Crystal Balls and Black Boxes: What Makes a Good Forecast?

2019 ◽  
Vol 34 (3) ◽  
pp. 286-299 ◽  
Author(s):  
Carole Turley Voulgaris
Keyword(s):  
Transportation Infrastructure ◽  
Three Dimensions ◽  
Future Planning ◽  
Black Boxes ◽  
The Future ◽  
Evaluating Forecasts ◽  
Good Forecast ◽  
Demand Forecasts

As a discipline that concerns itself with the future, planning relies on forecasts to inform and guide action. With this reliance comes a concern that the best possible forecasts be produced. This review identifies three distinct ways in which forecasts may be evaluated (methodology, accuracy, and usefulness) and describes challenges associated with evaluating forecasts along any of these three dimensions. By way of example, this general discussion of forecasting is applied to the specific case of demand forecasts for transportation infrastructure, with an emphasis on transit infrastructure. There is a continuing need for planners to engage with interdisciplinary forecasting literature.

Implementing the Future Planning Using Elements of Person-Centered Planning for Adolescents with Disabilities

2019 ◽  
Vol 21 (2) ◽  
pp. 65-95
Author(s):  
Hyun-Joo Lee ◽  
Young-Sun Lee ◽  
Ran Ju ◽  
Ki-Yeon Min
Keyword(s):  
Future Planning ◽  
The Future

The Sea Fight Tomorrow

2018 ◽  
Author(s):  
Donald C. Williams
Keyword(s):  
Three Dimensions ◽  
The Past ◽  
The World ◽  
The Future ◽  
Metaphysics Of Time ◽  
Manifold Theory ◽  
Dimensions Of Space

This chapter is the first of this book to deal specifically with the metaphysics of time. This chapter defends the pure manifold theory of time. On this view, time is just another dimension of extent like the three dimensions of space, the past, present, and future are equally real, and the world is at bottom tenseless. What is true is eternally true. For example, it is now true that there will be a sea fight tomorrow or that there will not be a sea fight tomorrow. It is argued that the pure manifold theory does not entail fatalism and that contingent statements about the future do not imply that only the past and present exist.

scholarly journals A novel model for data-driven smart sustainable cities of the future: the institutional transformations required for balancing and advancing the three goals of sustainability

2021 ◽  
Vol 4 (1) ◽  
Author(s):  
Simon Elias Bibri
Keyword(s):  
Smart Cities ◽  
Case Study Research ◽  
Development Planning ◽  
Three Dimensions ◽  
Data Driven ◽  
Sustainable Cities ◽  
Sustainable Urbanism ◽  
The Future ◽  
Novel Model ◽  
Smart Urbanism

AbstractIn recent years, it has become increasingly feasible to achieve important improvements of sustainability by integrating sustainable urbanism with smart urbanism thanks to the proven role and synergic potential of data-driven technologies. Indeed, the processes and practices of both of these approaches to urban planning and development are becoming highly responsive to a form of data-driven urbanism, giving rise to a new phenomenon known as “data-driven smart sustainable urbanism.” Underlying this emerging approach is the idea of combining and integrating the strengths of sustainable cities and smart cities and harnessing the synergies of their strategies and solutions in ways that enable sustainable cities to optimize, enhance, and maintain their performance on the basis of the innovative data-driven technologies offered by smart cities. These strengths and synergies can be clearly demonstrated by combining the advantages of sustainable urbanism and smart urbanism. To enable such combination, major institutional transformations are required in terms of enhanced and new practices and competences. Based on case study research, this paper identifies, distills, and enumerates the key benefits, potentials, and opportunities of sustainable cities and smart cities with respect to the three dimensions of sustainability, as well as the key institutional transformations needed to support the balancing of these dimensions and to enable the introduction of data-driven technology and the adoption of applied data-driven solutions in city operational management and development planning. This paper is an integral part of a futures study that aims to analyze, investigate, and develop a novel model for data-driven smart sustainable cities of the future. I argue that the emerging data-driven technologies for sustainability as innovative niches are reconfiguring the socio-technical landscape of institutions, as well as providing insights to policymakers into pathways for strengthening existing institutionalized practices and competences and developing and establishing new ones. This is necessary for balancing and advancing the goals of sustainability and thus achieving a desirable future.

Organ transplants of the future: planning for innovations including xenotransplantation

2021 ◽  
Author(s):  
Emanuele Cozzi ◽  
Stefan Schneeberger ◽  
Maria Irene Bellini ◽  
Erik Berglund ◽  
Georg Böhmig ◽  
...  
Keyword(s):  
Organ Transplants ◽  
Future Planning ◽  
The Future

scholarly journals Energy for the future: Planning and mapping renewable energy. The case of Algeria

2021 ◽  
Vol 47 ◽  
pp. 101445
Author(s):  
Pilar Díaz-Cuevas ◽  
Brahim Haddad ◽  
Miriam Fernandez-Nunez
Keyword(s):  
Renewable Energy ◽  
Future Planning ◽  
The Future

Keep Your Doors Open

2013 ◽  
Author(s):  
Robert Wuthnow
Keyword(s):  
Higher Education ◽  
Young People ◽  
Small Town ◽  
Census Data ◽  
Small Towns ◽  
Future Planning ◽  
Small Communities ◽  
The Future ◽  
Community Ties ◽  
University Training

This chapter examines the future that small communities may—or may not—hold for the next generation. As residents nearly always see it, young people who grow up in small towns should go to college in order to be well prepared for whatever the future may hold. However, the reasons given along with the concerns underlying these reasons are more complex than surveys and census data reveal. Although they consider higher education critical, residents—parents and educators alike—acknowledge that there are aspects of small-town culture that make it difficult for young people to plan appropriately in order to make the most of college or university training. The chapter considers the importance of college for future planning among young people, as well as the disadvantages of living in a small town, and how community ties remain among residents.

Conclusion

2020 ◽  
pp. 224-232
Author(s):  
Aleida Assmann
Keyword(s):  
Temporal Structure ◽  
Three Dimensions ◽  
One Dimension ◽  
Modern Time ◽  
The Past ◽  
The Future ◽  
Time Regime

This concluding chapter poses the question of whether or not we have too much past and too little future. After all, the notion of the past has dramatically increased in its range of meanings, as has the future. The relation between the past, the present, and the future is a three-fold relationship in which one dimension cannot exist for long without the others. Ordering this three-fold temporal structure anew and bringing the three dimensions into a balanced relation, however, continues to be an open adventure. To be sure, it is also the greatest challenge posed by the demise of the modern time regime.

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