scholarly journals Tropical Cyclone Footprints in Long-Term Mean State and Multiscale Climate Variability in the Western North Pacific as Seen in the JRA-55 Reanalysis

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-46
Author(s):  
Sho Arakane ◽  
Huang-Hsiung Hsu
Keyword(s):  
Climate Variability ◽  
North Pacific ◽  
Western North Pacific ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Lower Troposphere ◽  
Monsoon Trough ◽  
Climate Projections ◽  
Anticyclonic Circulation ◽  
Mean State

AbstractThe monsoon trough and subtropical high have long been acknowledged to exert a substantial modulating effect on the genesis and development of TCs in the western North Pacific (WNP). However, the potential upscaling effect of TCs on large-scale circulation remains poorly understood. This study revealed the considerable contributions of TCs to the climate mean state and variability in the WNP between 1958 and 2019, characterized by a strengthened monsoon trough and weakened subtropical anticyclonic circulation in the lower troposphere, enhanced anticyclonic circulation in the upper troposphere, and warming throughout the troposphere. TCs constituted distinct footprints in the long-term mean states of the WNP summer monsoon, and their contributions increased intraseasonal and interannual variance by 50%–70%. The interdecadal variations and long-term trends in intraseasonal variance were mainly due to the year-to-year fluctuations in TC activity. The size of TC footprints was positively correlated with the magnitude of TC activity.Our findings suggest that the full understanding of climate variability and changes cannot be achieved simply on the basis of low-frequency, large-scale circulations. Rather, TCs must be regarded as a crucial component in the climate system, and their interactions with large-scale circulations require thorough exploration. The long-term dataset created in this study provides an opportunity to study the interaction between TCs and TC-free large-scale circulations to advance our understanding of climate variability in the WNP. Our findings also indicate that realistic climate projections must involve the accurate simulations of TCs.

scholarly journals Tropical Cyclogenesis in the Western North Pacific as Revealed by the 2008–09 YOTC Data*

2013 ◽  
Vol 28 (4) ◽  
pp. 1038-1056 ◽  
Author(s):  
Yamei Xu ◽  
Tim Li ◽  
Melinda Peng
Keyword(s):  
Rossby Wave ◽  
Wave Energy ◽  
North Pacific ◽  
Western North Pacific ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Lower Troposphere ◽  
Energy Dispersion ◽  
Reanalysis Dataset ◽  
Initial Development ◽  
Wave Trains

Abstract The Year of Tropical Convection (YOTC) high-resolution global reanalysis dataset was analyzed to reveal precursor synoptic-scale disturbances related to tropical cyclone (TC) genesis in the western North Pacific (WNP) during the 2008–09 typhoon seasons. A time filtering is applied to the data to isolate synoptic (3–10 day), quasi-biweekly (10–20 day), and intraseasonal (20–90 day) time-scale components. The results show that four types of precursor synoptic disturbances associated with TC genesis can be identified in the YOTC data. They are 1) Rossby wave trains associated with preexisting TC energy dispersion (TCED) (24%), 2) synoptic wave trains (SWTs) unrelated to TCED (32%), 3) easterly waves (EWs) (16%), and 4) a combination of either TCED-EW or SWT-EW (24%). The percentage of identifiable genesis events is higher than has been found in previous analyses. Most of the genesis events occurred when atmospheric quasi-biweekly and intraseasonal oscillations are in an active phase, suggesting a large-scale control of low-frequency oscillations on TC formation in the WNP. For genesis events associated with SWT and EW, maximum vorticity was confined in the lower troposphere. During the formation of Jangmi (2008), maximum Rossby wave energy dispersion appeared in the middle troposphere. This differs from other TCED cases in which energy dispersion is strongest at low level. As a result, the midlevel vortex from Rossby wave energy dispersion grew faster during the initial development stage of Jangmi.

scholarly journals Long-term and large-scale epidemiology of Brucella infection in baleen whales and sperm whales in the western North Pacific and Antarctic Oceans

2016 ◽  
Vol 78 (9) ◽  
pp. 1457-1464 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kazue OHISHI ◽  
Takeharu BANDO ◽  
Erika ABE ◽  
Yasushi KAWAI ◽  
Yoshihiro FUJISE ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
North Pacific ◽  
Western North Pacific ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Sperm Whales ◽  
Baleen Whales

scholarly journals Interannual Variability of Summer Tropical Cyclone Rainfall in the Western North Pacific Depicted by CFSR and Associated Large-Scale Processes and ISO Modulations

2018 ◽  
Vol 31 (5) ◽  
pp. 1771-1787 ◽  
Author(s):  
Jau-Ming Chen ◽  
Pei-Hua Tan ◽  
Liang Wu ◽  
Hui-Shan Chen ◽  
Jin-Shuen Liu ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Tropical Cyclone ◽  
Interannual Variability ◽  
El Niño ◽  
North Pacific ◽  
Western North Pacific ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
El Nino ◽  
Southern Oscillation ◽  
Monsoon Trough ◽  
Tropical Eastern Pacific

This study examines the interannual variability of summer tropical cyclone (TC) rainfall (TCR) in the western North Pacific (WNP) depicted by the Climate Forecast System Reanalysis (CFSR). This interannual variability exhibits a maximum region near Taiwan (19°–28°N, 120°–128°E). Significantly increased TCR in this region is modulated by El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO)-related large-scale processes. They feature elongated sea surface temperature warming in the tropical eastern Pacific and a southeastward-intensified monsoon trough. Increased TC movements are facilitated by interannual southerly/southeasterly flows in the northeastern periphery of the intensified monsoon trough to move from the tropical WNP toward the region near Taiwan, resulting in increased TCR. The coherent dynamic relations between interannual variability of summer TCR and large-scale environmental processes justify CFSR as being able to reasonably depict interannual characteristics of summer TCR in the WNP. For intraseasonal oscillation (ISO) modulations, TCs tend to cluster around the center of a 10–24-day cyclonic anomaly and follow its northwestward propagation from the tropical WNP toward the region near Taiwan. The above TC movements are subject to favorable background conditions provided by a northwest–southeasterly extending 30–60-day cyclonic anomaly. Summer TCR tends to increase (decrease) during El Niño (La Niña) years and strong (weak) ISO years. By comparing composite TCR anomalies and correlations with TCR variability, it is found that ENSO is more influential than ISO in modulating the interannual variability of summer TCR in the WNP.

Propagation and Maintenance Mechanism of the TC/Submonthly Wave Pattern and TC Feedback in the Western North Pacific

2012 ◽  
Vol 25 (24) ◽  
pp. 8591-8610 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ken-Chung Ko ◽  
Huang-Hsiung Hsu ◽  
Chia Chou
Keyword(s):  
Kinetic Energy ◽  
North Pacific ◽  
Western North Pacific ◽  
Dominant Role ◽  
Intraseasonal Oscillation ◽  
Lower Troposphere ◽  
Wave Pattern ◽  
Monsoon Trough ◽  
Mean Flow ◽  
Circulation Circuit

Abstract Propagation and maintenance mechanisms of the tropical cyclone/submonthly wave pattern in the western North Pacific are explored. The wave pattern exhibited an equivalent barotropic structure with maximum vorticity and kinetic energy in the lower troposphere and propagated northwestward in the Philippine Sea in the intraseasonal oscillation (ISO) westerly phase and north-northeastward near the East Asian coast in the easterly phase. The mean flow advection played a dominant role in the propagation in both phases. Barotropic energy conversion is the dominant process in maintaining the kinetic energy of the pattern. The wave pattern tended to occur in the confluent zone between the monsoon trough and the anticyclonic ridge, where the kinetic energy could be efficiently extracted from the westerly mean flow associated with the monsoon trough. The individual circulation circuit embedded in the pattern was oriented northeast–southwest (east–west) to have optimal growth and propagation during the ISO westerly (easterly) phase. When tropical cyclones (TCs) developed in a development-favorable background flow provided by the submonthly wave pattern, they in turn enhanced the amplitudes of the vorticity and kinetic energy of the submonthly wave pattern by more than 50% and helped extract significantly more energy from the background ISO circulation. This TC feedback was much more significant in the ISO westerly phase because of the stronger clustering effect on TCs by the enhanced monsoon trough.

scholarly journals Break events of the western North Pacific summer monsoon during 1979–2018

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-47
Author(s):  
Ke Xu ◽  
Riyu Lu
Keyword(s):  
Summer Monsoon ◽  
North Pacific ◽  
Western North Pacific ◽  
Lower Troposphere ◽  
Monsoon Trough ◽  
Significant Suppression ◽  
Upper Troposphere ◽  
Subseasonal Variability ◽  
Case Diagnosis ◽  
Break Period

AbstractThe monsoon break is a typical phenomenon representing the monsoon’s subseasonal variability, but its understanding is still limited for the western North Pacific (WNP) area. This study identified all break events of the WNP summer monsoon (WNPSM) from 1979 to 2018. The statistical analysis suggests that break events occur from late June to late October and peak at the end of August. The occurrence frequency of break events decreases as the duration increases, with 74% persisting 3–7 days and merely 26% lasting longer (8–15 days). During the break period, which is characterized by significant suppression of convection, there is an extensive anticyclonic anomaly in the lower troposphere, corresponding to a notable westward retreat of the monsoon trough and a southwestward shift of the subtropical high. Meanwhile, an anomalous cyclone and convergence in the upper troposphere are also conducive to inhibiting convection.The composite results indicate that both 10–25-day and 30–60-day oscillations contribute to the break, with their dry phases explaining 49.6% and 37.5% of the original suppression of convection, respectively. Around the break, the phase alternation of the 10–25-day oscillation causes convection fluctuation, while the 30–60-day oscillation maintains a stable dry phase that favors the establishment and maintenance of the break. A further case-by-case diagnosis suggests that 46 (51) out of the 61 break events occur in dry phases of the 10–25-day (30–60-day) oscillation, while only 10 (4) events occur in wet phases, indicating that the phase of the two oscillations significantly modulates the occurrence of the monsoon break.

scholarly journals Possible Linkage between the Monsoon Trough Variability and the Tropical Cyclone Activity over the Western North Pacific

2012 ◽  
Vol 140 (1) ◽  
pp. 140-150 ◽  
Author(s):  
Liang Wu ◽  
Zhiping Wen ◽  
Ronghui Huang ◽  
Renguang Wu
Keyword(s):  
Tropical Cyclone ◽  
North Pacific ◽  
Western North Pacific ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Monsoon Trough ◽  
Vertical Shear ◽  
Mean Flow ◽  
Tropical Eastern Pacific ◽  
Barotropic Energy Conversion ◽  
Upper Level

Abstract The present study investigates the influence of the monsoon trough (MT) on the interannual variability of tropical cyclone (TC) activity over the western North Pacific during July–November for the period 1979–2007. It is shown that the TC activity is closely related to the MT location. During the years when the MT extends eastward (retreats westward), more (less) TCs form within the southeastern quadrant of the western North Pacific. Such a relationship can be explained by the changes in large-scale environmental factors associated with the movement of the MT. An eastward extension of the MT coincides with warmed ocean surface, enhanced convection, increased relative humidity in the lower and midtroposphere, reduced vertical shear of zonal wind, intensified upper-level divergence, and low-level anomalous cyclonic vorticity over the southeast quadrant of the western North Pacific. These conditions associated with the eastern extension of the MT are favorable for TC genesis, while those associated with the westward retreat of the MT are not. Diagnosis of the barotropic energy conversion indicates that synoptic-scale disturbances moving westward from tropical eastern Pacific will gain the energy from the mean flow when they meet with the eastward-extending MT. This is an important reason for the linkage between MT variability and TC genesis over the western North Pacific.

scholarly journals Synoptic-Scale Influences on Tropical Cyclone Formation within the Western North Pacific Monsoon Trough

2015 ◽  
Vol 143 (9) ◽  
pp. 3421-3433 ◽  
Author(s):  
Huijun Zong ◽  
Liguang Wu
Keyword(s):  
North Pacific ◽  
Western North Pacific ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Low Frequency ◽  
Vertical Wind Shear ◽  
Monsoon Trough ◽  
Core Area ◽  
Convective Heating ◽  
Synoptic Scale ◽  
The Core

Abstract Tropical cyclones (TCs) always develop from synoptic-scale disturbances. While early studies suggested that the presence of synoptic-scale disturbances may enhance large-scale conditions for TC formation, recent studies argued that TC-precursor disturbances can establish a rotation-dominant area, which can play a crucial role in organizing convective activity and converting convective heating to rotational energy for storm-scale intensification. To demonstrate the synoptic-scale influence of TC-precursor disturbances, 91 TC formation events within the monsoon trough over the western North Pacific during 2000–10 were examined by separating TC-precursor disturbances from the low-frequency background. The composite analysis shows that the synoptic disturbances indeed enhance the mid- and low-level relative vorticity and convergence, but contribute little to reducing vertical wind shear. The dynamic composite that is conducted with respect to disturbance centers indicates that TC-precursor disturbances within the monsoon trough establish a rotation-dominant region with a radius of less than 550 km. The cyclonic rotation increases with time 72 h prior to TC formation and nearly all air particles keep recirculating in the core area with a radius of about 220 km. Analysis of a specific case suggests that vorticity increase occurs through the merger of mesoscale convective systems in the rotation-dominant area. The enhancing rotation in the core area may efficiently convert diabatic heating to kinetic energy for TC formation. Thus, it is suggested that the important role of TC-precursor disturbances in TC formation is the establishment of a limited, rotation-dominant area.

scholarly journals Influence of Tropical Cyclones on the Estimation of Climate Variability in the Tropical Western North Pacific

2008 ◽  
Vol 21 (12) ◽  
pp. 2960-2975 ◽  
Author(s):  
Huang-Hsiung Hsu ◽  
Ching-Hui Hung ◽  
An-Kai Lo ◽  
Chun-Chieh Wu ◽  
Chih-Wen Hung
Keyword(s):  
Climate Variability ◽  
North Pacific ◽  
Western North Pacific ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Climate Model ◽  
Low Frequency ◽  
Climate Signal ◽  
Positive Vorticity ◽  
Low Pass ◽  
Tropical Western North Pacific

Abstract By estimating the differences between the original and tropical cyclone (TC)-removed fields derived from the 40-yr (ECMWF) Re-Analysis (ERA-40) and NCEP–NCAR 40-Year Reanalysis, this study reveals that TCs contribute significantly (exceeding 50% in certain regions) to the seasonal mean and the intraseasonal and interannual variance of the 850-hPa vorticity along the TC tracks in the tropical western North Pacific. Similar effects on the precipitation are also seen, as presented by the examples located in Taiwan. While the low-frequency, large-scale circulation produces a clustering effect on TCs, the latter, which has a large positive vorticity and tends to occur in the positive vorticity background flow, significantly enhances the strength of the positive vorticity. The contribution from TCs, which is not offset by the synoptic systems with weak negative vorticity, can therefore leave marked footprints in the climate signal and variability. This effect is not removed by long-term averaging and low-pass filtering, which are often used to retrieve the climate perturbations. This study reveals that the climate variability, as it is defined, is not contributed to merely by the low-frequency large-scale fluctuations. Instead, the TC effect has to be taken into account to understand the climate variability in the tropical western North Pacific. Subsequently, the ensemble effect of TCs, at least in the statistical sense, has to be resolved in the climate model to obtain a better simulation of the climate variability in the TC-prone region, such as the tropical western North Pacific.

What Percentage of Western North Pacific Tropical Cyclones Form within the Monsoon Trough?

2013 ◽  
Vol 141 (2) ◽  
pp. 499-505 ◽  
Author(s):  
John Molinari ◽  
David Vollaro
Keyword(s):  
Tropical Cyclones ◽  
North Pacific ◽  
Western North Pacific ◽  
Relative Vorticity ◽  
Monsoon Trough ◽  
Easterly Waves ◽  
Suitable Definition ◽  
Definition Of ◽  
Background State

Abstract It is frequently stated that 70%–80% of western North Pacific tropical cyclones form “within the monsoon trough,” but without an objective definition of the term. Several definitions are tested here. When the monsoon trough (MT) is defined as the contiguous region where long-term (1988–2010) mean July–November 850-hPa relative vorticity is positive, 73% of all July–November tropical cyclones form within the MT. This percentage varies interannually, however, from as low as 50% to nearly 100%. The percentage correlates with the Niño-3.4 index, with more storms forming within the MT during warm periods. When the MT is defined instead using long-term monthly mean ζ850, more than 80% of tropical cyclones form within the MT in all months except July and August, when more than 30% of storms form poleward of the MT. It is hypothesized that the known peak in the frequency of upper-tropospheric midlatitude wave breaking in July and August is responsible. It is argued that any long-term mean provides a suitable definition of the MT. Defining it on less than seasonal time scales, however, creates a lack of conceptual separation between the MT and other tropical disturbances such as the MJO, equatorial waves, and easterly waves. The term monsoon trough should represent a climatological feature that provides an asymmetric background state within which other disturbances evolve.

scholarly journals Effects of Monsoon Trough Intraseasonal Oscillation on Tropical Cyclogenesis over the Western North Pacific*

2014 ◽  
Vol 71 (12) ◽  
pp. 4639-4660 ◽  
Author(s):  
Xi Cao ◽  
Tim Li ◽  
Melinda Peng ◽  
Wen Chen ◽  
Guanghua Chen
Keyword(s):  
North Pacific ◽  
Moisture Transport ◽  
Western North Pacific ◽  
Large Scale ◽  
Diabatic Heating ◽  
Intraseasonal Oscillation ◽  
Monsoon Trough ◽  
Specific Humidity ◽  
Tropical Cyclogenesis ◽  
Background Fields

Abstract The effects of intraseasonal oscillation (ISO) of the western North Pacific (WNP) monsoon trough on tropical cyclone (TC) formation were investigated using the Advanced Research Weather Research and Forecasting (ARW) Model. A weak vortex was specified initially and inserted into the background fields containing climatological-mean anomalies associated with active and inactive phases of monsoon trough ISOs. The diagnosis of simulations showed that monsoon trough ISO can modulate TC development through both dynamic and thermodynamic processes. The dynamic impact is attributed to the lower–midtropospheric large-scale vorticity associated with monsoon trough ISO. Interactions between cyclonic vorticity in the lower middle troposphere during the active ISO phase and a vortex lead to the generation of vortex-scale outflow at the midlevel, which promotes the upward penetration of friction-induced ascending motion and thus upward moisture transport. In addition, the low-level convergence associated with active ISO also helps the upward moisture transport. Both processes contribute to stronger diabatic heating and thus promote a positive convection–circulation–moisture feedback. On the other hand, the large-scale flow associated with inactive ISO suppresses upward motion near the core by inducing the midlevel inflow and the divergence forcing within the boundary layer, both inhibiting TC development. The thermodynamic impact comes from greater background specific humidity associated with active ISO that allows a stronger diabatic heating. Experiments that separated the dynamic and thermodynamic impacts of the ISO showed that the thermodynamic anomaly from active ISO contributes more to TC development, while the dynamic anomalies from inactive ISO can inhibit vortex development completely.

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