scholarly journals North Atlantic Rossby Wave Breaking during the Hurricane Season: Association with Tropical and Extratropical Variability

2019 ◽  
Vol 32 (13) ◽  
pp. 3777-3801 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gan Zhang ◽  
Zhuo Wang
Keyword(s):  
Rossby Wave ◽  
North Atlantic ◽  
Wave Breaking ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Heat Fluxes ◽  
Weather Regimes ◽  
Rossby Wave Breaking ◽  
The North ◽  
Sst Variability ◽  
Hurricane Season

Abstract This study explores the connection of Rossby wave breaking (RWB) with tropical and extratropical variability during the Atlantic hurricane season. The exploration emphasizes subtropical anticyclonic RWB events over the western North Atlantic, which strongly affect tropical cyclone (TC) activity. The first part of the study investigates the link between RWB and tropical sea surface temperature (SST) variability. Tropical SST variability affects tropical precipitation and modulates the large-scale atmospheric circulation over the subtropical Atlantic, which influences the behaviors of Rossby waves and the frequency of RWB occurrence. Meanwhile, RWB regulates surface heat fluxes and helps to sustain SST anomalies in the western North Atlantic. The second part of the study explores the connections between RWB and extratropical atmosphere variability by leveraging weather regime analysis. The weather regimes over the North Atlantic are closely associated with RWB over the eastern North Atlantic and western Europe, but show weak associations with RWB over the western North Atlantic. Instead, RWB over the western basin is closely related to the weather regimes in the North Pacific–North America sector. The finding helps clarify why the correlation between the Atlantic TC activity and the summertime North Atlantic Oscillation is tenuous. The relations between the extratropical weather regimes and tropical climate modes are also discussed. The findings suggest that both tropical and extratropical variability are important for understanding variations of RWB events and their impacts on Atlantic TC activity.

scholarly journals Dynamical Evolution of North Atlantic Ridges and Poleward Jet Stream Displacements

2011 ◽  
Vol 68 (5) ◽  
pp. 954-963 ◽  
Author(s):  
Tim Woollings ◽  
Joaquim G. Pinto ◽  
João A. Santos
Keyword(s):  
Rossby Wave ◽  
North Atlantic ◽  
Wave Breaking ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Wave Train ◽  
Jet Stream ◽  
Rossby Wave Breaking ◽  
The North ◽  
The North Atlantic ◽  
Circulation Anomalies

Abstract The development of a particular wintertime atmospheric circulation regime over the North Atlantic, comprising a northward shift of the North Atlantic eddy-driven jet stream and an associated strong and persistent ridge in the subtropics, is investigated. Several different methods of analysis are combined to describe the temporal evolution of the events and relate it to shifts in the phase of the North Atlantic Oscillation and East Atlantic pattern. First, the authors identify a close relationship between northward shifts of the eddy-driven jet, the establishment and maintenance of strong and persistent ridges in the subtropics, and the occurrence of upper-tropospheric anticyclonic Rossby wave breaking over Iberia. Clear tropospheric precursors are evident prior to the development of the regime, suggesting a preconditioning of the Atlantic jet stream and an upstream influence via a large-scale Rossby wave train from the North Pacific. Transient (2–6 days) eddy forcing plays a dual role, contributing to both the initiation and then the maintenance of the circulation anomalies. During the regime there is enhanced occurrence of anticyclonic Rossby wave breaking, which may be described as low-latitude blocking-like events over the southeastern North Atlantic. A strong ridge is already established at the time of wave-breaking onset, suggesting that the role of wave-breaking events is to amplify the circulation anomalies rather than to initiate them. Wave breaking also seems to enhance the persistence, since it is unlikely that a persistent ridge event occurs without being also accompanied by wave breaking.

scholarly journals A Feature-Based Approach to Classifying Summertime Potential Vorticity Streamers Linked to Rossby Wave Breaking in the North Atlantic Basin

2020 ◽  
Vol 33 (14) ◽  
pp. 5953-5969 ◽  
Author(s):  
Philippe P. Papin ◽  
Lance F. Bosart ◽  
Ryan D. Torn
Keyword(s):  
Rossby Wave ◽  
North Atlantic ◽  
Potential Vorticity ◽  
Wave Breaking ◽  
Activity Index ◽  
Static Stability ◽  
Japan Meteorological Agency ◽  
Average Intensity ◽  
Rossby Wave Breaking ◽  
The North

AbstractThis study examines climatological potential vorticity streamer (PVS) activity associated with Rossby wave breaking (RWB), which can impact TC activity in the subtropical North Atlantic (NATL) basin via moisture and wind anomalies. PVSs are identified along the 2-PVU (1 PVU = 10−6 K kg−1 m2 s−1) contour on the 350-K isentropic surface, using a unique identification technique that combines previous methods. In total, 21 149 individual PVS instances are identified from the ERA-Interim (ERAI) climatology during June–November over 1979–2015 with a peak in July–August. The total number of PVSs identified in this study is more than previous PVS climatologies for this region, since the new technique identifies a wider range of cases. Variations in PVS size and intensity prompt the development of a new PVS activity index (PVSI), which provides an integrated measure of PVS activity that can improve comparisons with TC activity. For instance, PVSI has a stronger negative correlation with seasonal TC activity (r = −0.55) relative to PVS frequency, size, or intensity alone. PVSI in June–July is also positively correlated with PVSI in August–November (r = 0.67), suggesting predictive capability. Compared to the ERAI and Japan Meteorological Agency 55-Year Reanalysis (JRA-55) climatology, there are more PVSs in the Climate Forecast System Reanalysis (CFSR) but these have weaker average intensity overall. While no long-term trend in PVSI is observed in the ERAI or JRA-55 climatologies, a negative trend is observed in CFSR, which could be related to differences in near tropopause static stability early in the climatological period (1979–86) between the CFSR and ERAI datasets.

scholarly journals Linking air stagnation in Europe with the synoptic- to large-scale atmospheric circulation

2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (3) ◽  
pp. 675-694
Author(s):  
Jacob W. Maddison ◽  
Marta Abalos ◽  
David Barriopedro ◽  
Ricardo García-Herrera ◽  
Jose M. Garrido-Perez ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Rossby Wave ◽  
Wave Breaking ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Climate Models ◽  
Large Scale Circulation ◽  
Rossby Wave Breaking ◽  
The North ◽  
Northern Regions ◽  
Climatic Impacts ◽  
Large Scale Atmospheric Circulation

Abstract. The build-up of pollutants to harmful levels can occur when meteorological conditions favour their production or accumulation near the surface. Such conditions can arise when a region experiences air stagnation. The link between European air stagnation, air pollution and the synoptic- to large-scale circulation is investigated in this article across all seasons and the 1979–2018 period. Dynamical indices identifying atmospheric blocking, Rossby wave breaking, subtropical ridges, and the North Atlantic eddy-driven and subtropical jets are used to describe the synoptic- to large-scale circulation as predictors in statistical models of air stagnation and pollutant variability. It is found that the large-scale circulation can explain approximately 60 % of the variance in monthly air stagnation, ozone and wintertime particulate matter (PM) in five distinct regions within Europe. The variance explained by the model does not vary strongly across regions and seasons, apart from for PM when the skill is highest in winter. However, the dynamical indices most related to air stagnation do depend on region and season. The blocking and Rossby wave breaking predictors tend to be the most important for describing air stagnation and pollutant variability in northern regions, whereas ridges and the subtropical jet are more important to the south. The demonstrated correspondence between air stagnation, pollution and the large-scale circulation can be used to assess the representation of stagnation in climate models, which is key for understanding how air stagnation and its associated climatic impacts may change in the future.

scholarly journals How Rossby wave breaking modulates the water cycle in the North Atlantic trade wind region

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Franziska Aemisegger ◽  
Raphaela Vogel ◽  
Pascal Graf ◽  
Fabienne Dahinden ◽  
Leonie Villiger ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Rossby Wave ◽  
North Atlantic ◽  
Wave Breaking ◽  
Water Cycle ◽  
Cloud Layer ◽  
Trade Wind ◽  
Rossby Wave Breaking ◽  
Atlantic Trade ◽  
The North ◽  
The Caribbean

Abstract. The interaction between low-level tropical clouds and the large-scale circulation is a key feedback element in our climate system, but our understanding of it is still fragmentary. In this paper, the role of upper-level extratropical dynamics for the development of contrasting shallow cumulus cloud patterns in the western North Atlantic trade wind region is investigated. Stable water isotopes are used as tracers for the origin of air parcels arriving in the sub-cloud layer above Barbados, measured continuously in water vapour at the Barbados Cloud Observatory during a 24-day measurement campaign (isoTrades, 25 January to 17 February 2018). This data is combined with a detailed air parcel back-trajectory analysis using hourly ERA5 reanalyses of the European Centre for Medium Range Weather Forecasts. A climatological investigation of the 10-day air parcel history for January and February in the recent decade shows that 55 % of the air parcels arriving in the sub-cloud layer have spent at least one day in the extratropics (north of 35° N) before arriving in the eastern Caribbean at about 13° N. In 2018, this share of air parcels with extratropical origin was anomalously large with 88 %. In two detailed case studies during the campaign, two flow regimes with distinct isotope signatures transporting extratropical air into the Caribbean are investigated. In both regimes, the air parcels descend from the lower part of the midlatitude jet stream towards the equator, at the eastern edge of subtropical anticyclones, in the context of Rossby wave breaking events. The zonal location of the wave breaking, and the surface anticyclone, determines the dominant transport regime. The first regime represents the typical trade wind situation with easterly winds bringing moist air from the eastern North Atlantic into the Caribbean, in a deep layer from the surface up to ∼600 hPa. The moisture source of the sub-cloud layer water vapour is located on average 2000 km upstream of Barbados. In this regime, Rossby wave breaking and the descent of air from the extratropics occurs in the eastern North Atlantic, at about 33° W. The second regime is associated with air parcels descending slantwise by on average 300 hPa (6 d)-1 directly from the northeast, i.e., at about 50° W. These originally dry airstreams experience a more rapid moistening than typical trade wind air parcels when interacting with the subtropical oceanic boundary layer, with moisture sources being located on average 1350 km upstream to the northeast of Barbados. The descent of dry air in the second regime can be steered towards the Caribbean by the interplay of a persistent upper-level cutoff low over the central North Atlantic (about 45° W) and the associated surface cyclone underneath. The zonal location of Rossby wave breaking, and consequently, the pathway of extratropical air towards the Caribbean, is shown to be relevant for the sub-cloud layer humidity and shallow cumulus cloud cover properties of the North Atlantic winter trades. Overall, this study highlights the importance of extratropical dynamical processes for the tropical water cycle and reveals that these processes lead to a substantial modulation of stable water isotope signals in the near-surface humidity.

scholarly journals Predictability of Recurrent Weather Regimes over North America during Winter from Submonthly Reforecasts

2018 ◽  
Vol 146 (8) ◽  
pp. 2559-2577 ◽  
Author(s):  
N. Vigaud ◽  
A.W. Robertson ◽  
M. K. Tippett
Keyword(s):  
North America ◽  
North Atlantic ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Wave Train ◽  
Spatial Structures ◽  
Weather Regimes ◽  
The North ◽  
Sst Variability ◽  
Cluster Partition ◽  
Rossby Wave Train

Abstract Four recurrent weather regimes are identified over North America from October to March through a k-means clustering applied to MERRA daily 500-hPa geopotential heights over the 1982–2014 period. Three regimes resemble Rossby wave train patterns with some baroclinicity, while one is related to an NAO-like meridional pressure gradient between eastern North America and western regions of the North Atlantic. All regimes are associated with distinct rainfall and surface temperature anomalies over North America. The four-cluster partition is well reproduced by ECMWF week-1 reforecasts over the 1995–2014 period in terms of spatial structures, daily regime occurrences, and seasonal regime counts. The skill in forecasting daily regime sequences and weekly regime counts is largely limited to 2 weeks. However, skill relationships with the MJO, ENSO, and SST variability in the Atlantic and Indian Oceans suggest further potential for subseasonal predictability based on wintertime large-scale weather regimes.

Linking air stagnation in Europe with the large-scale atmospheric circulation

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jacob Maddison ◽  
Marta Abalos ◽  
David Barriopedro ◽  
Ricardo Garcia Herrera ◽  
José Manuel Garrido Pérez ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Air Quality ◽  
Health Risks ◽  
Rossby Wave ◽  
Wave Breaking ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Climate Models ◽  
Large Scale Circulation ◽  
Rossby Wave Breaking ◽  
The North ◽  
Weak Winds

<div>Air stagnation refers to a period when a stable air mass becomes settled over a region and remains quasi-stationary for an extended amount of time. Weak winds in the lower- to mid-troposphere and the absence of precipitation during air stagnation prohibit the ventilation and washout of particles so pollutants can accumulate near the surface. This allows for such pollutants to reach levels harmful to humans, and poses severe health risks. Understanding the development of stagnant conditions is therefore crucial for studying poor air quality and its societal impact. </div><p><br>Here, the linear relationship between European air stagnation and the large-scale circulation is explored across all seasons and during the 1979--2018 period. Dynamical based indices identifying atmospheric blocking, Rossby wave breaking, subtropical ridges, and the North Atlantic eddy-driven and subtropical jets are used to describe the large-scale circulation as predictors in a statistical model of air stagnation variability. It is found that the large-scale circulation can explain approximately 60% of the variance in monthly air stagnation in five distinct regions within Europe. The variance explained by the model does not vary strongly across regions and seasons. However, the dynamical indices most related to air stagnation do depend on region and season. The blocking and Rossby wave breaking predictors tend to be the most important for describing air stagnation variability in northern regions whereas ridges and the subtropical jet are more important to the south. The demonstrated correspondence between air stagnation and the large-scale circulation can be used to assess the representation of air stagnation in climate models, which is key for understanding how air quality and its associated health risks may change in the future.</p>

scholarly journals Characteristics and Impacts of Extratropical Rossby Wave Breaking during the Atlantic Hurricane Season

2017 ◽  
Vol 30 (7) ◽  
pp. 2363-2379 ◽  
Author(s):  
Gan Zhang ◽  
Zhuo Wang ◽  
Melinda S. Peng ◽  
Gudrun Magnusdottir
Keyword(s):  
Rossby Wave ◽  
North Atlantic ◽  
Wave Breaking ◽  
Vertical Wind Shear ◽  
Breaking Wave ◽  
Western Basin ◽  
Western Atlantic ◽  
Rossby Wave Breaking ◽  
Atlantic Hurricane ◽  
Hurricane Season

This study investigates the characteristics of extratropical Rossby wave breaking (RWB) during the Atlantic hurricane season and its impacts on Atlantic tropical cyclone (TC) activity. It was found that RWB perturbs the wind and moisture fields throughout the troposphere in the vicinity of a breaking wave. When RWB occurs more frequently over the North Atlantic, the Atlantic main development region (MDR) is subject to stronger vertical wind shear and reduced tropospheric moisture; the basinwide TC counts are reduced, and TCs are generally less intense, have a shorter lifetime, and are less likely to make landfalls. A significant negative correlation was found between Atlantic TC activity and RWB occurrence during 1979–2013. The correlation is comparable to that with the MDR SST index and stronger than that with the Niño-3.4 index. Further analyses suggest that the variability of RWB occurrence in the western Atlantic is largely independent of that in the eastern Atlantic. The RWB occurrence in the western basin is more closely tied to the environmental variability of the tropical North Atlantic and is more likely to hinder TC intensification or reduce the TC lifetime because of its proximity to the central portion of TC tracks. Consequently, the basinwide TC counts and the accumulated cyclone energy have a strong correlation with western-basin RWB occurrence but only a moderate correlation with eastern-basin RWB occurrence. The results highlight the extratropical impacts on Atlantic TC activity and regional climate via RWB and provide new insights into the variability and predictability of TC activity.

Tropical Cyclones in Reduced Rossby Wave Breaking Environments

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Bernhard Enz ◽  
David Neubauer ◽  
Michael Sprenger ◽  
Ulrike Lohmann
Keyword(s):  
Boundary Conditions ◽  
Tropical Cyclones ◽  
Rossby Wave ◽  
North Atlantic ◽  
Wave Breaking ◽  
Tropical Cyclone Activity ◽  
Cyclone Activity ◽  
Rossby Wave Breaking ◽  
The North ◽  
The North Atlantic

<p><span>Tropical cyclones are a weather phenomenon that can devastate coastlines and cause substantial harm to human life and infrastructure every year. Their seasonal prediction is an effort that has been undertaken for several decades. These predictions are generally useful and have skill. The 2013 season was predicted as above average in activity by all forecasting agencies, but was one of the least active on record. A previously proposed reason for this is the abundance of Rossby wave breaking in the north Atlantic, which dries and cools the tropics by mixing in extratropical air. While the existence of this mechanism is not disputed, other pathways linked to the interactions between tropical and extratropical air masses are suggested and evaluated in this study</span></p><p>The numerical model ICON is used in Limited Area Mode (~13 km horizontal resolution) to simulate the north Atlantic, using ERA5 data for the hurricane season of 2013 to prescribe initial and boundary conditions. To influence Rossby wave breaking, a set of simulations uses 30 day running mean boundary conditions in the northern part of the domain, while a reference set uses regular boundary conditions everywhere along the boundary. Though the results do not falsify the aforementioned hypothesis of the abundance of Rossby wave breaking influencing tropical cyclone activity, they suggest that other mechanisms, such as changes in steering flow, tropopause temperature and wind shear, could also be responsible for changes in tropical cyclone activity. Furthermore, the accumulated cyclone energy seems to be rather closely related to the mean latitude of the 2 potential vorticity unit contour on the 350 K isentropic surface within a small longitudinal window in the western Atlantic.</p>

Supplementary material to "How Rossby wave breaking modulates the water cycle in the North Atlantic trade wind region"

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Franziska Aemisegger ◽  
Raphaela Vogel ◽  
Pascal Graf ◽  
Fabienne Dahinden ◽  
Leonie Villiger ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Rossby Wave ◽  
North Atlantic ◽  
Wave Breaking ◽  
Water Cycle ◽  
Trade Wind ◽  
Rossby Wave Breaking ◽  
Atlantic Trade ◽  
The North ◽  
Supplementary Material ◽  
The North Atlantic

scholarly journals How Rossby wave breaking modulates the water cycle in the North Atlantic trade wind region

2021 ◽  
Vol 2 (1) ◽  
pp. 281-309
Author(s):  
Franziska Aemisegger ◽  
Raphaela Vogel ◽  
Pascal Graf ◽  
Fabienne Dahinden ◽  
Leonie Villiger ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Rossby Wave ◽  
North Atlantic ◽  
Wave Breaking ◽  
Water Cycle ◽  
Cloud Layer ◽  
Trade Wind ◽  
Rossby Wave Breaking ◽  
North East ◽  
The North ◽  
The Caribbean

Abstract. The interaction between low-level tropical clouds and the large-scale circulation is a key feedback element in our climate system, but our understanding of it is still fragmentary. In this paper, the role of upper-level extratropical dynamics for the development of contrasting shallow cumulus cloud patterns in the western North Atlantic trade wind region is investigated. Stable water isotopes are used as tracers for the origin of air parcels arriving in the sub-cloud layer above Barbados, measured continuously in water vapour at the Barbados Cloud Observatory during a 24 d measurement campaign (isoTrades, 25 January to 17 February 2018). These data are combined with a detailed air parcel back-trajectory analysis using hourly ERA5 reanalyses of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts. A climatological investigation of the 10 d air parcel history for January and February in the recent decade shows that 55 % of the air parcels arriving in the sub-cloud layer have spent at least 1 d in the extratropics (north of 35∘ N) before arriving in the eastern Caribbean at about 13∘ N. In 2018, this share of air parcels with extratropical origin was anomalously large, with 88 %. In two detailed case studies during the campaign, two flow regimes with distinct isotope signatures transporting extratropical air into the Caribbean are investigated. In both regimes, the air parcels descend from the lower part of the midlatitude jet stream towards the Equator, at the eastern edge of subtropical anticyclones, in the context of Rossby wave breaking events. The zonal location of the wave breaking and the surface anticyclone determine the dominant transport regime. The first regime represents the “typical” trade wind situation, with easterly winds bringing moist air from the eastern North Atlantic into the Caribbean, in a deep layer from the surface up to ∼600 hPa. The moisture source of the sub-cloud layer water vapour is located on average 2000 km upstream of Barbados. In this regime, Rossby wave breaking and the descent of air from the extratropics occur in the eastern North Atlantic, at about 33∘ W. The second regime is associated with air parcels descending slantwise by on average 300 hPa (6 d)−1 directly from the north-east, i.e. at about 50∘ W. These originally dry airstreams experience a more rapid moistening than typical trade wind air parcels when interacting with the subtropical oceanic boundary layer, with moisture sources being located on average 1350 km upstream to the north-east of Barbados. The descent of dry air in the second regime can be steered towards the Caribbean by the interplay of a persistent upper-level cut-off low over the central North Atlantic (about 45∘ W) and the associated surface cyclone underneath. The zonal location of Rossby wave breaking and, consequently, the pathway of extratropical air towards the Caribbean are shown to be relevant for the sub-cloud layer humidity and shallow-cumulus-cloud-cover properties of the North Atlantic winter trades. Overall, this study highlights the importance of extratropical dynamical processes for the tropical water cycle and reveals that these processes lead to a substantial modulation of stable water isotope signals in the near-surface humidity.

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