scholarly journals How well can we predict earthquake site response so far? Site-specific approaches

2022 ◽  
pp. 875529302110608
Author(s):  
Chuanbin Zhu ◽  
Fabrice Cotton ◽  
Hiroshi Kawase ◽  
Annabel Haendel ◽  
Marco Pilz ◽  
...  

Earthquake site responses or site effects are the modifications of surface geology to seismic waves. How well can we predict the site effects (average over many earthquakes) at individual sites so far? To address this question, we tested and compared the effectiveness of different estimation techniques in predicting the outcrop Fourier site responses separated using the general inversion technique (GIT) from recordings. Techniques being evaluated are (a) the empirical correction to the horizontal-to-vertical spectral ratio of earthquakes (c-HVSR), (b) one-dimensional ground response analysis (GRA), and (c) the square-root-impedance (SRI) method (also called the quarter-wavelength approach). Our results show that c-HVSR can capture significantly more site-specific features in site responses than both GRA and SRI in the aggregate, especially at relatively high frequencies. c-HVSR achieves a “good match” in spectral shape at ∼80%–90% of 145 testing sites, whereas GRA and SRI fail at most sites. GRA and SRI results have a high level of parametric and/or modeling errors which can be constrained, to some extent, by collecting on-site recordings.

Author(s):  
Mauro Aimar ◽  
Sebastiano Foti

ABSTRACT The possible amplification of seismic waves in soil deposits is crucial for the seismic design of buildings and geotechnical systems. The most common approaches for the numerical simulation of seismic site response are the equivalent linear (EQL) and the nonlinear (NL). Even though their advantages and limitations have been investigated in several studies, the relative field of applicability is still under debate. This study tested both methods over a wide population of soil models, which were subjected to a set of acceleration time histories recorded from strong earthquakes. A thorough comparison of the results of the EQL and the NL approaches was carried out, to identify the conditions in which the relative differences are significant. This assessment allowed for the definition of simplified criteria to predict when the two schemes are or are not compatible for large expected shaking levels. The proposed criteria are based on simple and intuitive parameters describing the soil deposit and the ground-motion parameters, which can be predicted straightforwardly. Therefore, this study provides a scheme for the choice between the EQL and the NL approaches that can be used even at the preliminary design stages. It appears that the EQL approach provides reliable amplification estimates in soil deposits with thickness up to 30 m, except for very deformable soils, but this depth range may be extended at long vibration periods. This result reveals a good level of reliability of the EQL approach for various soil conditions encountered in common applications, even for high-intensity shaking.


2011 ◽  
Vol 374-377 ◽  
pp. 1742-1745
Author(s):  
Vilas G. Meshram ◽  
Ajay L. Dandge

In present work, first the multi-storeyed building was analysing taking medium site condition in zone II. Sa/g and Base shear for that building was calculated from IS 1893:2002 (Part 1).After that site specific ground response analysis is carried out for Amravati and Nagpur region soil sites. For development of site specific response spectrum ProSHAKE software is used ProSHAKE is based on one dimensional geotechnical site response model. Site response study is usually carried out using the geotechnical data or Geophysical data (shear wave velocity). Basic aim of present work is to study local site effects on seismic analysis of multi-storeyed Buildings, for this purpose local soil conditions are considered. In the present work various local sites in Amravati and Nagpur region are studied.


2021 ◽  
Vol 2021 ◽  
pp. 1-11
Author(s):  
Ngoc-Long Tran ◽  
Muhammad Aaqib ◽  
Ba-Phu Nguyen ◽  
Duy-Duan Nguyen ◽  
Viet-Linh Tran ◽  
...  

This study presents a case study on ground response analysis of one of the important cultural heritages in Hanoi, Vietnam. One-dimensional nonlinear and equivalent linear site response analyses which are commonly applied to solve the problem of seismic stress wave propagation are performed at the Ba Dinh square area. A measured in-situ shear wave velocity profile and corresponding geotechnical site investigation and laboratory test data are utilized to develop the site model for site-specific ground response analysis. A suite of earthquake records compatible with Vietnamese Design Code TCVN 9386: 2012 rock design spectrum is used as input ground motions at the bedrock. A few concerns associated with site-specific ground response evaluation are analyzed for both nonlinear and equivalent linear procedures, including shear strains, mobilized shear strength, and peak ground acceleration along with the depth. The results show that the mean maximum shear strains at any soil layer are less than 0.2% in the study area. A deamplification portion within the soil profile is observed at the layer interface with shear wave velocity reversal. The maximum peak ground acceleration (PGA) at the surface is about 0.2 g for equivalent linear analysis and 0.16 g for nonlinear analysis. The ground motions are amplified near the site natural period 0.72 s. The soil factors calculated in this study are 1.95 and 2.07 for nonlinear and equivalent linear analyses, respectively. These values are much different from the current value of 1.15 for site class C in TCVN 9386: 2012. A comparison of calculated response spectra and amplification factors with the local standard code of practice revealed significant discrepancies. It is demonstrated that the TCVN 9386: 2012 soil design spectrum is unable to capture the calculated site amplification in the study area.


1991 ◽  
Vol 7 (4) ◽  
pp. 551-561 ◽  
Author(s):  
Antonio Rovelli ◽  
Shri K. Singh ◽  
Luca Malagnini ◽  
Alessandro Amato ◽  
Massimo Cocco

We explore the feasibility of the use of microtremors in estimating the amplification of seismic waves at soft sites in Italy. Microtremors were measured at three soft sites and nearby hard sites at night when the cultural noise was minimum. These soft sites were selected as those showing the largest amplifications of ground motion during earthquakes as compared to the records on the hard sites or with respect to the predicted spectra. We compare the soft-to-hard site microtremor spectral ratios with the corresponding acceleration spectral ratios. A rough estimate of the shape and level of spectral amplification is obtained from the microtremor data in all three cases. However, the details of the soft-to-hard site spectral ratio are not reproduced and some differences appear in (a) the frequency at which the maximum amplification occurs, and (b) the bandwidth of the significant amplification. More testing of the method is needed before its wider use for microzonation in Italy can be recommended.


Author(s):  
A. Boominathan ◽  
Krishna Kumar ◽  
R. Vijaya

Design ground motions are usually developed by one of two approaches: by performing site-specific analyses or from provisions of building codes. Although contemporary codes consider the site effects to an extent, they provide more conservative estimates. Hence, site-specific analysis, which involves both the seismic hazard analysis and ground response analysis, is a preferred approach to obtain design ground motions. This chapter presents a site-specific analysis for a site near Ahmedabad, Gujarat. The seismic hazard analysis was carried out by DSHA approach. The site is predominantly characterized by deep stiff sandy clay deposits. Extensive shear wave velocity measurement is used for site classification and ground response analysis. The ground response analysis was carried out by using two approaches: the equivalent linear approach using SHAKE2000 and the non-linear approach using FLAC2D. The deep-stiff-soil site is found to amplify the ground motion. The response from nonlinear analysis is found to be considerably higher than those obtained from the equivalent linear approach.


Geosciences ◽  
2018 ◽  
Vol 8 (8) ◽  
pp. 285 ◽  
Author(s):  
Claudia Aristizábal ◽  
Pierre-Yves Bard ◽  
Céline Beauval ◽  
Juan Gómez

The integration of site effects into Probabilistic Seismic Hazard Assessment (PSHA) is still an open issue within the seismic hazard community. Several approaches have been proposed varying from deterministic to fully probabilistic, through hybrid (probabilistic-deterministic) approaches. The present study compares the hazard curves that have been obtained for a thick, soft non-linear site with two different fully probabilistic, site-specific seismic hazard methods: (1) The analytical approximation of the full convolution method (AM) proposed by Bazzurro and Cornell 2004a,b and (2) what we call the Full Probabilistic Stochastic Method (SM). The AM computes the site-specific hazard curve on soil, HC(Sas(f)), by convolving for each oscillator frequency the bedrock hazard curve, HC(Sar(f)), with a simplified representation of the probability distribution of the amplification function, AF(f), at the considered site The SM hazard curve is built from stochastic time histories on soil or rock corresponding to a representative, long enough synthetic catalog of seismic events. This comparison is performed for the example case of the Euroseistest site near Thessaloniki (Greece). For this purpose, we generate a long synthetic earthquake catalog, we calculate synthetic time histories on rock with the stochastic point source approach, and then scale them using an adhoc frequency-dependent correction factor to fit the specific rock target hazard. We then propagate the rock stochastic time histories, from depth to surface using two different one-dimensional (1D) numerical site response analyses, while using an equivalent-linear (EL) and a non-linear (NL) code to account for code-to-code variability. Lastly, we compute the probability distribution of the non-linear site amplification function, AF(f), for both site response analyses, and derive the site-specific hazard curve with both AM and SM methods, to account for method-to-method variability. The code-to-code variability (EL and NL) is found to be significant, providing a much larger contribution to the uncertainty in hazard estimates, than the method-to-method variability: AM and SM results are found comparable whenever simultaneously applicable. However, the AM method is also shown to exhibit severe limitations in the case of strong non-linearity, leading to ground motion “saturation”, so that finally the SM method is to be preferred, despite its much higher computational price. Finally, we encourage the use of ground-motion simulations to integrate site effects into PSHA, since models with different levels of complexity can be included (e.g., point source, extended source, 1D, two-dimensional (2D), and three-dimensional (3D) site response analysis, kappa effect, hard rock …), and the corresponding variability of the site response can be quantified.


2020 ◽  
Vol 36 (2) ◽  
pp. 856-879 ◽  
Author(s):  
Christopher A de la Torre ◽  
Brendon A Bradley ◽  
Robin L Lee

This study examines the performance of nonlinear total stress one-dimensional (1D) wave propagation site response analysis for modeling site effects in physics-based ground motion simulations of the 2010–2011 Canterbury, New Zealand earthquake sequence. This approach explicitly models three-dimensional (3D) ground motion phenomena at the regional scale, and detailed site effects at the local scale. The approach is compared with a more commonly used empirical VS30-based method of computing site amplification for simulated ground motions, as well as prediction via an empirical ground motion model. Site-specific ground response analysis is performed at 20 strong motion stations in Christchurch for 11 earthquakes with 4.7≤ MW≤7.1. When compared with the VS30-based approach, the wave propagation analysis reduces both overall model bias and uncertainty in site-to-site residuals at the fundamental period, and significantly reduces systematic residuals for soft or “atypical” sites that exhibit strong site amplification. The comparable performance in ground motion prediction between the physics-based simulation method and empirical ground motion models suggests the former is a viable approach for generating site-specific ground motions for geotechnical and structural response history analyses.


2009 ◽  
Vol 25 (3) ◽  
pp. 541-555 ◽  
Author(s):  
Christine A. Goulet ◽  
Jonathan P. Stewart

It is common for ground motions to be estimated using a combination of probabilistic and deterministic procedures. Probabilistic seismic hazard analyses (PSHA) are performed to estimate intensity measures ( IMs) for reference site conditions (usually rock). This is followed by a deterministic modification of the rock IMs to account for site effects, typically using site factors from the literature or seismic codes. We demonstrate for two California sites and three site conditions that the deterministic application of nonlinear site factors underestimates ground motions evaluated probabilistically for return periods of engineering interest. Reasons for this misfit include different standard deviation terms for rock and soil sites, different controlling earthquakes, and overestimation of the nonlinear component of the site response in the deterministic procedure. This problem is solved using site-specific PSHA with appropriate consideration of nonlinear site response, within the hazard integral.


2016 ◽  
Vol 32 (2) ◽  
pp. 1055-1074 ◽  
Author(s):  
Ramin Motamed ◽  
Kevin Stanton ◽  
Ibrahim Almufti ◽  
Kirk Ellison ◽  
Michael Willford

A nonlinear ground response analysis is conducted for the Niigata-ken Chuetsu-oki earthquake recorded at a free-field vertical array near the Kashiwazaki-Kariwa Nuclear Power Plant in Japan. A bidirectional site response analysis is carried out using LS-DYNA which allows user defined stress-strain relationships to dictate soil behavior subjected to dynamic loading. Dynamic soil behavior is characterized using a two-stage hyperbolic backbone curve implemented with modifications to consider the peak strength of soil layers as well as the strain at which the peak strength is fully mobilized. The effects of bidirectional input motions, strain rate, and the shape of the shear modulus degradation curves are investigated, and it is demonstrated that each factor can have a significant influence on the results.


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