scholarly journals Future Climate in the Tibetan Plateau from a Statistical Regional Climate Model

2013 ◽  
Vol 26 (24) ◽  
pp. 10125-10138 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xiuhua Zhu ◽  
Weiqiang Wang ◽  
Klaus Fraedrich
Keyword(s):  
Tibetan Plateau ◽  
Regional Climate Model ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Regional Climate ◽  
Early Summer ◽  
Maximum Temperature ◽  
Boreal Summer ◽  
The Tibetan Plateau ◽  
Temperature Trends ◽  
Precipitation Increase

Abstract The authors use a statistical regional climate model [Statistical Regional Model (STAR)] to project the Tibetan Plateau (TP) climate for the period 2015–50. Reanalysis datasets covering 1958–2001 are used as a substitute of observations and resampled by STAR to optimally fit prescribed linear temperature trends derived from the Max Planck Institute Earth System Model (MPI-ESM) simulations for phase 5 of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5) under the representative concentration pathway 2.6 (RCP2.6) and RCP4.5 scenarios. To assess the related uncertainty, temperature trends from carefully selected best/worst ensemble members are considered. In addition, an extra projection is forced by observed temperature trends in 1958–2001. The following results are obtained: (i) Spatial average temperature will increase by 0.6°–0.9°C; the increase exceeds 1°C in all months except in boreal summer, thus indicating a reduced annual cycle; and daily minimum temperature rises faster than daily maximum temperature, resulting in a narrowing of the diurnal range of near-surface temperature. (ii) Precipitation increase mainly occurs in early summer and autumn possibly because of an earlier onset and later withdrawal of the Asian summer monsoon. (iii) Both frost and ice days decrease by 1–2 days in spring, early summer, and autumn, and the decrease of frost days on the annual course is inversely related to the precipitation increase. (iv) Degree-days increase all over the TP with peak amplitude in the Qaidam Basin and the southern TP periphery, which will result in distinct melting of the local seasonal frozen ground, and the annual temperature range will decrease with stronger amplitude in south TP.

scholarly journals Agricultural Adaptation to Global Warming in the Tibetan Plateau

2019 ◽  
Vol 16 (19) ◽  
pp. 3686
Author(s):  
Yanling Song ◽  
Chunyi Wang ◽  
Hans W. Linderholm ◽  
Jinfeng Tian ◽  
Ying Shi ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Global Warming ◽  
Tibetan Plateau ◽  
Winter Wheat ◽  
Regional Climate Model ◽  
Spring Wheat ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Regional Climate ◽  
The Tibetan Plateau ◽  
Agricultural Adaptation

The Tibetan plateau is one of the most sensitive areas in China and has been significantly affected by global warming. From 1961 to 2017, the annual air temperature increased by 0.32 °C/decade over the Tibetan Plateau, which is the highest in the whole of China. Furthermore, this is a trend that is projected to continue by 0.30 °C/decade from 2018 to 2050 due to global warming using the Regional Climate Model version 4 (RegCM4). The increased temperature trend in recent decades has been highest in winter, which has been positive for the safe dormancy of winter wheat. In order to investigate agricultural adaptation to climate change in the Tibetan plateau, we used the World Food Studies (WOFOST) cropping systems model and weather data from the regional climate model RegCM4, to simulate winter wheat production in Guide county between 2018 and 2050. The simulated winter wheat potential yields amounted to 6698.3 kg/ha from 2018 to 2050, which showed the wheat yields would increase by 81%, if winter wheat was planted instead of spring wheat in the Tibetan Plateau with the correct amount of irrigation water. These results indicate that there are not only risks to crop yields from climate change, but also potential benefits. Global warming introduced the possibility to plant winter wheat instead of spring wheat over the Tibetan Plateau. These findings are very important for farmers and government agencies dealing with agricultural adaptation in a warmer climate.

scholarly journals Comparison of Cenozoic surface uplift and glacial-interglacial cycles on Himalaya-Tibet paleo-climate: Insights from a regional climate model

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Heiko Paeth ◽  
Christian Steger ◽  
Jingmin Li ◽  
Sebastian G. Mutz ◽  
Todd A. Ehlers
Keyword(s):  
Tibetan Plateau ◽  
Regional Climate Model ◽  
Central Asia ◽  
Last Glacial Maximum ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Regional Climate ◽  
The Tibetan Plateau ◽  
Climate Anomalies ◽  
The Last Glacial Maximum ◽  
The Last Glacial

Abstract. Assessing paleo-climatic changes across the Tibetan Plateau and the underlying driving mechanisms provides insights for the natural variability in the Earth's climate system in response to tectonic processes and global climate change. In this study, we use a high-resolution regional climate model to investigate various episodes of distinct climate states over the Tibetan Plateau region during the Cenozoic rise of the Plateau and Quaternary glacial/interglacial cycles. The main objective is to compare climate changes during the Miocene-Pliocene uplift period with climate anomalies during the last glacial maximum and the mid-Holocene optimum, based on a consistent modeling framework. Reduced plateau elevation leads to regionally differentiated patterns of higher temperature and lower precipitation amount on the plateau itself, whereas surrounding regions are subject to colder conditions. In particular, Central Asia receives much more precipitation prior to the uplift, mainly due to a shift of the stationary wave train over Eurasia. Cluster analysis indicates that the continental-desert type climate, which is widespread over Central Asia today, appears with the Tibetan Plateau reaching 50 % of its present-day elevation. The mid-Holocene is characterized by slightly colder temperatures, and the last glacial maximum by considerably colder conditions over most of central and southern Asia. Precipitation anomalies during these episodes are less pronounced and spatially heterogeneous over the Tibetan Plateau. The simulated changes are in good agreement with available paleo-climatic reconstructions from proxy data. The present-day climate classification is only slightly sensitive to the changed boundary conditions in the Quaternary Quaternary. It is shown that in some regions of the Tibetan Plateau the climate anomalies during the Quaternary Quaternary have been as strong as the changes occurring during the uplift period.

Projected changes in precipitation recycling over the Tibetan Plateau based on a global and regional climate model

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hongwen Zhang ◽  
Yanhong Gao
Keyword(s):  
Tibetan Plateau ◽  
Regional Climate Model ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Seasonal Pattern ◽  
Regional Climate ◽  
Back Trajectory ◽  
The Tibetan Plateau ◽  
Climate System Model ◽  
Precipitation Recycling ◽  
Mean Square Errors

AbstractPrecipitation recycling, as represented by the precipitation contributed by locally evaporated water vapor, is a key indicator of regional changes in the water cycle. The Quasi Isentropic Back-Trajectory method, combined with a global climate model [Community Climate System Model (CCSM)] and regional climate model [Weather Research and Forecasting (WRF) model simulation forced by CCSM (WRF-CCSM)], was used to analyze historical (1982–2005) and future (2090–2099) precipitation recycling over the Tibetan Plateau (TP). The study focuses on the differences in the projection of precipitation recycling ratio (PRR) changes and relevant mechanisms between the fine-resolution (30 km) WRF-CCSM and coarse-resolution (~110 km) CCSM simulations. Compared with CCSM, the biases and root-mean-square errors of the historical evapotranspiration and precipitation over the TP were greatly reduced in the WRF-CCSM simulation, particularly in precipitation. Using WRF-CCSM outputs, higher PRRs in all elevation bands, as well as the opposite seasonal pattern and linear trend of PRR for the river basins in the northern TP, were revealed. Unlike the CCSM projections, WRF-CCSM projects increasing trends of PRR changes with elevation under the RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios, with the largest increase at an elevation of about 5000 m. WRF-CCSM projects a diverse spatial and seasonal pattern of PRR changes, in contrast to the uniform decrease projected by CCSM. The larger fractional increases of future evapotranspiration contribution (precipitation contributed by local evapotranspiration) per unit warming than precipitation changes in WRF-CCSM suggests an enhanced contribution of locally evaporated moisture to total precipitation in the future under the RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios.

scholarly journals On the role of horizontal resolution over the Tibetan Plateau in the REMO regional climate model

2018 ◽  
Vol 51 (11-12) ◽  
pp. 4525-4542 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jingwei Xu ◽  
Nikolay Koldunov ◽  
Armelle Reca C. Remedio ◽  
Dmitry V. Sein ◽  
Xiefei Zhi ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Tibetan Plateau ◽  
Regional Climate Model ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Regional Climate ◽  
Horizontal Resolution ◽  
The Tibetan Plateau

Qinghai-Xizang (Tibetan) Plateau climate simulation using the regional climate model RegCM3

2013 ◽  
Vol 57 (3) ◽  
pp. 173-186 ◽  
Author(s):  
X Wang ◽  
M Yang ◽  
G Wan ◽  
X Chen ◽  
G Pang
Keyword(s):  
Tibetan Plateau ◽  
Regional Climate Model ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Regional Climate ◽  
Climate Simulation

scholarly journals Direct radiative effects of dust aerosols emitted from the Tibetan Plateau on the East Asian summer monsoon – a regional climate model simulation

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
Hui Sun ◽  
Xiaodong Liu ◽  
Zaitao Pan
Keyword(s):  
Tibetan Plateau ◽  
Regional Climate Model ◽  
East Asian Summer Monsoon ◽  
Asian Monsoon ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Asian Summer Monsoon ◽  
Regional Climate ◽  
East Asian ◽  
Dust Aerosols ◽  
Asian Summer

Abstract. While dust aerosols emitted from major Asian sources such as Taklimakan and Gobi Deserts have been shown to have strong effect on Asian monsoon and climate, the role of dust emitted from Tibetan Plateau (TP) itself, where aerosols can directly interact with the TP heat pump because of their physical proximity both in location and elevation, has not been examined. This study uses the dust coupled RegCM4.1 regional climate model to simulate the spatiotemporal distribution of dust aerosols originating in the TP and their radiative effects on the East Asian summer monsoon (EASM) during both heavy and light dust years. Two 20-year simulations with and without the dust emission from TP showed that direct radiative cooling in the mid-troposphere induced by the TP locally produced dust aerosols resulted in an overall anticyclonic circulation anomaly in the low-troposphere centered over the TP region. The northeasterly anomaly in the EASM region reduces its strength considerably. The simulations found a significant negative correlation between the TP column dust load produced by local emissions and the corresponding anomaly in the EASM index (R=−0.41). The locally generated TP dust can cause surface cooling far downstream in eastern Mongolia and northeastern China through stationery Rossby wave propagation. Although contribution to the total Asian dust source from within TP (mainly Qaidam Basin) is relatively small, its impacts on Asian monsoon and climate seems disproportionately large, likely owning to its higher elevation within TP itself.

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