Hidden Markov Model of Lane-Changing-Based Car-Following Behavior on Freeways using Naturalistic Driving Data

2021 ◽  
pp. 036119812199938
Author(s):  
Li Zhao ◽  
Laurence Rilett ◽  
Mm Shakiul Haque
Keyword(s):  
Markov Model ◽  
Hidden Markov Model ◽  
Hidden Markov ◽  
Gaussian Mixture ◽  
Vehicle Body ◽  
Lane Change ◽  
Lane Changing ◽  
Car Following ◽  
Pilot Model ◽  
Naturalistic Driving

This paper develops a methodology for simultaneously modeling lane-changing and car-following behavior of automated vehicles on freeways. Naturalistic driving data from the Safety Pilot Model Deployment (SPMD) program are used. First, a framework to process the SPMD data is proposed using various data analytics techniques including data fusion, data mining, and machine learning. Second, pairs of automated host vehicle and their corresponding front vehicle are identified along with their lane-change and car-following relationship data. Using these data, a lane-changing-based car-following (LCCF) model, which explicitly considers lane-change and car-following behavior simultaneously, is developed. The LCCF model is based on Gaussian-mixture-based hidden Markov model theory and is disaggregated into two processes: LCCF association and LCCF dissociation. These categories are based on the result of the lane change. The overall goal is to predict a driver’s lane-change intention using the LCCF model. Results show that the model can predict the lane-change event in the order of 0.6 to 1.3 s before the moment of the vehicle body across the lane boundary. In addition, the execution times of lane-change maneuvers average between 0.55 and 0.86 s. The LCCF model allows the intention time and execution time of driver’s lane-change behavior to be forecast, which will help to develop better advanced driver assistance systems for vehicle controls with respect to lane-change and car-following warning functions.

scholarly journals A Hybrid Hidden Markov Model for Pipeline Leakage Detection

2021 ◽  
Vol 11 (7) ◽  
pp. 3138
Author(s):  
Mingchi Zhang ◽  
Xuemin Chen ◽  
Wei Li
Keyword(s):  
Neural Network ◽  
Markov Model ◽  
Hidden Markov Model ◽  
Gaussian Mixture Model ◽  
Mixture Model ◽  
Deep Neural Network ◽  
Hidden Markov ◽  
Gaussian Mixture ◽  
State Sequence ◽  
Non Linear

In this paper, a deep neural network hidden Markov model (DNN-HMM) is proposed to detect pipeline leakage location. A long pipeline is divided into several sections and the leakage occurs in different section that is defined as different state of hidden Markov model (HMM). The hybrid HMM, i.e., DNN-HMM, consists of a deep neural network (DNN) with multiple layers to exploit the non-linear data. The DNN is initialized by using a deep belief network (DBN). The DBN is a pre-trained model built by stacking top-down restricted Boltzmann machines (RBM) that compute the emission probabilities for the HMM instead of Gaussian mixture model (GMM). Two comparative studies based on different numbers of states using Gaussian mixture model-hidden Markov model (GMM-HMM) and DNN-HMM are performed. The accuracy of the testing performance between detected state sequence and actual state sequence is measured by micro F1 score. The micro F1 score approaches 0.94 for GMM-HMM method and it is close to 0.95 for DNN-HMM method when the pipeline is divided into three sections. In the experiment that divides the pipeline as five sections, the micro F1 score for GMM-HMM is 0.69, while it approaches 0.96 with DNN-HMM method. The results demonstrate that the DNN-HMM can learn a better model of non-linear data and achieve better performance compared to GMM-HMM method.

A uniform initialization Gaussian mixture model–based guided wave–hidden Markov model with stable damage evaluation performance

2018 ◽  
Vol 18 (3) ◽  
pp. 853-868 ◽  
Author(s):  
Shenfang Yuan ◽  
Jinjin Zhang ◽  
Jian Chen ◽  
Lei Qiu ◽  
Weibo Yang
Keyword(s):  
Fatigue Crack ◽  
Markov Model ◽  
Crack Propagation ◽  
Hidden Markov Model ◽  
Hidden Markov ◽  
Gaussian Mixture ◽  
Guided Wave ◽  
Time Varying ◽  
Damage Evaluation ◽  
Model Based

During practical applications, the time-varying service conditions usually lead to difficulties in properly interpreting structural health monitoring signals. The guided wave–hidden Markov model–based damage evaluation method is a promising approach to address the uncertainties caused by the time-varying service condition. However, researches that have been performed to date are not comprehensive. Most of these research studies did not introduce serious time-varying factors, such as those that exist in reality, and hidden Markov model was applied directly without deep consideration of the performance improvement of hidden Markov model itself. In this article, the training stability problem when constructing the guided wave–hidden Markov model initialized by usually adopted k-means clustering method and its influence to damage evaluation were researched first by applying it to fatigue crack propagation evaluation of an attachment lug. After illustrating the problem of stability induced by k-means clustering, a novel uniform initialization Gaussian mixture model–based guided wave–hidden Markov model was proposed that provides steady and reliable construction of the guided wave–hidden Markov model. The advantage of the proposed method is demonstrated by lug fatigue crack propagation evaluation experiments.

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