scholarly journals How do multi-scale interactions affect extreme precipitation in eastern central Asia?

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-50
Author(s):  
Qianrong Ma ◽  
Jie Zhang ◽  
Yujun Ma ◽  
Asaminew Teshome Game ◽  
Zhiheng Chen ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Central Asia ◽  
North Atlantic ◽  
Extreme Precipitation ◽  
Wave Train ◽  
Stationary Wave ◽  
Tianshan Mountain ◽  
Stationary Waves ◽  
Transient Wave ◽  
Multi Scale ◽  
Eastern Central Asia

AbstractThe variability of extreme precipitation in eastern Central Asia (ECA) during summer (June–August) and its corresponding mechanisms were investigated from a multi-scale synergy perspective. Extreme precipitation in ECA displayed a quasi-monopole increasing pattern with abrupt change since 2000/2001, which was likely dominated by increased high latitude North Atlantic SST anomalies as shown by diagnosed and numerical experiment results. Increased SST via adjusting the quasi-stationary wave train which related to the negative North Atlantic Oscillation and the East Atlantic/Western Russia pattern guided cyclonic anomaly in CA, deepened the Balkhash Lake trough and enhanced the moisture convergence in ECA. These anomalies also exhibited interdecadal enhancement after 2000. On the synoptic-scale, two synoptic transient wave trains correlated with extreme precipitation in ECA by amplifying the amplitude of the quasi-stationary waves and guiding transient eddies in ECA. The induced transient eddies and deepened Balkhash Lake trough strengthened positive meridional vorticity advection and local positive vorticity, which promoted ascending motions, and guided the southerly warm moisture in ECA especially after 2000. Meanwhile, additional meso-scale vortices were stimulated and strengthened near the Tianshan Mountain in front of the wave trough, which, together with the enhanced meridional circulation, further increased extreme precipitation in ECA.

scholarly journals Dynamical Processes Related to the Appearance of Quasi-Stationary Waves on the Subtropical Jet in the Midsummer Northern Hemisphere

2006 ◽  
Vol 19 (8) ◽  
pp. 1531-1544 ◽  
Author(s):  
Naoki Sato ◽  
Masaaki Takahashi
Keyword(s):  
Middle East ◽  
Northern Hemisphere ◽  
Wave Train ◽  
Stationary Wave ◽  
Stationary Waves ◽  
Statistical Features ◽  
Basic Field ◽  
Subtropical Jet ◽  
Anomaly Pattern ◽  
Highly Correlated

Abstract Statistical features of quasi-stationary planetary waves were examined on the subtropical jet in the midsummer Northern Hemisphere by using objectively analyzed data and satellite data. As a result, a quasi-stationary wave train that is highly correlated with the midsummer climate over Japan was identified. A clear phase dependency of the appearance of waves was also confirmed. An analysis of temporal evolution and wave activity flux revealed that the eastward propagation of the wave packet starts in the Middle East, passes over East Asia, and reaches North America. The anomaly pattern is strengthened through kinetic energy conversion near the entrance of the Asian jet over the Middle East. The interaction between the anomaly pattern and the basic field contributes to the appearance of the anomalous wavelike pattern. Although the wave train is correlated with the anomaly of convective activity over the western North Pacific and the Indian Ocean, it is implied that internal dynamics are important in determining the statistical features of the appearance of anomalous quasi-stationary waves on the subtropical jet.

scholarly journals Stationary Waves and Upward Troposphere-Stratosphere Coupling in S2S Models

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Chen Schwartz ◽  
Chaim I. Garfinkel ◽  
Priyanka Yadav ◽  
Wen Chen ◽  
Daniela Domeisen
Keyword(s):  
North Atlantic ◽  
Strong Relationship ◽  
Stationary Wave ◽  
Northwest Pacific ◽  
Stationary Waves ◽  
Western North America ◽  
Model Errors ◽  
The North ◽  
The North Atlantic ◽  
The Waves

Abstract. The simulated Northern Hemisphere stationary wave (SW) field is investigated in 11 subseasonal-to-seasonal (S2S) models. It is shown that while most models considered can well-simulate the stationary wavenumbers 1 and 2 during the first two weeks of integration, they diverge from observations following week 3. Those models with a poor resolution in the stratosphere struggle to simulate the waves, both in the troposphere and the stratosphere, even during the first two weeks, and biases extend from the troposphere all the way up to the stratosphere. Focusing on the tropospheric regions where SWs peak in amplitude reveals that the models generally do a better job in simulating the Northwest Pacific stationary trough, while certain models struggle to simulate the stationary ridges both in Western North America and the North Atlantic. In addition, a strong relationship is found between regional biases in the stationary height field and model errors in simulated upward propagation of planetary waves into the stratosphere. In the stratosphere, biases mostly are in wave-2 in those models with high stratospheric resolution, whereas in those models with low resolution in the stratosphere, a wave-1 bias is evident, which leads to a strong bias in the stratospheric mean zonal circulation due to the predominance of wave-1 there. Finally, biases in both amplitude and location of mean tropical convection and the subsequent subtropical downwelling, are identified as possible contributors to biases in the regional SW field in the troposphere.

scholarly journals Opposing Effects of Reflective and Nonreflective Planetary Wave Breaking on the NAO

2006 ◽  
Vol 63 (12) ◽  
pp. 3448-3457 ◽  
Author(s):  
John T. Abatzoglou ◽  
Gudrun Magnusdottir
Keyword(s):  
North Atlantic ◽  
Wave Breaking ◽  
Momentum Flux ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Planetary Wave ◽  
Wave Train ◽  
Stationary Wave ◽  
Wave Activity ◽  
The North ◽  
The North Atlantic

Planetary wave breaking (PWB) over the subtropical North Atlantic is observed over 45 winters (December 1958–March 2003) using NCEP–NCAR reanalysis data. PWB is manifested in the rapid, large-scale and irreversible overturning of potential vorticity (PV) contours on isentropic surfaces in the subtropical upper troposphere. As breaking occurs over the subtropical North Atlantic, an upper-tropospheric PV tripole anomaly forms with nodes over the subtropical, midlatitude, and subpolar North Atlantic. The northern two nodes of this tripole are quite similar to the spatial structure of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), with positive polarity. Nonlinear reflection is identified in approximately a quarter of all PWB events. Following breaking, two distinct circulation regimes arise, one in response to reflective events and the other in response to nonreflective events. For reflective events, anomalies over the North Atlantic rapidly propagate away from the breaking region along a poleward arching wave train over the Eurasian continent. The quasi-stationary wave activity flux indicates that wave activity is exported out of the Atlantic basin. At the same time, the regional poleward eddy momentum flux goes through a sign reversal, as does the polarity of the NAO. For nonreflective events, the dipole anomaly over the North Atlantic amplifies. Diagnostics for nonreflective events suggest that wave activity over the Azores gets absorbed, allowing continued enhancement of both the regional poleward eddy momentum flux and the positive NAO.

Cluster Analysis of Northern Hemisphere Wintertime 500-hPa Flow Regimes during 1920–2014*

2015 ◽  
Vol 72 (9) ◽  
pp. 3597-3608 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ming Bao ◽  
John M. Wallace
Keyword(s):  
North America ◽  
Northern Hemisphere ◽  
North Atlantic ◽  
Wave Train ◽  
Stationary Wave ◽  
Negative Polarity ◽  
Wave Pattern ◽  
Western Hemisphere ◽  
The North ◽  
The North Atlantic

Abstract Clusters in the Northern Hemisphere wintertime, 10-day low-pass-filtered 500-hPa height field are identified using the method of self-organizing maps (SOMs). Results are based on 1) a 57-winter record of ERA and 2) a 93-winter record of the NOAA Twentieth-Century Reanalysis (20CR). The clusters derived from SOMs appear to be more robust and more linearly independent than their counterparts derived from Ward’s method, and clusters with comparable numbers of member days are more distinctive in terms of the standardized Euclidean distances of their centroids from the centroid of the dataset. The reproducible SOM clusters in the hemispheric domain are 1) the negative polarity of the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), 2) a pattern suggestive of Alaska blocking with a downstream wave train extending over North America and the North Atlantic, 3) an enhancement of the climatological-mean stationary wave pattern in the Western Hemisphere that projects positively upon the Pacific–North America (PNA) pattern, and 4) a pattern that projects upon the negative polarity of the PNA pattern. The first three patterns have important impacts on the wintertime climate in North America and Europe. In particular, they are helpful in interpreting prevailing flow patterns during the exceptional winters of 1930–31, 2009–10, and 2013–14. Because of the very limited number of independent samples in a single winter, the number of days per winter in which the circulation resides within individual clusters varies erratically from winter to winter, rendering attribution difficult.

Intraseasonal Teleconnection between the Summer Eurasian Wave Train and the Indian Monsoon*

2007 ◽  
Vol 20 (15) ◽  
pp. 3751-3767 ◽  
Author(s):  
Qinghua Ding ◽  
Bin Wang
Keyword(s):  
High Pressure ◽  
Central Asia ◽  
Summer Monsoon ◽  
Indian Summer Monsoon ◽  
Wave Train ◽  
Intraseasonal Variability ◽  
The Other ◽  
Vertical Shear ◽  
Central Asian ◽  
Northeastern Atlantic

Abstract This study investigated the most recurrent coupled pattern of intraseasonal variability between midlatitude circulation and the Indian summer monsoon (ISM). The leading singular vector decomposition (SVD) pattern reveals a significant, coupled intraseasonal variation between a Rossby wave train across the Eurasian continent and the summer monsoon convection in northwestern India and Pakistan (hereafter referred to as NISM). The wave train associated with an active phase of NISM rainfall displays two high pressure anomalies, one located over central Asia and the other over northeastern Asia. They are accompanied by increased rainfall over the western Siberia plain and northern China and decreased rainfall over the eastern Mediterranean Sea and southern Japan. The circulation of the wave train shows a barotropic structure everywhere except the anomalous central Asian high, located to the northwest of India, where a heat-induced baroclinic circulation structure dominates. The time-lagged SVD analysis shows that the midlatitude wave train originates from the northeastern Atlantic and traverses Europe to central Asia. The wave train enhances the upper-level high pressure and reinforces the convection over the NISM region; meanwhile, it propagates farther toward East Asia along the waveguide provided by the westerly jet. After an outbreak of NISM convection, the anomalous central Asian high retreats westward. Composite analysis suggests a coupling between the central Asian high and the convective fluctuation in the NISM. The significance of the midlatitude–ISM interaction is also revealed by the close resemblance between the individual empirical orthogonal functions and the coupled (SVD) modes of the midlatitude circulation and the ISM. It is hypothesized that the eastward and southward propagation of the wave train originating from the northeastern Atlantic contributes to the intraseasonal variability in the NISM by changing the intensity of the monsoonal easterly vertical shear and its associated moist dynamic instability. On the other hand, the rainfall variations over the NISM reinforce the variations of the central Asian high through the “monsoon–desert” mechanism, thus reenergizing the downstream propagation of the wave train. The coupling between the Eurasian wave train and NISM may be instrumental for understanding their interaction and can provide a way to predict the intraseasonal variations of the Indian summer monsoon and East Asian summer monsoon.

scholarly journals Understanding the Interdecadal Variability of East Asian Summer Monsoon Precipitation: Joint Influence of Three Oceanic Signals

2018 ◽  
Vol 31 (14) ◽  
pp. 5485-5506 ◽  
Author(s):  
Zhiqi Zhang ◽  
Xuguang Sun ◽  
Xiu-Qun Yang
Keyword(s):  
Summer Monsoon ◽  
North Atlantic ◽  
Asian Summer Monsoon ◽  
Wave Train ◽  
Eastern China ◽  
Monsoon Precipitation ◽  
The North ◽  
Joint Influence ◽  
Asian Summer ◽  
Precipitation Anomalies

Abstract East Asian summer monsoon precipitation (EASMP) features complicated interdecadal variability with multiple time periods and spatial patterns. Using century-long datasets of HadISST, CRU precipitation, and the ECMWF twentieth-century reanalysis (ERA-20C), this study examines the joint influence of three oceanic interdecadal signals [i.e., Pacific decadal oscillation (PDO), Atlantic multidecadal oscillation (AMO), and Indian Ocean Basin mode (IOBM)] on the EASMP, which, however, is found not to be simply a linear combination of their individual effects. When PDO and AMO are out of phase, the same-sign SST anomalies occur in the North Pacific and North Atlantic, and a zonally orientated teleconnection wave train appears across the Eurasian mid-to-high latitudes, propagating from the North Atlantic to northern East Asia along the Asian westerly jet waveguide. Correspondingly, the interdecadal precipitation anomalies are characterized by a meridional tripole mode over eastern China. When PDO and AMO are in phase, with opposite sign SST anomalies in the North Pacific and North Atlantic, the sandwich pattern of anomalous stationary Rossby wavenumber tends to reduce the effect of the waveguide in the eastern Mediterranean region, and the teleconnection wave train from the North Atlantic travels only to western central Asia along a great circle route, causing Indian summer monsoon precipitation (ISMP) anomalies. The ISMP anomalies, in turn, interact with the teleconnection wave train induced by the PDO and AMO, leading to a meridional dipole mode of interdecadal precipitation anomalies over eastern China. Through the impact on the ISMP, the IOBM exerts significantly linear modulation on the combined impacts of PDO and AMO, especially over northern East Asia.

Circulation Features Associated with the Record-Breaking Rainfall over South China in June 2017

2018 ◽  
Vol 31 (18) ◽  
pp. 7209-7224 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jianqi Sun ◽  
Jing Ming ◽  
Mengqi Zhang ◽  
Shui Yu
Keyword(s):  
East Asia ◽  
South China ◽  
North Atlantic ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Wave Train ◽  
Western Pacific Subtropical High ◽  
Early Summer ◽  
Intense Rainfall ◽  
Maritime Continent ◽  
Anomalous Anticyclone

In June 2017, south China suffered from intense rainfall that broke the record spanning the previous 70 years. In this study, the large-scale circulations associated with the south China June rainfall are analyzed. The results show that the anomalous Pacific–Japan (PJ) pattern is a direct influence on south China June rainfall or East Asian early summer rainfall. In addition, the Australian high was the strongest in June 2017 during the past 70 years, which can increase the equatorward flow to northern Australia and activate convection over the Maritime Continent. Enhanced convection over the Maritime Continent can further enhance local meridional circulation along East Asia, engendering downward motion over the tropical western North Pacific and enhancing the western Pacific subtropical high (WPSH) and upward motion over south China, which increases the rainfall therein. In addition, a strong wave train pattern associated with North Atlantic air–sea interaction was observed in June 2017 at Northern Hemispheric mid- to high latitudes; it originated from the North Atlantic and propagated eastward to East Asia, resulting in an anomalous anticyclone over the Mongolian–Baikal Lake region. This anomalous anticyclone produced strong northerly winds over East Asia that encountered the southerly associated with the WPSH over south China, thereby favoring intense rainfall over the region. Case studies of June 2017 and climate research based on data during 1979–2017 and 1948–2017 indicate that the extremities of the atmospheric circulation over south Europe and Australian high and their coupling with the PJ pattern could be responsible for the record-breaking south China rainfall in June 2017.

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