At a Glance … The World Economy

2014 ◽  
Vol 227 ◽  
pp. F2-F2
Keyword(s):  
World Economy ◽  
Emerging Market ◽  
Emerging Market Economies ◽  
List Type ◽  
Unemployment Rates ◽  
High Unemployment ◽  
Advanced Economies ◽  
The Us ◽  
The World ◽  
Growth Prospects

World economy will grow by 3.7 per cent in 2014 and 2015; an improvement on the 3.1 per cent last year, but still a sluggish recovery by historical standards.Growth prospects have improved in advanced economies, particularly in the US, but have deteriorated in a number of emerging market economies.High unemployment rates coupled with moderate and uneven growth raises the spectre of unexpectedly low inflation. This could greatly complicate macroeconomic policymaking.

At a Glance…: The world economy

2015 ◽  
Vol 234 ◽  
pp. F2-F2
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rates ◽  
World Economy ◽  
Emerging Market ◽  
List Type ◽  
Monetary Policies ◽  
Advanced Economies ◽  
The Us ◽  
The World ◽  
Bank Of England ◽  
Global Growth

The world economy is expected to grow by 3.0 per cent in 2015, unchanged from our August forecast, and by 3.4 per cent in 2016, marginally weaker than projected last time. Growth in emerging market economies has weakened further; recoveries have remained hesitant in the advanced economies.The projected pickup in global growth next year will be supported by accommodative monetary policies and lower oil prices. Growth should strengthen further in 2017 as recoveries take hold in some key emerging markets. But considerable risks remain.We expect the US Federal Reserve to lead the turn in official interest rates in December, with the Bank of England following next February.

At a Glance …: The World Economy

2013 ◽  
Vol 226 ◽  
pp. F2-F2
Keyword(s):  
World Economy ◽  
Emerging Market ◽  
Emerging Market Economies ◽  
List Type ◽  
Market Economies ◽  
Advanced Economies ◽  
The World ◽  
Global Growth

The world economy will grow by 3 per cent this year, and by 3.8 per cent in 2014.Growth has picked up slightly in advanced economies, while it has slowed in in key emerging market economies.Despite the clear improvements in some major economies, the risks to global growth are mostly on the downside.

At a Glance …: The World Economy

2013 ◽  
Vol 225 ◽  
pp. F2-F2
Keyword(s):  
Interest Rates ◽  
World Economy ◽  
Emerging Market ◽  
Significant Rise ◽  
List Type ◽  
Slow Recovery ◽  
Term Trend ◽  
Advanced Economies ◽  
The World

The world economy will grow by 3.1 per cent this year, and by 3.6 per cent in 2014: still below longer-term trend.Growth has slowed in key emerging market economies, particularly China, while it remains relatively weak in most advanced economies.A significant rise in the volatility and level of global long-term interest rates is inconvenient for some countries and may slow recovery.

At a Glance … The world economy

2012 ◽  
Vol 222 ◽  
pp. F2-F2
Keyword(s):  
Euro Area ◽  
World Economy ◽  
List Type ◽  
Advanced Economies ◽  
The Us ◽  
The World ◽  
Depression Era ◽  
The Impact ◽  
India And China

World growth is expected to remain below trend at 3.1 per cent in 2012 and 3.4 per cent in 2013.The Euro Area is forecast to contract by 0.5 per cent this year and grow only marginally next year with unemployment reaching ‘depression-era’ rates in some periphery economies. The US is likely to grow by 2 per cent in each year.Growth in Brazil, Russia, India and China will be below long-term potential next year, although ‘hard-landings’ will be avoided; the impact on advanced economies will be offset by a large gain in competitiveness.Debt to GDP ratios in OECD countries will, on average, be higher in 2014 than at present.

At a Glance …

2016 ◽  
Vol 236 ◽  
pp. 48-48
Keyword(s):  
United States ◽  
World Economy ◽  
Emerging Market ◽  
Oil Prices ◽  
The United States ◽  
Emerging Market Economies ◽  
List Type ◽  
Monetary Policies ◽  
Market Economies ◽  
The World

The world economy is expected to grow by 3.0 per cent in 2016, down from the 3.2 per cent predicted in the February Review. Growth this year is therefore forecast to be the slowest since the 2009 recession, before picking up to 3.5 per cent in 2017.The growth downgrade is mainly due to disappointing performances in the United States and Japan. Among the emerging market economies, growth has been also been revised down for Brazil and Russia.A moderate strengthening of growth is forecast for 2017 and beyond, supported by accommodative monetary policies, lower oil prices and the gradual normalisation of conditions in stressed emerging market economies.

At a Glance… The World Economy

2014 ◽  
Vol 228 ◽  
pp. F2-F2
Keyword(s):  
Euro Area ◽  
Global Economy ◽  
World Economy ◽  
List Type ◽  
Advanced Economies ◽  
The World ◽  
Growth Prospects ◽  
Ukraine Crisis ◽  
The Impact

Following growth of 3.1 per cent in 2013, the world economy is projected to expand by 3.6 per cent in 2014 and 3.9 per cent in 2015.Growth prospects have improved in most advanced economies, with the exception of Japan, although much of the Euro Area remains very depressed.Key risks include deflationary pressures in advanced economies, especially the Euro Area. Provided that it is contained, the impact of the Ukraine crisis on the global economy is likely to be small.

At a Glance…: The World Economy

2016 ◽  
Vol 235 ◽  
pp. F2-F2
Keyword(s):  
World Economy ◽  
Emerging Market ◽  
Commodity Prices ◽  
List Type ◽  
Equity Prices ◽  
Advanced Economies ◽  
Global Demand ◽  
The World ◽  
Recent Falls ◽  
Economic Outlook

The world economy grew by 3.0 per cent in 2015, as indicated in our last two forecasts. It is now projected to grow only slightly faster this year, by 3.2 per cent, and by 3.8 per cent in 2017.In the advanced economies, the modest and uneven recovery is expected to continue, while many major emerging market economies continue to face significant challenges, with slower growth in some cases and deep recessions in others.The renewed decline in global oil prices in the past three months, accompanied by sharp falls in equity prices worldwide, have increased uncertainty about the global economic outlook.Recent falls in oil and other global commodity prices will lower inflation again in the short term, but should boost global demand while increasing the challenges faced by commodity producers.

At a Glance…: The World Economy

2015 ◽  
Vol 233 ◽  
pp. F2-F2
Keyword(s):  
World Economy ◽  
Emerging Market ◽  
Developed Countries ◽  
List Type ◽  
Fiscal Consolidation ◽  
Delayed Effects ◽  
Official Policy ◽  
The Us ◽  
The World ◽  
Bank Of England

The world economy will grow by 3.0 per cent in 2015 – the slowest rate since the crisis – and 3.5 per cent in 2016.Emerging market economies have slowed, while recoveries remain hesitant in most developed countries.Growth may be boosted by delayed effects of lower oil prices, as well as by accommodative monetary policy and slower fiscal consolidation, but considerable risks remain.We still expect the US Federal Reserve to lead the turn in official policy rates in September, with the Bank of England following in February 2016.

Growth Prospects for Advanced and Emerging Market Economies

2016 ◽  
Vol 16 (4) ◽  
pp. 599-614 ◽  
Author(s):  
Dominick Salvatore
Keyword(s):  
Financial Crisis ◽  
Interest Rates ◽  
Global Financial Crisis ◽  
Emerging Market ◽  
Emerging Market Economies ◽  
Fiscal Stimulus ◽  
Secular Stagnation ◽  
Market Economies ◽  
The World ◽  
Growth Prospects

This paper examines the reasons for the slow growth in the advanced countries since the recent global financial crisis, the slowdown in growth or recession in emerging market economies, the danger that the world may be drifting toward a new global financial crisis, and that it may face even secular stagnation. The paper concludes that growth is likely to remain slow for the rest of this decade in advanced countries and to continue to decline in emerging market economies. It also examines the danger that with interest rates at the zero-bound level in advanced nations, a new financial bubble may be in the making as investors, in search of returns, undertake excessively risky investments, and that this may lead to a new global financial crisis. It is not certain, however, that the world is facing secular stagnation and, if so, that a new massive fiscal stimulus (as advocated but some) would prevent it or correct it.

At a Glance…

2010 ◽  
Vol 212 ◽  
pp. F2-F2
Keyword(s):  
Euro Area ◽  
World Trade ◽  
World Economy ◽  
Chinese Economy ◽  
List Type ◽  
Us Economy ◽  
The Us ◽  
The World

The world economy will expand by 3.9 per cent in 2010 and 3.8 per cent in 2011.World trade will increase by 9.6 per cent this year and 5.7 per cent in 2011.The Chinese economy will grow by 9.8 per cent in 2010 and 9 per cent next year.Japanese GDP will expand by 2 per cent this year and 1.5 per cent in 2011.The US economy will grow by 2.9 per cent in 2010 and 2.7 per cent next year.The Euro Area will expand by 1.2 per cent this year and 1.8 per cent in 2011.

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