scholarly journals On the Interpretation of EOF Analysis of ENSO, Atmospheric Kelvin Waves, and the MJO

2015 ◽  
Vol 28 (3) ◽  
pp. 1148-1165 ◽  
Author(s):  
Paul E. Roundy
Keyword(s):  
Skin Temperature ◽  
El Niño ◽  
El Nino ◽  
Spatial Scales ◽  
Longwave Radiation ◽  
Kelvin Waves ◽  
Eof Analysis ◽  
State Variables ◽  
Kelvin Wave ◽  
Full Characterization

Abstract Empirical orthogonal function (EOF) analysis is frequently applied to derive patterns and indexes used to identify and track weather and climate modes as expressed in state variables or proxies of convection. Individual EOFs or pairs of EOFs are often taken to be a complete description of the phenomenon they are intended to index. At the same time, in the absence of projection of the phenomenon onto multiple EOFs yielding multiple similar eigenvalues, each EOF is often assumed to represent a physically independent phenomenon. This project analyzed the leading EOFs of the earth’s skin temperature on the equator and outgoing longwave radiation (OLR) anomalies filtered for atmospheric equatorial Kelvin waves. Results show that the leading two EOFs of the skin temperature data—including east Pacific El Niño and El Niño Modoki—frequently evolve as a quadrature pair during El Niño events, even though the first EOF explains roughly 6 times as much variance as the second. They together diagnose the longitude of the SST anomaly maximum, and their linear combination frequently shows eastward or westward propagation. Analysis of the filtered OLR anomalies shows that the first six EOFs each represent Kelvin wave signals, with the first, second, and third pairs representing Kelvin waves characterized by zonal wavenumbers 2, 3, and 4, respectively. This result demonstrates that if a phenomenon occurs across a range of spatial scales, it is described by multiple EOFs at different scales. A similar analysis demonstrates that the Madden–Julian oscillation probably exhibits spread across a range of spatial scales that would also require multiple EOFs for full characterization.

scholarly journals Observed Relationships between Oceanic Kelvin Waves and Atmospheric Forcing

2006 ◽  
Vol 19 (20) ◽  
pp. 5253-5272 ◽  
Author(s):  
Paul E. Roundy ◽  
George N. Kiladis
Keyword(s):  
Wind Stress ◽  
El Niño ◽  
El Nino ◽  
Phase Speed ◽  
Kelvin Waves ◽  
Apparent Difference ◽  
Kelvin Wave ◽  
Central Pacific ◽  
Basin Scale ◽  
The Waves

Abstract The Madden–Julian oscillation (MJO) has been implicated as a major source of the wind stress variability that generates basin-scale Kelvin waves in the equatorial Pacific. One source of debate concerning this relationship is the apparent difference in the frequencies of the two processes. This work utilizes data from the Tropical Atmosphere Ocean (TAO) array of moored buoys along with outgoing longwave radiation data to show by means of a multiple linear regression model and case studies that the frequency discrepancy is due to a systematic decrease in the phase speeds of the Kelvin waves and an increase in the period of the waves toward the east as conditions adjust toward El Niño. Among the potential contributing factors to this phase speed decrease is an apparent air–sea interaction that enhances the wind forcing of some of the Kelvin waves, allowing them to continue to amplify because the propagating wind stress anomaly decelerates to the speed of the developing Kelvin wave instead of the significantly faster speed of the typical MJO. Kelvin waves appear to be most effectively amplified during periods when the temperature gradient above the thermocline across the equatorial central Pacific is strong, the thermocline shoals steeply toward the east in the central Pacific, and/or when the phase speed of the propagating wind stress forcing is closest to that of the Kelvin wave. These conditions tend to occur as the ocean adjusts toward El Niño. Since Kelvin waves are instrumental to the development of El Niño events, isolating the detailed relationship between the waves and the MJO will lead to a better understanding of interannual ocean–atmosphere interactions.

scholarly journals A Reduced-Order Representation of the Madden–Julian Oscillation Based on Reanalyzed Normal Mode Coherences

2019 ◽  
Vol 76 (8) ◽  
pp. 2463-2480 ◽  
Author(s):  
Vassili Kitsios ◽  
Terence J. O’Kane ◽  
Nedjeljka Žagar
Keyword(s):  
Normal Mode ◽  
Gravity Waves ◽  
Rossby Waves ◽  
Spatial Scales ◽  
Longwave Radiation ◽  
Kelvin Waves ◽  
Madden Julian Oscillation ◽  
Kelvin Wave ◽  
Zonal Wavenumber ◽  
Vertical Scales

Abstract The Madden–Julian oscillation (MJO) is presented as a series of interacting Rossby and inertial gravity waves of varying vertical scales and meridional extents. These components are isolated by decomposing reanalysis fields into a set of normal mode functions (NMF), which are orthogonal eigenvectors of the linearized primitive equations on a sphere. The NMFs that demonstrate spatial properties compatible with the MJO are inertial gravity waves of zonal wavenumber k = 1 and the lowest meridional index n = 0, and Rossby waves with (k, n) = (1, 1). For these horizontal scales, there are multiple small vertical-scale baroclinic modes that have temporal properties indicative of the MJO. On the basis of one such eastward-propagating inertial gravity wave (i.e., a Kelvin wave), composite averages of the Japanese 55-year Reanalysis demonstrate an eastward propagation of the velocity potential, and oscillation of outgoing longwave radiation and precipitation fields over the Maritime Continent, with an MJO-appropriate temporal period. A cross-spectral analysis indicates that only the MJO time scale is coherent between this Kelvin wave and the more energetic modes. Four mode clusters are identified: Kelvin waves of correct phase period and direction, Rossby waves of correct phase period, energetic Kelvin waves of larger vertical scales and meridional extents extending into the extratropics, and energetic Rossby waves of spatial scales similar to that of the energetic Kelvin waves. We propose that within this normal mode framework, nonlinear interactions between the aforementioned mode groups are required to produce an energetic MJO propagating eastward with an intraseasonal phase period. By virtue of the selected mode groups, this theory encompasses both multiscale and tropical–extratropical interactions.

scholarly journals The Association of the Evolution of Intraseasonal Oscillations to ENSO Phase

2009 ◽  
Vol 22 (2) ◽  
pp. 381-395 ◽  
Author(s):  
Paul E. Roundy ◽  
Joseph R. Kravitz
Keyword(s):  
El Niño ◽  
El Nino ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Kelvin Waves ◽  
Kelvin Wave ◽  
Weather Patterns ◽  
The Pacific ◽  
Intraseasonal Oscillations ◽  
The Pacific Ocean ◽  
Atmospheric Variations

Abstract The Pacific Ocean intraseasonal Kelvin wave is a leading oceanic mode that links intraseasonal tropical atmospheric variations with interannual variations in the coupled ocean–atmosphere system. This study considers the premise that these waves may evolve differently with their associated weather patterns during different phases of El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO). If atmospheric and oceanic intraseasonal modes interact and evolve differently during various stages of ENSO, this result may provide useful information with regard to the role of these intraseasonal processes in ENSO evolution. This work utilizes signals of the oceanic Kelvin wave as a statistical basis for a simple composite averaging technique that is applied during different phases of ENSO to objectively analyze the evolution of oceanic and the associated portions of atmospheric intraseasonal oscillations. Results confirm the above premise and suggest that coupling between Kelvin waves and atmospheric convection evolves differently during different stages of ENSO. Further, intraseasonal zonal wind anomalies across the east Pacific timed with oceanic Kelvin waves are stronger during adjustment toward El Niño than during adjustment away from El Niño. These and other patterns in the composites suggest the possibility that systematic changes in the evolution of intraseasonal variations over the course of ENSO might feed back upon this interannual mode to influence the evolution of ENSO itself.

scholarly journals The role of tropical volcanic eruptions in exacerbating Indian droughts

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Suvarna Fadnavis ◽  
Rolf Müller ◽  
Tanusri Chakraborty ◽  
T. P. Sabin ◽  
Anton Laakso ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
El Niño ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
El Nino ◽  
Volcanic Eruptions ◽  
Summer Monsoon Rainfall ◽  
Indian Region ◽  
Volcanic Plume ◽  
Kelvin Wave ◽  
Central Pacific ◽  
Climate Model Simulations

AbstractThe Indian summer monsoon rainfall (ISMR) is vital for the livelihood of millions of people in the Indian region; droughts caused by monsoon failures often resulted in famines. Large volcanic eruptions have been linked with reductions in ISMR, but the responsible mechanisms remain unclear. Here, using 145-year (1871–2016) records of volcanic eruptions and ISMR, we show that ISMR deficits prevail for two years after moderate and large (VEI > 3) tropical volcanic eruptions; this is not the case for extra-tropical eruptions. Moreover, tropical volcanic eruptions strengthen El Niño and weaken La Niña conditions, further enhancing Indian droughts. Using climate-model simulations of the 2011 Nabro volcanic eruption, we show that eruption induced an El Niño like warming in the central Pacific for two consecutive years due to Kelvin wave dissipation triggered by the eruption. This El Niño like warming in the central Pacific led to a precipitation reduction in the Indian region. In addition, solar dimming caused by the volcanic plume in 2011 reduced Indian rainfall.

scholarly journals The Nature of the Stochastic Wind Forcing of ENSO

2018 ◽  
Vol 31 (19) ◽  
pp. 8081-8099 ◽  
Author(s):  
Antonietta Capotondi ◽  
Prashant D. Sardeshmukh ◽  
Lucrezia Ricciardulli
Keyword(s):  
El Niño ◽  
High Frequency ◽  
El Nino ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Low Frequency ◽  
Kelvin Waves ◽  
Wind Forcing ◽  
Alternative View ◽  
Low Frequencies ◽  
Wind Events

El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) is commonly viewed as a low-frequency tropical mode of coupled atmosphere–ocean variability energized by stochastic wind forcing. Despite many studies, however, the nature of this broadband stochastic forcing and the relative roles of its high- and low-frequency components in ENSO development remain unclear. In one view, the high-frequency forcing associated with the subseasonal Madden–Julian oscillation (MJO) and westerly wind events (WWEs) excites oceanic Kelvin waves leading to ENSO. An alternative view emphasizes the role of the low-frequency stochastic wind components in directly forcing the low-frequency ENSO modes. These apparently distinct roles of the wind forcing are clarified here using a recently released high-resolution wind dataset for 1990–2015. A spectral analysis shows that although the high-frequency winds do excite high-frequency Kelvin waves, they are much weaker than their interannual counterparts and are a minor contributor to ENSO development. The analysis also suggests that WWEs should be viewed more as short-correlation events with a flat spectrum at low frequencies that can efficiently excite ENSO modes than as strictly high-frequency events that would be highly inefficient in this regard. Interestingly, the low-frequency power of the rapid wind forcing is found to be higher during El Niño than La Niña events, suggesting a role also for state-dependent (i.e., multiplicative) noise forcing in ENSO dynamics.

On Abnormally Strong Currents Observed on the Northern Coast of Peru during the 2015-2016 El Niño

2021 ◽  
Vol 8 (4) ◽  
pp. 205-210
Author(s):  
Chang-Woong Shin ◽  
Dimitri Gutiérrez
Keyword(s):  
Mixed Layer ◽  
El Niño ◽  
El Nino ◽  
Current Data ◽  
Kelvin Waves ◽  
Coastal Current ◽  
Northern Coast ◽  
El Niño Event ◽  
Strong Current ◽  
The Impact

The northern coast of Peru is a region that can rapidly detect the impact of an El Niño. To investigate the effects of the 2015-2016 El Niño on the oceanographic environment of the northern coast of Peru, the temperature and current data obtained from moored equipment at an oil platform were analyzed. Strong coastal along-shore currents of more than 0.60 m·s-1 were observed three times, although the mean current speed was 0.10 m·s-1 flowing toward the south-southwest. After the first strong current, the bottom temperature increased and the mixed layer deepened and remained there during the El Niño event. The temperature reached a maximum after the strong coastal current, then decreased gradually. An analysis of wind and sea surface height anomalies revealed that the coastal strong current was caused by Kelvin waves and the deepening of the mixed layer was not related to local winds, but to coastal Kelvin waves from the equator during the El Niño event.

Revisiting MJO, Kelvin waves, and El Niño relationships using a simple ocean model

2019 ◽  
Vol 53 (9-10) ◽  
pp. 6363-6377
Author(s):  
Nicholas D. Lybarger ◽  
Cristiana Stan
Keyword(s):  
El Niño ◽  
El Nino ◽  
Ocean Model ◽  
Kelvin Waves

Modulation of ENSO on Fast and Slow MJO Modes during Boreal Winter

2019 ◽  
Vol 32 (21) ◽  
pp. 7483-7506 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yuntao Wei ◽  
Hong-Li Ren
Keyword(s):  
El Niño ◽  
El Nino ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
La Niña ◽  
Boreal Winter ◽  
Kelvin Wave ◽  
Wind Anomaly ◽  
Easterly Wind ◽  
Budget Analysis ◽  
La Nina

Abstract This study investigates modulation of El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) on the Madden–Julian oscillation (MJO) propagation during boreal winter. Results show that the spatiotemporal evolution of MJO manifests as a fast equatorially symmetric propagation from the Indian Ocean to the equatorial western Pacific (EWP) during El Niño, whereas the MJO during La Niña is very slow and tends to frequently “detour” via the southern Maritime Continent (MC). The westward group velocity of the MJO is also more significant during El Niño. Based on the dynamics-oriented diagnostics, it is found that, during El Niño, the much stronger leading suppressed convection over the EWP excites a significant front Walker cell, which further triggers a larger Kelvin wave easterly wind anomaly and premoistening and heating effects to the east. However, the equatorial Rossby wave to the west tends to decouple with the MJO convection. Both effects can result in fast MJO propagation. The opposite holds during La Niña. A column-integrated moisture budget analysis reveals that the sea surface temperature anomaly driving both the eastward and equatorward gradients of the low-frequency moisture anomaly during El Niño, as opposed to the westward and poleward gradients during La Niña, induces moist advection over the equatorial eastern MC–EWP region due to the intraseasonal wind anomaly and therefore enhances the zonal asymmetry of the moisture tendency, supporting fast propagation. The role of nonlinear advection by synoptic-scale Kelvin waves is also nonnegligible in distinguishing fast and slow MJO modes. This study emphasizes the crucial roles of dynamical wave feedback and moisture–convection feedback in modulating the MJO propagation by ENSO.

Northwest Pacific Anticyclonic Anomalies during Post–El Niño Summers Determined by the Pace of El Niño Decay

2019 ◽  
Vol 32 (12) ◽  
pp. 3487-3503 ◽  
Author(s):  
Wenping Jiang ◽  
Gang Huang ◽  
Ping Huang ◽  
Renguang Wu ◽  
Kaiming Hu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Rossby Wave ◽  
El Niño ◽  
Yangtze River ◽  
El Nino ◽  
Yangtze River Basin ◽  
Northwest Pacific ◽  
The Yangtze River ◽  
Kelvin Wave ◽  
The Yangtze River Basin ◽  
Sst Anomalies

Abstract This study investigates the characteristics and maintaining mechanisms of the anomalous northwest Pacific anticyclone (NWPAC) following different El Niño decaying paces. In fast decaying El Niño summers, the positive SST anomalies in the tropical central-eastern Pacific (TCEP) have transformed to negative, and positive SST anomalies appear around the Maritime Continent (MC), whereas in slow decaying El Niño summers, positive SST anomalies are present in the TCEP and in the tropical Indian Ocean (TIO). During fast decaying El Niño summers, the cold Rossby wave in response to the negative TCEP SST anomalies has a primary contribution to maintaining the NWPAC anomalies. The warm Kelvin wave response and enhanced Hadley circulation anomalies forced by the positive MC SST anomalies also facilitate developing the NWPAC anomalies. During slow decaying El Niño summers, the warm Kelvin wave anchored over the TIO plays a crucial role in sustaining the NWPAC anomalies, while the warm Rossby wave triggered by the positive TCEP SST anomalies weakens the western part of the NWPAC anomalies. The southwesterly anomalies of the NWPAC anomalies during fast decaying El Niño summers can reach to higher latitudes than those during slow decaying El Niño summers. Correspondingly, positive rainfall anomalies appear in northern China and the Yangtze River basin in fast decaying El Niño summers but are only distributed in the Yangtze River basin in slow decaying El Niño summers. This study implies that the El Niño decaying pace is a key factor in East Asian summer climate.

scholarly journals Cluster Analysis of Typhoon Tracks. Part II: Large-Scale Circulation and ENSO

2007 ◽  
Vol 20 (14) ◽  
pp. 3654-3676 ◽  
Author(s):  
Suzana J. Camargo ◽  
Andrew W. Robertson ◽  
Scott J. Gaffney ◽  
Padhraic Smyth ◽  
Michael Ghil
Keyword(s):  
El Niño ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
El Nino ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Vertical Wind Shear ◽  
Longwave Radiation ◽  
Probabilistic Clustering ◽  
Consistent Picture ◽  
Regression Mixture ◽  
Typhoon Tracks

Abstract A new probabilistic clustering method, based on a regression mixture model, is used to describe tropical cyclone (TC) propagation in the western North Pacific (WNP). Seven clusters were obtained and described in Part I of this two-part study. In Part II, the present paper, the large-scale patterns of atmospheric circulation and sea surface temperature associated with each of the clusters are investigated, as well as associations with the phase of the El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO). Composite wind field maps over the WNP provide a physically consistent picture of each TC type, and of its seasonality. Anomalous vorticity and outgoing longwave radiation indicate changes in the monsoon trough associated with different types of TC genesis and trajectory. The steering winds at 500 hPa are more zonal in the straight-moving clusters, with larger meridional components in the recurving ones. Higher values of vertical wind shear in the midlatitudes also accompany the straight-moving tracks, compared to the recurving ones. The influence of ENSO on TC activity over the WNP is clearly discerned in specific clusters. Two of the seven clusters are typical of El Niño events; their genesis locations are shifted southeastward and they are more intense. The largest cluster is recurving, located northwestward, and occurs more often during La Niña events. Two types of recurving and one of straight-moving tracks occur preferentially when the Madden–Julian oscillation is active over the WNP region.

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