scholarly journals Relationship between Ocean Carbon and Heat Multidecadal Variability

2018 ◽  
Vol 31 (4) ◽  
pp. 1467-1482 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jordan Thomas ◽  
Darryn Waugh ◽  
Anand Gnanadesikan
Keyword(s):  
Southern Ocean ◽  
Carbon Content ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Deep Convection ◽  
Heat Content ◽  
Weddell Sea ◽  
Global Ocean ◽  
Multidecadal Variability ◽  
Model Simulations ◽  
Ocean Carbon

The global ocean serves as a critical sink for anthropogenic carbon and heat. While significant effort has been dedicated to quantifying the oceanic uptake of these quantities, less research has been conducted on the mechanisms underlying decadal-to-centennial variability in oceanic heat and carbon. Therefore, little is understood about how much such variability may have obscured or reinforced anthropogenic change. Here the relationship between oceanic heat and carbon content is examined in a suite of coupled climate model simulations that use different parameterization settings for mesoscale mixing. The differences in mesoscale mixing result in very different multidecadal variability, especially in the Weddell Sea where the characteristics of deep convection are drastically changed. Although the magnitude and frequency of variability in global heat and carbon content is different across the model simulations, there is a robust anticorrelation between global heat and carbon content in all simulations. Global carbon content variability is primarily driven by Southern Ocean carbon variability. This contrasts with global heat content variability. Global heat content is primarily driven by variability in the southern midlatitudes and tropics, which opposes the Southern Ocean variability.

scholarly journals Increasing vertical mixing to reduce Southern Ocean deep convection in NEMO3.4

2015 ◽  
Vol 8 (10) ◽  
pp. 3119-3130 ◽  
Author(s):  
C. Heuzé ◽  
J. K. Ridley ◽  
D. Calvert ◽  
D. P. Stevens ◽  
K. J. Heywood
Keyword(s):  
Southern Ocean ◽  
Mixed Layer ◽  
Surface Waters ◽  
Bottom Water ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Deep Convection ◽  
Mixed Layer Depth ◽  
Vertical Mixing ◽  
Weddell Sea ◽  
Antarctic Bottom Water

Abstract. Most CMIP5 (Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5) models unrealistically form Antarctic Bottom Water by open ocean deep convection in the Weddell and Ross seas. To identify the mechanisms triggering Southern Ocean deep convection in models, we perform sensitivity experiments on the ocean model NEMO3.4 forced by prescribed atmospheric fluxes. We vary the vertical velocity scale of the Langmuir turbulence, the fraction of turbulent kinetic energy transferred below the mixed layer, and the background diffusivity and run short simulations from 1980. All experiments exhibit deep convection in the Riiser-Larsen Sea in 1987; the origin is a positive sea ice anomaly in 1985, causing a shallow anomaly in mixed layer depth, hence anomalously warm surface waters and subsequent polynya opening. Modifying the vertical mixing impacts both the climatological state and the associated surface anomalies. The experiments with enhanced mixing exhibit colder surface waters and reduced deep convection. The experiments with decreased mixing give warmer surface waters, open larger polynyas causing more saline surface waters and have deep convection across the Weddell Sea until the simulations end. Extended experiments reveal an increase in the Drake Passage transport of 4 Sv each year deep convection occurs, leading to an unrealistically large transport at the end of the simulation. North Atlantic deep convection is not significantly affected by the changes in mixing parameters. As new climate model overflow parameterisations are developed to form Antarctic Bottom Water more realistically, we argue that models would benefit from stopping Southern Ocean deep convection, for example by increasing their vertical mixing.

scholarly journals Southern Ocean Sector Centennial Climate Variability and Recent Decadal Trends

2013 ◽  
Vol 26 (19) ◽  
pp. 7767-7782 ◽  
Author(s):  
Mojib Latif ◽  
Torge Martin ◽  
Wonsun Park
Keyword(s):  
Southern Ocean ◽  
Sea Ice ◽  
Atmospheric Circulation ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Deep Convection ◽  
Surface Air Temperature ◽  
Weddell Sea ◽  
Sea Ice Extent ◽  
Low Level ◽  
Antarctic Sea Ice

Abstract Evidence is presented for the notion that some contribution to the recent decadal trends observed in the Southern Hemisphere, including the lack of a strong Southern Ocean surface warming, may have originated from longer-term internal centennial variability originating in the Southern Ocean. The existence of such centennial variability is supported by the instrumental sea surface temperatures (SSTs), a multimillennial reconstruction of Tasmanian summer temperatures from tree rings, and a millennial control integration of the Kiel Climate Model (KCM). The model variability was previously shown to be linked to changes in Weddell Sea deep convection. During phases of deep convection the surface Southern Ocean warms, the abyssal Southern Ocean cools, Antarctic sea ice extent retreats, and the low-level atmospheric circulation over the Southern Ocean weakens. After the halt of deep convection the surface Southern Ocean cools, the abyssal Southern Ocean warms, Antarctic sea ice expands, and the low-level atmospheric circulation over the Southern Ocean intensifies, consistent with what has been observed during the recent decades. A strong sensitivity of the time scale to model formulation is noted. In the KCM, the centennial variability is associated with global-average surface air temperature (SAT) changes of the order of a few tenths of a degree per century. The model results thus suggest that internal centennial variability originating in the Southern Ocean should be considered in addition to other internal variability and external forcing when discussing the climate of the twentieth century and projecting that of the twenty-first century.

scholarly journals Transient Response of the Southern Ocean to Changing Ozone: Regional Responses and Physical Mechanisms

2017 ◽  
Vol 30 (7) ◽  
pp. 2463-2480 ◽  
Author(s):  
William J. M. Seviour ◽  
Anand Gnanadesikan ◽  
Darryn Waugh ◽  
Marie-Aude Pradal
Keyword(s):  
Southern Ocean ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Cold Water ◽  
Deep Convection ◽  
Weddell Sea ◽  
Freshwater Flux ◽  
Surface Salinity ◽  
Sea Ice Concentration ◽  
Climate Model Simulations ◽  
The Impact

The impact of changing ozone on the climate of the Southern Ocean is evaluated using an ensemble of coupled climate model simulations. By imposing a step change from 1860 to 2000 conditions, response functions associated with this change are estimated. The physical processes that drive this response are different across time periods and locations, as is the sign of the response itself. Initial cooling in the Pacific sector is driven not only by the increased winds pushing cold water northward, but also by the southward shift of storms associated with the jet stream. This shift drives both an increase in cloudiness (resulting in less absorption of solar radiation) and an increase in net freshwater flux to the ocean (resulting in a decrease in surface salinity that cuts off mixing of warm water from below). A subsurface increase in temperature associated with this reduction in mixing then upwells along the Antarctic coast, producing a subsequent warming. Similar changes in convective activity occur in the Weddell Sea but are offset in time. Changes in sea ice concentration also play a role in modulating solar heating of the ocean near the continent. The time scale for the initial cooling is much longer than that seen in NCAR CCSM3.5, possibly reflecting differences in natural convective variability between that model (which has essentially no Southern Ocean deep convection) and the one used here (which has a large and possibly unrealistically regular mode of convection) or to differences in cloud feedbacks or in the location of the anomalous winds.

scholarly journals Ventilation of the abyss in the Atlantic sector of the Southern Ocean

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Camille Hayatte Akhoudas ◽  
Jean-Baptiste Sallée ◽  
F. Alexander Haumann ◽  
Michael P. Meredith ◽  
Alberto Naveira Garabato ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Southern Ocean ◽  
Bottom Water ◽  
Climate Models ◽  
Deep Ocean ◽  
Analytical Framework ◽  
Weddell Sea ◽  
Global Ocean ◽  
Shelf Water ◽  
Antarctic Bottom Water ◽  
Atlantic Sector

AbstractThe Atlantic sector of the Southern Ocean is the world’s main production site of Antarctic Bottom Water, a water-mass that is ventilated at the ocean surface before sinking and entraining older water-masses—ultimately replenishing the abyssal global ocean. In recent decades, numerous attempts at estimating the rates of ventilation and overturning of Antarctic Bottom Water in this region have led to a strikingly broad range of results, with water transport-based calculations (8.4–9.7 Sv) yielding larger rates than tracer-based estimates (3.7–4.9 Sv). Here, we reconcile these conflicting views by integrating transport- and tracer-based estimates within a common analytical framework, in which bottom water formation processes are explicitly quantified. We show that the layer of Antarctic Bottom Water denser than 28.36 kg m$$^{-3}$$ - 3 $$\gamma _{n}$$ γ n is exported northward at a rate of 8.4 ± 0.7 Sv, composed of 4.5 ± 0.3 Sv of well-ventilated Dense Shelf Water, and 3.9 ± 0.5 Sv of old Circumpolar Deep Water entrained into cascading plumes. The majority, but not all, of the Dense Shelf Water (3.4 ± 0.6 Sv) is generated on the continental shelves of the Weddell Sea. Only 55% of AABW exported from the region is well ventilated and thus draws down heat and carbon into the deep ocean. Our findings unify traditionally contrasting views of Antarctic Bottom Water production in the Atlantic sector, and define a baseline, process-discerning target for its realistic representation in climate models.

scholarly journals Using Eulerian and Lagrangian Approaches to Investigate Wind-Driven Changes in the Southern Ocean Abyssal Circulation

2013 ◽  
Vol 44 (2) ◽  
pp. 662-675 ◽  
Author(s):  
Paul Spence ◽  
Erik van Sebille ◽  
Oleg A. Saenko ◽  
Matthew H. England
Keyword(s):  
Southern Ocean ◽  
Wind Stress ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Meridional Overturning Circulation ◽  
Global Ocean ◽  
Lagrangian Particle ◽  
Stress Changes ◽  
Abyssal Circulation ◽  
Flow Pathways ◽  
Ocean Wind

Abstract This study uses a global ocean eddy-permitting climate model to explore the export of abyssal water from the Southern Ocean and its sensitivity to projected twenty-first-century poleward-intensifying Southern Ocean wind stress. The abyssal flow pathways and transport are investigated using a combination of Lagrangian and Eulerian techniques. In an Eulerian format, the equator- and poleward flows within similar abyssal density classes are increased by the wind stress changes, making it difficult to explicitly diagnose changes in the abyssal export in a meridional overturning circulation framework. Lagrangian particle analyses are used to identify the major export pathways of Southern Ocean abyssal waters and reveal an increase in the number of particles exported to the subtropics from source regions around Antarctica in response to the wind forcing. Both the Lagrangian particle and Eulerian analyses identify transients as playing a key role in the abyssal export of water from the Southern Ocean. Wind-driven modifications to the potential energy component of the vorticity balance in the abyss are also found to impact the Southern Ocean barotropic circulation.

Detecting Climate Fingerprints in Southern Ocean Carbon using a Biogeochemical Ocean Model

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Rebecca Wright ◽  
Corinne Le Quéré ◽  
Erik Buitenhuis ◽  
Dorothee Bakker
Keyword(s):  
Climate Change ◽  
Climate Variability ◽  
Southern Ocean ◽  
Observational Data ◽  
Ecosystem Dynamics ◽  
Global Ocean ◽  
Subsurface Waters ◽  
Climatic Drivers ◽  
Ocean Carbon ◽  
And Storage

<p>The Southern Ocean plays an important role in the uptake, transport and storage of carbon by the global oceans. These properties are dominated by the response to the rise in anthropogenic CO<sub>2</sub> in the atmosphere, but they are modulated by climate variability and climate change. Here we explore the effect of climate variability and climate change on ocean carbon uptake and storage in the Southern Ocean. We assess the extent to which climate change may be distinguishable from the anthropogenic CO<sub>2</sub> signal and from the natural background variability. We use a combination of biogeochemical ocean modelling and observations from the GLODAPv2020 database to detect climate fingerprints in dissolved inorganic carbon (DIC).</p><p>We conduct an ensemble of hindcast model simulations of the period 1920-2019, using a global ocean biogeochemical model which incorporates plankton ecosystem dynamics based on twelve plankton functional types. We use the model ensemble to isolate the changes in DIC due to rising anthropogenic CO<sub>2</sub> alone and the changes due to climatic drivers (both climate variability and climate change), to determine their relative roles in the emerging total DIC trends and patterns. We analyse these DIC trends for a climate fingerprint over the past four decades, across spatial scales from the Southern Ocean, to basin level and down to regional ship transects. Highly sampled ship transects were extracted from GLODAPv2020 to obtain locations with the maximum spatiotemporal coverage, to reduce the inherent biases in patchy observational data. Model results were sampled to the ship transects to compare the climate fingerprints directly to the observational data.</p><p>Model results show a substantial change in DIC over a 35-year period, with a range of more than +/- 30 µmol/L. In the surface ocean, both anthropogenic CO<sub>2</sub> and climatic drivers act to increase DIC concentration, with the influence of anthropogenic CO<sub>2</sub> dominating at lower latitudes and the influence of climatic drivers dominating at higher latitudes. In the deep ocean, the anthropogenic CO<sub>2</sub> generally acts to increase DIC except in the subsurface waters at lower latitudes, while climatic drivers act to decrease DIC concentration. The combined fingerprint of anthropogenic CO<sub>2</sub> and climatic drivers on DIC concentration is for an increasing trend at the surface and decreasing trends in low latitude subsurface waters. Preliminary comparison of the model fingerprints to observational ship transects will also be presented.</p>

The Southern Ocean carbon sink 1985-2018: first results of the RECCAP2 project

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Judith Hauck ◽  
Luke Gregor ◽  
Cara Nissen ◽  
Eric Mortenson ◽  
Seth Bushinsky ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Southern Ocean ◽  
Seasonal Cycle ◽  
Carbon Sink ◽  
Global Ocean ◽  
Biogeochemical Models ◽  
Wide Range ◽  
Data Products ◽  
First Results ◽  
Ocean Carbon ◽  
Indian Sector

<p>The Southern Ocean is the main gateway for anthropogenic CO<sub>2</sub> into the ocean owing to the upwelling of old water masses with low anthropogenic CO<sub>2</sub> concentration, and the transport of the newly equilibrated surface waters into the ocean interior through intermediate, deep and bottom water formation. Here we present first results of the Southern Ocean chapter of RECCAP2, which is the Global Carbon Project’s second systematic study on Regional Carbon Cycle Assessment and Processes. In the Southern Ocean chapter, we aim to assess the Southern Ocean carbon sink 1985-2018 from a wide range of available models and data sets, and to identify patterns of regional and temporal variability, model limitations and future challenges.</p><p>We gathered global and regional estimates of the air-sea CO<sub>2</sub> flux over the period 1985-2018 from global ocean biogeochemical models, surface pCO<sub>2</sub>-based data products, and data-assimilated models. The analysis on the Southern Ocean quantified geographical patterns in the annual mean and seasonal amplitude of air-sea CO<sub>2</sub> flux, with results presented here aggregated to the level of large-scale ocean biomes.</p><p>Considering the suite of observed and modelled estimates, we found that the subtropical seasonally stratified (STSS) biome stands out with the largest air-sea CO<sub>2</sub> flux per area and a seasonal cycle with largest ocean uptake of CO<sub>2</sub> in winter, whereas the ice (ICE) biome is characterized by a large ensemble spread and a pronounced seasonal cycle with the largest ocean uptake of CO<sub>2</sub> in summer. Connecting these two, the subpolar seasonally stratified (SPSS) biome has intermediate flux densities (flux per area), and most models have difficulties simulating the seasonal cycle with strongest uptake during the summer months.</p><p>Our analysis also reveals distinct differences between the Atlantic, Pacific and Indian sectors of the aforementioned biomes. In the STSS, the Indian sector contributes most to the ocean carbon sink, followed by the Atlantic and then Pacific sectors. This hierarchy is less pronounced in the models than in the data-products. In the SPSS, only the Atlantic sector exhibits net CO<sub>2</sub> uptake in all years, likely linked to strong biological production. In the ICE biome, the Atlantic and Pacific sectors take up more CO<sub>2</sub> than the Indian sector, suggesting a potential role of the Weddell and Ross Gyres.</p><p>These first results confirm the global relevance of the Southern Ocean carbon sink and highlight the strong regional and interannual variability of the Southern Ocean carbon uptake in connection to physical and biogeochemical processes.</p>

scholarly journals Sources of Uncertainty in Future Projections of the Carbon Cycle

2016 ◽  
Vol 29 (20) ◽  
pp. 7203-7213 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alan J. Hewitt ◽  
Ben B. B. Booth ◽  
Chris D. Jones ◽  
Eddy S. Robertson ◽  
Andy J. Wiltshire ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Carbon Cycle ◽  
Climate Models ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Initial Conditions ◽  
Carbon Fluxes ◽  
Global Ocean ◽  
Lead Times ◽  
Carbon Uptake ◽  
The North ◽  
Ocean Carbon

Abstract The inclusion of carbon cycle processes within CMIP5 Earth system models provides the opportunity to explore the relative importance of differences in scenario and climate model representation to future land and ocean carbon fluxes. A two-way analysis of variance (ANOVA) approach was used to quantify the variability owing to differences between scenarios and between climate models at different lead times. For global ocean carbon fluxes, the variance attributed to differences between representative concentration pathway scenarios exceeds the variance attributed to differences between climate models by around 2025, completely dominating by 2100. This contrasts with global land carbon fluxes, where the variance attributed to differences between climate models continues to dominate beyond 2100. This suggests that modeled processes that determine ocean fluxes are currently better constrained than those of land fluxes; thus, one can be more confident in linking different future socioeconomic pathways to consequences of ocean carbon uptake than for land carbon uptake. The contribution of internal variance is negligible for ocean fluxes and small for land fluxes, indicating that there is little dependence on the initial conditions. The apparent agreement in atmosphere–ocean carbon fluxes, globally, masks strong climate model differences at a regional level. The North Atlantic and Southern Ocean are key regions, where differences in modeled processes represent an important source of variability in projected regional fluxes.

scholarly journals Sea-ice Induced Southern Ocean Subsurface Warming and Surface Cooling in a Warming Climate

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
F. Alexander Haumann ◽  
Nicolas Gruber ◽  
Matthias Münnich
Keyword(s):  
Southern Ocean ◽  
Sea Ice ◽  
Heat Content ◽  
Ocean Surface ◽  
Open Ocean ◽  
Global Ocean ◽  
Content Increase ◽  
Surface Cooling ◽  
Cold Surface

<p>Much of the Southern Ocean surface south of 55° S cooled and freshened between at least the early 1980s and the early 2010s. Many processes have been proposed to explain the unexpected cooling, including increased winds or increased surface freshwater fluxes from either the atmosphere or glacial meltwater. However, these mechanisms so far failed to fully explain the surface trends and the concurrently observed warming of the subsurface (100 to 500 m). Here, we argue that these trends are predominantly caused by an increased wind-driven northward transport of sea ice, enhancing the extraction of freshwater near Antarctica and releasing it in the open ocean. This conclusion is based on factorial experiments with a regional ocean model. In all experiments with an enhanced northward transport of sea ice, the open-ocean surface between the Subantarctic Front and the sea-ice edge is cooled by strengthening the salinity dominated oceanic stratification. The strengthened stratification reduces the downward mixing of cold surface water and the upward heat loss of the warmer waters below, thus warming the subsurface. This sea-ice induced subsurface warming mostly occurs around West Antarctica, where it likely enhances ice-shelf melting. Moreover, it could account for about 8±2% of the global ocean heat content increase between 1982 and 2011. Antarctic sea-ice changes thereby may have contributed to the slowdown of global surface warming over this period. The important role of sea-ice in driving changes in the high-latitude Southern Ocean are robust across all considered sensitivity cases, although their magnitude is sensitive to the forcing and the role of salinity in controlling the vertical stratification in the mean state. It remains yet unclear whether these sea-ice induced changes are associated with natural variability or a response to anthropogenic forcing.</p>

scholarly journals Water Mass Characteristics and Distribution Adjacent to Larsen C Ice Shelf, Antarctica

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Katherine Hutchinson ◽  
Julie Deshayes ◽  
Jean-Baptiste Sallee ◽  
Julian Dowdeswell ◽  
Casimir de Lavergne ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Continental Shelf ◽  
Ocean Circulation ◽  
Deep Water ◽  
Water Mass ◽  
Heat Content ◽  
Weddell Sea ◽  
Global Ocean ◽  
Spatial And Temporal Variability ◽  
Ice Shelf ◽  
Shed Light

<p>The physical oceanographic environment, water mass mixing and transformation in the area adjacent to Larsen C Ice Shelf (LCIS) are investigated using hydrographic data collected during the Weddell Sea Expedition 2019. The results shed light on the ocean conditions adjacent to a thinning LCIS, on a continental shelf that is a source region for the globally important water mass, Weddell Sea Deep Water (WSDW). Modified Weddell Deep Water (MWDW), a comparatively warmer water mass of circumpolar origin, is identified on the continental shelf and is observed to mix with local shelf waters, such as Ice Shelf Water (ISW), which is a precursor of WSDW. Oxygen measurements enable the use of a linear mixing model to quantify contributions from source waters revealing high levels of mixing in the area, with much spatial and temporal variability. Heat content anomalies indicate an introduction of heat, presumed to be associated with MWDW, into the area via Jason Trough. Furthermore, candidate parent sources for ISW are identified in the region, indicating the potential for the circulation of continental shelf waters into the ice shelf cavity. This highlights the possibility that offshore climate signals are conveyed under LCIS. ISW is observed within Jason Trough, likely exiting the sub-ice shelf cavity en route to the Slope Current. This onshore-offshore flux of water masses links the region of the Weddell Sea adjacent to northern LCIS to global ocean circulation and Bottom Water characteristics via its contribution to ISW and hence WSDW properties. </p><p>What remains to be clarified is whether MWDW found in Jason Trough has a direct impact on basal melting and thus thinning of LCIS. More observations are required to investigate this, in particular direct observations of ocean circulation in Jason Trough and underneath LCIS. Modelling experiments could also shed light on this, and so preliminary results based on NEMO global simulations explicitly representing the circulation in under-ice shelf seas, will be presented. </p>

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