disasters such as flood and lightning. Taking fully into account reliability, viability and cost, we suggest that intercross redundant network should be chosen on high-speed railway.

scholarly journals Volatility Degree Forecasting of Stock Market by Stochastic Time Strength Neural Network

2013 ◽  
Vol 2013 ◽  
pp. 1-11 ◽  
Author(s):  
Haiyan Mo ◽  
Jun Wang
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Stock Market ◽  
Stock Price ◽  
Strength Function ◽  
Global Market ◽  
Chinese Stock Market ◽  
Backpropagation Neural Network ◽  
Time Strength ◽  
Market Indexes ◽  
Stochastic Time

In view of the applications of artificial neural networks in economic and financial forecasting, a stochastic time strength function is introduced in the backpropagation neural network model to predict the fluctuations of stock price changes. In this model, stochastic time strength function gives a weight for each historical datum and makes the model have the effect of random movement, and then we investigate and forecast the behavior of volatility degrees of returns for the Chinese stock market indexes and some global market indexes. The empirical research is performed in testing the prediction effect of SSE, SZSE, HSI, DJIA, IXIC, and S&P 500 with different selected volatility degrees in the established model.

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