scholarly journals Toward Optimization of Rheology in Sea Ice Models through Data Assimilation

2019 ◽  
Vol 36 (12) ◽  
pp. 2365-2382 ◽  
Author(s):  
J. N. Stroh ◽  
Gleb Panteleev ◽  
Max Yaremchuk ◽  
Oceana Francis ◽  
Richard Allard

AbstractSea ice models that allow for deformation are primarily based on rheological formulations originally developed in the 1970s. In both the original viscoplastic (VP) and elastic-VP schemes, the internal pressure term is modeled as a function of variable sea ice thickness and concentration with spatially and temporally constant empirical parameters for ice strength. This work considers a spatially variable extension of the rheology parameters as well as wind stress in a one-dimensional VP sea ice data assimilation system. In regions of total ice cover, experiments that assimilate synthetic ice-state observations using variable rheological parameters show larger improvements than equivalent experiments using homogeneous parameters. For partially ice-covered regions where internal ice stresses are relatively unimportant, experiments assimilating synthetic sea ice velocity observations demonstrate reasonable reconstruction of spatially variable wind stresses. These results suggest practical benefits for sea ice–state reconstruction and forecasts by using sea ice velocity, thickness, and concentration observations to optimize spatially varying rheological parameters and to improve wind stress forcing.

2020 ◽  
Vol 14 (12) ◽  
pp. 4427-4451
Author(s):  
Gleb Panteleev ◽  
Max Yaremchuk ◽  
Jacob N. Stroh ◽  
Oceana P. Francis ◽  
Richard Allard

Abstract. The modern sea ice models include multiple parameters which strongly affect model solution. As an example, in the CICE6 community model, rheology and landfast grounding/arching effects are simulated by functions of the sea ice thickness and concentration with a set of fixed parameters empirically adjusted to optimize the model performance. In this study, we consider the extension of a two-dimensional elastic–viscoplastic (EVP) sea ice model using a spatially variable representation of these parameters. The feasibility of optimization of the landfast sea ice parameters and rheological parameters is assessed via idealized variational data assimilation experiments with synthetic observations of ice concentration, thickness and velocity. The experiments are configured for a 3 d data assimilation window in a rectangular basin with variable wind forcing. The tangent linear and adjoint models featuring EVP rheology are found to be unstable but can be stabilized by adding a Newtonian damping term into the adjoint equations. A set of observation system simulation experiments shows that landfast parameter distributions can be reconstructed after 5–10 iterations of the minimization procedure. Optimization of sea ice initial conditions and spatially varying parameters in the stress tensor equation requires more computation but provides a better hindcast of the sea ice state and the internal stress tensor. Analysis of inaccuracy in the wind forcing and errors in sea ice thickness observations show reasonable robustness of the variational DA approach and the feasibility of its application to available and incoming observations.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Francois Massonnet ◽  
Sara Fleury ◽  
Florent Garnier ◽  
Ed Blockley ◽  
Pablo Ortega Montilla ◽  
...  

<p>It is well established that winter and spring Arctic sea-ice thickness anomalies are a key source of predictability for late summer sea-ice concentration. While numerical general circulation models (GCMs) are increasingly used to perform seasonal predictions, they are not systematically taking advantage of the wealth of polar observations available. Data assimilation, the study of how to constrain GCMs to produce a physically consistent state given observations and their uncertainties, remains, therefore, an active area of research in the field of seasonal prediction. With the recent advent of satellite laser and radar altimetry, large-scale estimates of sea-ice thickness have become available for data assimilation in GCMs. However, the sea-ice thickness is never directly observed by altimeters, but rather deduced from the measured sea-ice freeboard (the height of the emerged part of the sea ice floe) based on several assumptions like the depth of snow on sea ice and its density, which are both often poorly estimated. Thus, observed sea-ice thickness estimates are potentially less reliable than sea-ice freeboard estimates. Here, using the EC-Earth3 coupled forecasting system and an ensemble Kalman filter, we perform a set of sensitivity tests to answer the following questions: (1) Does the assimilation of late spring observed sea-ice freeboard or thickness information yield more skilful predictions than no assimilation at all? (2) Should the sea-ice freeboard assimilation be preferred over sea-ice thickness assimilation? (3) Does the assimilation of observed sea-ice concentration provide further constraints on the prediction? We address these questions in the context of a realistic test case, the prediction of 2012 summer conditions, which led to the all-time record low in Arctic sea-ice extent. We finally formulate a set of recommendations for practitioners and future users of sea ice observations in the context of seasonal prediction.</p>


2019 ◽  
Vol 13 (2) ◽  
pp. 521-543 ◽  
Author(s):  
Leandro Ponsoni ◽  
François Massonnet ◽  
Thierry Fichefet ◽  
Matthieu Chevallier ◽  
David Docquier

Abstract. The ocean–sea ice reanalyses are one of the main sources of Arctic sea ice thickness data both in terms of spatial and temporal resolution, since observations are still sparse in time and space. In this work, we first aim at comparing how the sea ice thickness from an ensemble of 14 reanalyses compares with different sources of observations, such as moored upward-looking sonars, submarines, airbornes, satellites, and ice boreholes. Second, based on the same reanalyses, we intend to characterize the timescales (persistence) and length scales of sea ice thickness anomalies. We investigate whether data assimilation of sea ice concentration by the reanalyses impacts the realism of sea ice thickness as well as its respective timescales and length scales. The results suggest that reanalyses with sea ice data assimilation do not necessarily perform better in terms of sea ice thickness compared with the reanalyses which do not assimilate sea ice concentration. However, data assimilation has a clear impact on the timescales and length scales: reanalyses built with sea ice data assimilation present shorter timescales and length scales. The mean timescales and length scales for reanalyses with data assimilation vary from 2.5 to 5.0 months and 337.0 to 732.5 km, respectively, while reanalyses with no data assimilation are characterized by values from 4.9 to 7.8 months and 846.7 to 935.7 km, respectively.


2012 ◽  
Vol 5 (2) ◽  
pp. 1627-1667 ◽  
Author(s):  
P. Mathiot ◽  
C. König Beatty ◽  
T. Fichefet ◽  
H. Goosse ◽  
F. Massonnet ◽  
...  

Abstract. Short-term and decadal sea-ice prediction systems need a realistic initial state, generally obtained using ice-ocean model simulations with data assimilation. However, only sea-ice concentration and velocity data are currently assimilated. In this work, an Ensemble Kalman Filter system is used to assimilate observed ice concentration and freeboard (i.e. thickness of emerged sea ice) data into a global coupled ocean–sea-ice model. The impact and effectiveness of our data assimilation system is assessed in two steps: firstly, through the assimilation of synthetic data (i.e., model-generated data) and, secondly, through the assimilation of satellite data. While ice concentrations are available daily, freeboard data used in this study are only available during six one-month periods spread over 2005–2007. Our results show that the simulated Arctic and Antarctic sea-ice extents are improved by the assimilation of synthetic ice concentration data. Assimilation of synthetic ice freeboard data improves the simulated sea-ice thickness field. Using real ice concentration data enhances the model realism in both hemispheres. Assimilation of ice concentration data significantly improves the total hemispheric sea-ice extent all year long, especially in summer. Combining the assimilation of ice freeboard and concentration data leads to better ice thickness, but does not further improve the ice extent. Moreover, the improvements in sea-ice thickness due to the assimilation of ice freeboard remain visible well beyond the assimilation periods.


Ocean Science ◽  
2005 ◽  
Vol 1 (3) ◽  
pp. 145-157 ◽  
Author(s):  
W. Lefebvre ◽  
H. Goosse

Abstract. The global sea ice-ocean model ORCA2-LIM is used to investigate the impact of the thermal and mechanical forcing associated with the Southern Annular Mode (SAM) on the Antarctic sea ice-ocean system. The model is driven by idealized forcings based on regressions between the wind stress and the air temperature at one hand and the SAM index the other hand. The wind-stress component strongly affects the overall patterns of the ocean circulation with a northward surface drift, a downwelling at about 45° S and an upwelling in the vicinity of the Antarctic continent when the SAM is positive. On the other hand, the thermal forcing has a negligible effect on the ocean currents. For sea ice, both the wind-stress (mechanical) and the air temperature (thermal) components have a significant impact. The mechanical part induces a decrease of the sea ice thickness close to the continent and a sharp decrease of the mean sea ice thickness in the Weddell sector. In general, the sea ice area also diminishes, with a maximum decrease in the Weddell Sea. On the contrary, the thermal part tends to increase the ice concentration in all sectors except in the Weddell Sea, where the ice area shrinks. This thermal effect is the strongest in autumn and in winter due to the larger temperature differences associated with the SAM during these seasons. The sum of the thermal and mechaninal effects gives a dipole response of sea ice to the SAM, with a decrease of the ice area in the Weddell Sea and around the Antarctic Peninsula and an increase in the Ross and Amundsen Seas during high SAM years. This is in good agreement with the observed response of the ice cover to the SAM.


Ocean Science ◽  
2007 ◽  
Vol 3 (2) ◽  
pp. 321-335 ◽  
Author(s):  
V. Dulière ◽  
T. Fichefet

Abstract. Data assimilation into sea ice models designed for climate studies has started about 15 years ago. In most of the studies conducted so far, it is assumed that the improvement brought by the assimilation is straightforward. However, some studies suggest this might not be true. In order to elucidate this question and to find an appropriate way to further assimilate sea ice concentration and velocity observations into a global sea ice-ocean model, we analyze here results from a number of twin experiments (i.e. experiments in which the assimilated data are model outputs) carried out with a simplified model of the Arctic sea ice pack. Our objective is to determine to what degree the assimilation of ice velocity and/or concentration data improves the global performance of the model and, more specifically, reduces the error in the computed ice thickness. A simple optimal interpolation scheme is used, and outputs from a control run and from perturbed experiments without and with data assimilation are thoroughly compared. Our results indicate that, under certain conditions depending on the assimilation weights and the type of model error, the assimilation of ice velocity data enhances the model performance. The assimilation of ice concentration data can also help in improving the model behavior, but it has to be handled with care because of the strong connection between ice concentration and ice thickness. This study is first step towards real data assimilation into NEMO-LIM, a global sea ice-ocean model.


2006 ◽  
Vol 36 (9) ◽  
pp. 1719-1738 ◽  
Author(s):  
Alexander V. Wilchinsky ◽  
Daniel L. Feltham ◽  
Paul A. Miller

Abstract A multithickness sea ice model explicitly accounting for the ridging and sliding friction contributions to sea ice stress is developed. Both ridging and sliding contributions depend on the deformation type through functions adopted from the Ukita and Moritz kinematic model of floe interaction. In contrast to most previous work, the ice strength of a uniform ice sheet of constant ice thickness is taken to be proportional to the ice thickness raised to the 3/2 power, as is revealed in discrete element simulations by Hopkins. The new multithickness sea ice model for sea ice stress has been implemented into the Los Alamos “CICE” sea ice model code and is shown to improve agreement between model predictions and observed spatial distribution of sea ice thickness in the Arctic.


2013 ◽  
Vol 64 ◽  
pp. 67-75 ◽  
Author(s):  
François Massonnet ◽  
Pierre Mathiot ◽  
Thierry Fichefet ◽  
Hugues Goosse ◽  
Christof König Beatty ◽  
...  

2017 ◽  
Author(s):  
David Docquier ◽  
François Massonnet ◽  
Neil F. Tandon ◽  
Olivier Lecomte ◽  
Thierry Fichefet

Abstract. Sea ice cover and thickness have substantially decreased in the Arctic Ocean since the beginning of the satellite era. As a result, sea ice strength has been reduced, allowing more deformation and fracturing and leading to increased sea ice drift speed. The resulting increased sea ice export is thought to further lower sea ice concentration and thickness. We use the global ocean-sea ice NEMO-LIM3.6 model (Nucleus for European Modelling of the Ocean coupled to the Louvain-la-Neuve sea Ice Model), satellite and buoy observations, as well as reanalysis data over the period from 1979 to 2013 to study this positive feedback for the first time in such detail. Overall, the model agrees well with observations in terms of sea ice extent, concentration and thickness. Although the seasonal cycle of sea ice drift speed is reasonably well reproduced by the model, the recent positive trend in drift speed is weaker than observations in summer. NEMO-LIM3.6 is able to capture the relationships between sea ice drift speed, concentration and thickness in terms of seasonal cycle, with higher drift speed for both lower concentration and lower thickness, in agreement with observations. Sensitivity experiments are carried out by varying the initial ice strength and show that higher values of ice strength lead to lower sea ice thickness. We demonstrate that higher ice strength results in a more uniform sea ice thickness distribution, leading to lower heat conduction fluxes, which provide lower ice production, and thus lower ice thickness. This shows that the positive feedback between sea ice drift speed and strength is more than just dynamic, more complex than originally thought and that other processes are at play. The methodology proposed in this analysis provides a benchmark for a further model intercomparison related to the interactions between sea ice drift speed and strength.


2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Nicholas Williams ◽  
Nicholas Byrne ◽  
Daniel Feltham ◽  
Peter Jan Van Leeuwen ◽  
Ross Bannister ◽  
...  

<div><span>A modified, standalone version of the Los Alamos Sea Ice Model (CICE) has been coupled to the Parallelized Data Assimilation Framework (PDAF) to produce a new Arctic sea ice data assimilation system CICE-PDAF, with routines for assimilating many types of recently developed sea ice observations. In this study we explore the effects of assimilating a sub-grid scale sea ice thickness distribution derived from Cryosat-2 Arctic sea ice estimates into CICE-PDAF. The true state of the sub-grid scale ice thickness distribution is not well established, and yet it plays a key role in large scale sea ice models and is vital to the dynamical and thermodynamical processes necessary to produce a good representation of the Arctic sea ice state. We examine how assimilating sub-grid scale sea ice thickness distributions can affect the evolution of the sea ice state in CICE-PDAF and better our understanding of the Arctic sea ice system.</span></div>


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