scholarly journals The New Novel Discrete Distribution with Application on COVID-19 Mortality Numbers in Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and Latvia

Complexity ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-20
Author(s):  
M. Nagy ◽  
Ehab M. Almetwally ◽  
Ahmed M. Gemeay ◽  
Heba S. Mohammed ◽  
Taghreed M. Jawa ◽  
...  

This paper aims to introduce a superior discrete statistical model for the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) mortality numbers in Saudi Arabia and Latvia. We introduced an optimal and superior statistical model to provide optimal modeling for the death numbers due to the COVID-19 infections. This new statistical model possesses three parameters. This model is formulated by combining both the exponential distribution and extended odd Weibull family to formulate the discrete extended odd Weibull exponential (DEOWE) distribution. We introduced some of statistical properties for the new distribution, such as linear representation and quantile function. The maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) method is applied to estimate the unknown parameters of the DEOWE distribution. Also, we have used three datasets as an application on the COVID-19 mortality data in Saudi Arabia and Latvia. These three real data examples were used for introducing the importance of our distribution for fitting and modeling this kind of discrete data. Also, we provide a graphical plot for the data to ensure our results.

Axioms ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 10 (1) ◽  
pp. 25 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ehab Almetwally ◽  
Randa Alharbi ◽  
Dalia Alnagar ◽  
Eslam Hafez

This paper aims to find a statistical model for the COVID-19 spread in the United Kingdom and Canada. We used an efficient and superior model for fitting the COVID 19 mortality rates in these countries by specifying an optimal statistical model. A new lifetime distribution with two-parameter is introduced by a combination of inverted Topp-Leone distribution and modified Kies family to produce the modified Kies inverted Topp-Leone (MKITL) distribution, which covers a lot of application that both the traditional inverted Topp-Leone and the modified Kies provide poor fitting for them. This new distribution has many valuable properties as simple linear representation, hazard rate function, and moment function. We made several methods of estimations as maximum likelihood estimation, least squares estimators, weighted least-squares estimators, maximum product spacing, Crame´r-von Mises estimators, and Anderson-Darling estimators methods are applied to estimate the unknown parameters of MKITL distribution. A numerical result of the Monte Carlo simulation is obtained to assess the use of estimation methods. also, we applied different data sets to the new distribution to assess its performance in modeling data.


Entropy ◽  
2019 ◽  
Vol 21 (5) ◽  
pp. 510
Author(s):  
Bo Peng ◽  
Zhengqiu Xu ◽  
Min Wang

We introduce a new three-parameter lifetime distribution, the exponentiated Lindley geometric distribution, which exhibits increasing, decreasing, unimodal, and bathtub shaped hazard rates. We provide statistical properties of the new distribution, including shape of the probability density function, hazard rate function, quantile function, order statistics, moments, residual life function, mean deviations, Bonferroni and Lorenz curves, and entropies. We use maximum likelihood estimation of the unknown parameters, and an Expectation-Maximization algorithm is also developed to find the maximum likelihood estimates. The Fisher information matrix is provided to construct the asymptotic confidence intervals. Finally, two real-data examples are analyzed for illustrative purposes.


2018 ◽  
Vol 10 (04) ◽  
pp. 1850009 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gamze Ozel ◽  
Emrah Altun ◽  
Morad Alizadeh ◽  
Mahdieh Mozafari

In this paper, a new heavy-tailed distribution is used to model data with a strong right tail, as often occuring in practical situations. The proposed distribution is derived from the log-normal distribution, by using odd log-logistic distribution. Statistical properties of this distribution, including hazard function, moments, quantile function, and asymptotics, are derived. The unknown parameters are estimated by the maximum likelihood estimation procedure. For different parameter settings and sample sizes, a simulation study is performed and the performance of the new distribution is compared to beta log-normal. The new lifetime model can be very useful and its superiority is illustrated by means of two real data sets.


Author(s):  
Festus C. Opone ◽  
Elvis A. Izekor ◽  
Innocent U. Akata ◽  
Francis E. U. Osagiede

In this paper, we introduced the discrete analogue of the continuous Marshall-Olkin Weibull distribution using the discrete concentration approach. Some mathematical properties of the proposed discrete distribution such as the probability mass function, cumulative distribution function, survival function, hazard rate function, second rate of failure, probability generating function, quantile function and moments are derived. The method of maximum likelihood estimation is employed to estimate the unknown parameters of the proposed distribution. The applicability of the proposed discrete distribution was examined using an over-dispersed and under-dispersed data sets.


Author(s):  
H. E. Hozaien ◽  
G. R. AL Dayian ◽  
A. A. EL-Helbawy

In this paper, the alpha power Kumaraswamy distribution, new alpha power transformed Kumaraswamy distribution and new extended alpha power transformed Kumaraswamy distribution are presented. Some statistical properties of the three distributions are derived including quantile function, moments and moment generating function, mean residual life and order statistics. Estimation of the unknown parameters based on maximum likelihood estimation are obtained. A simulation study is carried out. Finally, a real data set is applied.


2020 ◽  
Vol 70 (4) ◽  
pp. 953-978
Author(s):  
Mustafa Ç. Korkmaz ◽  
G. G. Hamedani

AbstractThis paper proposes a new extended Lindley distribution, which has a more flexible density and hazard rate shapes than the Lindley and Power Lindley distributions, based on the mixture distribution structure in order to model with new distribution characteristics real data phenomena. Its some distributional properties such as the shapes, moments, quantile function, Bonferonni and Lorenz curves, mean deviations and order statistics have been obtained. Characterizations based on two truncated moments, conditional expectation as well as in terms of the hazard function are presented. Different estimation procedures have been employed to estimate the unknown parameters and their performances are compared via Monte Carlo simulations. The flexibility and importance of the proposed model are illustrated by two real data sets.


Author(s):  
Hamdy Salem ◽  
Abd-Elwahab Hagag

In this paper, a composite distribution of Kumaraswamy and Lindley distributions namely, Kumaraswamy-Lindley Kum-L distribution is introduced and studied. The Kum-L distribution generalizes sub-models for some widely known distributions. Some mathematical properties of the Kum-L such as hazard function, quantile function, moments, moment generating function and order statistics are obtained. Estimation of parameters for the Kum-L using maximum likelihood estimation and least square estimation techniques are provided. To illustrate the usefulness of the proposed distribution, simulation study and real data example are used.


2018 ◽  
Vol 2018 ◽  
pp. 1-12 ◽  
Author(s):  
Masood Anwar ◽  
Amna Bibi

A new three-parameter generalized distribution, namely, half-logistic generalized Weibull (HLGW) distribution, is proposed. The proposed distribution exhibits increasing, decreasing, bathtub-shaped, unimodal, and decreasing-increasing-decreasing hazard rates. The distribution is a compound distribution of type I half-logistic-G and Dimitrakopoulou distribution. The new model includes half-logistic Weibull distribution, half-logistic exponential distribution, and half-logistic Nadarajah-Haghighi distribution as submodels. Some distributional properties of the new model are investigated which include the density function shapes and the failure rate function, raw moments, moment generating function, order statistics, L-moments, and quantile function. The parameters involved in the model are estimated using the method of maximum likelihood estimation. The asymptotic distribution of the estimators is also investigated via Fisher’s information matrix. The likelihood ratio (LR) test is used to compare the HLGW distribution with its submodels. Some applications of the proposed distribution using real data sets are included to examine the usefulness of the distribution.


Symmetry ◽  
2021 ◽  
Vol 13 (4) ◽  
pp. 711
Author(s):  
Rana Ali Bakoban ◽  
Ashwaq Mohammad Al-Shehri

In this article, a new four-parameter lifetime model called the beta generalized inverse Rayleigh distribution (BGIRD) is defined and studied. Mixture representation of this model is derived. Curve’s behavior of probability density function, reliability function, and hazard function are studied. Next, we derived the quantile function, median, mode, moments, harmonic mean, skewness, and kurtosis. In addition, the order statistics and the mean deviations about the mean and median are found. Other important properties including entropy (Rényi and Shannon), which is a measure of the uncertainty for this distribution, are also investigated. Maximum likelihood estimation is adopted to the model. A simulation study is conducted to estimate the parameters. Four real-life data sets from difference fields were applied on this model. In addition, a comparison between the new model and some competitive models is done via information criteria. Our model shows the best fitting for the real data.


Author(s):  
Mohamed G. Khalil ◽  
Wagdy M. Kamel

A new three-parameter life parametric model called the Marshall-Olkin generalized Weibull is defined and studied. Relevant properties are mathematically derived and analyzed. The new density exhibits various important symmetric and asymmetric shapes with different useful kurtosis. The new failure rate can be “constant”, “upside down-constant (reversed U-HRF-constant)”, “increasing then constant”, “monotonically increasing”, “J-HRF” and “monotonically decreasing”. The method of maximum likelihood is employed to estimate the unknown parameters. A graphical simulation is performed to assess the performance of the maximum likelihood estimation. We checked and proved empirically the importance, applicability and flexibility of the new Weibull model in modeling various symmetric and asymmetric types of data. The new distribution has a high ability to model different symmetric and asymmetric types of data.


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