scholarly journals Local Finite-Amplitude Wave Activity as a Diagnostic of Anomalous Weather Events

2015 ◽  
Vol 73 (1) ◽  
pp. 211-229 ◽  
Author(s):  
Clare S. Y. Huang ◽  
Noboru Nakamura

Abstract Finite-amplitude Rossby wave activity (FAWA) proposed by Nakamura and Zhu measures the waviness of quasigeostrophic potential vorticity (PV) contours and the associated modification of the zonal-mean zonal circulation, but it does not distinguish longitudinally localized weather anomalies, such as atmospheric blocking. In this article, FAWA is generalized to local wave activity (LWA) to diagnose eddy–mean flow interaction on the regional scale. LWA quantifies longitude-by-longitude contributions to FAWA following the meridional displacement of PV from the circle of equivalent latitude. The zonal average of LWA recovers FAWA. The budget of LWA is governed by the zonal advection of LWA and the radiation stress of Rossby waves. The utility of the diagnostic is tested with a barotropic vorticity equation on a sphere and meteorological reanalysis data. Compared with the previously derived Eulerian impulse-Casimir wave activity, LWA tends to be less filamentary and emphasizes large isolated vortices involving reversals of meridional gradient of potential vorticity. A pronounced Northern Hemisphere blocking episode in late October 2012 is well captured by a high-amplitude, near-stationary LWA. These analyses reveal that the nonacceleration relation holds approximately over regional scales: the growth of phase-averaged LWA and the deceleration of local zonal wind are highly correlated. However, marked departure from the exact nonacceleration relation is also observed during the analyzed blocking event, suggesting that the contributions from nonadiabatic processes to the blocking development are significant.

2010 ◽  
Vol 67 (9) ◽  
pp. 2701-2716 ◽  
Author(s):  
Noboru Nakamura ◽  
Da Zhu

Abstract An exact diagnostic formalism for finite-amplitude eddy–mean flow interaction is developed for barotropic and quasigeostrophic baroclinic flows on the beta plane. Based on the advection–diffusion–reaction equation for potential vorticity (PV), the formalism quantifies both advective and diffusive contributions to the mean flow modification by eddies, of which the latter is the focus of the present article. The present theory adopts a hybrid Eulerian–Lagrangian-mean description of the flow and defines finite-amplitude wave activity in terms of the areal displacement of PV contours from zonal symmetry. Unlike previous formalisms, wave activity is readily calculable from data and the local Eliassen–Palm relation does not involve cubic or higher-order terms in eddy amplitude. This leads to a natural finite-amplitude extension to the local nonacceleration theorem, as well as the global stability theorems, in the inviscid and unforced limit. The formalism incorporates mixing with effective diffusivity of PV, and the diffusive flux of PV is shown to be a sink of wave activity. The relationship between the advective and diffusive fluxes of PV and its implications for parameterization are discussed in the context of wave activity budget. If all momentum associated with wave activity were returned to the zonal-mean flow, a balanced eddy-free flow would ensue. It is shown that this hypothetical flow uREF is unaffected by the advective PV flux and is driven solely by the diffusive PV flux and forcing. For this reason, uREF, rather than the zonal-mean flow, is proposed as a diagnostic for the diffusive mean-flow modification. The formalism is applied to a freely decaying beta-plane turbulence to evaluate the contribution of the diffusive PV flux to the jet formation.


2018 ◽  
Vol 75 (1) ◽  
pp. 21-40 ◽  
Author(s):  
Peter Hitchcock ◽  
Peter H. Haynes ◽  
William J. Randel ◽  
Thomas Birner

A configuration of an idealized general circulation model has been obtained in which a deep, stratospheric, equatorial, westerly jet is established that is spontaneously and quasi-periodically disrupted by shallow easterly jets. Similar to the disruption of the quasi-biennial oscillation (QBO) observed in early 2016, meridional fluxes of wave activity are found to play a central role. The possible relevance of two feedback mechanisms to these disruptions is considered. The first involves the secondary circulation produced in the shear zones on the upper and lower flanks of the easterly jet. This is found to play a role in maintaining the aspect ratio of the emerging easterly jet. The second involves the organization of the eddy fluxes by the mean flow: the presence of a weak easterly anomaly within a tall, tropical, westerly jet is demonstrated to produce enhanced and highly focused wave activity fluxes that reinforce and strengthen the easterly anomalies. The eddies appear to be organized by the formation of strong potential vorticity gradients on the subtropical flanks of the easterly anomaly. Similar wave activity and potential vorticity structures are found in the ERA-Interim for the observed QBO disruption, indicating this second feedback was active then.


2020 ◽  
Vol 77 (3) ◽  
pp. 943-964 ◽  
Author(s):  
Noboru Nakamura ◽  
Jonathan Falk ◽  
Sandro W. Lubis

Abstract This paper examines the role of wave–mean flow interaction in the onset and suddenness of stratospheric sudden warmings (SSWs). Evidence is presented that SSWs are, on average, a threshold behavior of finite-amplitude Rossby waves arising from the competition between an increasing wave activity A and a decreasing zonal-mean zonal wind u¯. The competition puts a limit to the wave activity flux that a stationary Rossby wave can transmit upward. A rapid, spontaneous vortex breakdown occurs once the upwelling wave activity flux reaches the limit, or equivalently, once u¯ drops below a certain fraction of uREF, a wave-free, reference-state wind inverted from the zonalized quasigeostrophic potential vorticity. This fraction is 0.5 in theory and about 0.3 in reanalyses. We propose r≡u¯/uREF as a local, instantaneous measure of the proximity to vortex breakdown (i.e., preconditioning). The ratio r generally stays above the threshold during strong-vortex winters until a pronounced final warming, whereas during weak-vortex winters it approaches the threshold early in the season, culminating in a precipitous drop in midwinter as SSWs form. The essence of the threshold behavior is captured by a semiempirical 1D model of SSWs, similar to the “traffic jam” model of Nakamura and Huang for atmospheric blocking. This model predicts salient features of SSWs including rapid vortex breakdown and downward migration of the wave activity/zonal wind anomalies, with analytical expressions for the respective time scales. The model’s response to a variety of transient wave forcing and damping is discussed.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Noboru Nakamura

<p>We present evidence that stratospheric sudden warmings (SSWs) are, on average, a threshold behavior of finite-amplitude Rossby waves arising from wave-mean flow interaction. Competition between an increasing wave activity and a decreasing zonal-mean zonal wind sets a limit to the upward wave activity flux of a stationary Rossby wave.  A rapid, spontaneous vortex breakdown occurs once the upwelling wave activity flux reaches the limit, or equivalently, once the zonal-mean zonal wind drops below a certain fraction of the wave-free, reference-state wind obtained from the zonalized quasigeostrophic potential vorticity.  This threshold faction is 0.5 in theory and about 0.3 in reanalyses.  We use the ratio of the zonal-mean zonal wind to the reference-state wind as a local, instantaneous measure of the proximity to vortex breakdown, i.e. preconditioning.  The ratio generally stays above the threshold during strong-vortex winters until a pronounced final warming, whereas during weak-vortex winters it approaches the threshold early in the season, culminating in a precipitous drop in midwinter as SSWs form. The essence of the threshold behavior is captured by a semiempirical 1D model of SSWs, analogous to the “traffic jam” model of Nakamura and Huang for atmospheric blocking. This model predicts salient features of SSWs including rapid vortex breakdown and downward migration of the wave activity/zonal wind anomalies, with analytical expressions for the respective timescales. Model’s response to a variety of transient wave forcing and damping is discussed.</p><p> </p><p> </p><div> </div><p> </p>


2010 ◽  
Vol 67 (12) ◽  
pp. 3967-3983 ◽  
Author(s):  
Noboru Nakamura ◽  
Abraham Solomon

Abstract A diagnostic relationship between finite-amplitude wave activity and the associated adiabatic adjustments to the zonal-mean zonal wind and temperature is developed in the quasigeostrophic (QG) framework and is applied to a 23-yr segment (1979–2001) of the 40-yr ECMWF Re-Analysis (ERA-40) data. Wave activity is defined in terms of an instantaneous areal displacement of QG potential vorticity (PV) from zonal symmetry. Unlike previous forms, the tendency of wave activity equals exactly the negative of the eddy PV flux (Eliassen–Palm flux divergence) in the conservative limit, even at finite amplitude. This allows one to integrate the transformed Eulerian mean (TEM) theory in time and quantify the departure (adiabatic adjustment) of the zonal-mean state from an eddy-free reference state in terms of the observed wave activity. The structure of wave activity identifies synoptic eddies in the extratropics and planetary waves in the high latitudes of winter-to-spring stratosphere. In addition, a thin layer of high wave activity is found at the top of the lowermost stratosphere (∼17 km) in the summer extratropics. The reference state is constructed by “zonalizing” the PV contours conservatively (preserving area) on the isobaric surface and by inverting the resultant PV gradient for the mean flow. The adjustment associated with wave activity depends on the assumed surface boundary condition for the reference state. With a no-slip condition, the observed zonal-mean temperature is on average ∼33 (90) K higher than the reference state in the troposphere (stratosphere) of the Arctic winter, while the zonal-mean zonal wind is ∼30 m s−1 slower in the upper stratosphere. Since the reference state filters out the advective eddy–mean flow interaction, it fluctuates less than the zonal-mean state, potentially improving the signal-to-noise ratio for climate diagnosis.


Author(s):  
Vladimir V. Golubev

In this work, two different numerical methods of time-accurate nonlinear analysis are reviewed and compared in application to the problem of nonlinear unsteady aerodynamic and aeroacoustic airfoil responses to a high-intensity impinging gust. The incident perturbation field is of finite amplitude relative to the mean flow so that in general, no assumption of a linear superposition of responses from each individual harmonic can be made. Thus, in addition to providing a comparison of two different approaches in computational aeroacoustics, the paper achieves the objective of obtaining verified solutions determining the limits of validity for linearized methods, universally accepted in studies of unsteady aerodynamics and aeroacoustics. The work investigates nonlinear near- and far-field responses of a Joukowksi airfoil in the parametric space of gust intensity and frequency.


2019 ◽  
Vol 76 (3) ◽  
pp. 851-863
Author(s):  
Takenari Kinoshita ◽  
Kaoru Sato ◽  
Kentaro Ishijima ◽  
Masayuki Takigawa ◽  
Yousuke Yamashita

Abstract Three-dimensional (3D) quasi-residual mean flow is derived to diagnose 3D dynamical material transport associated with stationary planetary waves. The 3D quasi-residual mean vertical flow does not include the vertical flow due to tilting of the potential temperature caused by stationary waves, which is apparent but not seen in the mass-weighted isentropic mean state. Thus, the quasi-residual mean vertical flow is balanced with the term of diabatic heating rate. The 3D quasi-residual mean horizontal flow is balanced with the sum of the forcing due to transient wave activity flux divergence and the forcing associated with fluctuation of the potential vorticity due to stationary waves (defined as the effective Coriolis forcing). The zonal mean of the effective Coriolis forcing corresponds to the divergence of stationary wave activity flux. Thus, the zonal mean of derived 3D quasi-residual mean flow is exactly equal to the traditional residual mean flow. To demonstrate the usefulness of this quasi-residual mean flow, we analyze material transport of atmospheric sulfur hexafluoride (SF6) by using an atmospheric chemistry transport model. Comparison between the derived 3D quasi-residual mean flow and traditional residual mean flow shows that the zonal mean of advection of SF6 associated with the 3D quasi-residual mean flow derived is almost equal to that of the traditional residual mean flow. Next, it is confirmed that the horizontal structure of advection of SF6 associated with the 3D quasi-residual mean flow is balanced with the transport because of the nonlinear, nonconservative effects of disturbances. This relation is similar to the results for traditional residual mean flow in the zonal-mean state.


2015 ◽  
Vol 28 (17) ◽  
pp. 6763-6782 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jian Lu ◽  
Gang Chen ◽  
L. Ruby Leung ◽  
D. Alex Burrows ◽  
Qing Yang ◽  
...  

Abstract Systematic sensitivity of the jet position and intensity to horizontal model resolution is identified in several aquaplanet AGCMs, with the coarser resolution producing a more equatorward eddy-driven jet and a stronger upper-tropospheric jet intensity. As the resolution of the models increases to 50 km or finer, the jet position and intensity show signs of convergence within each model group. The mechanism for this convergence behavior is investigated using a hybrid Eulerian–Lagrangian finite-amplitude wave activity budget developed for the upper-tropospheric absolute vorticity. The results suggest that the poleward shift of the eddy-driven jet with higher resolution can be attributed to the smaller effective diffusivity of the model in the midlatitudes that allows more wave activity to survive the dissipation and to reach the subtropical critical latitude for wave breaking. The enhanced subtropical wave breaking and associated irreversible vorticity mixing act to maintain a more poleward peak of the vorticity gradient, and thus a more poleward jet. Being overdissipative, the coarse-resolution AGCMs misrepresent the nuanced nonlinear aspect of the midlatitude eddy–mean flow interaction, giving rise to the equatorward bias of the eddy-driven jet. In accordance with the asymptotic behavior of effective diffusivity of Batchelor turbulence in the large Peclet number limit, the upper-tropospheric effective diffusivity of the aquaplanet AGCMs displays signs of convergence in the midlatitude toward a value of approximately 107 m2 s−1 for the ∇2 diffusion. This provides a dynamical underpinning for the convergence of the jet stream observed in these AGCMs at high resolution.


2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Joonsuk Kang ◽  
Seok-Woo Son

<p>A method utilizing a prognostic potential vorticity (PV) inversion is designed and applied to quantify the processes that contribute to the explosive cyclone (EC) development over Northwestern Pacific and Atlantic in boreal winter. The ECs deepening in the two remarked regions are identified and tracked, by using the automated tracking method on ERA-Interim reanalysis data over the period of 1979–2017. The quantification process first involves time differentiation of linearized potential vorticity (PV), which results in a linear function of geopotential height tendency. It is then equated with the PV tendency equation that consists of mean and transient advection terms to represent dynamical processes that contribute to EC development. The quantification, finally, is performed through the inversion of PV tendency budgets, which yields corresponding geopotential height tendency. The results indicate that EC development is primarily caused by zonal advection of PV anomalies by mean flow (~65%) and diabatic production of PV (~40%), with some negative factors in both regions. The former contributes more for ECs deepening over Northwestern Atlantic (~71%) than Northwestern Pacific (~60%), whereas the latter contributes to a similar extent.</p>


2011 ◽  
Vol 68 (11) ◽  
pp. 2783-2799 ◽  
Author(s):  
Noboru Nakamura ◽  
Abraham Solomon

Abstract The finite-amplitude wave activity diagnostic developed for quasigeostrophic (QG) flows in Part I is extended to the global primitive equation system in the isentropic coordinate. The Rossby wave activity density A is proportional to Kelvin’s circulation around the wavy potential vorticity (PV) contour minus that around the zonal circle that encloses the same isentropic mass. A quasi-conservative, eddy-free reference state flow uREF is constructed from the observed Kelvin’s circulation by zonalizing the PV contours conservatively while enforcing gradient balance. The departure of the observed zonal-mean flow of the atmosphere from the reference state is defined as the net adjustment by the eddies. Then Δu is further partitioned into the direct eddy drag −A and the residual impulse ΔuR consistent with the time-integrated transformed Eulerian mean (TEM) zonal-wind equation. The analyzed climatological-mean wave activity in the 40-yr European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts Re-Analysis (ERA-40) is similar to that in Part I. The net adjustment Δu is mainly due to the direct eddy drag (Δu ≈ −A) in the winter polar stratosphere and can reach approximately −60 m s−1 in the Northern Hemisphere. In the extratropical troposphere Δu is a small residual (ΔuR ≈ A), yet it clearly reveals a 5–6 m s−1 eddy driving of the Southern Hemisphere jet as well as a 7–8 m s−1 eddy drag in the subtropical upper troposphere of both hemispheres. The local maxima in wave activity in the equatorial upper troposphere and the extratropical lower stratosphere found in Part I are undetected, while negative wave activity is found where the isentropes intersect the ground. As in the QG case, uREF exhibits significantly less transient and interannual variability than , implying a better signal-to-noise ratio as a climate variable.


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