scholarly journals Influences of Boreal Summer Intraseasonal Oscillation on Heat Waves in Monsoon Asia

2017 ◽  
Vol 30 (18) ◽  
pp. 7191-7211 ◽  
Author(s):  
Pang-Chi Hsu ◽  
June-Yi Lee ◽  
Kyung-Ja Ha ◽  
Chih-Hua Tsou
Keyword(s):  
Heat Waves ◽  
Sensible Heat Flux ◽  
Intraseasonal Oscillation ◽  
Boreal Summer ◽  
Southeastern Part ◽  
Asian Monsoon Region ◽  
Near Surface ◽  
Boreal Summer Intraseasonal Oscillation ◽  
Monsoon Asia ◽  
Anticyclonic Anomaly

Abstract By analyzing observation-based high-resolution surface air temperature (SAT) data over the Asian monsoon region (here called “monsoon Asia”) for 1981–2007, the modulation by boreal summer intraseasonal oscillation (BSISO) of heat wave (HW) occurrence is examined. Strong SAT variability and a high probability of HW occurrence on intraseasonal time scales are found consistently in the densely populated regions over central India (CI), the Yangtze River valley in China (YR), Japan (JP), and the Korean Peninsula (KP). The two distinct BSISO modes (30–60-day BSISO1 and 10–30-day BSISO2) show different contributions to HW occurrence in monsoon Asia. A significant increase in HW occurrence over CI (YR) is observed during phases 2–3 (8–1) of BSISO2 when the 10–30-day anticyclonic and descending anomaly induce enhanced upward thermal heating and sensible heat flux (warm advection) around the areas. On the other hand, the northeastward propagating BSISO1 is closely connected to the increased HW probability over JP and KP. During phases 7–8 of BSISO1, the 30–60-day subsidence along with the low-level anticyclonic anomaly moves into northeastern Asia, leading to enhanced diabatic (adiabatic) warming near surface in JP (KP). Analysis of a three-dimensional streamfunction tendency equation indicates that diabatic cooling induced by the BSISO-related suppressed convections is the main forcing term of anticyclonic anomaly although it is largely offset by the decreased static stability associated with adiabatic warming. The BSISO-related vorticity advection leads to an anticyclonic (cyclonic) tendency to the northwestern (southeastern) part of the center of anticyclonic anomaly, favoring northwestward development of the BSISO anomalous circulations and thus providing a favorable condition for HW occurrence over the western Pacific–East Asia sector.

scholarly journals The Impact of Finer-Resolution Air–Sea Coupling on the Intraseasonal Oscillation of the Indian Monsoon

2011 ◽  
Vol 24 (10) ◽  
pp. 2451-2468 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nicholas P. Klingaman ◽  
Steven J. Woolnough ◽  
Hilary Weller ◽  
Julia M. Slingo
Keyword(s):  
Atmospheric Stability ◽  
Intraseasonal Oscillation ◽  
Boreal Summer ◽  
Upper Ocean ◽  
Vertical Resolution ◽  
Coupled Models ◽  
Diurnal Variability ◽  
Near Surface ◽  
The Impact ◽  
Coupling Frequency

Abstract A newly assembled atmosphere–ocean coupled model, called HadKPP, is described and then used to determine the effects of subdaily air–sea coupling and fine near-surface ocean vertical resolution on the representation of the Northern Hemisphere summer intraseasonal oscillation. HadKPP comprises the Hadley Centre atmospheric model coupled to the K-Profile Parameterization ocean boundary layer model. Four 30-member ensembles were performed that vary in ocean vertical resolution between 1 and 10 m and in coupling frequency between 3 and 24 h. The 10-m, 24-h ensemble exhibited roughly 60% of the observed 30–50-day variability in sea surface temperatures and rainfall and very weak northward propagation. Enhancing only the vertical resolution or only the coupling frequency produced modest improvements in variability and just a standing intraseasonal oscillation. Only the 1-m, 3-h configuration generated organized, northward-propagating convection similar to observations. Subdaily surface forcing produced stronger upper-ocean temperature anomalies in quadrature with anomalous convection, which likely affected lower-atmospheric stability ahead of the convection, causing propagation. Well-resolved air–sea coupling did not improve the eastward propagation of the boreal summer intraseasonal oscillation in this model. Upper-ocean vertical mixing and diurnal variability in coupled models must be improved to accurately resolve and simulate tropical subseasonal variability. In HadKPP, the mere presence of air–sea coupling was not sufficient to generate an intraseasonal oscillation resembling observations.

Cloud and radiative heating profiles associated with the boreal summer intraseasonal oscillation

2017 ◽  
Vol 50 (5-6) ◽  
pp. 1485-1494 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jinwon Kim ◽  
Duane E. Waliser ◽  
Gregory V. Cesana ◽  
Xianan Jiang ◽  
Tristan L’Ecuyer ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Intraseasonal Oscillation ◽  
Radiative Heating ◽  
Boreal Summer ◽  
Boreal Summer Intraseasonal Oscillation ◽  
Heating Profiles

scholarly journals Initiation of Boreal Summer Intraseasonal Oscillation: Dynamic Contribution by Potential Vorticity

2012 ◽  
Vol 140 (6) ◽  
pp. 1748-1760 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kyong-Hwan Seo ◽  
Eun-Ji Song
Keyword(s):  
Potential Vorticity ◽  
Intraseasonal Oscillation ◽  
Vertical Wind Shear ◽  
Boreal Summer ◽  
Dynamical Process ◽  
Initiation Mechanism ◽  
Middle Troposphere ◽  
Boreal Summer Intraseasonal Oscillation ◽  
Low Level ◽  
The Tropics

Abstract Potential vorticity (PV) thinking conceptually connects the upper-level (upper troposphere in the extratropics and middle troposphere for the tropics) dynamical process to the lower-level process. Here, the initiation mechanism of the boreal summer intraseasonal oscillation (BSISO) in the tropics is investigated using PV thinking. The authors demonstrate that the midtropospheric PV anomaly produces a dynamical environment favorable for the BSISO initiation. Under seasonal easterly vertical wind shear, the PV anomaly enhances low-level convergence and upward motion at its western edge. Tropical PV forcing in the middle troposphere produces balanced mass and circulation fields that spread horizontally and vertically so that its effect can reach even the lowest troposphere. The downward influence of the midtropospheric PV forcing is one of the key aspects of the PV thinking. Direct piecewise PV inversions confirm that the anomalous lower-level zonal wind and its convergence necessary for the initiation of BSISO convection do not arise solely from the response to the lower-level PV forcing but from the summed contribution by PV forcing at all levels. About 50% of the low-level circulation variations result from PV forcing from 700 to 450 hPa, with the largest contribution from the 600–650-hPa PV anomalies for the convection initiation region over the western Indian Ocean. The current study is compared with and incorporated into the thermodynamic recharge process and the frictional moisture flux convergence mechanism for the BSISO initiation. This study is the first qualitative application of the PV thinking approach that reveals the BSISO dynamics.

scholarly journals Impacts of atmospheric and oceanic initial conditions on boreal summer intraseasonal oscillation forecast in the BCC model

2020 ◽  
Vol 142 (1-2) ◽  
pp. 393-406
Author(s):  
Zhongkai Bo ◽  
Xiangwen Liu ◽  
Weizong Gu ◽  
Anning Huang ◽  
Yongjie Fang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Indian Ocean ◽  
North Pacific ◽  
Western North Pacific ◽  
Initial Conditions ◽  
Intraseasonal Oscillation ◽  
Tropical Indian Ocean ◽  
Boreal Summer ◽  
Model Errors ◽  
Maritime Continent ◽  
Boreal Summer Intraseasonal Oscillation

Abstract In this paper, we evaluate the capability of the Beijing Climate Center Climate System Model (BCC-CSM) in simulating and forecasting the boreal summer intraseasonal oscillation (BSISO), using its simulation and sub-seasonal to seasonal (S2S) hindcast results. Results show that the model can generally simulate the spatial structure of the BSISO, but give relatively weaker strength, shorter period, and faster transition of BSISO phases when compared with the observations. This partially limits the model’s capability in forecasting the BSISO, with a useful skill of only 9 days. Two sets of hindcast experiments with improved atmospheric and atmosphere/ocean initial conditions (referred to as EXP1 and EXP2, respectively) are conducted to improve the BSISO forecast. The BSISO forecast skill is increased by 2 days with the optimization of atmospheric initial conditions only (EXP1), and is further increased by 1 day with the optimization of both atmospheric and oceanic initial conditions (EXP2). These changes lead to a final skill of 12 days, which is comparable to the skills of most models participated in the S2S Prediction Project. In EXP1 and EXP2, the BSISO forecast skills are improved for most initial phases, especially phases 1 and 2, denoting a better description for BSISO propagation from the tropical Indian Ocean to the western North Pacific. However, the skill is considerably low and insensitive to initial conditions for initial phase 6 and target phase 3, corresponding to the BSISO convection’s active-to-break transition over the western North Pacific and BSISO convection’s break-to-active transition over the tropical Indian Ocean and Maritime Continent. This prediction barrier also exists in many forecast models of the S2S Prediction Project. Our hindcast experiments with different initial conditions indicate that the remarkable model errors over the Maritime Continent and subtropical western North Pacific may largely account for the prediction barrier.

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