A comparison of factors that led to the extreme sea ice minima in the 21st century in the Arctic Ocean

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-56
Keyword(s):  
Heat Flux ◽  
Sea Ice ◽  
Arctic Ocean ◽  
Atmospheric Circulation ◽  
21St Century ◽  
Open Water ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Area Loss ◽  
The Arctic Ocean ◽  
The Difference

Abstract The extreme Arctic sea ice minima in the 21st century have been attributed to multiple factors, such as anomalous atmospheric circulation, excess solar radiation absorbed by open ocean, and thinning sea ice in a warming world. Most likely it is the combination of these factors that drive the extreme sea ice minima, but it has not been quantified, how the factors rank in setting the conditions for these events. To address this question, the sea ice budget of an Arctic regional sea ice-ocean model forced by atmospheric reanalysis data is analyzed to assess the development of the observed sea ice minima. Results show that the ice area difference in the years 2012, 2019, and 2007 is driven to over 60% by the difference in summertime sea ice area loss due to air-ocean heat flux over open water. Other contributions are small. For the years 2012 and 2020 the situation is different and more complex. The air-ice heat flux causes more sea ice area loss in summer 2020 than in 2012 due to warmer air temperatures, but this difference in sea ice area loss is compensated by reduced advective sea ice loss out of the Arctic Ocean mainly caused by the relaxation of the Arctic Dipole. The difference in open water area in early August leads to different air-ocean heat fluxes, which distinguishes the sea ice minima in 2012 and 2020. Further, sensitivity experiments indicate that both the atmospheric circulation associated with the Arctic Dipole and extreme storms are essential conditions for a new low record of sea ice extent.

Changes in phytoplankton concentration now drive increased Arctic Ocean primary production

Science ◽  
2020 ◽  
Vol 369 (6500) ◽  
pp. 198-202 ◽  
Author(s):  
K. M. Lewis ◽  
G. L. van Dijken ◽  
K. R. Arrigo
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Primary Production ◽  
Arctic Ocean ◽  
Open Water ◽  
Water Area ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Carbon Export ◽  
Phytoplankton Primary Production ◽  
Open Water Area ◽  
The Arctic Ocean

Historically, sea ice loss in the Arctic Ocean has promoted increased phytoplankton primary production because of the greater open water area and a longer growing season. However, debate remains about whether primary production will continue to rise should sea ice decline further. Using an ocean color algorithm parameterized for the Arctic Ocean, we show that primary production increased by 57% between 1998 and 2018. Surprisingly, whereas increases were due to widespread sea ice loss during the first decade, the subsequent rise in primary production was driven primarily by increased phytoplankton biomass, which was likely sustained by an influx of new nutrients. This suggests a future Arctic Ocean that can support higher trophic-level production and additional carbon export.

The shallowing surface temperature inversions in the Arctic

2021 ◽  
pp. 1-30
Author(s):  
Lin Zhang ◽  
Minghu Ding ◽  
Tingfeng Dou ◽  
Yi Huang ◽  
Junmei Lv ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Arctic Ocean ◽  
21St Century ◽  
Barents Sea ◽  
Atmospheric Stability ◽  
Heat Fluxes ◽  
Spatiotemporal Variability ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
The Arctic Ocean ◽  
Temperature Inversions

AbstractTemperature inversion plays an important role in various physical processes by affecting the atmospheric stability, regulating the development of clouds and fog, and controlling the transport of heat and moisture fluxes. In the past few decades, previous studies have analyzed the spatiotemporal variability of Arctic inversions, but few studies have investigated changes in temperature inversions. In this study, the changes in the depth of Arctic inversions in the mid-21st century are projected based on a 30-member ensemble from the Community Earth System Model Large Ensemble (CESM-LE) project. The ERA-Interim, JRA-55, and NCEP-NCAR reanalyses were employed to verify the model results. The CESM-LE can adequately reproduce the spatial distribution and trends of present-day inversion depth in the Arctic, and the simulation is better in winter. The mean inversion depth in the CESM-LE is slightly underestimated, and the discrepancy is less than 11 hPa within a reasonable range. The model results show that during the mid-21st century, the inversion depth will strongly decrease in autumn and slightly decrease in winter. The shallowing of inversion is most obvious over the Arctic Ocean, and the maximum decrease is over 65 hPa in the Pacific sector in autumn. In contrast, the largest decrease in the inversion depth, which is more than 45 hPa, occurs over the Barents Sea in winter. Moreover, the area where the inversion shallows is consistent with the area where the sea ice is retreating, indicating that the inversion depth over the Arctic Ocean in autumn and winter is likely regulated by the sea ice extent through modulating surface heat fluxes.

scholarly journals Summer-to-Winter Sea-Ice Linkage between the Arctic Ocean and the Okhotsk Sea through Atmospheric Circulation

2015 ◽  
Vol 28 (12) ◽  
pp. 4971-4979 ◽  
Author(s):  
Masayo Ogi ◽  
Bunmei Taguchi ◽  
Meiji Honda ◽  
David G. Barber ◽  
Søren Rysgaard
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Arctic Ocean ◽  
Atmospheric Circulation ◽  
Arctic Sea Ice ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Okhotsk Sea ◽  
Regional Variability ◽  
Sea Ice Extent ◽  
East Siberian Sea ◽  
The Arctic Ocean

Abstract Contemporary climate science seeks to understand the rate and magnitude of a warming global climate and how it impacts regional variability and teleconnections. One of the key drivers of regional climate is the observed reduction in end of summer sea-ice extent over the Arctic. Here the authors show that interannual variations between the September Arctic sea-ice concentration, especially in the East Siberian Sea, and the maximum Okhotsk sea-ice extent in the following winter are positively correlated, which is not explained by the recent warming trend only. An increase of sea ice both in the East Siberian Sea and the Okhotsk Sea and corresponding atmospheric patterns, showing a seesaw between positive anomalies of sea level pressures over the Arctic Ocean and negative anomalies over the midlatitudes, are related to cold anomalies over the high-latitude Eurasian continent. The patterns of atmospheric circulation and air temperatures are similar to those of the annually integrated Arctic Oscillation (AO). The negative annual AO forms colder anomalies in autumn sea surface temperatures both over the East Siberian Sea and the Okhotsk Sea, which causes heavy sea-ice conditions in both seas through season-to-season persistence.

Increased Arctic Ocean sea ice loss through the Canadian Arctic Archipelago under a warmer climate

2020 ◽  
Author(s):  
Stephen Howell ◽  
Mike Brady
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Arctic Ocean ◽  
Canadian Arctic ◽  
Open Water ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Canadian Arctic Archipelago ◽  
Nares Strait ◽  
The Arctic Ocean ◽  
Important Pathway

<p>The ice arches that ring the northern Canadian Arctic Archipelago have historically blocked the inflow of Arctic Ocean sea ice for the majority of the year. However, annual average air temperature in northern Canada has increased by more than 2°C over the past 65+ years and a warmer climate is expected to contribute to the deterioration of these ice arches, which in turn has implications for the overall loss of Arctic Ocean sea ice. We investigated the effect of warming on the Arctic Ocean ice area flux into the Canadian Arctic Archipelago using a 22-year record (1997-2018) of ice exchange derived from RADARSAT-1 and RADARSAT-2 imagery. Results indicated that there has been a significant increase in the amount of Arctic Ocean sea ice (10<sup>3</sup> km<sup>2</sup>/year) entering the northern Canadian Arctic Archipelago over the period of 1997-2018. The increased Arctic Ocean ice area flux was associated with reduced ice arch duration but also with faster (thinner) moving ice and more southern latitude open water leeway as a result of the Canadian Arctic Archipelago’s long-term transition to a younger and thinner ice regime. Remarkably, in 2016, the Arctic Ocean ice area flux into the Canadian Arctic Archipelago (161x10<sup>3</sup> km<sup>2</sup>) was 7 times greater than the 1997-2018 average (23x10<sup>3</sup> km<sup>2</sup>) and almost double the 2007 ice area flux into Nares Strait (87x10<sup>3</sup> km<sup>2</sup>). Indeed, Nares Strait is known to be an important pathway for Arctic Ocean ice loss however, the results of this study suggest that with continued warming, the Canadian Arctic Archipelago may also become a large contributor to Arctic Ocean ice loss.</p>

scholarly journals Multiyear sea ice thermal regimes and oceanic heat flux derived from an ice mass balance buoy in the Arctic Ocean

2014 ◽  
Vol 119 (1) ◽  
pp. 537-547 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ruibo Lei ◽  
Na Li ◽  
Petra Heil ◽  
Bin Cheng ◽  
Zhanhai Zhang ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Heat Flux ◽  
Sea Ice ◽  
Arctic Ocean ◽  
Mass Balance ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Oceanic Heat Flux ◽  
Thermal Regimes ◽  
The Arctic Ocean ◽  
Ice Mass Balance

scholarly journals The Accuracy of Sea Ice Drafts Measured from U.S. Navy Submarines

2007 ◽  
Vol 24 (11) ◽  
pp. 1936-1949 ◽  
Author(s):  
D. A. Rothrock ◽  
Mark Wensnahan
Keyword(s):  
Sea Ice ◽  
Arctic Ocean ◽  
Open Water ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Precision Error ◽  
Sources Of Error ◽  
Speed Error ◽  
The Arctic Ocean ◽  
Recorded Data ◽  
Data Source

Abstract Navy submarines in the Arctic Ocean routinely obtain observations from an upward-looking sonar of the draft of the sea ice cover overhead. Draft data are now publicly available from some 40 cruises from 1975 to 2000 covering over 120 000 km of track in roughly the central half of the Arctic Ocean. To apply these observations to geophysics, error estimates are needed. This paper assesses how well the correction of the data during normal processing accounts for the major sources of error in the draft data from U.S. Navy submarines and what errors remain in the data. The error treated is the error for the average draft over tens of kilometers. The following sources of error are considered: measurement precision error; errors in identifying open water (as ice of zero draft); sound speed error; errors caused by variable sonar footprint size, by uncontrolled gain and thresholds, and by ship’s trim; and differences between data from analog charts and digitally recorded data. The bias with respect to the actual draft is +29 cm and is important both for knowing the actual ice draft and for comparing drafts from submarines with thicknesses in models and with draft, thickness, or freeboard estimated by other vehicles and technologies. The standard deviation is 25 cm. This number estimates the repeatability and comparability of draft measurements by U.S. Navy submarines and is important for examining the submarine data for regional and temporal variation. These errors are tolerable for an operational data source with a signal many meters in amplitude.

scholarly journals Mechanism of seasonal Arctic sea ice evolution and Arctic amplification

2016 ◽  
Vol 10 (5) ◽  
pp. 2191-2202 ◽  
Author(s):  
Kwang-Yul Kim ◽  
Benjamin D. Hamlington ◽  
Hanna Na ◽  
Jinju Kim
Keyword(s):  
Heat Flux ◽  
Sea Ice ◽  
Arctic Ocean ◽  
Turbulent Heat Flux ◽  
Sea Surface ◽  
The Arctic ◽  
Turbulent Heat ◽  
Arctic Amplification ◽  
Atmospheric Column ◽  
The Arctic Ocean

Abstract. Sea ice loss is proposed as a primary reason for the Arctic amplification, although the physical mechanism of the Arctic amplification and its connection with sea ice melting is still in debate. In the present study, monthly ERA-Interim reanalysis data are analyzed via cyclostationary empirical orthogonal function analysis to understand the seasonal mechanism of sea ice loss in the Arctic Ocean and the Arctic amplification. While sea ice loss is widespread over much of the perimeter of the Arctic Ocean in summer, sea ice remains thin in winter only in the Barents–Kara seas. Excessive turbulent heat flux through the sea surface exposed to air due to sea ice reduction warms the atmospheric column. Warmer air increases the downward longwave radiation and subsequently surface air temperature, which facilitates sea surface remains to be free of ice. This positive feedback mechanism is not clearly observed in the Laptev, East Siberian, Chukchi, and Beaufort seas, since sea ice refreezes in late fall (November) before excessive turbulent heat flux is available for warming the atmospheric column in winter. A detailed seasonal heat budget is presented in order to understand specific differences between the Barents–Kara seas and Laptev, East Siberian, Chukchi, and Beaufort seas.

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