scholarly journals Mechanisms of Global-Mean Steric Sea Level Change

2014 ◽  
Vol 27 (2) ◽  
pp. 824-834 ◽  
Author(s):  
Christopher G. Piecuch ◽  
Rui M. Ponte
Keyword(s):  
Sea Level ◽  
General Circulation ◽  
Potential Temperature ◽  
Regional Distribution ◽  
Sea Level Change ◽  
Small Scale ◽  
Sea Level Changes ◽  
Steric Sea Level ◽  
Level Change ◽  
Global Mean

Abstract Global-mean sea level change partly reflects volumetric expansion of the oceans because of density change, otherwise known as global-mean steric sea level change. Owing to nonlinearities in the equation of state of seawater, the nature of processes contributing to recent observed global-mean steric sea level changes has not been well understood. Using a data-constrained ocean state estimate, global-mean steric sea level change over 1993–2003 is revisited, and contributions from ocean transports and surface exchanges are quantified using closed potential temperature and salinity budgets. Analyses demonstrate that estimated decadal global-mean steric sea level change results mainly from a slight, time-mean imbalance between atmospheric forcing and ocean transports over the integration period: surface heat and freshwater exchanges produce a trend in global-mean steric sea level that is mainly offset by the redistribution of potential temperature and salinity through small-scale diffusion and large-scale advection. A set of numerical experiments demonstrates that global-mean steric sea level changes simulated by ocean general circulation models are sensitive to the regional distribution of ocean heat and freshwater content changes.

scholarly journals The land-ice contribution to 21st century dynamic sea-level rise

2014 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
pp. 123-169 ◽  
Author(s):  
T. Howard ◽  
J. Ridley ◽  
A. K. Pardaens ◽  
R. T. W. L. Hurkmans ◽  
A. J. Payne ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Sea Level Rise ◽  
Sea Level ◽  
21St Century ◽  
Sea Level Change ◽  
Sea Level Changes ◽  
Mean Sea Level ◽  
Ice Melt ◽  
Level Change ◽  
Global Mean ◽  
Dynamic Sea Level

Abstract. Climate change has the potential to locally influence mean sea level through a number of processes including (but not limited to) thermal expansion of the oceans and enhanced land ice melt. These lead to departures from the global mean sea level change, due to spatial variations in the change of water density and transport, which are termed dynamic sea level changes. In this study we present regional patterns of sea-level change projected by a global coupled atmosphere–ocean climate model forced by projected ice-melt fluxes from three sources: the Antarctic ice sheet, the Greenland ice sheet and small glaciers and ice caps. The largest ice melt flux we consider is equivalent to almost 0.7 m of global sea level rise over the 21st century. Since the ice melt is not constant, the evolution of the dynamic sea level changes is analysed. We find that the dynamic sea level change associated with the ice melt is small, with the largest changes, occurring in the North Atlantic, contributing of order 3 cm above the global mean rise. Furthermore, the dynamic sea level change associated with the ice melt is similar regardless of whether the simulated ice fluxes are applied to a simulation with fixed or changing atmospheric CO2.

Closing the global and regional sea level budgets by combining multi-mission altimetry and GRACE(-FO) data

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bernd Uebbing ◽  
Christina Lück ◽  
Roelof Rietbroek ◽  
Kristin Vielberg ◽  
Jürgen Kusche
Keyword(s):  
Time Series ◽  
Sea Level ◽  
Sea Level Change ◽  
Inversion Method ◽  
Data Sets ◽  
Sea Level Changes ◽  
Steric Sea Level ◽  
Level Change ◽  
Spatial Coverage ◽  
Regional Sea Level

<p>Understanding present day sea level changes and their drivers requires the separation of the total sea level change into individual mass and steric related contributions. Total sea level rise has been observed continuously since 1993 providing a more than 25 year long time series of global and regional sea level variations. However, direct monitoring of ocean mass change has only been done since the start of the Gravity Recovery And Climate Experiment (GRACE) mission in 2002. It ended in 2017 and was succeeded by the follow-on mission (GRACE-FO) in 2018 leaving a gap of about 1 year. In the same time period of GRACE, since the early 2000s, a global array of freely drifting Argo floats samples temperature and salinity profiles of up to 2000m depth which can be converted to steric sea level change.</p><p>By combining altimetry, GRACE(-FO) and Argo data sets it is possible to derive global and regional sea level budgets. The conventional approach is to analyze at least two of the data sets and derive the residual, or compare with the third one. A more recent approach is the global joint inversion method (Rietbroek et al., 2016) which fits forward-modeled spatial fingerprints to a combination of GRACE gravity data and Jason-1/-2 satellite altimetry data. This enables us, additionally, to separate altimetric sea level change into mass contributions from terrestrial hydrology, the melting of land glaciers and the ice-sheets in Greenland and Antarctica as well as contributions from steric sea level changes due to variations in ocean temperature and salinity. It also allows to include a data weighting scheme in the analysis.</p><p>Here, we present global and regional sea level budget results from an updated inversion based on multi-mission altimetry (Jason-1/-2/-3, Envisat, Cryosat-2, Sentinel-3, …) providing better spatial coverage as well as new RL06 GRACE and GRACE-FO data which enables us to extend the time series of individual components of the sea level budget beyond the GRACE era from 2002-04 till 2019-06. The presented sea level budget is closed on global scale with a residual (unexplained) contribution of about 0.1 mm/yr, globally, originating in eddy-active regions. We provide consistent validation of our results against conventionally analyzed altimetry and GRACE data sets where we find agreement on global scales to be better than 0.1 mm/yr but a larger disagreement at regional scales as well as the implications of our results for deriving ocean heat content. We will also provide first results for filling the gap in the sea level budget estimates due to the gap between the GRACE and GRACE-FO missions by additionally incorporating time-variable gravity information from the Swarm mission as well as from Satellite Laser Ranging (SLR) to 5 satellites (Lageos-1/-2, Stella, Starlette, Ajisai).</p>

scholarly journals The land-ice contribution to 21st-century dynamic sea level rise

Ocean Science ◽  
2014 ◽  
Vol 10 (3) ◽  
pp. 485-500 ◽  
Author(s):  
T. Howard ◽  
J. Ridley ◽  
A. K. Pardaens ◽  
R. T. W. L. Hurkmans ◽  
A. J. Payne ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Sea Level ◽  
21St Century ◽  
Sea Level Change ◽  
Sea Level Changes ◽  
Mean Sea Level ◽  
Ice Melt ◽  
Level Change ◽  
Global Mean Sea Level ◽  
Global Mean ◽  
Dynamic Sea Level

Abstract. Climate change has the potential to influence global mean sea level through a number of processes including (but not limited to) thermal expansion of the oceans and enhanced land ice melt. In addition to their contribution to global mean sea level change, these two processes (among others) lead to local departures from the global mean sea level change, through a number of mechanisms including the effect on spatial variations in the change of water density and transport, usually termed dynamic sea level changes. In this study, we focus on the component of dynamic sea level change that might be given by additional freshwater inflow to the ocean under scenarios of 21st-century land-based ice melt. We present regional patterns of dynamic sea level change given by a global-coupled atmosphere–ocean climate model forced by spatially and temporally varying projected ice-melt fluxes from three sources: the Antarctic ice sheet, the Greenland Ice Sheet and small glaciers and ice caps. The largest ice melt flux we consider is equivalent to almost 0.7 m of global mean sea level rise over the 21st century. The temporal evolution of the dynamic sea level changes, in the presence of considerable variations in the ice melt flux, is also analysed. We find that the dynamic sea level change associated with the ice melt is small, with the largest changes occurring in the North Atlantic amounting to 3 cm above the global mean rise. Furthermore, the dynamic sea level change associated with the ice melt is similar regardless of whether the simulated ice fluxes are applied to a simulation with fixed CO2 or under a business-as-usual greenhouse gas warming scenario of increasing CO2.

scholarly journals Reconciling global mean and regional sea level change in projections and observations

2021 ◽  
Vol 12 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Jinping Wang ◽  
John A. Church ◽  
Xuebin Zhang ◽  
Xianyao Chen
Keyword(s):  
Sea Level ◽  
Climate Models ◽  
Tide Gauge ◽  
Sea Level Change ◽  
Global Network ◽  
Weighted Mean ◽  
Level Change ◽  
Regional Sea Level ◽  
Global Mean ◽  
Regional Sea Level Change

AbstractThe ability of climate models to simulate 20th century global mean sea level (GMSL) and regional sea-level change has been demonstrated. However, the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) Fifth Assessment Report (AR5) and Special Report on the Ocean and Cryosphere in a Changing Climate (SROCC) sea-level projections have not been rigorously evaluated with observed GMSL and coastal sea level from a global network of tide gauges as the short overlapping period (2007–2018) and natural variability make the detection of trends and accelerations challenging. Here, we critically evaluate these projections with satellite and tide-gauge observations. The observed trends from GMSL and the regional weighted mean at tide-gauge stations confirm the projections under three Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) scenarios within 90% confidence level during 2007–2018. The central values of the observed GMSL (1993–2018) and regional weighted mean (1970–2018) accelerations are larger than projections for RCP2.6 and lie between (or even above) those for RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 over 2007–2032, but are not yet statistically different from any scenario. While the confirmation of the projection trends gives us confidence in current understanding of near future sea-level change, it leaves open questions concerning late 21st century non-linear accelerations from ice-sheet contributions.

scholarly journals On the geophysical processes impacting palaeo-sea-level observations

2021 ◽  
Vol 8 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Yusuke Yokoyama ◽  
Anthony Purcell
Keyword(s):  
Sea Level ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Global Climate ◽  
Sea Level Change ◽  
Sea Level Changes ◽  
Factors Affecting ◽  
Ice Volume ◽  
Level Change ◽  
Recent Developments ◽  
Geophysical Processes

AbstractPast sea-level change represents the large-scale state of global climate, reflecting the waxing and waning of global ice sheets and the corresponding effect on ocean volume. Recent developments in sampling and analytical methods enable us to more precisely reconstruct past sea-level changes using geological indicators dated by radiometric methods. However, ice-volume changes alone cannot wholly account for these observations of local, relative sea-level change because of various geophysical factors including glacio-hydro-isostatic adjustments (GIA). The mechanisms behind GIA cannot be ignored when reconstructing global ice volume, yet they remain poorly understood within the general sea-level community. In this paper, various geophysical factors affecting sea-level observations are discussed and the details and impacts of these processes on estimates of past ice volumes are introduced.

A standardized database of Last Interglacial sea-level indicators in southeast Asia: Records from coral reef terraces in a tectonically complex region

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kathrine Maxwell ◽  
Hildegard Westphal ◽  
Alessio Rovere
Keyword(s):  
Coral Reef ◽  
Southeast Asia ◽  
Sea Level ◽  
Tectonic Setting ◽  
Sea Level Change ◽  
The Philippines ◽  
Sea Level Changes ◽  
Last Interglacial ◽  
Level Change ◽  
Se Asia

<p>The Last Interglacial (LIG), as well as other warmer periods in the Earth’s geologic history, provides an analogue for predicted warming conditions in the near future. Analysis of sea-level indicators during this period is important in constraining regional drivers of relative sea-level change (RSL) and in modeling future trajectories of sea-level rise. In southeast Asia, several studies have been done to examine LIG sea-level indicators such as coral reef terraces and tidal notches. A synthesis of the state-of-the-art of the LIG RSL indicators in the region, meanwhile, has yet to be done. We reviewed over 50 published works on the LIG RSL indicators in southeast Asia and used the framework of the World Atlas of Last Interglacial Shorelines (WALIS) in building a standardized database of previously published LIG RSL indicators in the region. In total, we identified 38 unique RSL indicators and inserted almost 140 ages in the database. Available data from Indonesia, the Philippines, and East Timor points to variable elevation of sea-level indicators during the LIG highlighting the complex tectonic setting of this region. Variable uplift rates (from as low as 0.02 to as high as 1.1 m/ka) were reported in the study areas echoing various collision and subduction processes influencing these sites. Although several age constraints and elevation measurements have been provided by these studies, more data is still needed to shed more light on the RSL changes in the region. With this effort under the WALIS framework, we hope to identify gaps in the LIG RSL indicators literature in SE Asia and recognize potential areas that can be visited for future work. We also hope that this initiative will help us further understand the different drivers of past sea-level changes in SE Asia and will provide inputs for projections of sea-level change in the future.</p>

Molecular fossils inferring Quaternary sea-level changes

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Martina Conti ◽  
Martin Bates ◽  
Natasha Barlow ◽  
Richard Preece ◽  
Kirsty Penkman ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Organic Matter ◽  
Sea Level ◽  
Sea Level Change ◽  
Sea Level Changes ◽  
Primary Producers ◽  
Chlorophyll Pigments ◽  
Molecular Fossils ◽  
Level Change ◽  
Targeted Analysis ◽  
The Impact

<p>Targeted analysis of organic matter in soils and sediments is useful for evaluating past environmental conditions, as specific compounds may be directly linked to organisms and hence to the conditions in which they inhabited the environment.  Variations in molecular fossil distributions have become a powerful tool for understanding changes in palaeoclimate conditions.  This work uses molecular fossils to give an insight into the impact of transgressive events on primary producers inhabiting the studied basin, and hence a more detailed record of sea-level change.</p><p>The cores studied consisted of unconsolidated immature sediments from the mid-late Pleistocene (< 500,000 years) and the Holocene.  Molecular fossils, such as chlorophyll pigments and lipids, exhibit fluctuations as a response to changes in palaeoenvironmental conditions, providing a useful marker for sea-level changes.  Fluctuations in the pigment and <em>n</em>-alkane distribution reflect changes in primary producer activity, while the GDGT-based index of branched and isoprenoid tetraether lipids (BIT) differentiates between terrigenous and marine organic matter inputs.  Lipids were analysed by GC-FID and HPLC-MS while analysis of chlorophyll pigments was carried out using a new UHPLC-DAD method.</p><p>The results from biomarker analyses show excellent time-resolved agreement with previous lithological and ecological studies, but enabled a more sensitive response of different primary producers to changing conditions to be observed.  The molecular fossils were able to detect the onset and cessation of the studied transgressions earlier than it was possible with microfossil evidence.  Linking the pigment and lipid record with more secure dating will enable a more accurate record of Quaternary relative sea-level change.</p>

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