Abstract
Background
Acute hyperglycemia has been recognized as a robust predictor for occurrence of acute kidney injury (AKI) in nondiabetic patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI), however, its discriminatory ability for AKI is unclear in diabetic patients after an AMI. Here, we investigated whether stress hyperglycemia ratio (SHR), a novel index with the combined evaluation of acute and chronic glycemic levels, may have a better predictive value of AKI as compared with admission glycemia alone in diabetic patients following AMI.
Methods
SHR was calculated with admission blood glucose (ABG) divided by the glycated hemoglobin-derived estimated average glucose. A total of 1215 diabetic patients with AMI were enrolled and divided according to SHR tertiles. Baseline characteristics and outcomes were compared. The primary endpoint was AKI and secondary endpoints included all-cause death and cardiogenic shock during hospitalization. The logistic regression analysis was performed to identify potential risk factors. Accuracy was defined with area under the curve (AUC) by a receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis.
Results
In AMI patients with diabetes, the incidence of AKI (4.4%, 7.8%, 13.0%; p < 0.001), all-cause death (2.7%, 3.6%, 6.4%; p = 0.027) and cardiogenic shock (4.9%, 7.6%, 11.6%; p = 0.002) all increased with the rising tertile levels of SHR. After multivariate adjustment, elevated SHR was significantly associated with an increased risk of AKI (odds ratio 3.18, 95% confidence interval: 1.99–5.09, p < 0.001) while ABG was no longer a risk factor of AKI. The SHR was also strongly related to the AKI risk in subgroups of patients. At ROC analysis, SHR accurately predicted AKI in overall (AUC 0.64) and a risk model consisted of SHR, left ventricular ejection fraction, N-terminal B-type natriuretic peptide, and estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) yielded a superior predictive value (AUC 0.83) for AKI.
Conclusion
The novel index SHR is a better predictor of AKI and in-hospital mortality and morbidity than admission glycemia in AMI patients with diabetes.
Positive predictive value of ICD-10 codes for acute myocardial infarction in Japan: a validation study at a single center
